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Main show · September 6, 2024

Week 1 Matchups + Mark Andrews Panic Alarm? - Fantasy Football Podcast for 9/6

RSSSep 6, 2024 · details onlyYOUTUBESep 6, 2024 · transcript indexed
Original source

Week 1 Matchups + Mark Andrews Panic Alarm? | Fantasy Football 2024 - Ep. 1628

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Transcript links use the exact YouTube video’s clock. Machine transcripts can contain errors.

Episode notes & curated moments 4 records
moment

The intro language is a Portuguese/Spanish panic

The hosts debate whether a phrase is Spanish or Portuguese, then insist on looking it up before moving on.

moment

Mark Andrews panic alarm is declared premature

After Isaiah Likely posts a huge game, the hosts tell managers not to panic and frame Mark Andrews’ peak as a separate question.

moment

The Andrews/Likely roles become a two-tight-end scheme

The hosts say the Chiefs took a player out of the offense, Isaiah Likely is great, and Baltimore cannot keep him off the field while discussing Andrews’ peak.

summary

Episode notes

This episode is logged for show personality, crew behavior, recurring bits, league customs, and scene-ready props. The hosts debate whether a phrase is Spanish or Portuguese, then insist on looking it up before moving on. After Isaiah Likely posts a huge game, the hosts tell managers not to panic and frame Mark Andrews’ peak as a separate question. The hosts say the Chiefs took a player out of the offense, Isaiah Likely is great, and Baltimore cannot keep him off the field while discussing Andrews’ peak.

Inside the episode

82 passages
55:14 ↗

and that's why he succeeded. They were like, okay, here's your college offense, go out there, be great. Gets to Cleveland, they are not willing to do that. That's why, like, that would check out of he has not been very good, and then you get guys like Joe Flacco who immediately go into a pro system and look like competent quarterbacks. Here's what needs to be said. He was. Full speculation. He played five full games last year. Five. His fantasy finishes in the full games were five. 27, 10, 8, and 14. That's what we saw last year on the field. So he can be, and he looked terrible. It is the second year in the system and you add Jerry Judy. And he was hurt last year. And this year. Well, he's recovering. Yeah. His shoulder soreness was like a week ago. He's good. It's funny. You drafted Anthony Richardson. He had shoulder soreness too. Yeah, months ago.

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I don't think it was a week ago, Jason. No, it was literally like one week. Yeah, it was maybe two weeks at the most. Okay. All right. If I'm misremembering, I'm sorry. Dak, Deshawn facing off. Jerome Ford, he's the guy to start the year. And then we get to see the, you know, we get to see this Zeke Doubtel. Hold on to your butts. It's not a great matchup. They're not favored. This is one of the lowest overrunners Dallas has been a part of over the last couple of years. Yeah, look, the DK lineup both running backs for receptions is one and a half. I think it's, look, I've been trying to call my shot here on Dowdle. This is not, he was drafted so late. I'm not forcing Rico Dowdle into my lineup. I'm sitting back watching how the Dallas Cowboys operate with their running backs with a keen eye on

57:11 ↗

the fact that over the offseason they were saying he has been a far more complete running back a guy who can play three downs a guy who can catch the ball for us that that's what i'm watching for is like if dowdell is actually getting targets then that is a huge deal all right we have question marks with you know judy comes over i still like i like taking judy late in drafts i think he's one of those guys that's going to be an obvious pickup after week one Nobody's been with me. I'm all alone with Jerry Judy. People have decided to ship him away, despite the fact, the Browns gave him a ton of money, and he has flashed. He's had plays where he looks elite. So, you know, to me, Judy is somebody that you need. Like, I'd play Jerry Judy over Brandon Cooks in this game. I probably would as well. The Cleveland defense is very, very good. You know, Mike's saying he wouldn't force Rico Dowdle into the lineup. I would force Rico Dowdle.

58:08 ↗

on the bench. If he's like, I would not play. But you're just completely out on it. Yeah. But in a tough matchup as well. You add those things together. Like you're in on Zeke. Are you forcing Zeke into your lineup? Uh, no. Yeah. Yeah. So we're both saying the same thing. We just have different, uh, different horses in the race. Different players we're picking. Sure. Uh, would you start Dak? Are you trying if, I mean, if you draft them, you have to, right? I mean, so this is, this is a good example of. Would you start DAC or Trevor Lawrence? Trevor Lawrence is, if you're in a single quarterback league, he might be on waivers right now. And in that matchup against the Dolphins who lost a lot of defensive pieces from last year, I think I would go Lawrence. And in week one, you don't want to get too cute. So if you drafted Dak, you got them, great. Yeah, just to have some examples, I'm looking at our league of record. On our waiver wire is Stafford. Brock.

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Purdy, Trevor Lawrence, Justin Herbert. Of those four, Jason, are you, which ones are those are you playing over deck? Yeah, I would. Stafford is Detroit. Purdy is the Jets. Lawrence is Miami. I would go Lawrence. Okay, just Lawrence. Yeah. I think Purdy's got too bad a matchup. Washington at Tampa. Draft King Sportsbook Line Buccaneers minus three and a half. Over under 42 and a half. Rookie Jane Daniels gets to start on the road against the a Tampa defense that struggled against quarterbacks last year in terms of fancy points given up. We get to see Cliff Gingsbury run the offense, something that he did well with Kyler from a fantasy perspective. And we get to see what this, you know, what Jaden's got. Yeah. We're going to see Luke McCaffrey get an opportunity, a rookie wide receiver in this offense now that Johan Dotson is gone. So Terry McLaurin and is it Zach Erds? Is it McCaffrey? Is it Diamie Brown?

60:03 ↗

Those are things that we're going to figure out. At least for the beginning of the season, it's going to be Zacherts. Yeah, and Jaden Daniels just to make it clear. That's important. Hit that button twice for Zacherts, actually. He is in my lineup. You. Let's go. Jerk. Let's go. Please tell the people what that means. That is the deepest of leap. That is a very, very, very deep league. That is a very, very deep league where it was. That joke was being thrown around. very often of, well, it's inevitable now that Earth will outscore. I was playing them over Luke Musgrave. But Jaden Daniels, to give you context to why, you know, you want to draft these rushing quarterbacks and play them, his line, his draft king's line, 217 passing yards. Okay, that's a little low, but more than, more than, you know, Bryce Young. And then a 39.5 yard rushing line. If you convert those to fantasy points and then to.

61:01 ↗

passing yards, that would be a total of 320 passing yards as a baseline. Right. No, that's interesting the way that you broke that down because Daniels is going to run. He's just going to be a part of the equation here. And we have a offensive coordinator with history of doing it well. Rashad White on the other side at running back, I am fully confident in him. Mike has brought up Bucky Irving quite a bit. I do think there'll be a rotation behind White. I think White will be me personally. I think White will be the guy. His over under is at three and a half receptions. That would be about 60 receptions on the year. I think it was in the 80s last year. To start the year, Rashad White should be a 100% confidence play. It's just over the course of the season. That's where my concern is. Godwin was a late pick in our draft a lot later than I expected him to go. With Godwin and McLaurin, how are you feeling about those that starts this week?

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Because, you know, going on the road with a rookie with Terry McLaurin, are you just putting him out there and just trusting? Yeah, I think so. The entire story for Chris Godwin is he's moving back into the slot. That's the story of the offseason for him where he was very successful earlier on in the career. The matchup should be fantastic here for Baker and Crew. I thought Jalen McMillan was the starter. Am I wrong? I think he's starting on the outside. Yeah. Right. But I'm saying you got a rookie in the starting lineup now for Tampa that hasn't been talked about a lot. Right. Yeah, that's good. We should bring up his name. Jalen McMillan is. Like if you're bringing up Luke McCaffrey, he's starting on the other side. Why are we not talking about Jim? McMillan should be on your radar. He's McMillan like a villain. We already had that, though. Well, I know, but he's dead. Yeah, that's true. He's gone for the season. Just think about it. All right. I'm.

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I'm not going to think about it. I'm not going to lie to you. That's fine. That's fine. If he scores three times, can we re-talk about it? Oh, for sure. That's a villain. If we, he's just, if you're in a 14 teamer and somehow McMillan is on your wave wire, he's a guy that I might stash on the back of the bench. All right, Sunday night football. This one is more fun. Los Angeles, the Rams, traveling to Detroit to face the dominator. The Lions, minus four and a half on DK, over under is 52. I got to get that on the website. Jared Goff is your start of the week, Mike. Home, Dome? Yeah. I mean, it's, this is his name, guys. This is the double checkbox situation. Jared Goff should 100% be started. All those other people we talked about if you've got the DAC Prescott, even Jaden Daniels, who looks good. No, this is where Jared Goff is a monster. It's the Dome zone.

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I mean, he is totally dominating. So, yeah, Brooks just threw it in golf or burrow is a popular question right now on the website. And that is, it's golf regardless of those guys being active. I don't care. Yeah, I'd play Jared Goff. This is, I'm so excited about this game. Jamir Gibbs is healthy. He's going to be back out there. David Montgomery is flexible. He can touch his toes so easy. Ammon Ra? Yes. And then the over under, the home game. and the opportunity. Where are we with Jameson Williams? Because he is a player. I'm telling you, there is a chance you come back with two. And Jameson Williams is a big storyline. Yeah. I am not denying that at all. He's not a player that I drafted late and I'm throwing him into the lineup. Oh, it's an island game. It's Jared Goff at home. I want it. James and Williams are Curtis Samuel against Arizona. I think I would. Asking for a friend. I think I'd go Curtis.

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Jameson is the moonshot here. Curtis, you know, will get five targets at least where Jamiston Williams could go out and be an absolute cardio king and get two targets. Let me put it this way. You're starting everybody you expected to start from these rosters. Yes. We're not making starts-it decisions. Correct. What I want to know is what, like what's your biggest storyline from this game? Is it the backfield in Los Angeles about how often Blake Corum and Ronnie Rivers are used? I mean, Blake Corum's. over under is 24 and a half rushing yards from Vegas. Now, Jason's eyes just lit up because he. That's a lot. That's a lot. I don't like that at all. Now, Kyran is at 58.5. So it's, I mean, that's a lot too. No, I would have, I would have expected, I would, I would have expected like 67 rushing yard line for Kyron and Gorham to maybe not even have a line. You still want your lead?

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Workhorse back returning punts? Did you ever find any of the other top 50 that were doing that? Oh, I did. I did. Yeah, none of them do that because that's weird. It's super weird. Yeah, I know. The only example is the what the, the Kyron Williams guy. Oh, it's him. Well, he hasn't done that yet. He did it last year. No, he didn't do it when he came in the season as a workhorse. He did it before he was a workhorse. He did it while he was a workhorse just for three weeks. Yes. And then they said, what do you think they said? Why did they stop? Why did they stop that?

66:24 ↗

because he got injured, not on a punt. Oh, and then he did it when he came back? You are setting this tower up mighty high, mighty high. I saw Jason's eyes when Blake Corum's line was given to him. That's all I'm saying. But not because of the punts. It all, it's a big mosaic of fear. Would you play Chiron or Jemir Gibbs in this game? That's an easy Jemir Gibbs. The lions have a really good rush defense. You have Aaron Donald. departing from the Rams. And so to me, I had Gibbs ahead of Kairn. I love both players, but the matchup is better for getting. Last year the Lions, their defense was almost deadlasting against quarterbacks and wide receivers. Is Matthew Stafford a sneaky start? Yeah. Yeah. I mean, I think you can easily start him this week. If you, you know, went late or.

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Joe Burrow, I think that's kind of the barometer, right? I can't wait for Sunday Live. It's going to be Joe Burrow versus the world. If something goes wrong in this game, what would your biggest fear be? I mean, my biggest fear is Kyron. My biggest fear is that Kyron is out there 55% of the snaps. That's a pretty good line normally. Yeah, it is, but that's not what Kyron has been and what he was drafted as. I don't expect him to be out there. 80% of the snaps like he was last year on occasion or 90% of the snaps like he was. But I still think he should be up there 65%. All right. Which is huge. And keep your eye. Look, I like nasty tight ends. I like talking about him. Yeah, you do. Keep your eyes on Colby Parkinson, who will be the starter for the Rams. Well, Tyler, I think, yeah. He got, the narrative is he got the money. He got the job. And he might get a touchdown. Higby has been.

68:22 ↗

passable as a fantasy type. I'm not going to lie to you, Mike. I will not keep my eyes on Colby Parkinson. There are too many important pieces on this Rams offense for me to look at. Jason got me. He got me back. And by passable, I was passing on Higby often. So that is a good point. New York, the Jets taking on the 49ers in San Francisco. New York, the Jets. Yeah. New York, comma, the Jets. Oh. Punctuation again. It matters. There's a long show. I don't have time for punctuation. 49ers are at home. They are favored by four and a half. D.K. has the overrunner at 43 and a half. We're back. Monday night football with Aaron Rogers. I believe the exact. Did you know this? I can't believe they did this. Kyle, give me the name of the defensive linemen that tore Aaron Rogers Achilles. Do you know it? No clue. Okay. Well, he plays for the 49ers now. Oh, man. I'm just saying. I'm just saying he's on the field again on Monday night football.

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Which is weird. It's just a weird coincidence. But we tried to enjoy this moment last year. This should be a great game. I mean, I feel like. Four and a half at home for the 49ers. That's not a lot. Every Jets fan in the world is going to be afraid the whole game. Like every play is going to be like, don't be afraid. Every play of every single game. Yeah. Aaron Rogers, the Garrett Wilson anticipation, it is there. We have waited so long. Are we going to get it on Monday night football? No. I mean, we're going to see Aaron Rogers, but I don't think it's going to be a good game. These are two great defenses. I don't think Aaron Rogers is the MVP he was three years ago and one Achilles ago. This season, sure, this week, I don't believe so. Okay, Mike, Breast Hall right now. The reception line for him is set at three and a half.

70:19 ↗

That's a tough line. Three and a half is a hearty line. If Breece Hall finishes with three receptions, you're still happy about that. You're happy. I personally think he will have more than three receptions. If you look at the 49ers last year, and we'll talk about this in a second, but they were beatable with running backs in the receiving game. Breece Hall last year, that was his calling card. And Aaron Rogers uses that. as a safety valve the way he did with Aaron Jones. I think it's going to come together for a decent game for breach. I have an important announcement to make, which is you just drafted your team and your team looks so pretty. And so you probably want to put- Mine looked better. You probably want to put Christian McCaffrey in your running back spot, and I'm reminding you right here right now. Do not do that. Yeah. Make sure McCaffrey's in your flex. Assuming you have another running back in your flex spot. Demote him. Because-

71:16 ↗

You need to go into Monday night football with McCaffrey and the flex and an emergency pivot option. Maybe it's Mike Williams. Or Jordan Mason. To be fair, if you've got Jordan Mason, you can have them in your running back spot. But I'm just trying to think, like, maybe it's even like maybe you're 95% confident in McCaffrey, but maybe you throw Tyler Conklin because that's the only option you got off the waiver wire onto your bench as an emergency because you can't, you got to play CMC if he's active. But if there's even a 1% chance he's not, you got to have a backup plan. So just be ready. Yeah, and this is, this is true of all the players in this game just has a reminder. I mean, Christian McCaffrey has an actual question mark next to him a little bit. But if you've got Debo or you got Iyuk or you've got Garrett Wilson, you know, those players should be in your flex. Guys just, guys pop up with hamstring injuries right now. Oh, T. All right. So, uh, any other.

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You know, the Iyuk, Debo, Kittle, McCaffrey distribution against the best defense against quarterbacks and wide receivers last year. It's not the best situation for them. Hope for the best, expect that at least one of those guys are going to have a devastating game. Yeah. So did we just do all the games? We did. We have one final thing that we're going to do here at the end of the show on Fridays, which is what we're calling the parley partay. Oh, yeah. And every Friday, we're going to create a three-leger over on Draft Kings. We're each choosing one leg. And based on the results, it's going to be, it's going to be crowns? We're going to be putting the crowns on or it's going to be clowns. So basically we're going to. Who's letting you down? If one of us lets the other two down, they're wearing the clown outfit. Yeah. Look, there could be three crowns. There could be three clowns. There could be. And so we each are. Not this week, though. We're each picking one that we like. I'm going James Connor, the overt.

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His line is set at 51 and a half. He averaged rushing yards. Correct. I love Michael Keith. Yes. Rushing yards. When Kyle, when Tyler returned, he was at 85 last year. I like the matchup against Buffalo. And he went over this line over six of eight weeks. Yeah, I'm a big fan of that one. Mine is what I just talked about. Breeze Hall over three and a half receptions. I think it happens. He averaged four and a half receptions per game last year. The 49ers allowed the sixth most receptions. two running backs last year, and Aaron Rogers is going to need that because of the pass rush and his limited mobility, he will be a safety valve. And I'm going on with Joshua Palmer over 47.5 receiving yards. Last year against Vegas, he hit this mark easily. Three for 77, four for 113. And that's when Joshua Palmer wasn't going into this season as the number one wide receiver for this team.

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So you can look for that parlay over on the Draft King's app. That was Fantasy Forecast, presented by Draft King Sportsbook. Download the Draft King Sportsbook app and use the code ballers. That is the code ballers. Get, uh, bet five dollars get 250. The crown is yours. Oh, I hope the crown's ours. We're going to wrap it up. We got Friday night football. We got Sunday morning. Don't forget join Mike on Sunday live and, uh, You can do that over on YouTube. So here we go. Enjoy the football. Here we go. Deep breaths, everyone. It's week one. You've been waiting forever. Enjoy it. Goodbye.

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