Fantasy Flops + Playoff Scenarios, Week 18 Motivation - Fantasy Football Podcast for 1/3

I would get $100. I believe that is correct. You're going to do it? I'm thinking about it. That's the risk reward that I like. I mean, goodness gracious. Nothing to gain everything to lose. Yeah. Yeah, that would be the worst feeling ever if, you know. Yeah. Just take a flat gimmie and what? All right. I am seeing there's, I think there's places you can get in for like minus 6,000. Jay, if you want in on that. I'm going to still avoid that. I would look more at whatever that means for DACs upside. Yeah, what do we have on the draft King's sports book? 20,000 for Lamar, the next highest DAC, the next highest Purdy, the next highest Josh Allen. It is done. And the Rams can move between the number six and seven seed. I don't know how much that's going to change the way that they utilize their players. It is interesting. The 49ers are favored by three and a half still against the Rams.

49ers have nothing to play for. I think that that's because they're anticipating that Sean McVeigh will also... He'll also sit people. Be willing to sit people. Yeah, I guess... And I don't know what... Kyle, do you know what would define the six and seven movement? Because perhaps that is unlikely for them to move to seven based on the game lines that would make that happen. And McVey's sat people in the past. He's played them in the past. You know, I don't know how much Cooper Cup you see this week with how he's been banged up. So that's kind of the, those are the clinched or little or nothing to gain scenarios. So to me that Vegas line says that they believe both teams aren't really going to be doing a lot. And then they give Arizona or San Francisco the nod. So for fantasy purposes here, we talked about the Ravens, Chiefs, Browns, 49ers, and Rams. Are you?

confidently able to start any of the, like Kyron Williams. Elijah Mitchell, yes. For sure. Elijah Mitchell, yes. When a backup gets to be thrust into a great position, he's wonderful. But from those teams, is there, like Kyron is, Kyron and Puka, how do you not play them? Yeah, I mean, I'd be trying to move away from them. Yeah. Into a new league that doesn't play this week. So I'm looking at it. It seems like if the, if the Rams. lose and Green Bay wins. Am I right on that Kyle? They slip to the seven. Yeah, they'll go seven. Which, yeah, I mean, that's not a guarantee for sure. I mean, the Bears have been playing great. Teams fighting for playoff seeding division titles in the AFC, Jacksonville. This is what we want. Jacksonville plays Tennessee. So is this correct? They become AFC South champs and the four seed with a win over Tennessee. So they are highly motivated. Yeah, get that home game.

in a winnable matchup or leave the playoffs. They are eliminated with a loss. Yeah, that's what you want. Same with the bills. The bills are battling for the AFC East title. They can fall from the two to a six seed. The dolphins can, and the bills can be eliminated with a loss depending on other outcomes. So the bills are playing for the lives. And then two to six, that's big for the dolphins. Yeah, you play your starters. Like you play to win. Yeah, these are two playoff type matchups where it's in Miami as well. More so the Bill's Dolphins game is more playoff-like than because Tennessee is not really playing for much other than to play spoiler. But yeah, you want players in these games. The Cowboys on the NFC side can secure the NFC East title with a win. So the Cardinals doing the Cowboys' favors last week. After the Cardinals.

Did the Cowboys no favors and beat them? I guess having a coach that was in that division makes it different. It does, except for when you play the Manders. Yeah, the Eagles can get the number two seed if they win and the Cowboys lose. They play New York. Yeah, and both Dallas and Philly games are in the later window. So they won't necessarily know, at least until the towards the end of a game, whether they need a win or not. The Lions currently the number three seed can move to the number two with a win and losses by the Eagles and Cowboys, which that's long odds. So he will be playing his starters. Dan Campbell came out and said that. Did you guys see the, um, the, um, the, you know, rest is the memo. Did you see the memo that the league put out regarding eligible receivers? I didn't see that. It actually, um, I mean, it kind of, it kind of persuaded me that the, that the referees were in the right in that game.

Really? What did it say? It said that the guy shouted he's eligible from super far away. No, I mean, if you go and you watch what transpired, number 70 ran in on the field and, you know, the referee actually announced number 70 at the game over the loudspeaker. You can hear it. And then number 70 was covered up, which when you cover up the eligible receiver on the end of the line, that makes it an illegal formation, which is the penalty. which was one of the penalties called on that along with illegal touching on 68. And the league sent out this memo and it spells it all out like it shows every angle of it like it, I don't know. I mean, you could argue that it was pretty obvious to me. You could argue that when the team, if the lines were paying attention listened to the incorrect eligibility call that they should have.

Which is the rule. The rule is if what the league, what the players call out, you have to go with that. What, you know, what the referees call out, you have to go with that. Right, but that's the mistake, right? Is that he called out the wrong number? Uh, debatable, yeah. Yeah, alleged. Debatable. I mean, it's hard because 70 was running in on the field and yelling at the referee at the same time. Yeah. They, they were intentionally, like, it was smart of the trying to. confuse the other team of having multiple people over by the ref of it's not just the one player walking over saying I'm eligible okay well key in on him but then you end up confusing the refs with your confusion tactics uh but I mean look the if you listen to Dan Campbell he's moved on he said you know like we don't sit we don't wallow in that nobody else is going to do it we're going to go play hard we're going to win so he says he's going to play his players that's great

And then you have teams fighting for playoffs spots that we're going to lay out for you as well. Texans versus the Colts. The winner of the game is in the playoffs. The loser is eliminated. This is a playoff game. That's what I was saying earlier. Like there's no game I want players in more than the Texans Colts. This is legit Saturday evening. Identical to a playoff game. Yeah. And it's even close to a toss up from a game line perspective. Steelers, they have to win and have. either the Jacksonville Jaguars or the Bills lose. That's... Oh, man. Not likely, but Tomlin is magical. I don't think it can happen. I just don't think Jacksonville is going to lose to Tennessee. That's the one I think. And I don't think... I don't think Buffalo is going to lose to Miami either. I don't think so. They're not going to have Waddle and that offense. And we'll see. You're right. It could happen. Either way, he's got a winning record. They're going to win because they're playing Baltimore.

Yeah, Pittsburgh's favorite. So if there's any question of like, oh, Harbaugh hasn't decided what he's going to do. Yes, he has. Pittsburgh's favorite. And then the Buccaneers on the NFC side, if they win at Carolina, they're the number four seat in the NFC South champions. They are eliminated if they lose that ball game. Oh, my gosh. Now, I did have a dream last night. Oh, okay. That Bryce Young was eviscerating some sort of defense. Wow. He was just. Dot after, dot after dot. People might have to play Bryce Young this week against that matchup, considering all the quarterbacks that will be benched. It will be the first time this year, probably. The Falcon Saints game, if the Bucks happen to lose, the winner of the Falcon Saints ends up NFC South champions, are those games at the same time? Is the Atlanta? Yeah, they are. They are at the same time. The league's pretty good at best time. So they will be playing that game with all their heart and all their soul and probably for nothing.

Well, yeah, three teams are really, truly playing for the division title in their minds. We need the Bucks of the Saints to do this. We cannot let Arthur into the playoffs at 8 and 9. That's a travesty. I saw a tweet this morning from Chris Harris that mentioned the Falcons or the top 10 pick are going to have an opportunity to do something very funny, which is to draft Brock Bowers. Because Brock Bowers tied in from Georgia. Probably going to be one of the higher drafted tight ends in history. And I was like, that's a funny idea. Four straight, four straight offensive players. He could be the tight-in three on the Falcons behind Pitts and Johnny. I hear he's a good blocker. Oh, gosh. Oh, gosh. And then the Packers, if they win, they're in. They play Chicago, though. They are favored, but Chicago's been on fire. And Chicago would love.

Oh, yeah. Nothing more. Oh, yeah. That's the rivalry. I have learned this from Owl, Mr. Packerman, that the rivalry within that division is purely the Bears Packers. That's the hatred, you know, between them. So the Bears are definitely going to come to play. Didn't the Packers get eliminated last year by the Detroit Lions in the final game of the year? I believe that is what happened. I'm looking over at Al, Al. Can you confirm that for me? I cannot. I don't know for sure. That sounds right to me. So they have a chance to get bounced in the last game of the year twice. I hope that the Packers make the playoffs, just because Aaron Rogers couldn't do it in a full season last year. And if Jordan Love does it in his first full season, I like that chaos. Seattle, very motivated. They have to beat Arizona, but then the Packers, if they lose to the Bears, Seattle's in. And then the Vikings need to win.

And have lots of other help. And they play Detroit. And Detroit's playing their starter. So it's not. It's for the like Minnesota. Minnesota. Minnesota is my number two team. I love the Vikings. You need to lose this. Like you need you need you need to not make the playoffs. They are they're not going to get through and you are just sacrificing a large draft pick swap. Detroit knocked out the Packers in the final game last year. Yeah. So another divisional chance for Justin Fields and company. And I think Chicago wins the game. I think Seattle makes a playoff. Well, this is super important. If you're playing this week, if your championship is in week 18, everything we just said is super important because there's going to be motivation means everything in week 18. Obviously, we went through that pretty quick. There's a great article we have on the website, fancy footballers.com.

just written up by Matthew Betts, just goes team by team. So you can reference it as you're making your start-sit decisions as you're looking at waiver pickups. It's exceptionally important in Week 18. All right. We got some mailbag to jump into, Bruxie. Let's do it. Mailbag. Chambership? Oh, yeah. I have, I forgot to tell you. You're looking great, champ. Yeah, you're looking nice, champ. Thank you. Yeah. Thank you. Thank you. Say you soon. Lower your chair even more. I don't want to see you. I don't want to see you at all. This is a champs only table. Oh, man. You guys are the worst. You got a long time to deal with this. Yeah, I know. I know. Just 364 more, Jay. Oh, man. All right. The first question from Holden on the website, how, or now that the off season for you guys is starting up, what is something you look forward to? Is it family time, vacation, hobbies? I've always wondered. Sure, it's a good question.

The off season, there are definitely fewer episodes of the fantasy footballers podcast, but there are still plenty of recordings and things and working on the Dynasty Pass. I'm super excited to jump into that. We're in prospect season. That's kind of like the big work project. But then, you know, for- Yeah, the UDK starts pre-selling on Super Bowl Sunday and the Dynasty Pass is available instantly. So we jump in there for sure. We're two shows a week on the main pod. Hobbies is I always pretend I'm going to do something real big. Yeah. Like the off-season's here. What's my project this off-season? Yeah. And then I'll take some naps. Yeah, very nice. I'll play some pickleball. And then the season will start and I'll go, dang it. I did it again. I didn't build that. Yeah, I didn't build a tree house. Yeah. I'm looking forward to cruises. That's what I like to do. So you're looking for vacation. Yeah, I want, I want vacations. But yeah, I mean, seriously.

I am really excited to start prospect scouting here soon. Felicia Johnson on IG says, what did you all think of the college football playoff games? Who's going to win the championship? Both games are incredible. There was a lot of big Pinox energy. Yeah, that's right. You just hear the first. No, I did. No, I saw it. I saw it. That was incredible. But, you know, the Michigan game is the one I watched more of. It's going to be nonstop in the NFL. Oh, no. Oh, no. We're going to have to say Peanicks. Yeah. All the time. Yeah. I've put a. Phoenix mightier. I've got like the chart, you know, of who screws it up first? Oh, for, for. Yeah, yeah, yeah. On the air.

Yeah, so we'll put a pool together because it's going to happen. Oh, for sure. But it's. Or you just say it normal and then we think you didn't. Yeah. That's the. I won't ever say it. Yeah, you'd be like Michael. Yeah. So that quarterback Michael. Yeah, Mike Pete. But the games, the games are great. I mean, I don't know how you don't pick Michigan. The Michigan game was the one I watched more of an I. I couldn't help. Even when things were going their way at the end, I was like, Alabama's going to find a way to win it. They always do. It's always exciting. Did you see John Harbaugh's parents, the interview? I did not. Oh, my gosh. You have to go look that up. It's so funny. I mean, they're old. They're very old. Be like in their late 80s, 90s. I mean, first of all, their father, the Harbaugh's dad, looks just exactly like them. I mean, it is just.

A spitting image. Is they wearing like some khakis? I mean, their level of excitement for their son winning that game in Michigan, obviously. The interview is just wonderful. Yeah, Jack Harbaugh and his wife. You got to go watch it because it's just, it's just what sports is all about. It's spectacular. But yeah, I like Michigan in that game, but both games were amazing. They were. And thank goodness Florida State wasn't in them. Oh my gosh. I just, I pulled up this. Yes, no joke. I just pulled it up and I cannot believe how much this looks like Harbaugh. If you just put an age filter on either of the suns, it would instantly become Jack Carbone. 100%. Incredible work with your jeans, Jack. So are you guys all on the Michigan side? I want to see Michigan win. I do. Yeah, me too. I'm surprised that you don't have like some Pac-12 going out loyalty. Pac-12 is going out. That's why I don't care.

I'm actually on the opposite side of that. I don't want to see the Pact 12 win when it's not ASU, which who will never win. There's no divisions anymore, man. There's no nothing but money, just money. Yep. Is it Arch Manning's making 2.8 million and NIL money? And Brock Purdy's making 800K. Yeah. Are we going to start to see NFL players going back to college? Can we go backwards? Oh, man. If you have eligibility, you can, right? No, once you declare pro, you're done. Once you're in the draft, you're done. Oh, darn. That would be awesome. Just Michigan being like. What if an NIL deal comes to a guy that's about to walk on stage at the NFL? Can you turn around and run out the building? I don't know. He is left. He is not accepting a third round draft pick. All right. Here's a good question. IG question. How would you handle payment if your co-manager didn't contribute all year and you ended up winning?

Well, you want to know if you can have all the winnings, huh? Oh, that's funny. Oh, my gosh. I would hope that you had some kind of understanding going into the season. Like, oh, we're splitting or. You had a chance to boot disco manager when you weren't the winner. I would give, you know, here's what I'd do. Let's say you want $1,000. Okay. You give them a hundred bucks. Yeah. Okay. So you know what I mean? You go. Here you go. Thank you for following my coattails. Enjoy it. Hey, be generous. Yeah, 10%. Yeah. Now, Jason, I did catch you on Twitter this morning. Somebody's asking what the etiquette is for kind of league dues and things of that nature because a lot of people get stuck winning leagues, not collecting. Yeah. If you're in a paid league, you really, really, really want to make sure you're set up. There's tons of places you could do it, but you set up and you collect dues at the beginning of the season and you put it in an escrow.

Was it League Safe? Is that? Yeah, I believe that's Chartian. Yeah. So League Safe is one of, I'm sure, several options, but it just makes it to where there's no questions. There's no, oh, life changed for this guy through the course of the season. He can't pay his dues. It's like when you start the league, you buy in. Yeah. And then it's in an escrow. And then there's no guilt. There's no. awkward conversations at the end of the year, it just pays out. I think that's the fundamental thing. You just have to collect dues from everybody at the beginning no matter what. And if you don't pay, you don't play. Yeah. It's not complicated. Yeah. I mean, it can be because it's like when you're playing with your buddies and they're like, well, I can't do it right now. It's sorry, man. Yeah, well, it's also complicated if the commission is the one just collecting the dues at the beginning and then pocketing it and then being like, well, at the end of the year, I'll pay it out. I'll hold on to this.

I won't spend this. I'll keep a real safe. I want you to try this whole not paying up front thing when you go to the NFL game and you're at the front ticket. I'll pay you later. You don't get to watch. One, where's the dues? Well, it was collected by Red in Las Vegas. By Red. All right. We got one more. Is there one that you really want to answer here, Brooks? You have a favorite? This question from IG, we'll go here. Dynasty 1 on CMC since we talked about long-term value. Do I finally sell CMC this off season or do I ride it until the wheels fall off? Look, I almost made a brutal mistake this last offseason in Dynasty. I tried to sell CMC. I was rejected mercifully by an idiot.

And had I done it, I would have regretted it immensely. Yeah. What was the trade? I don't even want to talk about it. I don't want to talk about it. Yeah, I remember it. I remember it. But it's so embarrassing at this point because. It was Damien Pierce. It was like a first round pick and Damian Pierce or first and a second of Damian Pierce. Something like that. An instant loss for Andy had he made the trade. I mean, it would have been devastating. And at that time, it was like, oh, you know, who do I believe in right now? And I need to get some draft capital. Maybe I rebuild my team.

It would have been a mistake. And look, CMC has missed zero games since being a member of the 49ers. He's on the best offense with the best coach and the best situation with no perceivable age-related decline of any kind with tons of money invested into him. There's no way CMC is not great next. He's got a great contract situation where you're going to rely on him. Anyone can get injured. CMC has been injured in the past. But if you want to rely on someone, he is a... freakazoid when it comes to physical fitness physical fitness help there's a reason he's able to do what he's able to do i mean everyone obviously in the NFL's working out and straight training and but he takes it to a different level that is why he's able to continue going so i'm i'm going to hold on to him i'm going to write him there was uh we had a new dynasty episode drop today and we do talk a little bit about running backs and the very frequently the advice is be willing to trade running backs

a year early and just watch them be great on someone else's team. Christian McCaffrey is an outlier. I will go, I will just let, I will let the fire burn down to just the embers and then the ashes and nothing left of McCaffrey because. Then you'll have a ceremony. Yeah. And I will, celebrating the championships. Right. And because there could be multiple. Like if Christian McCaffrey is anything close to this for two years, I mean, that's. What was the stat was over 50% of people in their league championship had Christian McCaffrey. That the record show that the consensus, like all of the industry, had Damian Pierce at 13 in dynasty rankings at running back. It is not what we think of it now. Okay. The community was very excited for Damian Pierce. Was it a Singletary a one-year deal? That I don't remember. What I remember is the off-season.

the hoodwinking that we all got from the Houston Texans where they led us all to believe that not only is Damian Pierce their guy, he is a three down running back. Like this is the Texans. This is on them. Yeah. Singletary is a one year deal. All right. Well, that'll do it for today's show. We got tomorrow start to the week. Matchup previews for week 18. We will do our best. Yeah. Yeah, you guys will. I won't be here tomorrow. I'll be here on Friday, though. I'll be here on Friday to take a record setting fourth wheel of Shane. Oh, the quadro. A record tying. Oh, really? For myself? Yeah. Remember we had the Scepter with the four? We found it. So we'll do something special, especially since you guys are champs. And I am a loser. But I won this one. So we'll see. Great.

Looking forward to it so much. Last chance to head to Footclane giveaway.com. We're giving away a sign Travis CTN jersey and a bunch of swag. And again, shopballers.com for your title gear. That'll do it for today's show. Thank you for joining us. Back tomorrow with another one. Goodbye. Have a good day, everybody. Goodbye. Thank you for listening to another episode of the Fantasy Footballers podcast. Join our fantasy football community on Jointhefoot.com. And follow us on Twitter. at the FF Ballers.