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Main show · September 7, 2018

Week 1 Matchups, In-or-Out, Upset of the Week

RSSSep 7, 2018 · transcript indexed
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Week 1 Matchups, In-or-Out, Upset of the Week

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Inside the episode

140 passages
40:49 ↗

Okay. What I'm watching for for the Cowboys on top of the wide receivers, the tight end. What happened? Yeah, Dak Prescott went short very frequently to Jason Witten. So which one of these Cowboys tight ends will actually emerge as the go-to for Dak? Because I firmly believe that somebody will.

41:13 ↗

and then they'll become a go-to. Yeah, someone will become a go-to, and they're going to get 80 targets. And we still don't know what's going to happen with Keel and Cole and Tavern Austin. There are so many, we're so many mediocre options for Dallas. I can't wait. Keel and Cole? You did not mean to say Keel and Cole. Obviously, I meant to say Cole Beasley. Cole Beasley. You went Wheel of Fortune there. Yes. I got the, I got the half the name right. So I stand by it. Thank you, Brooks. The Seahawks take on the Broncos in Denver.

41:43 ↗

Broncos are three-point favorites, 42.5 point over under. We just talked about Chris Carson, Rashad Penny. The batfield in Seattle has their work cut out for them. Now, people, they want to come out and they say, look, the Broncos, if you're going to beat them, are you going to beat them on the ground? Nope. Are you going to beat them in the air? Nope. How are you going to beat them? The way to beat Denver last year was...

42:10 ↗

simply outlasting they're completely inept often. That's how you beat the Broncos last year. It's true. That's not going to happen this year. The Broncos are going to be an extremely good team. Case Keenham is a more than capable quarterback. He's at home. He's favored against the team that they are not defensively what they were last year. Case Keenum is interesting to me as if you are scraping the bottom of the barrel.

42:39 ↗

for looking for a start. Maybe you're looking for a more like a DFS start, but Case Keenham with with, with Demarius Thomas, with Emmanuel Sanders. It's very intriguing to me. If he ends up in the top 15, I will not be surprised at all. I don't want to underestimate Seattle's defense. Especially now that Earl Thomas has reported. I would take the under in this game.

43:03 ↗

I think it's still going to be a learning process for Case Keenum. You've got your first live snaps in a game that matters with Thomas and Sanders and Sutton. The weapons are there. But this is game one. So I wouldn't touch a new quarterback like Keenom in this situation, just like I don't want to touch Alex Smith this week. That's my personal take. I'm looking at Jake Butt. And I cannot lie. I want to see what he does. I want to see what Case Keenom. But you're not starting. No, no, no. I'm looking at him. I'm just checking it. He's walking by. He's just admiring him.

43:33 ↗

Yeah, Samsonite. Let's go to the... Well, you can't. Come on. You can't skip over Royce Freeman. No, no. I'm... Okay. All right. Let's stay there. Start him. I agree. Thanks, Mike. Start him. No, I agree. And the thing is, is we've got a new start-sit tool and we could see who people are having their decisions over. And Royce Freeman is one of the most common guys search. Should I play Royce Freeman or this guy? Royce Freeman or this guy. And Royce Freeman is, I think, a good option this week. I agree with Andy. I don't want...

44:03 ↗

I've kind of been writing off the Seahawks defense to a, I think to an egregious level because they have lost so many pieces. But with Earl Thomas coming back, they're going to be able to scheme things up a little bit more. And, you know, that being said, Royce Freeman's a good player. And he's now the starter, and I would be 100% fine playing him. Royce Freeman or Derek Henry. Derek Henry.

44:33 ↗

I'll go Royce Freeman. Royce Freeman or Marshawn Lynch. I'll take Marsha. I'm going to go Freeman there. All right. Last one. Marshawn. I apologize. Royce Freeman or Carlos Hyde. I'll take Hyde. This is the fun of you can go use the Sarsit tool. Yeah. You can ask any question you want for as long as you want. Demeris Thomas Emmanuel Sanders. People want to know your confidence level on starting them in this game.

45:03 ↗

It's pretty strong. Yeah. For both? Both guys are what? Wide receiver twos? Yes. Two with one upside. All right, the Bears, take on the Packers in Green Bay, Sunday night football. Mitch Trubisky. Nobody beats him. Nobody beats Mitch. Jordan Howard, Mike. He's the pump the brakes this week. If you look back last year, Jordan Howard.

45:27 ↗

averaged about 52 yards on the ground, I believe, against the Green Bay Packers. He did score in one of those games, and a rushing touchdown solves all things. Just ask Jay J. Ajari. But that's my concern with Jordan Howard is that the Packers can, they can stop the run. Their secondary is much better, and then GameScript might. Not might. GameScript is going to be against Jordan Howard. The,

45:53 ↗

The only counterpoint I would say to that is that Jordan Howard is a must start. I mean, I agree that you can temperate expectations, but I don't want people to hear what you're not saying. Jordan Howard is a guy that, look, this is a new revamped Chicago Bears offense, and yes, Green Bay looked better in preseason with their defense, but they're not some defense that you should be scared of. The game script may be, you know, if Green Bay gets. Jordan Howard, his pump the brakes on Howard.

46:22 ↗

translates to a trade target in week two. That's what it translates to. Sure. I don't think anybody can sit him. I wouldn't sit him. I don't even agree with him. I think he's going to be great. I've got him as my number 13 running back this week. So I'm pretty confident. I mean, he's one of my guys. One of the players we haven't talked about is Alan Robinson. We haven't got to see a lot of him. It's because it's impossible to talk about him. He just seems like he's been drafted. He's just drafted in a certain place. He's the shadow. Yeah. I don't.

46:51 ↗

What are you doing, Alan Robinson? Are you good? Are you bad? Guess we're going to find out. Are you going to be involved? Not are you, but how involved are you going to dominate? Are you going to get a 25% target share from Chibisky?

47:05 ↗

There are so many questions about Alan Robinson. And that's why his draft price has been so ambiguous over the off season. He's a guy that you're going to start in week one. This is not a very bad matchup for him. And if you believe what you believe with the game script where the points are going to be coming for Green Bay, they're going to need to throw the ball. I think Alan Robinson, I see him as a wide receiver too. I see him right where his draft stock was coming into this week. So I'm fine there. And I'm really excited. The player I'm most excited.

47:35 ↗

for in this entire matchup is certainly Trey Burton. This is where we get to see all the projections of he's going to be the past catching tight end. Maybe Alan Robinson isn't as great as he was several years ago. And I think Trey Burton is very involved and has a great week. It will be very interesting to see Kaleel Mack's impact on the rushing defense for the defense as a whole. Well, the defense as a whole, but specifically the Bears struggled.

48:04 ↗

in the places that the Packers were great last year. The Packers could run the ball up the middle last year. It didn't matter what running back was there. And the Bears gave it up in the middle of the defensive front. And that'll be the test this week because Jamal Williams, he's primed to have a good game. Aaron Jones is out. He's a strong start. I agree with you on that. I don't think people know what to do with Time Montgomery or Randolph. Are they stash or trash to you? They're stash.

48:32 ↗

Both of them. Randolph can be a flex. Yeah, both of them are. And the last thing I want to say on Alan Robinson is get ready. I don't think any other player in the NFL will have the biggest swing of opinion. This is where we're going to set the baseline for Alan Robinson. If he has a bad game, people are going to write him off for at least half of the fantasy season. If he has a great game, he's going to be the new hotness. He's going to be the new hotness. And everyone's going to want him.

49:02 ↗

and he's going to be completely overvalued. So make sure you stay temperate no matter what Allen and Robinson does this week. Keep your head. Keep your head. When the shadow emerges, just be ready. The shadow knows. Hey guys, how about two games on Monday night this week? Don't you double up? You want to double up? Double up. Double up.

49:24 ↗

No one gave it to me. I did it. I was waiting for Jason. Jason gave me a silent double head nod. You're welcome and you've got to go to the YouTube to check that one out. The Jets and Lions, the Rams and Raiders on Monday Night Football will start with the Jets and Lions. Sam Darnel gets to make his debut on Monday night football. I'm excited for this game. I think that the Jets are the second best team in that division, which is saying almost nothing. However, Darnel.

49:53 ↗

Crowell, prior, all new faces to this Jets offense going against a Detroit team that I think we're expecting big things from Matthew Stafford. We expect consistency from Golden Tate and Marvin Jones, but there are question marks on both of these rosters. Who do you feel most confident and who are you watching for? I feel very confident in all of the past catching options for Detroit. I love Matthew Stafford.

50:23 ↗

um golden tate marvin jones i think that they're going to have a good game you know you you know i see detroit winning this game easily and a lot of times you go well then that's that's more of the running game but you get there in the first half having beat them through the air that on the on the jet side the guy that i'm actually most confident in and it might surprise you but i'm most confident in belal pow i think that if if i don't hate it if the detroit lions are out who's that again blow plow plow

50:53 ↗

If the Detroit Lions do get out to a lead and they try to le Garrett Blunt their way in the second half, you're going to need a dink and dunk with, you know, Sam Darnold. And that probably will be Belal Powell on the field, not Isaiah Crowell. So I'm curious about Crowell, but I would start Belal Powell over Crowell. That's not to say I think he will definitely finish higher, but I worry about the floor of Crowell.

51:18 ↗

It's going to be interesting. Bilal Powell's certainly been one of the more trending names, trending ads. The vibes around Bilal are all positive right now. I'm curious to see how much the Jets commit to Crowell in game one. I think that's going to be, look, it's kind of an Ajay Clement situation here where, you know, or Sproles, where what's Powell's role going to be? You know, Elijah McGuire was supposed to have a big role in this backfield. He's gone.

51:46 ↗

He's on the IR. And Powell is reliable, but not often flashy. So it will be interesting to see. I'm with you. Heat check on Robbie Anderson. You starting him in this game? I'm hoping to not. I want to see. You're doing what you can not to. I want to see.

52:03 ↗

what Sam Darnold's tendencies are and who his go-to guy is, you just don't know yet. You've never seen an NFL game with him. So if you can sit Robbie Anderson, if you drafted Terrell Pryor or Quincy and Noon, I do not want to start any of the past catching options for the Jets. I'm with Jason. The only, I mean, I guess maybe you'll start Crowell, but I'm with Jason. But my confidence in the Jets for fantasy is Bilal Powell this week. Can you play LaGarrett Blunt? No.

52:32 ↗

No, I mean, you can physically. You can click that button, but I've set up some scripts to my computer that make it very hard. You have to, like, hold three keys down and push the button to get him in the lineup. I'm not doing it. And we haven't even mentioned one of my my guys, Carry on Johnson, who, look, I think he's a great player. I think he will win out. If he ends up having a good game, I won't be surprised. But he's on all of my benches this week. I believe it will take several weeks before he.

53:02 ↗

takes over in the touches category. So many benches. So many. The thing about carry-on is I was getting a lot of reports from people on Twitter jumping in the timeline saying carry-on is getting dropped. So I know that sounds egregious to the majority of people, but if you're listening to this podcast, just give your wavewire a little peek and see if carry-on happens to be there. Yeah, no, that's a fair point. Rams, Raiders, last year.

53:31 ↗

The Rams set the world on fire. 122 rushing yards a game, 239 passing yards a game. Jared Goff was 10th among quarterbacks in fantasy points per game, and the Raiders gave him up. The Raiders no longer have Khalil Mack, but it is the debut of their new head coach. But they got a lot of old guys. Well, look, again, the Raiders are very similar, I feel like, to the Seahawks in as much as...

54:01 ↗

there's a mood at least in this studio there seems to be a gruden mood at least emanating from mostly mike and jason puts off a lot of heat so i feel some gruden mood over there um it's my gruden moodin i am not i am not on board with you guys on that of our anti i'm not anti grudin i'm not anti grudin i'm anti all son foil and he's fun to talk about and he's fun to make fun of

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