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Main show · October 20, 2016

Fantasy Football Podcast 2016 - Starts of the Week, Week 7 Matchups, News

RSSOct 20, 2016 · transcript indexed
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Fantasy Football Podcast 2016 - Starts of the Week, Week 7 Matchups, News

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Inside the episode

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13:37 ↗

correlate though. Sure, sure. Doesn't look promising considering he's missing the next several weeks. Yeah, not likely. So let's speak to that real quick. Ty Montgomery looks to be the man that will receive the carries in lieu of Eddie Lacey, James Starks being out, reports this morning said that he is likely to get the majority of running back reps. That doesn't necessarily mean he will get a ton of carries, but you'll get the opportunity to see him come out of the backfield with the ball like he did last year or last week. And so we're going to talk about him more.

14:06 ↗

coming out. Yeah, who we're not, do we want to talk right now about the Don Jackson, Niles Davis cluster? Because here's a reality. We have no idea who it's going to be right now in practice. Nile Davis has been working with the scout team. We don't know if he's going to be active. I'm not even sure if Don Jackson's actually been promoted to the active roster right now. We have no idea who it's going to be. But in my opinion,

14:35 ↗

this early and a subject to change, I feel like they're basically what they're saying is they're going into this next game without a running back. Yeah. And so, and they're fine with that. Ty Montgomery caught 10 passes last week because he was lined up as a running back, just went out for those little screens. That was how they ran the ball. This is a part of the reason why I actually like Aaron Rogers this week, despite his massive struggles over the last year and a half. There is no problem, and this isn't unprecedented. We just don't talk about it. I mean, when Lagart Blunt's hurt.

15:05 ↗

And all they have is Brandon Bolden and James White. It's the same circumstance in New England. I mean, James White will get two or three carries and everything else is past catching. Montgomery and Randall Cobb can take snaps behind Aaron Rogers in the backfield. So this is something that, yeah, no, you don't get to play somebody in your RB spot. That's for sure. You don't get to throw Montgomery into your RB spot. So we'll move on. Chip Kelly says 49ers will use a rotation with Carlos Hyde now being out with the shoulder injury.

15:34 ↗

But they only think one game. They only think he's going to miss one game. So do you roll the dice with them, Davis? If you're, maybe your league is very deep and you're desperate. Davis or Aziata? I think I would roll Mike Davis in that situation. Yeah. Do you think Sean Drone gets work? Yeah, I mean, he's talking about the rotation. Those are the two guys that they're going to be rotating between Mike Davis and Sean Drone. We saw the previous week before.

16:01 ↗

before the official injury to Carlos Hyde that Davis was already getting more work, so I feel like he's earning the trust. Sean Drone's usage has gone down and down. So I expect that if they use a rotation, it's going to be predominantly Mike Davis. I do not want to linger on practice reports of 50 players today when we have an in-and-out segment tomorrow on the show that we will cover all these guys. I will mention one more brief piece of news. Tyler Eiford did practice.

16:31 ↗

He, you know, assuming he doesn't have a setback, it's looking okay. So we'll have more information on that tomorrow as well. I think we're going to move on to the forecast. Fantasy forecast. We'll kick it off with updates to the Thursday night game, which is the Bears at the Packers tonight. Kadim Carey is questionable for Thursday with the hamstring injury. I, you know, short week.

17:00 ↗

Dealing with the hamstring, not sure how much work he's going to get. Eddie Royal is out on Thursday night, and Zach Miller is expected to play despite his questionable tag. Anything else you guys think is worth mentioning? Devante Adams is questionable as well. The only thing I would say, I'm not saying to pick this guy up. I wouldn't, but we should just keep an eye out for the possibility, and as much as I hate to say it. He's going to say.

17:30 ↗

Jeff Janice. Woo! Man, because if Devante Adams is out, I think Janice takes that role. Jordy Nelson doesn't look like he's able to create separation and get down the field deep. If Janice could do that, maybe that helps cure some of the ails of Aaron Rogers. Again, I'm not saying pick him up. I'm just saying pay attention to him tonight. If you watch the game, keep your eyes on him. See if he's the guy that fills that slot. Am I wrong? Does Jared Aberderas come in and take that, you know, just keep your eyes open.

17:58 ↗

A reminder, teams on by this week, Carolina and Dallas, and you have the week eight and week nine. Big boy buys. Big boy buys. Baltimore, Los Angeles, Miami, New York, Pittsburgh, and San Francisco coming up in week eight. So prepare yourself for biopocalypse. We're jumping into the matchups. Let's talk London, the Giants and the Rams. You saw Eli Manning put up a better performance last week. Thank you, Odell Beckham, Jr. Yeah.

18:28 ↗

What do you do at the running back position for the Giants in this matchup? If you're going to play anybody, you play Rashad Jennings. He's back. He was catching some passes. It's a tough matchup against the Rams. But I think he's like a running back three. Playable. Playable, but I'm not excited about it. Yeah, Bobby Rainey's been a little bit involved in weeks past. He's kind of pushed out of contention in fantasy leagues now.

18:58 ↗

You got Beckham, you got Shepard and Cruz. Shepard slowed down a little bit. What is your long-term view of Shepard? Should he be owned still? I mean, is he a flex play in this matchup? Maybe a flex play at the most. He's a dropable guy, in my opinion. We've seen it with these rookies now. Shepard, Tage Sharp. They flashed when there was no tape on them. Players didn't know how.

19:28 ↗

their tendencies they didn't know how to defend them and now the now that NFL coaches are able to prepare for these guys they're getting shut down the big thing about Eli and we mentioned this on the show earlier in the week when Mike had the game for us you know he's averaged 298 passing yards per game so the distribution's there but the touchdowns hadn't been there so it still seems like there's going to be a

19:52 ↗

a wide receiver too but is it shepherd a cruise in each matchup is kind of the situation so let me bring up the wide receivers on the ram side of things kinney britt was uh the raising kings rising star of the week for jason is that correct uh yes i think he's been uh

20:08 ↗

You know, he has enough volume on the season to be able to trust him a little bit. Now, the Giants went out. They signed a corner this offseason. He's been doing very good. And so I don't expect a huge game from Britt here. But I think he's got a safe, like, you know, I don't think he's going to go out and put up three for 36 the way that, say, across the field that I very much could see from either Cruz or Shepard. So if you just need kind of a somewhat safe.

20:38 ↗

six to eight points in standard, then okay. But I'm not super excited about this specific matchup. I think the bright lights of being in London. Also, this is not at Wembley. We've talked in the past about how bad that field is in Wembley. This is not there. So this is a much better. Well, it's unknown. I guess that's true. We haven't, we haven't seen. We have to assume it's better than Wembley. It's certainly got to be better than the field at Wembley.

21:07 ↗

Is this line correct? What is the line in this game? It's minus three. Minus three. Yeah, I have the Giants minus three. Well, the other thing I looked at said minus eight. I think that that's wrong. It's the Giants minus three, 44.5 point over under. Any other, you know, you're starting girly. Okay. I wanted to say this from last week, because we obviously have to go through all these matchups, and we do that in a way that we try to prioritize your fantasy decisions.

21:37 ↗

nobody's sitting Todd Gurley. No. And so we'll try to make sure we mention, you know, these names and say, okay, you're starting Gurley. But if we ignore a player, it's normally not an argument. The number one quarterback or wide receiver for a team. That's because we already know what you're, you already know what you're doing with them. You're starting. The Browns take on the Bengals this week. This is, you know, in Cincinnati, 45 and a half point over under.

22:05 ↗

I have a question for you guys. I mean, what do you do if Pryor sits on the Cleveland side? Do you, is there somebody that you could throw a dart at at the wide receiver core to give you production? I mean, I know you're going to say Barnage is going to receive those target share, and I think that's true. But, I mean, do you do anything at the wide receiver position? I mean, Lewis or Hawkins. The truth is that Ricardo. You think it's Ricardo. Yeah, that's what I would do too. Yeah, I lean towards Hawkins personally.

22:35 ↗

I'm not going to start any of those guys. If Pryor is out. So many other options. Yeah, exactly. There's guys off of waivers. I still like better than them. You know, sometimes you have to play that fantasy roulette. I'm playing that this week in a couple different places. The Browns are not where I'm going to play my roulette, the bad odds. And so I think you're right. You got Gary Barnage, who would probably take a bump as a big target, and that's about it. Other side of the ball. Before I mix to the other side, I do want to stay on.

23:05 ↗

Crowell and Duke Johnson for a second. Crowell started the season on fire. He's slowed down significantly. Duke Johnson, I have a stat nugget for you guys, rushed for 10 or more yards on seven of his 33 carries, which is the highest percentage in the NFL. Of if you're going to qualify 33? Yeah, I mean, 21.2% of qualified, you know, with them all qualified. So, I mean, that's a, we just talked about the fact that Todd Gurley.

23:32 ↗

hasn't been putting up big runs. Duke Johnson has been chunking a little bit. Sure. And I'd rather play Duke Johnson in this game than it would crow out, is my point. I agree because more than likely the Bengals can get out to a lead here. And in that situation, Duke Johnson has been involved. If Terrell Pryor is out, maybe the guy that actually gets the bump could end up being Duke Johnson. We've seen, you know, on the season.

23:58 ↗

He's been averaging almost four catches a game. That's great. He's been doing a lot with them. No touchdown so far on the season. And with that kind of volume, I'm sorry, he got one touchdown this last week at Tennessee. That was his first. I think Duke Johnson is an okay play this week. So talk about the other side of the ball. You have Andy Dalton. You talked about what you're doing in your league. Yeah, Andy Dalton. You're playing him over Drew Brees. I am playing him over Drew Brees in my personal league. I have Dalton. Bold.

24:27 ↗

rated very, very high. Very similar to what we just talked about with Eli Manning. Dalton's been great this year.

24:36 ↗

He's in a zone. He just hasn't been throwing touchdowns. He's up near the top in yards. He's down near the bottom in turnovers. He's been playing very well. But who is his number one red zone target? Obviously, A.J. Green gets plenty of touchdowns. But over the last couple years, when he gets down to the red zone, the guy that has just been lights out is Tyler Eiffert. You've got the Browns as a terrible matchup. You've got Tyler Eifert, who I don't think he's going to come in and play his...

25:05 ↗

full share but you saw what they did with gronk right like playing in the red zone yeah when you've got those tight ends like that you leave them out from 20 to 20 you get inside that 20 you bring in tyler eifert you got that big target i think he throws a couple touchdowns i think he runs for 15 yards i think he puts up plenty of yards and so i really like andy dalton this week i actually also like brandon lafell um if you're talking about would i rather start hawkins or lafell

25:30 ↗

Oh, it's Lafell. Yeah. Here's the thing about the Bengals is just not necessarily a counterpoint, but a perspective piece here. Last year you saw Matt Ryan put up a lot of yardage and struggle with the touchdown totals. I think if you saw Dalton struggle in this matchup at home against the Browns, you're, you know, you have to put some responsibility on Dalton for the lack of touchdowns. Sure. If they're not getting running touchdown, sure.

25:57 ↗

Speaking of the running. In the sense that if they just end up able to score on them, I don't think that's a knock on Dalton. What do we do with the Bengals running backs? You have, this looks like a prime Jeremy Hill matchup. The Browns cannot stop the run. But you look at the past couple weeks. Gio Barnard's usage has gone way up. You know, you had two weeks ago, I know they were playing catch up, but you had 75% of the snaps with the Gio.

26:25 ↗

Last week, 66.2% of the snaps went to Gio Bernard. His touches are way up. He's being far more efficient than Jeremy Hill. So if you guys had the option of the two, I'm putting you in a half-point PPR. Who are you starting? It has to be Gio. That's how funny. You were going the other way? Well, I think I would start, I think I would start Gio because he's fine. Like, I'm not worried about Gio not doing well. I do think that there's a decent chance Hill has a good game.

26:54 ↗

Yeah, let's just put it that way. I think this is this is lined up. I mean, the Bengals are 10 point favorites. It's lined up for Hill to do what he does, which is volume. Yeah. And touchdowns. I'm fine starting both of those guys. Honestly, there's not a Bengal that I don't like in this game. I love tigers. The Redskins take on the lions. The lions are one and a half point favorites in this game at home. The overrunners at 49 and a half.

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