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Main show · April 5, 2022

QB & RB Rookie Preview + Fantasy Crushes - Fantasy Football Podcast for 4/5

RSSApr 5, 2022 · transcript indexed
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QB & RB Rookie Preview + Fantasy Crushes - Fantasy Football Podcast for 4/5

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Inside the episode

147 passages
41:02 ↗

just because we know it's a great offense. And then Atlanta would be another Houston-esque, like bad team, bad offense, but plenty of opportunity. Yeah, I know it's Buffalo is the better offense, but you know that there will be some shared work there from a team that's threatening to make the Super Bowl trust in a rookie. This is one really important headline that I want to remind people about. You are not just looking at whether this guy can run the football. You are looking at whether they can.

41:31 ↗

Pass protect. If you want to see them out on the field, being a three downback, playing in a high fantasy value reception down, these guys have to be able to do that well to earn the trust, especially of a team that's competing, right? It's not that hard to let a guy get his feet wet in Houston and just kind of figure it all out at once, and I might struggle. But I think in Buffalo...

41:56 ↗

I don't think if Brice Hall went to Buffalo, I don't think he walks in as a three down back from day one. He is my love child. I love Breeze Hall, but he is not the best pass blocker. That would be one of his weaknesses that I saw. The way that he blocks is not going to fly in the NFL. I do really love him. But Buffalo, you know, if you're talking dynasty, not redraft. Sure. Devin Singletaire is on the last year of his deal. So I, you know, maybe it takes a year to really get.

42:25 ↗

all the way into, you know, being a workhorse. But I do think that, you know, you might need to bite the bullet and say, okay, I don't have the, maybe he's not a top 24 guy this year, but he could be a top five guy going forward. And you also see that the injuries is usually what turns into the opportunity for these younger guys. I think that Philadelphia is very interesting for...

42:51 ↗

either Brees or for Kenneth Walker. Because I don't see either of those guys as first round picks. Maybe second rounders in the middle to the back. But like the Philadelphia Eagles have an extra third round pick now. And you have Miles Sanders who, is he on the last year of his contract? It's got to be real soon. They have a strong offensive line. So I think that the Eagles landing spot would be.

43:21 ↗

better once you shake off of the initial, you see the name drafted, Philadelphia, and you go, oh, but Miles Sanders is there. He is the last year of his country. Thank you. Jonathan Taylor going to the Colts, when that happened, it was like, oh, Marlon Mack is there. And I know Mack got injured and that fast forwarded some things, but the situation around it of elite run blocking offensive line, solid organization, knowing that Jonathan Taylor is going to take over.

43:50 ↗

Like, don't overlook, though, like, don't just so be so short term of week one. I need my guy to be week one. Like, maybe it's week six, but just look at, look at the landing spots as a whole before you freak out. Yeah, I mean, like the Denver situation is a pretty interesting one where Melvin Gordon is obviously paid to be there and be the guy, but you know the future is Giovante. I didn't even introduce him, but the number.

44:20 ↗

The number one name, the most do-it-all running back is Brees Hall, 61220, was a player with massive amounts of volume at the collegiate level. He's a touchdown monster. I think he's got the skills to be a three-down option, which is something that you look for because, you know, some of these guys size-wise, they profile to be part of a committee. So I need him to play bigger.

44:49 ↗

Though, like my, my biggest knock on Brees was when you see, because if you fire up Brees Hall highlights, you're going to see him on the goal line over and over and over. But you're going to see him barely getting in. And I'm like, dude, if you're 220, you should be enforcing the law on the goal line, just absolutely stealing souls.

45:09 ↗

He's not a parading through. That's the reason he's not a first round draft pick. He's not a pile pusher. He's not one of those guys where he should be. Yeah, he should be at 220 pounds. He reminded me a lot of David Johnson in that way. Like a big guy who, I mean, I saw David Johnson pushpile. I've seen Breece push pile, but that's not like their forte. You get him in space and watch the jets just turn on. Breeze checks almost every box.

45:34 ↗

For me, he's super young. He's only 20 years old right now. He dominated at age 18. One of the most sticky stats, it's kind of, it's weird. I don't know if this just is because it affects draft capital, but for running backs to have success in the first three years for fantasy is actually rushing touchdowns in the collegiate level. And just about nobody did what Brees Hall did. You know, he broke rushing touchdown records.

46:03 ↗

So, you know, he's got the speed 439 at 220. He can get to the outside edge and he caught the ball. So he is, he basically is not a perfect prospect, but he is someone I absolutely love. I'd be happy to take him with the one-on-one. And I'm just, you know, lighting candles for his draft spot. Yeah, I mean, it's a little bit like quarterbacks, though.

46:28 ↗

at the running back position this year where you don't have somebody who you, none of us can say here and guarantee he's a second round draft pick. And if the first running back off the board is a third round draft pick, there are just going to be question marks around it. I would say when I watch Breece play, I was concerned about hesitancy in the backfield. I was concerned about the fact that, um,

46:48 ↗

he's not shifty in the backfield in terms of evading like a run blitz or something like that i'm not worried about him getting out in open space like when he's there he's going to do special stuff with it but if you're a third round draft pick you are far from a guarantee to take the ball on day one and so that's my biggest my biggest concern is just not knowing where he's going yet

47:11 ↗

And, you know, you didn't have that concern with Christian McCaffrey or Sequin Barclay or Zika Elliott or Melvin Gordon in the first round. You were kind of in on them as prospects regardless of the destination. I guess I am less that way. Yeah, according to grinding the mocks, which kind of takes all the different mock drafts out there and looks at how a prospect is doing, the average draft position is pick 40. So that would be a second rounder. However.

47:35 ↗

Since the combine where he dominated, it has definitely spiked up. So he's been higher than that of late in mocks, which obviously know nothing. All right. Do you, is Buffalo preferred to you, you said, versus Houston? Yeah, I would prefer Buffalo.

47:54 ↗

I think I would also prefer Philly to use. Houston is great for year one, but I think longevity, if we're talking dynasty, I want him to go to a better franchise. Let's talk about Kenneth Walker the third. Don't call him Kenny. It's Kenneth Walker. 510-2-10 for Kenneth Walker. Compact runner, really strong. Doesn't fumble. I think he's got like one fumble at the collegiate level.

48:22 ↗

Not great against the Blitz. Another issue for Kenneth Walker, if you look at him coming in and establishing three-down skill set, not good against the Blitz, not used a ton in the passing game. Not used at all. Yeah. Like that, Kenneth, K-dubs. Oh, yeah, if I can't call him, Kenny, K-dubs. His biggest red flag in the production profile is his complete and total lack of receiving prowess. But 19 receptions across three years.

48:50 ↗

And on top of he did, I mean, he transferred from Wake to Michigan State, Wake Forest. So he's not going to play third down. Yeah. If he can't, if he can't blitz block and he can't catch the ball. But I was going to say him at the Combine, which I know it's better to have the tape, but some teams just don't scheme things of throwing the ball to the running back. And it's that is not his fault. But he didn't look.

49:18 ↗

like a fish out of water in the receiving drills. He looked like he had, he was smooth enough that he could get that job done. Yeah, I mean, that's what I wanted to bring. Didn't look like Jordan Howard. That's what, yeah, or Ronald Jones are these guys who weren't used in the passing game and you heard they struggle at that. Kenneth Walker, I'm just saying it now, because I truly believe it, he can catch the ball. He did not use it at all. I went back and watched, I saw a.

49:44 ↗

It was a massive highlight tape from his high school film, and he was a pass catching back. And then you watch the few receptions he had. He's hauling in one-handers. He's smooth. I think he can do it. Michigan State just doesn't use the running back in that way. And so now that's a projection. This could easily be something where he comes in, and you should right now.

50:10 ↗

project him as a first and second down back, not as a third down back. Damien Harris is a good comparison. Absolutely. Almost identical size, first and second down back, and you're not relying on Walker to come in in pass block. But I do think that the players like Levion Bell, like Melvin Gordon, these great NFL pass catching backs that were at programs where they didn't.

50:31 ↗

utilize them and they didn't catch the ball much in college, I think that that is what Kenneth Walker the third is. I think he can come in and actually be a three downback and catch the ball, but that is a leap. That is not what is obvious there. So TBD, what we do know is that he did great at the combine, 438 at 210. So he projects to have the athletic profile to succeed on the NFL field.

51:02 ↗

Anything to add there, Mike? Just elite Dominator score, like off the charts, which Dominator is like a combination of yards and team total touchdowns. I mean, he's just, he's elite. Yeah, percentage of team yards and touchdowns. Over 40% is excellent. Breece is at 43.9%. Kenneth Walker is at 50.2%. Let's talk about Isaiah Spiller. The kind of groundswell for Isaiah Spiller has gone away over the last couple of months.

51:31 ↗

This is still a player that I think based purely on his skill set has the highest potential ceiling of any of the running backs, including Breece Hall. I still believe that. Plasphemy. If you go and watch his tape from 2020, he was much better than 2021 because he had a much, much better offensive line at Texas A&M. And so you got to see some of the things that he did. Well, he had an extremely young breakout age of just 18.1 years old.

52:00 ↗

He's very solid at every level. Some people consider him solid everywhere, master of none type of player. But I think Isaiah Spiller, the problem is going to be draft capital. Because I can believe all these things about a player. And then if he's a fourth round draft pick, it doesn't really matter. So if he's a surprise, I guess my point is if he's a surprise and he goes in the third round or he jumps Kenneth Walker because the team sees that potential that I'm talking about,

52:29 ↗

Then you've got an opportunity. Pre-combine, I liked Isaiah Spiller more than Kenneth Walker. Combine kind of shifted that for me because... Is that because Spiller didn't run it? Well, right. Spiller, what was he dealing with an ankle or something? I don't remember the specifics, but yes. At his pro day, I think he was 4-6, Isaiah Spiller. And the reality is his film is really good.

52:53 ↗

I think his, I really like Isaiah Spiller. I love his past catching ability. And he's 215 pounds and 20 years old. So those are a lot of really important checkboxes. If his athletic profile is deemed good enough by NFL teams and he's drafted high, I'm all in on him. He is the scariest to me. Like, you know, I'm watching where Brees goes because I'm madly in love with Brees, but probably the most important player.

53:20 ↗

for draft capital and the range of outcomes on the future of their career is Isaiah Spiller because he's someone that could drop pretty far, you know, based on his athletic testing and his pro day and that type of stuff, which based on the film, he shouldn't. He is a really good back. He's my three. It was a strained abductor muscle. Oh. And I'm torn on Spiller. He's got the frame is there, the past catching ability.

53:50 ↗

but like his tape to me when I'm watching him his speed matches how he tested something like you have players where you I can't believe that Kyle will I don't know if we're going to talk Kyron Williams or not but like I can't believe he tested so slow he looked fast like Spiller to me looks it looks slow and it's

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