Playoff Primer + Week 10 Buy or Sell, Lockett In - Fantasy Football Podcast for 11/11

launching it up because he's on his way to the ground. And if he's facing teams that don't have good pass rushes, who give him time to throw the ball, you know what's going Alan Robinson. So I do like Alan Robinson's schedule. I think to some degree, if you're just talking flex options, it applies to Darnel Mooney as well. I want to call him a rookie sensation, but he's been on the Bears. So he's like, what would you call that? He's sensational, but.

It hasn't actually been productive. I can't think of a word right now. But other great matchups, the Cincinnati Bengals, they're coming off the buy week. Maybe you can sneak Tyler Boyd or T. Higgins away from their fantasy managers. The Los Angeles Chargers, we highlighted Justin Herbert's schedule. I've been telling you week after week, get Keenan Allen if you can. That trade window is probably slammed shut. But Keenan Allen is going to be unbelievable.

But let's take a look at the loss. What does that apply to Mike Williams as well? Yes. Yeah, it certainly would. But I mean, he's a higher variance player. I was just saying, Keenan Allen, the targets are there. The ceiling is there for him as well with the way that Justin Herbert has been playing. The Los Angeles Rams, Jason. Robert Woods, Cooper Cup. They get the Patriots, which it's okay. But then you get the Jets and you get the Seattle Seahawks.

Yeah, I mean, I was talking about Jared Goff being, if you're in that streaming category and you don't have one of the great schedule. So which one are you going after? I'm going after probably both. Well, I said which one, Jason? I didn't say are you going? Robert Woods or Cooper Cup? I would say I usually prefer Robert Woods. I like the first read. I like the more targets, you know, historically speaking. But when I'm putting together my roster, it really does change. You know, if I've got.

a keen and Allen already in my roster. The high floor is going to get 12 targets a week as the expectation. Then I might want the more touchdown reliable player in Cooper Cup who can go out there and score two touchdowns at a far higher rate than Robert Woods, which is ironic because Woods is the most recent of the two to do that. But historically speaking, it's been Cooper Cup. I would like both players. And I think you can acquire them. They've been a major

They being the Rams offense passing attack has been a major disappointment for what people hoped when they drafted them. What's wild about Robert Woods versus Cooper Cup this year. Some numbers that, I mean, we know them inherently, but I think hearing them out loud is going to blow your mind, man. Cooper Cup is seeing 25% of the Los Angeles Rams targets. Robert Woods, 19%. That's not what they do?

Cooper Cup has 25% of the wide receiver touchdowns for the Rams. Robert Woods has 50% of them. That's not what the Rams do. That's why I said it's not the most recent examples that we have, but historically speaking, over the last three years, that's, and I still, what do you expect? Do you think it's more of what we're seeing now with a higher target volume to cup and higher touchdown opportunity for Woods? Or do you think it's been what it's been the majority of the last?

two years or three years. I think maybe just that the touchdown regression, the positive regression for Robert Woods has finally just hit. And it's not like he's scoring it at an outrageous pace. Yeah, those numbers. He just was always underproducing in terms of how many receptions and how many yards he received on an annual basis. Right now, Robert Woods is the wide receiver 16. He has busted twice.

And wide receiver 37, one of those times. So not a bust. Not great, but not a bus game, but only really busted twice. Meanwhile, Cooper Cup has damaged your team about half of the time. I think one of the things that's a little misleading on those numbers is, you know, you talk about 50% of the wide receiver receiving touchdowns. You know, Robert Woods right now on.

The season has four receiving touchdown. So it's really just a- And Cooper Cup only has two. It's been a lower volume. And if I had to say going forward, which one of those two players gets more touchdowns, I would certainly put my chips on Cooper Cup. And you have a couple rushing touchdowns for Robert Woods as well. Yes. All right. Let's go to the tight ends because you got a Jimmy Grandpa leads the way with one of the better schedules for the tight end playoff run. Rob Grankowski.

Noah Fants and the boys from Minnesota. Travis Kelsey does as well, but good luck trading for Travis Kelsey. No, that's just a hype piece for all the people who have Travis Kelsey. It's like, hey, good news. Guess what? Be very excited. He's got an even better schedule. Jimmy Graham, Rob Grunkowski, Noah Fant, Jason. Who are you trying to trade for if any of these players? Yeah, I think those are the... But by trading for Jimmy Graham, I mean, trading for a...

A bench player for the waiver wire. Right. I'm going to trade my fab dollars for Jimmy Graham. I think those are the three players that you're looking at saying I'm going to target, and I would put them in the order of Noah Fant, Rob Grancowski, Jamie Graham. That's what I would do as well. And I think you can acquire all of them affordably. Noah Fant has a lot of hype. He's...

Had plenty of targets, but he's been mostly disappointing. This last week... Because he's been mostly hurt. Yeah, this last week, he rolled his ankle again, missed a chunk of the game, came back in and was limited. I think that you could very easily find Noah Fant after waivers went through probably this morning as you're listening to this. That someone dropped Noah Fant. Or if they haven't, maybe they picked up another tight end and they're just rostering both. It's not going to cost you a lot to get Fant, but in those playoffs...

I think that he's probably the streaming category tight-in I would target the most. At the defensive position, because this one is pretty crucial too, where you want to start getting ready to play your ST, the matchups that you want to go after. We always talk about targeting that a few weeks early. This is the time of the year where it is not uncommon to see my roster having multiple DSTs as I get ready.

for the weeks ahead. Teams with great matchups. Arizona, they have an excellent matchup against the Giants and then the Philadelphia Eagles. Then Week 16 is San Francisco. We'll see how that one looks by then. They're just such an influx offense right now. The Rams, they get the Patriots and the Jets, Cleveland, Baltimore, probably not, but then the Giants and the Jets. So there are teams that you can mismash.

their schedules. Like you want to open with the Rams against the Patriots and the Jets and then shut it down with the Browns. With the Browns against the Jets. The Browns are, yeah, exactly. How many Jets can you get in your playoffs? Well, you could get them all because you could roll them bones with the Seahawks against the Jets. Are you willing to play the Seattle Seahawks who get to play the Jets and Washington in their first two weeks of the playoffs? Would you

Yeah. Would you push them chips in? I would. I know that they've been a bad defense, but there are certain teams that will not be able to take advantage. And you just named them. So I would be willing to look at Seattle, even though they've been so horrific. And some of this will depend on your scoring systems because defense has changed from league to league so widely. If your league focuses on yardage.

then probably not, you know, because Seattle gives up a ton of yards. But if your league focuses on sacks and turnovers and scoring touchdowns defensively, that's where your big scores come from, then Seattle would be good. But the main defense I'm looking to pick up going into the playoffs is the Cleveland Browns. You just need someone for the week 14, but I want the week 1560. I want the Giants Jets in those major championship weeks because I think it's a combination of they're bad.

I think the Browns' defense, if they get healthy by then, they've got some pieces that can really, they can score touchdowns and sack the quarterback. It's going to be fun. I don't think you need to pick the Browns up just yet where we are, but in a couple weeks, that's when you're going to want to make that transaction happen and be ready for the playoffs. Again, the schedule is not everything, but hopefully you feel prepared as we have highlighted some of the players that have the good matchups and the bad ones. And speaking of matchups, Jason.

Thursday Night Breakdown. Oh, that was a professional segue. I told you I'm good at the job. Oh, man. Been smashing it over here. Just hope the people at home are paying attention. Get the glass away from Mike. It's just breaking things destroying it. I hope Andy's paying attention. Oh, no. I'm coming for him. Calling shots. Speaking of great matches, Thursday night, we got a good one.

The Indianapolis Colts, five and three, take on the Tennessee Titans, six and two. We have a 49 point over under. That's not the best. But this will be a very entertaining football game. The Titans are favored currently by two points. They are the team that is at home. So that certainly makes sense. Jason. Philip Rivers, in or out? Out, out of my lineup, out of my life. The matchup is good. I mean, I say it in Jess, because I know what your answer is going to be.

But if you've been streaming the Pea River, you've been just fine. It's been lukewarm. It's mixed. The river's cold and the pee is warm. There are spots of the river that are warmer than others. Yeah, I mean, if you look at the last several weeks, obviously last week was tough. Baltimore's defense is outlandishly good. I don't really want to play anybody against Baltimore. Correct. And he stunk. He was the quarterback 28. The prior two weeks, he was a top 10 quarterback.

but that was Cincinnati and Detroit. Now, Tennessee is in the middle. Tennessee is not a great defense, but they're not a cakewalk matchup either. The last six weeks, they have been the 23rd ranked team against fantasy quarterbacks, 22 overall in the season. Exactly. It's a plus matchup. There's 10 better plus matchups. I would put them in the middle.

middle of the pack. All right. And the issue that I have was starting Phillip Rivers, and this is really my biggest, well, my second biggest question of this game is who are the real receiving options here for the Indianapolis Colts? It's become a major problem for them that hopefully by the end of the season, you know, if Pascal and Pittman can step it up and get experience while Ty Hilton is up, maybe they.

get healthy and have a receiving core. But right now, I don't know what to do with Indianapolis Colts receiving core. I don't know who to target. Can you put Marcus Johnson in and hope for the big play? Can you rely on Michael Pittman Jr.? I mean, look, this has been a great rookie wide receiver class just as they were pegged to be. Rookie wide receivers get better as the season goes on. But you can't trust them yet. You haven't seen it. No, you have not had the breakup performance for Michael Pittman that we have hoped for.

But the Tennessee defense, they are 31st against wide receivers giving up over 40 points a game to the position. I should say that's over the last six weeks. I mean, someone here will take advantage of that. It's a tougher call in a redraft situation. I don't know that I'm throwing the dart on any of these players, but let's say you had to throw the dart. You're forced to start one. Which one are you going? Are you going Marcus Johnson, who is seeing the air yards, he's seeing the snaps?

Michael Pittman, who he's had, he hasn't had that breakout game, like I said, but he saw seven targets, four for 56 this past week. Played on 87% of steps. And that's against Baltimore. And it was coming back off of an injury. If there's a guy that I had to pick for this game, if we're talking about a redraft, someone I'm going to start in my, you know, flex category, but of course not the flex spot. I'm going to put him into my wide receiver spot. It would be Michael Pittman. I think he's really talented.

This matchup, as you said, for wide receivers is good. So Pittman would be my choice. Now, if this is DFS and you want a really, you know, a cheaper option that could just have that deep bomb, you know, in a tournament play, Marcus Johnson. In fact, we have a Thursday night showdown article in the DFS pass highlighting this matchup in every Thursday night matchup, which is half off right now if you check that out at DFSPass.com. Yep. And at TY Hilton, they're

Alleged number one wide receiver. He's been listed as a full participant for Tuesday's walkthrough. Looks like we might see Hilton back on the field, but he has been very disappointing for fantasy purposes. At the tight end position, the only team in the NFL, I think the only team in history that has three tight ends that have nicknames from the fantasy footballers. Trey Burton, Jack Doyle, Moe, Allie Cox, Gigantor.

Jack Doyle is in the concussion protocol, so maybe that trims it up a little bit. No one performed, or I should say, Trey Burton did not perform last week. Are you willing to stream him this week if Jack Doyle misses? If Jack Doyle misses, he'll be in the streaming category. I think there's other options I would prefer. Being that he's in the concussion protocol and it's a Thursday night football game, I would expect him to.