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Week 7 Matchups + Funny Bones, Wheel of Shame - Fantasy Football Podcast for 10/22
Week 7 Matchups + Funny Bones, Wheel of Shame - Fantasy Football Podcast for 10/22
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Inside the episode
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All right, back into the matchups. Philadelphia Eagles at 2 and 4, taking on the 4 and 2 Las Vegas Raiders. Draft King Sportsbook Line Raiders minus 3. Over under is 49.5. First take at this game, guys, what are the big decisions? Man, Jalen Hertz is in. And you're probably going to, I'm good still playing Devante Smith. He's running a ton of routes. He's run the eighth most.
Eighth most routes of the position. So I'm still going to play him, even though it hasn't. It hasn't hit every single week, but you've seen enough out of Devante Smith that you're going to play him. The question on the eagle side for me is, what do you do with Miles Sanders, where the opportunities haven't necessarily gotten to the point where you're real happy starting him? But the snaps are starting to trend in a way that...
It looks like Miles Sanders is on the precipice of becoming fantasy viable again. Yeah, it is possible. The Raiders don't have a phenomenal run defense, so the matchup is okay. I think Miles Sanders is someone you can play, but you've got to view him as a flex level player right now. I get that some of the behind the scenes numbers, the snap counts, the running back opportunity share is there.
But it doesn't change the fact that he just has, he's done nothing. Right. I mean, fantasy-wise, if you've had him, you're talking about, you know, sub-10 points almost every single week. Las Vegas allowing the third most 10-plus-yard run. So they're allowing, they're allowing those chunk plays on the ground. And Miles Sanders has flashed with those a couple over the past few weeks. I'm definitely playing him over any of the bad.
kind of by week options. The Mark Ingrams, the Kenyon Drake's. I'm playing him over those players. I would agree with that. Miles Sanders or Mike Davis against Miami. Mike Davis. Yeah, I'll go with the volume in that situation. Miles Sanders or Devante Booker versus Carolina. Probably go with Booker. I think that's where I just go with the matchup. Carolina is a tough matchup.
Whereas the Raiders are good. Okay, last one. Miles Sanders are Jady McKissick against Green Bay. McKissick, Smooches. Yep. Okay. So we're not super confident in Sanders just yet. Jalen hurts by several metrics is the most consistent fantasy quarterback in all the land. Just don't pay attention to the real NFL. No. And Dallas got it to my start of the week at tight end. He will get his chance to shine. I believe Jack Stoll will be out there now with Zachert's no longer a part of the team.
Derek Carr, I mean, he has put up some impressive numbers this year. He is still in the top three, I believe, in total yards at the total passing yards. Brady is now leading the way. And, you know, Henry Ruggs has been involved. You get deep shots to him every game. He's been top 12, four of six weeks. Derek Carr? Yeah. Yeah. So is there any reason why you wouldn't put him out here? Yes.
The reason I wouldn't, or the reason I would at least consider other options like Matt Ryan and Ryan Tannahill is Josh Jacobs. If the Raiders come out and have a great game and win this game and Josh Jacobs has a big game, when Jacobs has his big games, it tends to nerf the rest of the team's fantasy productions. If you look at how this lines up with the Philadelphia Eagles defense where they are really, really bad against running backs, really good against wide receivers just as far as fantasy points given up,
This strikes me as one of those games that could be a Josh Jacobs Fest, which just... So does that mean you're playing Burrow over Derek Carr? I would play Burrow over Derek Carr, yes. Okay, interesting. Mike, would you play Burrow or Derek Carr? I would play Burrow. Are you taking a shot with the wide receivers here for Las Vegas? Honestly, to me, Henry Ruggs has worked his way up that I'm going to, I would flex him essentially every week. Rugs are Hardman?
This week? Man, that's a difficult one. They're playing Tennessee, Kansas City. I guess I lean Hardman. It's the highest over under the week. Yeah, I lean Hardman slightly. Ike or Rugs? Rugs. Rugs. I'll take the shot. All right. The Detroit Lions at 0 and 6 take on the 5 and 1 Los Angeles Rams. Draft King Sportsbook line is Rams minus 15 and a half. The overrunners 51.
There are two games this week where you don't, I can't find the path for victory. It's the Lions, obviously, against the Rams, and it's the Texans against the Cardinals. Rams have been playing great. It's a nice over-under, but it's all on their side. 33.3 points. That's the implied point total for the Rams. I mean, Jason's start of the week is Matthew Stafford. You don't need a compelling argument to have confidence against the Rams. Darrell Henderson. Against the Lions?
Well, yes, sorry, against the Lions. And it's a revenge game for Stafford. And then Darrell Henderson's a great start against the 32nd-Rank run defense. Antonio Michelle's been beat up. You know, Henderson is going to get all the work. I don't think the Lions could stop the Rams offense. So even if there's a let-up here or a surprise, I think that this game could be more competitive.
then, you know, at first glance, obviously a 15 and a half point over or under says it's going to be completely non-competitive. I think the reason for that is that the Lions defense cannot possibly contain the Rams offense. However, the Lions offense, you know, there's an emotional game. This is your quarterback is, was traded away from this team, and this is a team that lives on emotion and caffeine. It's a double revenge game. Right, a double revenge game. So, you know, last year, when the Rams were 17 and a half,
point favors, favorites against the windless gays-led jets at home. They lost that game. So maybe it's a trap. What? I'm fine with, you know, you're not going to sit DeAndre Swift. No. And you're not going to sit T.J. Hawkinson. You're not going to sit any Rams. So the question becomes, are you comfortable playing Amman Ross St. Brown? Are you comfortable playing Jamal Williams? Are you okay playing Jared Gough? I'm, I'm.
I'm going to avoid all three, even if I'm out on Goff. The question for... I'm out on Williams, too. Yeah, Williams, you would hope to find a different option. Like, okay, here we go. Mark Ingram, we've been talking about him a lot. Jamal Williams against the Rams or Mark Ingram against Arizona. Yeah, I'll take 16 to 18 touches for Ingram and hope he finds the end zone. Well, Jamal could be a 16 touch player. Last week was very strange for...
For Jamal, you saw a massive drop in opportunities. He went from 14, 14, 15, 6. So I don't think that that's what they want to do. Is that your answer to the question? In certain situations, I will be. Yeah, as a low, let's go high end running back three. Yeah. So the flex type of. Amman Ross St. Brown is just in that category of the peripheral, like.
spot start, the Darius Slayton's or the McCull Hardman's or the Brandon Ayukes or like, you know, you're going to get eight targets from a quarterback that's not hitting more than 200 yards a game against the tough defense on the road. Jason, would you play Jamal Williams or AJ Dylan? I'll play AJ Dylan. AJ Dylan's usage has been on the way up.
while Jamal Williams had a bad week this last week. Cooper Cup joined Randy Moss as the only other player in league history with 600 receiving yards and seven touchdowns in the first six games of a season. Impressive. On fire. Robert Woods, a couple of good weeks fantasy-wise. So we can probably keep playing him in this matchup. Higby has not been very good. He's just been kind of okay. Ping-ponging in between slightly top 10 weeks and then not being utilized.
What's your confidence level going into week seven with Tyler Higby rest of season? Rest of season, I think Higby is going to be one of those streaming options where you might want to play him in the right matchups. And hopefully by this time, if you've been kind of the Higby manager, you were able to grab someone like a Dalton Schultz off of waivers. But the reality is if you don't have one of those top guys, Higby is this, he's in the same boat and the same caliber as the rest of them, which is.
If you don't have a great matchup, you can still play him and hope for 50 yards. Would you rather move forward with Higbee or Zach Hertz? It's early, but I think Zach Hertz. Okay. The other huge favorite this week, the Houston Texans moving on to the Arizona Cardinals or taking on Arizona Cardinals, Texans 1 and 5 Cardinals 6 and 0, Arizona is a 17.5 point home favorite.
The over-under is 47 and a half. It's very similar to the Detroit game in as much as Arizona's implied point total is almost 33. They've only been the Cardinals, more than a 15-point favorite one time in their franchise history. They're at home. There isn't a clean, I mean, the only path that I can see for Houston winning the ball game is like a special teams play and a couple of turnovers by the Cardinals.
Because I don't think the offense, again, it's like Detroit. I don't think the offense can do enough against the Cardinals. The Cardinals are seventh against opposing fantasy quarterbacks, six against running backs, first against tight ends. And they're playing great. And they may have Chandler Jones back. This is a pretty much, it's Brandon Cook's, but I don't have the confidence Mike has with Brandon Cooks this week. But he's certainly the one play of the Texans that you can throw out there.
Cardinals 21st against fantasy wide receivers. I have confidence in Brandon Cooks. He had 13 targets last week. He's had three games over 10 targets. He's a fine wide receiver play, I believe. But outside of him, I'm not starting anyone else on the Houston Texan side. I know there's the David Johnson Revenge narrative, but it's pretty irrelevant. You start your Cardinals, especially I think James Connor is a great play this week.
Outside of Brandon Cooks, I'm not starting any Texas. Are you full go on Chase Edmins? The matchup makes you full go. Even with the last two weeks of lowered, not just opportunities, but lowered efficiency as well. Yeah, I mean, he's third in the league in yards per carry, or sorry, yards per touch. And so he doesn't need a ton of work against his defense to do it. And so if you're 17.5 point favorites, I'm confident enough. I'm definitely playing him over all those bottom.
of the barrel running back options, Jason? Yeah, yeah, I am as well. I don't think that there's, this game will end up with the Cardinals running the game out. And so you hope. And that'll be James Connor. That will be James Connor, but you're not going to just have it be 100% James Connor and never let Chase Evans touch the ball. I don't want to have a week winning Chase Edmund's performance on my bench. And that's, that's in the range of outcomes in this game. Sure.
I do worry a little bit about the AJ Green, Krish and Kirk Rondell Moore side in the sense that if the second half is more running, you would have had to have had the wide receiver really get involved early. I think you can play them because obviously the Cardinals are 32.5 point implied total, but they aren't, I would rather play them, you know, against the Chiefs than even though the Texans are a bad defense, the game script probably won't go their way.
How does that affect Zachert's your start of the week? Well, Zacherts matches up just so. We've seen it for year after year after year. When you are a team that really can't guard tight end, then every team exploits that. And Zacherts is a tight end. And the Houston Texans just have, they have given up massive games to tight ends every single week. Yeah, try out the new toy. Arizona trades for Zacherts, get him involved in the offense. Zacherts is a tight end. Yes. And that is his.
Best attribute. Chicago Bears at 3-3 take on the 5-1 Tampa Bay Buccaneers. The Drafking Sportsbook line here, Buccaneers minus 12. The over-under is 47 and a half points. It's another situation where it's like, can the Bears' offense do enough to keep this game competitive? The line says they can't. You know, Justin Fields is being sacked on 15% of his dropbacks by far number one in the NFL. He's also only passing the ball 16 times a game.
