Fantasy Football - Bust & Value Picks for 2026! - Podcast for 8/20

He was at 29%. 30% is elite. So, like, it was, the volume was completely there. In that time period, I will say, he did not force a single miss tackle as a runner. So this is a guy that's just voluming his way to fantasy value. Then he loses his job to Rico Dowdell. He had no runs of 15 or more yards last year. Like, his efficiency metrics are, they're red.

He had one total carry inside the five because they just, they didn't trust him. They wanted, that job went to Rico Dowdle. And, you know, we've also seen Jonathan Brooks. I struggle with Brooks's ADP what is going on because he is right next to Chuba Hubbard in ADP. I've seen leagues where Brooks gets drafted in front of Hubbard, but it's just pointing out that, like, he, Chuba's at the tail end of the dead zone for running backs, which Jay, you talked about.

You're at the end, man. This is the deadest of the dead zone. I want nothing to do with that situation. And if you remember somehow the Panthers, despite being under 500, they were first place. So they get a first place schedule. Warren Sharp has them ranked as the third hardest schedule for 2006. And to piggyback on my tip yesterday of teams that start as dogs, well, three of the first four games.

They are underdogs. They are underdogs on the road against Atlanta. That's how down bad the Carolina Panthers are at this moment. So people are drafting Chuba, and I just want absolutely nothing to do with it. Yeah, we had the Jonathan Brooks conversations earlier too, and we have all of our bus picks, our consensus bus picks in the UDK Ultimate DraftKit.com, if you want to get in on that before your draft. We'll take a break and we'll come back with value picks.

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Mobile Network in the U.S. is based on analysis by Ucla of Speed Test Intelligence Data, second half of 2025. Values. All right, value picks. I'm going to take a layup here. I think genuinely all three of our value picks are fan-freaking-tastic. I think they're layups and they're mispriced players in fantasy football. I really do. It's Chris Godwin. Chris Godwin for the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. Abuka.

Whether he's there or not, I don't like that he's dealing with the toe injury. That's going to add to the equation in terms of like Chris Godwin is the exact kind of name that never moves up, no matter how much you talk about him, has a history of productivity, will be sneaky good from a PPR perspective. I mean, we talk about Keenan Allen leading the charges and receptions at 34 years old last year. Chris Godwin has a connection with Baker Mayfield. Baker Mayfield is back and is healthy.

You have a lot of question marks with Hearst, McMillan, Tess Johnson. None of those guys' profiles high volume. What's your face here, Jim? Dude. But a Mecca, Abuka, being hurt doesn't really even bother me. I like Godwin. Godwin on ESPN. He's in the 13th round. 1304 in full PPR. What are we doing? Yeah, to me, it's just a layup situation. He was not one of the names I mentioned in the 10 oldest players, right? I mean, you have a. He feels older.

He's 30 years old. And yet he signed a three-year extension last March. I mean, this team has him as part of the plans. He dealt with injuries. Injuries are going to be a concern for players to get older and especially at wide receivers. But he's not in that group yet. When he came back, you had some high target finishes. To me, this is just like most of the time I say you want to take high upside shots at the back of your draft. This is one of those stabilizer players that I think you can start any week you need to.

might start more often than you think, and has been a standout at OTA. So there's really been no concerns around Godwin, but not enough publicity. So to me, my value pick is Chris Godwin. I'm in. I think Chris Godwin is a solid pick for, I think he has a lot going for him. And you can even say, Abuka.

is that he's the, we get to the end of the year, Abuka is clearly the number one. Okay, fine. Like, Baker Mayfield can give you enough production that you have two contributors in the receiving game. Like, and of the other players, yeah, but your, your chips have to go to Chris Godwin. Godwin does not need a Mecca Abuka to be injured to be good at all. He's been good with Mike Evans on the field, and Mike Evans is gone.

I mean, it's where he's going right now. Like, I totally understand when you're older, you don't have the upside of being like, oh, this guy could be a top seven wide receiver and fantasy. But like, you need, he's, he could, here's what he could be. An absolute every single week. Yes. Must start wide receiver two type of player. He could. And that is so valuable in fantasy and to be basically a free square, ADP wise. I can't believe that ESP and ADP. 13th round.

Yeah, I mean, I think it's just one of those, like people are going to take Diggs ahead of him in drafts. People are going to take Keenan Allen ahead of him in some drafts. That's going to happen. Yeah. Because Chris Godwin is just quietly, quietly there. He was injured last year, and I think that's a big part of it. People just think he's injured and done. We're tired of it. But genuinely.

It is two years in a row that he played seven and nine games. Camp reports have said not just that he's been good, but like his explosions back. And he's just really explosive. Even if you get half a year with Chris Godwin for that price. I don't care. That's fine. My value is so weirdly underpriced. If I describe the player before telling you the player, it makes no sense. What if I had a third year quarterback who has literally scored the fourth most fantasy points through two years ever?

Last year, he led the league in passing attempts. And this year, he's got all of his wide receivers back, including a high drafted wide receiver two last year who's been making buzz. But then they trade for a star wide receiver to add to the core. And his first year was the quarterback six, his second, I'm sorry, the quarterback seven, the second year, he was quarterback six. And so now all of that coming together, he's being drafted at quarterback 15. What? Bow Nix.

Bo Nix is... Boom, Shakalaka! I mean, why is he being drafted over double the amount of positions that he's ever finished? Like, he's never finished half as bad as quarterback 15. They add Jalen Waddle. They're on a good offense. But Jason, he got hurt last year and their schedule is really crappy.

So a crappy schedule is absolutely true in the sense of difficulty, but it isn't necessarily a bad schedule if he's good. He also sometimes seems drunk. He does. When he's outside the pocket, sometimes he seems like he's out of drink. He rolls out and he's like, I feel like sometimes he looks at the crowd. He's like, check this out. I genuinely. And then you're like, oh, not even close. I genuinely thought.

that what you were saying was some interview thing. I'm like, I don't remember him seeing him. No, no, him on the field. That would be us during our show. So the opening schedule, the opening schedule, he's got to play the Chiefs, great team. They're probably not favorite. He's got to play the Jaguars, great team. He's got to play the Rams great team. He's got to play the 49ers great team. He's got to play the Chargers. I get that those are decent defenses. He was not a my guy for me solely because of the first six game schedule. Yes, he's been on our board as a my guy. I'm so in on Bo Nix.

And I didn't know some of those numbers you just shared. But the beginning of the season, for some reason, there's doubt about Denver in general. Right. I get it because there were games last year. No, there were games last year where you're like, why is their offense so bad? There were. They played the Raiders and they scored 12 points or something silly? Yeah, didn't they lose to them in week one or something? Oh, the Patriots. Well, what's the divisional odds, too? They are third highest.

Chiefs, Chargers, Broncos, Raiders. My argument on these... Yeah. Plus 16. Excuse me, I have to... Chargers are second. I have to visit someone real quick. Chiefs plus 160, charges plus 190, Broncos plus 225. A lot of times when you are playing against another good team, if the Broncos are a very good team, if Bo Nix is a good quarterback, then you actually want games like the Chiefs, like the Chargers, like the Broncos, like the Niners. Those games could end up

where the quarterbacks go tit for tat and it's over 50 points scored. Yes, they might be not favored in the game. And you go, oh, you know, for the first six weeks, they're underdogs. Being an underdog isn't always a problem, much more so for running backs. But for a quarterback where you've got to keep up, great because they've got a great defense. So you want them to play against teams that are going to score a lot. So I think he's just right now, if you're in a super flex league,

He is just so mis-priced. How about you pass on Jackson Dart and take Bornish? Sure. I'd be happy to. If I'm in the, often I am waiting for Dart in the ninth and someone takes him before me. Bonix is a great consolation price. I have no problem with that. Oh, this is a breaking news. I had no clue you like this dude, Mike. Your value pick. I love this player. People are coming back. And yet, I think he remains an absolute value in dress. You are, in fact.

the highest on this player. You did it. We found one. We did it. I do like him. I don't know how you were lowest on every other player in the NFL, but you're the highest on this guy in our rankings. It is Mr. Zay Flowers of the Baltimore Ravens. Did he get the mister when he collected that check? Yeah, I say, we're going to start at the top. The dude is hashtag good. Baltimore thinks so to the tune of $104 million guarantied. All right. Now we got that out of the way.

The career, the trajectory of his career, fantasy finishes, 30, 22, 7. His consistency ranking, 29, 25, 16. That one I care a lot more about, really. His target share, 24%, 25%, and then 28% of Baltimore's targets last year. When we talk about it all the time, targets are the stickiest stat. Like touchdowns come and go. Targets are.