Fantasy Football - Bust & Value Picks for 2026! - Podcast for 8/20

I don't know. I am concerned with the hype. I think it's gotten out of control because we want it to happen. There are players that we just want to work. I think Trayvion's a guy we want. We all want to work. Yeah. I don't know if there's a better person in the NFL than Trayvon Henderson. If you've listened to his interviews or a more dedicated player. Just a stand-up guy? We want the faces of the NFL to be the faces of the NFL, and I just don't know if it's going to be easy. The calling this a bust pick is very realistic, I think.

the idea that Jackson, first of all, all the reports out of camp have been that the offense has sucked. That's a good point. Everything has been like, they don't have it together. Even Matt and Aggie came out and said like, Jackson Dart's so talented, but he's really struggling. It's like, well, it's your fault. But, um, no, I, I have like, no doubt that Jackson Dart can bust and be terrible this year. I'm really in on Jackson Dart because I think,

should it work, he is, you know, if he's in the ninth round where I've seen him in plenty of drafts, should it work, he's one of only three quarterbacks in the league that I think can easily rush for over 700 yards. He's, he's on a 17-game pace of about 700 yards last year in his rookie season. It's him, Jaden Daniels, Lamar Jackson, that's it. You know, and if you look at- Finish your thought, and then we have to hit the stupid breaking news button again. Okay, all right. If you do look, I know it's like the injury risk is out there.

And he's not built like Josh Allen. But you look at Lamar Jackson, Jaden Daniels, and Jackson, and you got 64210 and Jaden Daniels and 10 pounds. 6-2-205 in Lamar Jackson for Jackson Dart. So I do think he can, everybody can get injured. Lamar's been injured. Daniels has been injured. I am in on taking this shot. What was his height weight? 6-2-223 for Jackson Dart. So this is not bad. Did he seem that big?

He didn't seem that... I mean, he didn't seem that big, but I don't know people's weight in person. I don't know. But I like the upside. I certainly could never... No one could argue that, like, he is as unguaranteed as success as possible. I'm just afraid you can't draft him and start him and be guaranteed to have a starter, and then you've got to figure it out. Which maybe that's worth it in the ninth. In the ninth, I mean, I like him, but...

At the end of the year, it's very easy that this could be like, oh, yeah, he failed. I won't hit the breaking news button, but I will tell you that Sam Leporta is now injured. Jason, cover your ear. No, that's my dude. Sam Leporta is out with a hip injury. My all-time favorite player. Well, Gino. Well, my second all-time player. Dan Campbell says he's not sure of the injury will go into the regular season. Man. So, uh, James, not a groin. Not a groin. Dude, Jameson Williams. You guys, you guys don't.

I know. Don't get me started on how much I wanted. I'll let the people know. He's not a my guy. You're not. You didn't allow yourself. I would never do double lion same exact my guy, for example. Well, yours worked better. Kind of. I mean, the first half of the season last year was so bad that most people, like, moved on. But he finished pretty darn good. When Leporta went down, when Leporta went down, he was unbelievable. And if Leporta starts the season.

On the bench, this is an offense you want pieces of. I find myself way more like Andy this year on Jameson Williams. I want Jameson Williams on my team. He finished as a top 10 fantasy. Oh, yeah. Also. And you're like, me, me. First half. Yeah, I mean, he finished in the top 10, man. If the first half sucked, that means that he's winning championships. I mean, it's just like the truth series. Well, it was the change of coaching. Yeah. I mean, it was when they did the offensive coordinator change and La Porta combined.

I think if you were someone that had drafted him, I mean, up through week eight, you had what, two playable games? Sure. I just say that you're definitely helped people win. Yeah, they helped whoever's team they were on at the end of the year. Yes.

That was like Chase Brown. Like you felt like you took a giant L on a my guy last year because it was for the first six weeks. It was like, oh man, what a loser. And then he was unbelievable to help people win. I call that a win. I didn't realize that. I thought you moved off this bus pick. I did not know that you went forward with you. No, no, no. I very much. It's funny because. Let's make a trade on the show then. We might. I'm going to go make an offer. Go on. Go on. Okay. So this bus pick was in there for. Don't share your bust. But go on. This. This.

This pick was in here for a couple weeks now. And then we got news that I think made everybody think I was going to change my bus. I did. You did? Andy did. That Kyle was giving me other options. I was like, so Kyle wanted you to do it too? Well, he just thought I would. And I was like, no, I don't want to change. I completely still believe this. And I'll explain my rationale here. My bus pick this year is Travis H. Chan Jr.

Running back for the New Orleans Saints? The artist formerly known as Travis E.T. N. Yes. If you are, you know, we know from the comments. I'm going to call him from now on. The artist formerly known as Travis E.T.N. There you go. Full time. That's fine. He wants to be H.A. Yeah. So if you are coming back to fantasy football and you're like, why are you saying his name wrong? That's the French Creole pronunciation that he prefers. The commentators in the Hall of Fame game basically said we're going to call him that this year. So as the season goes on, you'll hear Travis H. H.A. Jr. It stinks.

only because there's an A-chan. If it was someone else that was unique, you'd be like, but anyways. Let me read you a Slack channel message that we sent last night. I said, we were like, Mike's like, hey, are you still sticking with Travis H.N. Jr. is your bust. And I said, I wonder if he'll change that. And then you got tagged. And you said, yes, I am. Well, I was saying yes to Mike's, the first question of, are you still sticking with him? Yes, I am.

So I see how you see it both ways, but here's the thing about the artist formerly known as Travis E.T.N. There are three reasons why I don't like him as a pick where he's going right now. One is the change in the offensive expectation, right? He was on the Jags last year, which was a top offense, and he's switching to the Saints, which...

hopefully can be a better offense, but they're obviously a much worse offense last year than they were. And as far as the offensive line, it's a downgrade on the offensive line. Second is the way he scored fantasy points last year. And then there are some specifics on the tips and tricks we brought up yesterday that you brought up, Mike, that really speak against Travis E.T. and Shane this year. Okay, so here's a thing.

The first point, offers, oh, you made me a live offer. No, don't worry about it. Do you're talking. Okay. How he scored last year, he's not ever been a very efficient back. I don't think he's, he's been okay for fantasy. He scored a lot of touchdowns. But he hasn't really been a very efficient back. And inside the red zone, he was downright horrific. Inside the 10-yard line and inside the 5-yard line last year,

10 zone attempts, which these are money in fantasy. He had 26 carries inside the 10. That turned into four touchdowns, a 15% rate. That is abysmal. He had 12 of those 26 inside the five, and those turned into two touchdowns. The only running backs last year that were worse in those metrics were weirdly Saquan Barkley and Woody Marks. He was not good. Where his touchdowns came from,

were receiving touchdowns. He had six receiving touchdowns, and yet he only caught 36 passes. How rare is that? He joined 2014 Amad Bradshaw and 2018 Cream Hunt as the only running backs over the last 25 years with six or more touchdowns on less than 40 receptions. 43% of his fantasy points came from those touchdowns. That is not repeatable. Five of those receiving touchdowns were inside the red zone. I mean, how rare is that?

Well, he had zero receiving touchdowns inside the red zone for his entire career. So now you've got a guy who kind of was propped up from rare touchdowns that aren't very repeatable, wasn't efficient on the ground. He's changing teams to a worst team. And my biggest argument against him for most of this offseason has been, I'm sorry about Alvin Kamara is going to be involved. But Jason. Yeah, but Jason, he's. Alvin Kamara's injured. Yeah, he is.

At most, Alvin Kamara at this point, the timeline says he could be ready week one. But let's say he misses the first two weeks of the season. He's not back till week three. When he gets back, he will be eating into the past catching work of Travis H. Chan Jr., which is where he made his fantasy points last year, those first two weeks that he might be alone, you want to be on the road against the Detroit Lions who have, when they're healthy, one of the best run defenses in the league? Or do you want to be on the road against the Baltimore Ravens?

games, you are more than touchdown underdogs. That's not good for running back. Camara's going to be eating jello at the retirement home in week, too. Yeah, I mean, I'm just saying we, by the time you get to any good schedule. So early underdogs, that was a tip and trick from Mike yesterday. When you're an early underdog on a bad team, it doesn't usually work for fantasy. I think that how he scored fantasy points was not great. So there's no reason for him to be on your team. I sent you a trade. Well, I think he's going to be great.

So we'll see if the value matches. Nope, the rubber meets the road right here. Look, I think that you could make, I think there, I don't think you can make an argument that anything you said was incorrect. I think the only argument that I have is the same sort of argument I feel towards Kenneth Walker. The market and the teams that I trust, the play caller that I love, they put their money where their mouth was, four year, $52 million deal.

Ken Walker has a ton of crappy efficiency metrics in different areas. This dude dances behind the line of scrimmage and gets caught back there. I just love the fact that they decided to make him their franchise identity at running back. So I'm in on that. I do love that. And I love Kellynmore offenses, especially for quarterbacks and wide receivers. One of the weird things about Kellyn Moore's offense, though, they have routinely ranked among the bottom.

of running back target shares over the last four years, 26th, 26th, 20th, and 27th. So it's like, and honestly, that's smart. That's wise. Throwing to a running back is less efficient than throwing to a wide receiver or a tight end, just statistically speaking. Have a fast pace of play. Like if I was an office coordinator, have a fast pace play. Throw to your wide receivers as much as you can. That's how I play. And that's how Kellan Moore plays. But yeah, I do love the investment. And I will say there is another metric.

of a certain barometer of money given to running backs in the off season where if you are over it, you usually work. And the artist formerly known as Travis E.T.N is over that mark. Rambalaya. Yeah, you've got both sides of it. I'm more weary. And I will look at the trade offer. It means that you're convicted about it if Camer goes out and you still feel like, I mean, I got a trade offer from you yesterday. Was it good? I don't remember.

Oh, you don't remember the offer? Oh, no, that was good. Why didn't you accept it? Wasn't that for, that was for this dude? Yeah, but it wasn't a good offer. I ran like five mock draft dude. You hate him. The guy, okay. I hate him if I don't take your crappy offer. All right. Chuba Hubbard, Mike, that's your boss? Sure. Oh, my gosh. He says this was a crappy offer. He says I made a crappy offer. His offer was the 301 in our league for Travis H. Chan Jr. 301 in a three-keeper league. That's basically the sixth rounder.

A sixth rounder. He's going in the fourth. No, no, I will decline. I have run a tremendous amount of, so Bayshall Tootin goes around. I mean, is Bayshall Tootin versus Travis A-Chant? Bayshall Tootin will not be there at the 3-0-1. So, well, Geron Price will be? No, he won't. Oh, okay. So, I mean, I...

I know what you're saying, but I know our league and how we, I mean, you know how we draft. Bachel Tutin and the running backs go up in our league of record. I have taken. You love AJ. I've taken every opportunity that has ever been presented in front of me to either dump on or bet against Travis A. Chan Jr., to the point of just a truly horrific outcome last year. Look, if you recall, there were co-starters on the Jacksonville Jaguars last year.

and we were all taking sides. And then they traded one of the guys to be a backup in Philadelphia. And then it really worked out for Travis. But I'm with Andy of the volume. I think the volume will make him okay. And I like the Saints offense. I don't think that he's a special player at the running back position, but I think he will end up being okay. My bus pick here.

currently running back 28 going in the seventh round so this isn't like a huge investment but i'm just putting i'm putting the foot down i'm putting the flag in the ground it's tubba hubbard i want absolutely nothing to do with him like he is a full fade for me at this point with what's going on in carolina you know recalling last year weeks one through four he was getting an elite work percentage he was at 29 the work percentage which is you know targets and attempts