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Main show · October 12, 2021

Week 6 Waivers + Full Stream Ahead, Miracles & Nightmares - Fantasy Football Podcast for 10/12

RSSOct 12, 2021 · transcript indexed
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Week 6 Waivers + Full Stream Ahead, Miracles & Nightmares - Fantasy Football Podcast for 10/12

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Inside the episode

157 passages
40:04 ↗

Come on. But he is, he is, you know, seventh most routes run in week five among all wide receivers. And he's gigantic. So it's a, it's a great combination. And he's a good player. Yeah, he really is a solid player. While Jerry Judy is out and Drew Locke is not the quarterback, yeah, pick up Tim Patrick. It's funny. I don't think we've ever, like, have we ever had a player on waivers as many consecutive weeks as Tim Patrick where you're still telling people pick him up?

40:31 ↗

Because week after week after week after week, it's worked. And then he's still not rostered in over 50% of leagues. Tim, we're trying, buddy. Don't name your children, Tim. It's just too boring. That's my father's name. Exactly. Sorry, Pop. He's pretty boring. Hunter Renfro, he just keeps getting targets for the Las Vegas Raiders. He has the second most third down receptions in the NFL. He's a good PPR guy for.

40:59 ↗

points for a known commodity. And he does have a touchdown upside. While he's more of a slot PPR guy, they do look for him down near the goal line. Here we have a new name. Amanra St. Brown. The Detroit Lions rookie was drafted in the fourth round against Minnesota. He saw eight targets seven for 65. But here's the big deal. Quintes Cephas.

41:28 ↗

of the Detroit Lions. He has fractured his clavicle. He's going to miss probably the rest of the season. But just in fantasy football terms, he is out for the foreseeable future. Tyrell Williams is still on the IR, not expected to return yet. People were very excited for St. Brown in the rookie season because of this. It looked like the opportunity was there. Because the Lions didn't have an established wide receiver crew.

41:55 ↗

And now the opportunity is there even more. They are playing very frequently in negative game scripts. Jared Goff is playing competent football. Where are we at with St. Brown? Should you pick him up? He's got the Cincinnati Bengals this week, just a spot start at the flex, or are you just stashing him at this point? Oh, man. I think that you can, if you're going to pick him up, I would pick him up if you're wanting to play him.

42:25 ↗

He's someone where... Eight targets two consecutive weeks. Six for 70 against the Chicago Bears, seven for 65 this past week against Minnesota. I mean, his snaps are going up. He's getting more involved. That's what you would expect. He is a rookie. He will work his way into the offense. And now he is thrust into the offense. Yeah, I mean, he should have enough volume to be relevant. I'm curious.

42:52 ↗

how going forward in, you know, now that they've, now because of the collarbone problem, whether or not Hawkinson gets back to dominating the targets, or if they, you know, if Hawkinson's taken out of the game and Amman Ra is necessary, he's certainly someone that should be picked up. But I think if you're picking him up, you should be looking at him as a player that maybe you need to start and not just a stash.

43:22 ↗

Cardinals wide receivers are still there. Christian Kurt can have a big game at any moment, and he's available in about half of leagues. But I want to talk about Rondale Moore, and he's been difficult. The second round rookie selection by the Arizona Cardinals, athletic freak, just absolutely off the charts. Six targets this past week, five for 59. He also saw three carries that turned into 38 rushing yards.

43:51 ↗

The most important thing of this analysis here, Rondale Moore ran more routes. His snaps were fewer, but he ran more routes than Christian Kirk. Could this be the transition that Rondale Moore is going to work his way further into the offense? Like we said for St. Brown, it's a rookie. It takes time for some of these guys. If you're not a first round pick, often it takes half a season or so.

44:21 ↗

before you work into the offense. And to me, I've kind of been all over the place with Rondale Moore, but this is, this was enough for me that you need to stash him or you need to trade for him because he can, in this offense, he can be a second half star for your team. Yeah, I don't know that he's going to be able to be a second half star unless.

44:48 ↗

there is an injury or something. And maybe that injury is Max Williams, who just went down. You know, he's been, the tight end for the Arizona Cardinals has been soaking up a lot of targets over the last month. But I don't know that he's being worked into the offense really any more than he has been over the course of the season. Speaking of Rondell Moore.

45:08 ↗

You look at the last month, 46% of snaps, 34, 42, 48. It's been pretty consistent. He comes on the field in certain, you know, formations, and he is absolutely electric. But I view him almost identically to Christian Kirk in the sense that these are players you can pick up, you can put in your lineup, they can get you zero, they can get you 20.

45:31 ↗

The offense is great. The pace of play is great. They are a swing for the fences type of play. I would much prefer to have these guys who might end up with a 5-450 line rather than a Deshawn Jackson Van Jefferson type where you're really only hoping for a big play. So I think they're fine, but there are, you know, I guess here's the question. This is a philosophical question as a fantasy manager.

45:58 ↗

When you're looking at a player like Amin Rae St. Brown, who you pretty much can be confident should have more targets, more snaps, more involvement in the offense, but a much lower ceiling, would you rather have, you know, that, or even maybe a Hunter Renfro, consistent known targets for your waiver wire pickup of the week, or shoot the shot at the high potential but lower floor?

46:25 ↗

of a Christian Kirk Rondell Moore. If I need a spot start this week, I would probably go to St. Brown. Tape the points. But that means that I already have a bunch of guys on my bench that I'm ready. I'm ready for that second half. These are players that I believe can really take off. And this is a matchup. This is a matchup game as well. Look at your opponent.

46:46 ↗

Are they one of the highest scoring guys in the league? Pick up your Christian Kirk. Pick up your Rondale more. If not, then, you know, if you're in a good, easy matchup or an even matchup, then go with the Amanraa St. Browns or the Hunter Renfroes. Let me throw one other name out there that is available in 100% of leagues. We looked over to this. We built the stock together, you know, and put all these names in there. Handcrafted. Handcrafted. And we didn't even.

47:09 ↗

remember this guy. The reason we didn't remember this guy is because nobody knew who he was, including Andrew Siciliano, who kept saying that it was Diami Brown. Oh, yes, yes. Out there. But DeAndre Carter, wide receiver for the Washington football team. Logan Thomas is gone. Curtis Samuel is gone, and that was really what happened. He became the wide receiver, too. He had eight targets. He was looked to all the time in this game, and they're playing the Kansas City Chiefs.

47:39 ↗

Sure. So it's hard because there's no history here. This is like one of those glory plays where most people are going to say, who is that? But I think there could be a shot or if you're in a deep league where the waivers aren't as, you know, fruitful, then I would think about DeAndre Carter as someone you could pick up. I would certainly rather have him that his teammate Adam Humphreys.

48:06 ↗

because the targets, eight targets were very nice. Yeah, if you're in a deep league, I like that call. Also, James Washington, we'll see if he's good to go for the Pittsburgh Steelers. He was also, you don't want to be on the groin index. It's not somewhere that you want, that's not a status symbol. No. I mean, you want to be on the website, groin index.com. Well, I guess it's really good for your, like, social following. Yeah. Builds Pub.

48:33 ↗

for you but Washington was on it this past week with juju being out for the rest of the season we'll see if James Washington can work his way into the I mean yeah he if if I knew James Washington was active this week I would probably have him up there with all the other names we're talking about um so if before waivers run you news comes out that he's active and ready to go then I you know make your waiver claims um

48:59 ↗

accordingly. Rashad Bateman of the Ravens should be stashed. At the running back position, guys, are you willing to drop, Jason? Trey Sermon. Yeah, bye-bye on your buy. Tyson Williams. Yeah, I think at this point, there's not much to see here. I would be willing to move him for a better back. Naim Hines. No. Miles Sanders? That's got to be a no. No. Yeah, the opportunities went up for Sanders and the snaps were there. All right.

49:26 ↗

Latavius Murray is probably rostered. I get it. He's not available in my league, but just have a look because he is available in about 32%. I mean, because he would not be my number one pickup. He. Yeah, okay, I get that. Like I know he has touchdown opportunities and that, you know, look, that's going to help you win a week. If you look back, he has three touchdowns in five games. And if you don't get those touchdowns, you got.

49:54 ↗

He's jack squat. He sucks. He's not good out there. You get a dropping passes that Tyson Williams definitely would have caught. Tyson would have dominated. I mean, his rushing yardage for Latavius Murray is, here's his weekly game logs, 28 yards, 36 yards, 28 yards, 59, 17. I realize he is the clear lead back. But as I talked about in the recap, I just don't think they're going to be that much of a running team anymore because they're like, man, we're not good at this. Fair enough.

50:23 ↗

Devante Booker of the New York Giants, Sequin Barclay left with an ankle injury. He'll be out two to four weeks. I mean, I would guess he's out at least three weeks. Would be my not doctor opinion. Devante Booker widely available after Barclay left. 16 for 42 on the ground with a touchdown for targets. Ran a bunch of routes. He was on the field for 88% of the snaps. Rams, Carolina.

50:53 ↗

Not the most delightful matchups here, but he's going to be the guy. So if you, like your team, Jason, you need a running back. He's my number one pickup. And the Rams. And what type of a, so you would burn top priority. Yes, top priority on waivers. And what type of fab are you trying to lock in here for Booker? Well, it's tough because at this point in the season.

51:19 ↗

managers have different amounts of fab. So like in our league of record, I got about half my fab left. So if I had all my fab, I would spend, you know, 50 if I need a back or 60. But when you're down to half your fab, it's tough to say spend 50 because that's now saying spend 100% of what you have left. In my world, I think he is worth 30 or 40 fab if you are in need of a running back. He is.

51:46 ↗

a guaranteed starter, and the Rams defense, which should be one of the best in the league, they've been average. They're just an average defense. They're middle of the pack across the board against every position, so they have not been that scary. He, I mean, is just whenever there is a back that comes in. And here's what you're getting. I think this is important to quantify what you're...

52:14 ↗

spinning up for you're not spinning up for a superstar you're spinning up for an rb2 yeah you're spending up a low end for opportunity in production i will throw in though last year when barclay was out we had a run of replacement level running backs in this offense having

52:33 ↗

Strong fantasy success. Yeah, I mean, the truth is if this was... And Booker has a three-down skill set. He's not just a jag where he's, you're like, well, he's good for first and second down. No, he can catch the ball. No, if this was two weeks from now when their matchups were Kansas City and the Raiders, I would be all about that. I would be going in heavier. I think he's going to be a low in RB2 against the Rams and against Carolina.

53:00 ↗

Darrell Williams of the Kansas City Chiefs. We know that Clyde is going to be out for a while. Darrell projects to be the next guy up. He's had five games with 12 or more opportunities. And in those games, he's averaged nearly 13 fantasy points per game. He gets to take on Washington, which is now a great matchup, apparently. One of the worst defenses in the league. Their defenses has fallen apart. Tennessee, the Giants. So are you sure you would prefer?

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