Trending or Ending + Combine Hype

15 carries a game during the final four games and including, you know, into the playoffs. Look, Derek Henry took over. After his breakout game, they said, what are we doing? We need to give this guy the ball more. He, to the tune of 21.8 carries a game, a 16 game pace of 348. If you'd ask me, will Derek Henry get 20 carries a game?

That's right around where I think he will receive about 20 carries a game. So I think he'll crush the 15 carry count. And shame on me, if I'm wrong, because Derek Henry has, we've got enough track record to say he has not been great in the NFL. Right. But I think they figured it out at the end of the year. They said, this is a guy that if we give him 12 carries a game, he's not doing to the defense.

what his best quality is. He's not wearing these guys down saying, hey, tackle this mountain. Well, and the confidence of knowing you're going to get the ball, the confidence of knowing you're the guy. I mean, that makes a huge difference on the way a person runs. For years, he had to run out there and spell somebody. And then they say, Derek Henry, you're a bruiser, go make a play on a single one-off. And then he runs into the back of it. I mean, two years ago,

He failed to convert a lot of fourth downs because it's difficult to get into a rhythm. He is a rhythm monster. Yeah, I think that they will give him the ball a lot, and I will probably draft him, which wish for me, pray for me. If I draft Derek Henry, I'm going to be so scared because he's been so bad. But I believe in him. Well, you've got to change your tune. That's the thing is even after his breakout game last year, I didn't.

I didn't pivot quick enough. I didn't buy in quick enough because I thought I had seen enough failure, but maybe he figured it out. Yeah, well, they followed that up with a 33-carry game. Yeah, that helps. All right. Mike Williams, double-digit TDs again, trending or ending? He had, what, 11 last year, Brooks? Yeah, I think so. I think one on the ground, 10 through the air, something like that. Mike Williams, is he a double-digit titan fluke?

I kind of want to... Or a red zone monster. I want to take the ending because I feel like you're going to take the trending because you were... One of your bold predictions this past year was that he'd have double-digit touchdowns, and it came true. But I think you have to... You have to say it's going to keep happening. This was what he was brought in for. He's that type of a prototypical... He's a monster of a man. If you're in the red zone, why not throw it to that dude? Now, Derek Henry or Hunter Henry? Hunter Henry.

Maybe he comes in and eats a few touchdowns near the goal line. Delicious touchdown. But you're also probably losing Tyrell Williams' free agency. So, I mean, I don't know why you would expect Mike Williams to regress. No, I think he has more upward movement possible. Phil Rivers had a 131.6 quarterback rating when targeting Mike Williams. He has a huge catch radius.

Look, 11th best contested catch rate amongst wide receivers. He is a playmaker, and I love him. I think he's a great player. There was a world where I was looking at, this might sound crazy, but as a dynasty buy-sell Canada, I was looking real hard at Keenan Allen, trying to figure out what I think about Keenan Allen's next few years. Because you talk about Hunter Henry coming back. I look at him as, yeah, you can make an argument that he's a red zone.

threat to Mike Williams. I'm not concerned about that. I think he's somebody that's going to eat up the middle of the field the way that Keenan Allen has been prone to do as well. I don't think Allen is disappearing by any stretch. Don't overread into what I'm saying. But I'm wondering in a dynasty league, would you rather have Keenan Allen today?

Then Mike Williams? Yeah, I think you say yes. I think you have to say yes. Yeah, you have to. But I think Mike Williams has a lot of upward movement left in him. I agree with that. I'm not worried at all about Keenan Allen. I think Keenan Allen is still the primary guy. He's still going to get his touchdowns. Clearly the targets, the receptions between the 20s work. So I love both of these guys. I don't think Mike Williams hurts Keenan. All right. Let's close it out with this one. Big Ben, Big Ben Rothersberger, last year's quarterback three.

Is he a top five quarterback in 2019? Nope. Is he a top 10 quarterback in 2019? I'm going to say no. If you say no, what does that mean for juju? If if juju doesn't have a top 10 quarterback, is he the same player? Oh, he's fine. The juju's fine. Let me ask you this. In 2016, who was the quarterback, the wide receiver won? In 2016. In 2016? Antonio Brown. Probably Antonio Brown. What about in 2015? Brown.

Yeah, that's when Big Ben Rothensberger was quarterback 18, quarterback 21. That's a solid argument. I'm not worried about, look, when you lose Antonio Brown, it will have effects. It will have effects on every other player on the roster. And, you know, look, this was Big Ben's best year for fantasy finish ever. And I don't think that it's because of any other reason than the fact that you have Antonio Brown.

and juju show up. You have pretty much your best core at their own peaks ever. And it's going the opposite direction now. And you got it for just one year. I mean, I was really high on Big Ben this past season. As a fantasy player, we had Splane Yourself episodes on my love for him. And that's gone now. Now, if I will say this, if Antonio Brown is back, sure. He'll definitely be a top 10.

There was a little bit of extra news this morning. Jack Doyle tied in for the Colts. He underwent off-season hip surgery. So he will be sidelined until training camp. He's probably going to miss all of OTAs. He's probably going to miss all of minicamp. You know, he missed a ton of time in the regular season last year. He ended up on injured reserve late in the season. Look, it's concerning. Eric.

Yeah, Doyle is 29. Eric Ebron. I'm so happy that Eric Ebron finally became a thing because I was a real believer and he kept letting you down. But what's crazy is- I think Eric Ebron might be a thing again. Yeah, because look, Titans. Just why you should trade me Mark Andrews. You don't need them. Historically, Titans take several years before they become relevant. It's very common. Very common. Look at Greg Olson for it to be the second contract.

is when a tight-in actually becomes a really relevant piece. Well, this is his second contract. Now he's on a great offense. He's 25. You feel like he's 32. It's bewildering because you feel with when Ebron came onto the scene and Doyle came onto the scene. You feel like Doyle is younger. Doyle's 29 with hip injuries. Right. Eric Ebron is 25 somehow and never ages. Right. No, it's fantastic. Yeah. I mean, that, trending or ending Eric Ebron.

I'm going trending. I believe in Eric Ebron. I do. I mean, I always have, and I think he's a very easy guy to target to say, look, he's going to regress because his touchdown pace was ridiculous. But I actually believe even if his touchdown pace regresses, which I would say is fair. Right. His production for fantasy in the offense, in a great offense, is going to be fine. He's going to be a top five tight end.

Yeah, I mean, the argument against him would be a few things. One, adding another pass-catching piece in the wide receiver game. They have Tyoy Hilton and a bunch of scrubs. Misfits. Yeah, Zach Pascal and, you know, last year it was Donchell Inman and there were a handful. But if they add another powerful wide receiver piece and then, you know, can Andrew Luck to throw 40 touchdowns again? Of course you can.

but he's probably a candidate to lose four or five of his touchdowns this year. He threw 39. If Marlon Mackett's in the end zone a handful more times, Naim Hines out of the backfield, there's a world where, like you said, I think the odds are that Ibrun's touchdowns totals go down. But maybe he's a little more consistent than he was last year. That would be the hope that he's more involved on a week-to-week basis, not just this, you know, three touchdowns here, three touchdowns there, and then a goose egg. That's what hurt last year. Yeah, it's hard for...

any tight end to be consistent for fantasy unless they're 150 target guy like a Zach Ertz or Travis Kelsey. Yeah, no doubt. Pristine deal a day. All right, as we close it out, we got the pristine deal of the day, pristine auction.com. Let them know the footballer sent you when you sign up and bid because today. This one's ridiculous. Well, which one? There are two. We're throwing two in there real quick.

I'm going to go with the one that was just talked about. This is the less ridiculous, still ridiculous one. T.Y. Hilton, we were just talking about him. Signed Indianapolis, Colts, Jersey, PSA certified authentic signature, $47. Yesterday. Yesterday. $47. Hang that on your wall. 47 bucks. That's unbelievable. And then if you want some old school gear, they got everything. They got everything.

It is crazy, too. Jerry Rice signed 49ers logo football, Beckett certified, Beckett witnessed, $65.52. Now, is this a Jerry Rice with a G? Is this a different man? No, no. This is the Hall of Famer, best wide receiver of all time. $65 for a signed logo football. And this is the thing about auctions on pristine auction. You can get them at the price that they're at. Right. I mean, it's not like they're just listed for $150. If you're the one on there and you grab it.

We bet on stuff all the time every day because it's like, whatever, I'm willing to spend 30 bucks on this. I'm willing to spend 50. I'm willing to spend whatever. It doesn't cost you anything unless you win. And then if you win, you go, oh, what? I stole this thing. All right. Thanks to pristine auction for supporting the show. Thanks to you for listening. Mike will be back early next week. Probably be back for the footcast tomorrow over at join the foot.com. Probably. So take care. Enjoy the combine. Goodbye.

you for listening to another episode of the fantasy footballers podcast join our fantasy football community on join the foot dot com and follow us on twitter at the ff ballers in season for fantasy football is a marathon for us we are recording in the morning we're getting school ready in the morning we're then checking our rankings doing everything and then all of a sudden it's only noon with plenty of the day still ahead

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