Week 3 Matchups + In-or-Out, Tinkerbell Rule

And I'm not super excited about the output. Dolphins at 0 and 2. Take on the Cowboys at 2 and 0. The implied point total in this one has the Cowboys with 34.3 points. The Dolphins with 13. This was news that we could have mentioned earlier, but Josh Rosen is starting. But we chose not to. I mean, what? Yeah. It's like a tree falling in a forest. I'm like if news cannot help.

or hurt you in any way or before. Is it really news? Is it really news? Josh Rosen, you couldn't have fathomed a situation worse than what he had in Arizona last year. Three and 13, no offensive line, no offensive weapons, no offensive coach. They said it couldn't be done. How do you feel if you're John? Like if Josh Rosen, if he just started complaining openly, I'd be like, yeah, that's fair. You look and you ask the universe, what have I done to be put in this position?

It sucks. No, like, no one. No one at, no quarterbacks. You give me Peyton Manning. You give me Tom Brady. I don't care. You put them on this Miami Dolphins team. They are not going to be able to have success. I heard one of those discussions on Sirius yesterday with regard to like, okay, if Joe Montana is drafted by the Arizona Cardinals back in, you know, the 80s, you know, the Cardinals were, they're not good now.

But they've had a good run. Right. New stadium. But they were the laughing sock of the league for 20 years. And, you know, you put yourself in that bad situation, something different happens. Patrick Mahomes. 100%. If Patrick Mahomes is drafted by a different team. Is he the MVP of football? Probably not. No, if Mahomes, like, if the Bears take. If he's drafted by Detroit.

The Detroit Lions, is he the MVP of football last year? When they want to run the ball and, yeah, no, without an offensive mind like Andy Reid. No, it takes, football is a team sport and that team very much includes the head coach, not just the players. Yeah, people get upset about the luck factor that is in fantasy football. That's undeniable. There is a luck factor for these players as well. Well, so you're not playing any dolphin. You're not playing Kalem Blasier and Drake. I would.

maybe roster Preston Williams and hope he continues to be the number one target, or at least the number one. Did he catch zero of seven targets? No, that was Devanti Parker. Oh, okay. I was going to say maybe he's not the number one target, but he's the number one target that can catch a football on the team. But on the Cowboys side, the Cowboys are Vegas' highest projected implied team total. They are saying they're going to score the most points this week, according to the line.

I don't know who you don't start. I mean, I think you can even put a flex play in of Randall Cobb or Devin Smith and just hope, okay, they get a touchdown too. The real interesting question here, because obviously you're playing Zeke, you're playing Dak, you're playing Cooper. What about Jason Witten? Nope. He's got 37 yards receiving, 35 yards receiving. You know, I'd rather play Ebron. I'd rather play. So you'd rather play Ebron than Witten.

Yeah. He's in the exact same category. But a little bit more, you know, athleticism and upside on that front. You know, Eric Ebron can make a bigger play than Jason Whitten can. And it's just been touched down dependency for both. So I, if you want to play him in that low category, but like this morning on the waiver wire, I need a tight in for next week. I've got George Kittle on by. The buy start next week. I'm looking at Witton and Ebron and I signed Ebron. Well, and that makes sense in general. The reason I was surprised is because of.

the matchup, the implied total. I mean, if the, you know, if the Cowboys come out and do score 35 points, I think that just says Jason Witten has a good chance of getting one of those touchdown. Sure. Yeah. And Blake Jarwin's making the more downfield tight-in plays for the team right now. But I didn't want to linger on this game too much because you're starting your Cowboys, you're sitting your Dolphins. Yep. Last week, the Patriots had more interception return yards than Miami had total yards.

So go Dallas defense. Giants. Oh, and two, take on the Buccaneers at one and one. The Buccaneers are six and a half point home favorites in this one. I do think James Winston is a streamable option in this game. I have Mike Evans and O.J. Howard as starts of the week. So I am in for pain, I guess, if things go wrong, just a glutton for punishment with the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. But they did win the game last week.

He is learning a new offense with Bruce Ariens. He was much better during that game, and I think he's a streamable option. Godwin, you're playing. What are you doing with the running backs in Tampa, Jason, Mike? It's unpredictable at this point because we've seen, you know, very different things, week one and week two. If you are forced to, though, I mean, Peyton Barber looks like he will be the guy moving forward.

It's like if this game comes out and now Ronald Jones gets 12 carries and Peyton Barber sees eight, that's not going to surprise me. So I had traded Peyton Barber away in our league of record and had Ronald Jones on my bench. I just cut him because at that point, like if you're not, you don't know who's going to be. He got picked up for $4 a fab. Ronald Jones? For the mystery. The mystery that is the bad field. I don't blame people for still stashing him, but.

Sequin, you're going to play him. Daniel Jones makes his debut this week. You've got a bunch of debuts, right? You have Mason Rudolph and now Daniel Jones in trying to figure out which of these young quarterbacks has the chance to be productive. Teddy Bridgewater with his first start of the season as well. Can we call it a half start since they said they're going to use two quarterbacks? Does he get a half start? Maybe Tayson Hill with his first start of the season. Evan Engram did not have the week we hoped last week.

because it seemed like the ceiling was there with Sterling Shepard missing the game. He's fine. He was fine. You're playing him, though. Yes. 100%. So here's a deal with the receiving options, not including Sequin on the Giants side. Someone is going to be relevant here, but we don't know Daniel Jones's tendencies. We don't know where it's going to go. This could be a bad game for Evading Room if he's not targeting the tight-in. But because of the tight-in landscape, you absolutely have to start.

Evan Ingraham. You don't just have better options out there. So I take a wait and see approach on the wide receivers. And then you're basically just starting Sequin and Evan Ingraham from the Giants. Panthers, Cardinals. This game's in Arizona. Kyler Murray. Cardinals are two and a half point home favorites. Kyle Allen, another young quarterback likely to get a start tomorrow. So he's coming home. Kyle Murray through.

two weeks leads the league with 899 air yards he only has 17 rushing yards they asked him about that disparity you know not running the ball yet yeah carler what's up with that and i think fantasy owners want to know that too and he kind of kind of just said like it just hasn't happened like it's not intentional you know the defense has put a lot of pressure on him in the pocket there hasn't been clearly designed runs for him really i think he started the game last week with like

you know, a scramble for 10 yards, and then it just didn't happen. So I think that's part of his game that he wants to, uh, I would say improve, you know, use the dual threat ability. We've seen quarterbacks. He just keeps the defense on, on edge. But thus far, he's throwing the ball a ton, which makes Larry Fitzgerald and Christian Kirk at home must starts. Must starts. Yes.

Yes, 100%. I mean, Larry Fitzgerald is my start of the week. Christian Kirk is just as good a start as Larry Fitzgerald. I think this should be a good offensive output for the Arizona Cardinals here. A lot of question marks with the Panthers. I mean, they could be improved with Kyle Allen just based on the version of Cam that we saw last week.

which was very, very difficult. But again, very similar to not knowing the tendencies of Daniel Jones, you're taking, you know, if you want to throw DJ Moore out there or Curtis Samuel out there, I think you can. Arizona is a very beatable defense, but it's for a gambling man. Those are things where you're just, you're getting lucky. I mean, if you put Curtis Samuel out there, you're saying he's a great route runner.

He's got blazing. He's got blazing speed. I'm banking on the talent to win against a bad matchup, and that's fair. But if it ends up with DJ Moore gets 10 targets and Curtis Samuel 2, okay. I'm trying to find another option than banking on and on the road, Kyle Allen, who will be under constant pressure from, you know, this defense, this Chandler Jones, you know, Terrell Suggs.

I don't love having that depend. It's the same reason that I'd be hesitant about James Washington in week one with Mason Rudolph. Could it happen? Yes. Could they have a big game? Yes. How excited is Kyler Murray going to be to try to beat Kyle Allen? These guys were former Kyle Dominance. These guys were former teammates back in college, and Kyle Allen beat out Kyler Murray. He's the reason that Kyler Murray ended up going, changing schools. And now the.

the last laugh's going to be Kyler's. It's going to be exciting. Well, probably will be. Now, Mike, you have Greg Olson as you started the week. Yes. In spite of Kyle Allen getting the start, the matchup is overwhelming the rookie nature of Kyle Allen, who had a good week 17 last year, right? Yeah, and it's not just the matchup is incredible, but Greg Olson has, we've had two solid weeks from him. There was really high volume from Cam last week as they were trying to come back, but still.

Cam Newton completed under 50% of his passes. Greg Olson was still able to have a solid game. So I feel interested in Greg Olson this week. Yeah, and I don't blame you because the options that tied in, you just have to go with production. But I have some fears there with Greg Olson because of, you know, the rapport he has with Cam is unique, kind of the go-to safety valve. They have a mind meld. And Olson's had been banged up this year already. So I have a little bit of concern, but Arizona is going to do their best to assuage that concern.

These two teams rank first and second in the league in pace of play, by the way. Arizona on purpose, Carolina may be less on purpose coming from behind. And, you know, the Panthers could slip to O and three here. And you're looking at this season going, you know, where are they headed, you know? Steelers, O and two, taking on the 2 and 0 49ers. The 49ers are six and a half point home favorites. 44 point over under.

What are we expecting from Mason Rudolph in terms of being able to provide value to James Connor and Judy Smith-Schuster? Yeah, I mean, I think they're not going to hold him back. I believe they'll play with the same game plan they would have played with Big Ben. It's just a matter of how good is Mason Rudolph. I think he looked pretty good last week. I actually liked him. I gave him a first round grade coming out of college. I thought he was very good. And now he, you know, he's got the...

You know, you talk about the rapport, the mind meld that is between Greg Olson and Cam Newton. You've seen that for years with Mason Rudolph and James Washington from college to preseason games in the NFL. You know, I think we could be surprised pleasantly by Mason Rudolph. Do you guys hear the press conference with Mike Tolman talking about wide receiver snaps, James Washington? No. He basically, his quote, I think, was something like, it's cool that like.

Mason Rudolph and James Washington have that built in and that they've seen it a little bit. They asked him, are the snap going to change at the wide receiver position? And he basically said, yeah, they are. We're just figuring out what that distribution of labor will be. But he basically said everything a coach can say to say, you know, we're going to see if we can take advantage of that rapport. So you talk about a sneaky deep league start. If you've got injury problems, maybe you're, we have a team. I don't remember which one it is. We have some team with D. Jacks and Alson Jeffrey on it.

That's our Scotty Fishbowlton. Yeah, and so that's a deeper league. You know, if you're in a league like that and you need to take a shot, I'm not opposed to it, especially with Juju being more the focus of the defense and the secondary. James Washington is an incredible value play. If you're playing some fan duel this weekend, like his price opens things up a lot for what you're able to do. And for a redraft league, it's even if you got like a five bench, a six bench,

I think James Washington is a great stash. I don't know that I'm willing to put him into my lineup immediately, but similar to like Terry McLaurin, before week one, it was, okay, now there's a huge opportunity in front of him. Washington now has a huge opportunity in front of him, so I think you should stash him and see what happens. It's really ironic because you're talking about McLaurin's got this huge opportunity, and Washington has this huge opportunity. I'm thinking you're talking about the Redskins.

But you went back to James. I did. As McClure plays for Washington. Well, if you want to put all the pieces together, the Steelers' defense this year, 27th in fancy points given up to the quarterback, 25th to the running back, 28 to the wide receiver. Minka Fitzpatrick can't fix all of that. He will help. And one of the things that you should pay attention to is they've been very vulnerable to slot receivers thus far, but Mink is going to help lock down that problem. So I wouldn't expect to see the same production against them.