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Main show · September 26, 2019

Starts of the Week + Week 4 Breakdown, Confidence Canoe

RSSSep 26, 2019 · transcript indexed
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Starts of the Week + Week 4 Breakdown, Confidence Canoe

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42:41 ↗

You know, they've competed in the past, even in years where Buffalo's struggled. So, you know, I don't want to repeat the same refrain that got me in trouble with the Dolphins matchup being a divisional matchup at home. But the bills are a far better team than the dolphins. Yeah. Yeah, I am okay with a Sony Michelle start if you need to or a James White start. I'm not bullish, but I'm not completely off the way that you two are.

43:09 ↗

All right, the way that Mike is. I'm okay. You sounded like you agreed, but sure. I'm glad for the insight, the way that Mike is completely off. I still think that the one place that they can beat the bills is at the running back position. And, you know, you just trust Brady and Belichick to get the job done. Chargers at one and two, take on the Dolphins at 0 and 3.

43:35 ↗

Chargers are 15 and a half point favorites, 44 point over under. They won't have Melvin Gordon back and gosh darn it they won't need them because they're taking on the dolphins. So thank goodness. Some start of the weeks permeating through the charger side of the ball. Austin Eckler is currently Mike and I's number one running back on the week for our rankings and projections.

44:00 ↗

Miami's giving up the most rushing yards in the league. A staggering 189 per game. Wow. How is that possible? Oh, it's possible all right. Well, teams are up usually 40 to 3 by the half. And so then you run the ball, which is why I think obviously if you have Austin Eccler, you're going to start him. But I actually think Justin Jackson, he got a little bit more work. He's been getting more work. And I think that he is a flex-worthy start this week.

44:30 ↗

against this Dolphins because of the matchup, because of how bad the Dolphids have been, I think you could do worse than Justin Jackson. Yeah, I agree with you. I think he's a flexible player this week. He's had a few big runs called back. I think he's looked explosive. I think that both players have looked really good in the running game. You're not starting any dolphins at all. You're not. No. Please not. No. But what about? Just kidding. You don't even know what name to say next, do you?

45:01 ↗

I mean, if I had to play someone. What about Dan Marino? Yeah, you can play Dan Marino this week. If I had to play someone, it would, of course, be kidding a drink. Sure. Of course. And I would love to see it. You should try that. Keenan Allen, he leads the league in targets, receptions, receiving yards, air yards, and target share. That's okay. This week, he goes up against Avian Howard, who just gave up multiple touchdowns to Amari Cooper. Jason pulled up a clip before the.

45:31 ↗

The show of him giving up on a play, you talk about why things start to kind of snowball. Over the course of a game, playing defense when you're down four scores, not as fun as when you're in a competitive matchups. Xavier Howard's great. He's a phenomenal player. He's not been good this year because how do you give it your all? No pass rush, which breaks down any.

45:55 ↗

cornerback. You can't cover a guy for 15 seconds, 10 seconds, however long it takes for them to be back in the pocket. And so you're in a position now where obviously Keenan Allen's a start. I think you're going to have opportunities outside of Keenan Allen this week. I'm a big Mike Williams fan. Yes, I know he missed practice on Wednesday. Last week, I danced with the devil a little bit with Marlon Mack, who was dealing with practice reports. I'm just telling you that if Mike Williams is active, I'm a...

46:23 ↗

He's a big start for me. There's a lot of opportunity to go around there. Travis Benjamin's banged up. And so I think Mike Williams will have more opportunities this week in a matchup against a team giving up 33 fantasy points per game to the wide receiver. And I don't think it's all going to be Kenan Allen. The only discussion for me here for Keenan Allen, it's related to the future. Because we know when Keenan, when Melvin Gordon is out, Keenan Allen sees a huge uptick in opportunities and the offense runs through him.

46:52 ↗

You've been saying that for weeks. And it's not that Keenan Allen disintegrates and goes away by any stretch when Melvin Gordon comes back. But how are you how are you guys feeling with the expectations? Because you know, like you just ran through that list. I mean, that's an absolute ridiculous list of accolades for the first three weeks for Keenan Allen. But Melvin Gordon coming back. How are you approaching Keenan Allen? He's going to have a monster week this week against Miami.

47:21 ↗

And so if you wanted to trade high, if he does have another monster week, people are going to offer number one wide receiver overall value. If you can get back a stud, you know, if you can get back a really quality wide receiver and a running back or something like that. You have to get multiple pieces if you're considering trading Keenan Allen. Yes. But I do think Keenan Allen dips a little bit as the season goes along, but.

47:48 ↗

he's still going to be good. He's still going to be a top 12 guy. All right. Let's go to the Raiders Colts matchup. The Raiders at 1 and 2, the Colts 2 and 1. The game's in Indianapolis. They're 7 point favorites. It's a 45.5 point over under. Derek Carr, Jacoby Brissette. A lot of people in on Jacoby Brissette this week. Are you one of them? Yep. I mean, I think he was a great streaming option last week. I think he's an even better streaming option.

48:15 ↗

This week. Jacoby percent, Matthew Stafford. Who do you prefer this? I would go Stafford for the upside of a shootout. This game does not have the recipe of a shootout. If the Colts get up, they will continue to run the ball because they can. And I think they will in this game. Jacoby percent has just been very efficient. Yeah. Two touchdowns week one, three touchdowns week two, two touchdowns week two. Two touchdowns week three.

48:39 ↗

A lot of those going to T.Y. Hilton, though. And if T.Y. Hilton's out in this game, does that change your expectation for Jacobi Berset? If T.Y. was not there, I would look to pivot off of Berset as a streamer. All right. Another player that I'm targeting, actually, both of these players at running back, I'm targeting in a lot of leagues. I think they're both, I think they're both very interesting trade targets. Josh Jacobs right now.

49:02 ↗

He's only got one reception on the season. He took four IV bags in the middle of one game where people were worried about Jan and Richard being out there. He's their future at the position. I think it's better for him over the duration of the year. So I'm targeting him. Now, in this game, we have him ranked as the RB19 on the road. So a little bit of risk in this specific matchup. But the Colts defense has given up 24.5 points to the running back position, and there should be opportunity for him to run.

49:30 ↗

And then Marlon Mack, I've got him at RB7 this week. He's got the most carries in the NFL, 20 rushing attempts per game, and I still view him as a by-low player. Because I think when you head it into the season, Sands Andrew Luck, expectations have changed for him and less established than some of the other bigger names out there. So I actually think you can acquire Marlon Mack in a lot of leagues slightly below.

49:58 ↗

his true value, which I think will sustain throughout the year. What do you guys think about Marlon Mack both this week and over the course of the season? I tried to trade for him in the listener league. I offered Sammy Watkins and LaShawn McCoy was quickly turned down on that. But I agree with you, Andy. The Colts offense, Marlon Mack is so incredibly important to this offense, and he's been good. He's not going to go away.

50:24 ↗

barring injury. He's got a little bit of injury risk because of the history of missing games. But in the meantime, their offensive line is great. Their head coach is super smart. And he's a talented player. All right. Mike, what do you think of Tyrell Williams this week? You're hoping for a touchdown. The Colts defense has been holding up very well against wide receivers, at least fantasy wise. He's, Tyro Williams, like I see him. He's.

50:54 ↗

Pretty close to a weekly wide receiver to play because it's him and Darren, I am the Waller's as the two guys that came. Oh, yeah. Look, Tyrell Williams is, but he's more of a wide receiver three this week. Darren Waller has a 30.2% target chair. It's going up this week. That is Benannas. Yeah, I actually disagree with that. I think it's going down this week.

51:20 ↗

I don't think Waller is going to sustain this. I think teams are going to start paying attention to him because they don't have as many other options. They just released Ryan. How have they not done it already? Well, because there's been three games. And he brought, you know, he had the Monster 13 reception game last week and they were meaningless receptions. So if you think the game's going to be a blowout, maybe you get more meaningless receptions from Darren Waller. I think you're going to see a lot more Hunter Infro over the course of this year as well. They mean a lot to me in my fantasy team. I don't think the Colts care.

51:49 ↗

about Darren Waller. I think they've seen Aaron Waller catch a bunch of passes that are all worthless. The way that the Colts play defense is they stop the big plays. You know, they're funneling everything down. Go ahead. Beat us in front of us. You're not going over the top. And that's bad for Tyrell Williams and good for Darren Waller. I think they're going to be like, sure, continue to be worthless a hundred times a game in reality, but it will be a monster fantasy game. You could be right. I mean, if teams don't care,

52:19 ↗

that he's soaking up the, you know, run through the air situation. I just think over the course of the season, we've also seen the product of a limited Josh Jacobs and a Josh Jacobs not used in the passing game yet. That should take away some of it. Like I said, Hunter Renfro, they released Ryan Grant. They're going to start integrating him, and he's an underneath type of player too. What I'm saying is Derek Carr will find a way to be meaningless in the shallow range to a couple other players as well. Right now, Darren Waller's just...

52:46 ↗

At an incredible pace. He's on pace for 138 catches. It's a 30% target share. He's just blown up, my friends. Right. It's not going to stay this level. I agree with that. But I do think the matchup I like this week. Eric Ebron, we have them as the tight-in 12 on the year. Are you comfortable with Ebron if you're a Kittle owner? Yep. And then you've got other options like O.J. Howard, T.J. Hawkinson. How would you order Ebron and Howard and Hawkinson?

53:16 ↗

First, I need to know what is the health of T.Y. Hilton? Yeah, that can make a big difference. So it's a little bit of a spoiler here, but we're going to get into it in the next minute or two. But right now, I have Eric Ebron as my start of the week at the tight end position, but this is based off of T.Y. Hilton's current participation. Like, if Hilton's out, absolutely. I'm in on Eric Ebron because the matchup is fine against the Oaken Raiders.

53:45 ↗

So that's what I'm looking for for Ebron. Yeah, the Raiders gave up 20 fantasy points to Mr. Travis Kelsey and the Chiefs in week two last week against Minnesota, four for 71 against the tight end. It makes me happy to hear you say that, Mike. It's above the law. I saw it. You picked them up to play. I did. I did pivot back to Ebron for my start in place of George Kittle. So that makes me happy. Thank you for.

54:15 ↗

Thank you for thinking of it. I would still prefer Hawkinson over Ebron, but by the slightest margin, if I could choose between those two guys, I like the upside of. I would, even with Hilton out? To me, Hilton being out is not a benefit to Ebron. Ebron's a touchdown scoring guy. Well, Hilton scored four times on the year. That should be a benefit to him. But my point is, Hilton helps move the ball, helps give more opportunities.

54:41 ↗

Sure. You can argue it either way, but I don't see that as a major booed that only benefits Ebrook. All right. It starts time. Starts of the week. All right. It's week four. We've got some starts of the week for you. All of our rankings available at the fantasy footballers.com, the start sit tool. We update our rankings multiple times every single day based on the news, information, weather reports, all of that stuff. Jason is smirking.

55:15 ↗

Yeah, I'm just smirking at who I've got in for tight end. Oh, my good. Did someone else write that in or is that legitimate? No, I wrote that in. All right. Starting at the tight end position. No, we need to not start here so we can give him time to think about this. This is fair. You're not, you're missing the parentheses. Oh. This is, I have put in my start of the week.

55:41 ↗

for next week in tight end. No, no. I am in hard rule right now handing or I'm handing it out on the fantasy full bars podcast. I am allowing your start of the week of Will Disley. Okay. I was about to say, Mike, see you play that all wrong. What? You should have said your start of the week is Will Disley. He's not in the dock. He could have been your guy right then. That's, that's a fair point. If you don't understand what's going on, we have a show doc every week. Last week, Jason decided.

56:11 ↗

moments after, you know, that he was going to put Will Disley in really early, make the stake the claim. Because if you got him in the show, Doc, they're your guy. Right. You have essentially licked. But of course. Licked it. Yeah, it's like if you take a cookie and you lick it, it's your cookie. And the reason I put it in end was because. That's such a good point, Andy. My start of the week at the time is Will Disley. It's not in the dock. So it's your start of the week, Mike. It's actually it's in there right now. Yeah. So, well, okay, let's do this. Let's do this. I'm fine with that. Anyways, my rule was going to be.

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