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Main show · November 5, 2015

Fantasy Football Podcast 2015 - Week 9 Fantasy Forecast, Starts of the Week, News

RSSNov 5, 2015 · transcript indexed
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Fantasy Football Podcast 2015 - Week 9 Fantasy Forecast, Starts of the Week, News

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Inside the episode

118 passages
26:49 ↗

fantasy. He's kind of slid into that West Welkerish consistency model that we saw from years past. Let me ask you, though, I mean, do you think of him? I mean, he's right, I think ranked right on the one, two line. I think he's like 13 on the season. Do you consider him a one capable receiver? I don't. I mean, a capable, I guess, you know, optimistically he has the potential and the talent to do it. But I consider him.

27:17 ↗

a high-end wide receiver two. He's, to me, more of the consistent guy with a high floor and not as high as ceiling. That's what I see Jarvis Landry is, because while he did get two touchdowns, I believe in his last game, that's very rare for him so far over his short career. Two games ago. Two games ago. You know, he's normally the possession guy, not the Red Zone guy. Let me ask you this, Mike. Would you rather have Stefan Diggs or Jarvis Landry rest of season? Oh, man.

27:46 ↗

Great question. That is a great question. I would go, man, I think you've got to stay in the plans with Stefan Diggs at this point. I think his upside is higher. And Jarvis Landry, though, is getting decent targets. Over the year, he has been getting solid red zone targets, just wasn't scoring touchdowns. Would you rather have Mike Evans or Jarvis Landry rest of season? Landry. Okay.

28:10 ↗

I want the – Evans can boom give you 50 – he's a receiver who can give you that 40-point game of just absolute ridiculousness. But I want the consistency from Landry. Are you guys starting Charles Clay? Yeah. Yes. I think he's a solid. The Packers head into Carolina and our favorites over the Panthers. That's crazy. By two and a half points, which is shocking to me. I don't think it's that crazy. I would say that the Packers win this game.

28:39 ↗

The Panthers are undefeated and they're at home. I'm just amazed that this game isn't at least heads up, you know? Yeah, it's just the points that Green Bay is getting. Yeah, I mean, I honestly think that Carolina wins this game. So, I mean, I'm not making that my almost upset. Because that's too, it's too close to call for me. You don't even think that's an upset, right? You think that's what it should. Right, right. So I'm not, and I've got my figured out for that.

29:08 ↗

So let's talk about this game a little bit. Rogers, a couple tough matchups in a row. Yep. A wide receiving core that, honestly, on film, to me, outside Randall Cobb, isn't doing a lot to help him out. Not a lot of separation. I mean, Rogers buys a lot of time in the pocket. But last game, he first read, second read, he couldn't find anybody. They really need...

29:29 ↗

Ty Montgomery to get healthy because he is a weapon that seems to be missing. When he's not healthy and in there, then if you shut down Randall Cobb with your best, James Jones, look, there was a reason he was dropped from other teams. He's slower and older. He's dropped off a map. Yeah. So, you know, I expect Ty Montgomery to be a change of pace for the Packers offense if he's playing that's going to be important for the other wide receivers to be able to get involved.

29:58 ↗

We should just get Jordy Nelson back, too. Yeah, let's do that. Get him back. I think he's practicing, right? No, it's such a sad thing. Because there's these superstars in fantasy. You don't even get to talk about them the whole year because of the injury. Are you confident starting Randall Cobb in, I guess, so you're saying you don't want to play anybody else, but would you play Cobb this week? No way. I would. I would not.

30:22 ↗

I don't know if Cobb is going to get the Josh Norman experience. He won't. That is the big difference to me is whether or not he's on Norman. I expect him to be Norman because when I look at the wide receivers there, even though he's more of the slot guy, he's not normally the type of wide receiver that Norman's guarding. I mean, what are you going to? So you think Norman's going to be on James Jones? I think Cobb will be okay.

30:47 ↗

I think he'll be fine. No, I'm saying who do you think Josh Norman's going to be. I think Norman will do what he did last game, which is, you know, occasionally Norman was on Moncrief last game. It wasn't all Hilton. It's true. So I think I'll move around a little bit. Norman's great. We don't got, hopefully, a downpouring rain, and Aaron Rogers is as good as it gets. He'll find, he'll find his guy. And he's got, you know, Cobb can get separation. So I'm okay with Cobb. I mean, I'm talking wide receiver two. Right. Fine with him is a two this week.

31:13 ↗

All right, the Eddie Lacey James Stark situation, how are you guys reading that? It seems like it's just Lacey. Lacey. After the buy. I think that the running game struggles, it's this vicious cycle of who's responsible for the downturn of the Green Bay offense where they can't run the ball. And the passing hasn't been the normal Aaron Rogers numbers that we've been used to the last couple games. Is that because they can't run?

31:43 ↗

Or can they not run because the passing game isn't there? Eddie Lacey or Jeremy Langford this week? Jason? Langford. Ah, that's tough. I think it's Langford. Let me check my rankings. It is on your rankings. Okay. You know, in my rankings... It is on yours too. It is? I've got Langford higher. Definitely.

32:02 ↗

All right. Well, then I'll stick with that. I shouldn't say definitely. It's like five spots. But you do. I do think Eddie Lacey is a decent play this week. I've got him about six spots higher than you. Do you take him over Ronnie Hillman? Yes. Do you take him over Jonathan Stewart in this game, head to head? Stewart's got three straight games of 20 plus touches. That would go, I'd go. If you want higher, if you want higher upside to me, I go. Yes. Yeah, the ceiling is Lacey because Stewart.

32:32 ↗

is never guaranteed a touchdown when you're when you're by the as i guess lacy's not either but if any running back is going to get it in it's high high probability that it's lacy all right all right that makes sense that's good good thoughts uh we're starting greg olson yep so no nothing to talk about there is there a wide receiver you'd start from carolina and i guess it'd be it'd begin right i would start ted ginn yeah

32:56 ↗

As a flex? Yeah, lower three. Lower three. Deeperly. Deeper three. Yeah, deeperly. All right. Jaguars go into New York. They face the Jets. We talked about Ryan Fitzpatrick. He'll be back. Ivory's practicing in full this week. You can start him with no hesitation whatsoever against the Jacksonville defense that is, you know, they're in the middle of the pack against the run, but they're not, you know, not very good. So Alan Robinson this week.

33:22 ↗

Concerns. Yes. I was looking at Alan Robinson's splits. Him in a game versus bottom half passing defense and top half passing defense. And his fantasy production literally is cut in half. And I think that is more a Blake Bortles issue than an Alan Robinson issue. But Dorell Revis is one of the best in the league. He's...

33:48 ↗

He's going to be on Alan Robinson. He's absolutely going to shadow Alan Robinson. So I think it could be a tougher day. Revis isn't, it's not impossible to beat him. Alan Robinson has the ability to do it every once in a while. Can Blake Bortles find him on that particular play? This is one of those games where I kind of like Alan Hurons. Yep, that's it.

34:10 ↗

because the second receiver is going to have to be just, he's just going to get an uptick of targets because Robinson won't be open every single play. And Antonio Cromarty has struggled recently this year as that second cornerback there. So if he's on Hearns, I think Hearns could get open. Did you know Hearns has either five or six games in a row with a touchdown? Yes. I mean, he's just, he is a great weapon there to score. And if you can't do it,

34:38 ↗

with Alan Robinson because of Revis, and you're playing from behind and need to pass, that's a way forward. All right. And do you start Julius Thomas? I was just going to ask. What do we do with Thomas? I started him. Yeah, I do. With full confidence? Yeah, yeah. As a top 12, tight end, I do. Yeah, I think Julius Thomas is talented. I think the Revis factor will impact targets his way in this game. And, you know, I'm not super high on Yeldon this week.

35:05 ↗

He'll get the workload, but that's not going to amount to too much. If they're trailing in this game, the run defense, the Jets are number one in the league against the run. So Yeldon, you have to take down a few ticks on the road against the number one run defense. Do we agree with that? I completely agree. I mean, what's nice about him is the volume will be there. So there's a baseline you get from Yeldon. All right. So let's move on to the Rams at the Vikings. The Vikings are favored in this game, and this is my...

35:37 ↗

Andy's almost upset of the wig. I can get behind this. Yeah, I think the Rams are probably about as good as the Vikings are. The Vikings are 5 and 2. The record is much better than the... Well, not much better. The Rams are 4 and 3 right now, right? Is that right? Yeah, I think that's right. So, I mean, I think that this is a game that St. Louis can control.

36:02 ↗

Their defense has been playing out of its mind. I know it's in Minnesota, but they give up. I mean, the Rams are coming off two straight games, giving up only six points. It's not like the Vikings' offense is prolific here. You know, it's down near the bottom of the league. And when I was looking at these two teams, I kind of saw mirror images of one another. Seriously. I mean, you got Gurley and Peterson. You know, Foles is terrible. I was going to say.

36:27 ↗

Bridgewater is better than Foles. Please do not compare Nick Foles to Teddy Bridgewater. No, but the defense for St. Louis is a little bit better than the Vikings D. I think it's going to be a close game. I think it's going to be a low-scoring game. Vegas thinks the same thing. It's under 40 points for the 4-Ur under. And, you know, I think you have to play Diggs right now and stay in the flames with him because it's just going to take one play and he's kind of the top target right now. So I'm starting Diggs. I'm not hyper-confident because the Rams Dia is great.

36:56 ↗

Over 40% of the targets last week. Yeah, that's how you play a guy. Look to those to get your baseline. So I'm not, other than the running backs and digs, I'm probably putting most of the other guys on the bench. I mean, Austin and the flex, maybe. Yeah, I wouldn't do it. I'm with you, man. Running backs and digs, and that's, and then I'm washing my hands of this game. Yeah.

37:21 ↗

So Redskins face the Patriots. The Patriots are 14-point favorites. I will take that. You'll take the... It should be more? Yes. Yes. They will win by more than 14 points. All right. Yeah, I mean, I think you're right. It's in Foxborough. I just don't know if anybody can stop this team right now. And if anybody can, I don't think it's going to be a team with the run defense that's at the bottom of the league. It's been playing pretty bad the past three games.

37:51 ↗

This is a game, I think, matchup-wise, where you can play just about every single... I wouldn't play Amandola, but I... I'll read them out. You say yes or no. Okay, yes. All right, so Brady, Lewis, Blunt, Edelman, Lafell? Yes. Chandler? No. Okay, you got... Amindola? No. No way, yeah. All right. So, most patriots. Gronk, yeah. Yeah, so pretty much all of them. So let's talk about the Redskins. That's really the question here of who do you...

38:20 ↗

Who do you choose to play? Is Deshawn Jackson? I think you can start Deshaun Jackson personally. I agree with you. I like the garbage potential of this game for Washington. I think Cousins is not an awful streamer. I don't know. Do my rankings say I would play Cousins over Andrew Luck? Because in my heart, I believe that I would. And D. Jacks.

38:50 ↗

I think he can just, he can get a bomb. You have Cousins 14th and you have Andrew Luck 16th. Yeah. Your heart speaks true. I knew it. I knew I could trust my heart. And I think Cousins can be okay in this game, just getting behind so, by so many points. Jordan Reed, rule 86 of fantasy football. If Jordan Reed's healthy, you play. Yep.

39:15 ↗

Is that his number? His jersey number? I don't know. I just grabbed a random number. Out of thinner. Yeah. His number is 86. Are you kidding me? No. I thought it sounded familiar when you said it. His number is 86. That's some weird. Yeah. That's how much we're watching football. Whoa. Blowing my mind. There you go. So do you play Garsohn then and hope for garbage time? He's...

39:43 ↗

Lower end, yeah. I think I'd rather play Deshaun Jackson. And what about the running game? Do you steer clear of what everyone? Chris Thompson would be my start over Jones or Morris. I agree. And I would not. He's practicing in full and he's fine. And I would not want to put Chris Thompson in there. So for me, I agree with you. He is better than the other two. What if you were the Love Bell Map Forte, Aryan Foster, then I went and I got Langford. I hope. Yeah, if it didn't work out. Thompson.

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