Rookie Competition + Superflex Strategy, Toilet Time - Fantasy Football Podcast for 7/9

out freaking rages 20 touchdowns last year. That's not happening again under any situation, but now you can actually look and say, well, shoot, there's a clear situation where Isaiah Spiller, the 217 pound rookie, can come in on the goal line and maybe, you know, it's funny because he is the big body guy, but I didn't really, if I'm being on a C on film, like the pile pusher for the big body guy. I did. I saw a.

slow not strong running back i did i did not i don't know what film you guys were watching and i was watching because we saw two very different things which is that's the difficulty of film it is so subjective in what each each watcher is looking for i saw a good receiving back with big body and i love that that's that's basically what i saw so with big body

So, yeah, he's a guy that I think will eat in a little bit to Echler, but not enough to make an impact on, like, not drafting Echler in the, around the sixth spot, yeah. All right, this one's off of Instagram from Mac Daddy 301. Can you give us a reason why Jonathan Taylor should not be the 101? Sure, easily. He will not score as many points as Christian McCaffrey on a per game basis. Okay. Christian McCaffrey is.

otherworldly when it comes to fantasy production because of the volume he gets, the receptions he gets. He cannot score touchdowns and still dominate. So Jonathan Taylor is going to be great, but he needs those touchdowns. His opportunities were outrageously high. His goal line work was as good as we've seen in a decade. 29 carries.

Inside the Five. Yeah, I mean, that is. That was first. Second place would be James Connor with 19. Yeah. And you can go back, you know, multiple years. Like Jason's saying, essentially a decade. And you have maybe like two or three guys who have seen anywhere close to that level of carries inside the five. There takes a lot of luck to get your team in that position. To just be inside the five, take some luck.

that you got there but didn't score from outside of there. Some of that's going to change. He's not going to get 30 carries inside the five again. So the touchdowns will probably come down for him. He is still my number one because of the youth and the injury history with Christian McCaffrey. But if you want to say why shouldn't he be the 101, it's to me because his upside is not the same as Christian McCaffrey. And while the, I do think that those carries inside the five, they.

more than likely will come down. How much is it catastrophic? I don't think so. He's still, he's my number two running back behind McCaffrey because I just want to look in the mirror and hate myself and take McCaffrey for a third straight year in a row and feel that pain. On the upside, though, for Jonathan Taylor, Matt Ryan is in town. Now, I think Matt Ryan's a much better quarterback than Carson Wentz, but what I do know for sure is,

Matt Ryan historically has, we've seen huge running back reception totals from Matt Ryan. And this is exactly like, go back a couple years, you have Phillip Rivers. Matt Ryan is not going to be trying to extend the play. If the play is breaking down, Matt Ryan is going to throw the ball to Jonathan Taylor or in Naim Hines as well. But I'm saying on first and second down, when Taylor's the back and it's not a run play, he.

I think that his reception numbers are very safe. Last year, 53 targets, 40 catches turned into 360 yards. I mean, the guy's a big play waiting to happen. I think there's a chance that he, the 40, I think there's a chance he's in the 50 reception total this year. I would agree completely. His receptions should go up. I still have Jonathan Taylor. I actually have him above Christian McCaffrey in my rankings due to, you know, the youth and the injury risk of Christian McCaffrey.

I would agree that, you know, look, Carson wins when he was the quarterback. He looks to extend plays. He scrambles around and look, he's like, how can I buy time to throw it as far as I can? And not only as far as I can, where's the triple covers that I can throw the ball into? Well, the nice thing is that he can overthrow. So it's like, I can overthrow all three defenders. Check this out. You know, he seems like a player like that in like.

You know, you're just out on a field playing some, you know, just street ball. Some pickup street ball. He'd be like the guy that would scramble around, scramble around, and then just punt it. Just see you later, Paul. It's going to be the same result. So, yeah, you should have more receptions for Jonathan Taylor, but that's kind of the case for, uh, it's hard to have a question. It's like, tell me why to not draft the great young stud back.

All right, this one's off of Twitter from at Mendez 409, redraft keeper question, half PPR. Keep DeAndre Swift for the 301 or A.J. Dylan at 812. Ooh, man. So small value on Swift or couple round value on AJ Dylan. So I would argue that it's a small round value. I think Swift is, the more that drafts get going, I think he's going at the.

very beginning of the second. So it's like a, it's like a full round. Sure. Uh, 201 to 301. A.J. Dillon in the eighth, basically the ninth, the eight 12 is exceptional value. Um, AJ Dillon, I think personally has been overdrafted for where I've seen him in in some of these leagues. We were talking yesterday's footcast that I like A.J. Dylan a lot. And then.

the ADP when we did a we did a best ball draft with Kyle and Betts for the for the DFS podcast and I could not believe AJ Dylan's ADP it was very inflated yeah AJ Dylan has been drafted very high but I will say this I think that that is he is the type of player that is kind of different between a home league and a best ball league because he's got that

built-in, you know that Aaron Jones is going to miss a couple games. You don't have to worry about when you get them. 6-10 and sleeper right now. Right. So if you're talking to home league, 6-10 to 8-10 value is actually less value than second round to third round. So I'll take DeAndre Swift in your normal keeper league. For me, this is even a question of value. This is DeAndre Swift, he's finished as a top 20 running back, both years that he's played in the NFL.

He does not need the situation around him to change to finish as a top five running back. A.J. Dillon can be a top 24 guy, but to jump into that range of true league winning running back, his situation has to change. Aaron Jones has to miss some time or A.J. Dillon's role has to change dramatically, and all goal line work goes to him instead of Aaron Jones.

while maintaining some of the passing work that he was receiving towards the end of the year. So this is an easy question for me. I get, you see a running back, a useful running back in the eighth, and it's juicy. I totally understand that, but DeAndre Swift, DeAndre Swift can be a league winning running back where Dylan needs some stuff to happen for that to. Yeah, they can both be a league winning running back, but one already.

projects to be right right exactly uh let's we got one more voicemail here let's hit it calling from phoenix arizona i'm going into my first dynasty startup draft and i was wondering if the sixth round is too early to take chris olivai uh love the show thank you guys all right so tyler from phoenix arizona dynasty startup question chris olive in the sixth round so i

I know myself and Kyle really like OLAVe. We are, I think, higher than consensus on OLAVe for both redraft and dynasty leagues. So the sixth round is really just a matter of ADP. Let me pull up where current Dynasty Startup ADPs are going. Okay, because off the top of my head without ADP, OLAV in the sixth.

feels fantastic. Like when you're in a dynasty startup, these first round really young wide receivers, even though you have no proof that they're actually good in the NFL, they get skyrocketed into the early rounds. So I think him dropping in, I would see that as him dropping into the six. And then I'd be very happy to take him. Yeah. And you are exactly right. Right now, he's basically the 63rd.

So he's going there right now. I don't think that's too early to draft him. He's extremely talented. They gave up so much to get him. He projects to be a really important part of the offense. It's funny, though, Garrett Wilson in current best ball drafts is going behind Olave. And I was questioning myself on this today because you got a guy that's higher drafted. And if you look at the receiving core around them,

it's easy to argue that Olave has more competition, right? Like, you know, you've got Jarvis Landry, Michael Thomas. Now, obviously, if Michael Thomas is injured and Jarvis Landry is old and washed, whatever, but those are two good NFL-wide receivers. Whereas over with Garrett Wilson, his college teammate who was drafted ahead of him, you have Elijah Moore and Corey Davis. Elijah Moore, Unknown, Corey Davis, meh, at best, me. And so it's like, and then.

You could say, oh, but Zach Wilson. It's like, oh, but James Winston, like, it's not like either of these guys are great. So I think both of those rookie wide receivers are good. And here's just a dynasty trick or a little tip of knowledge. Well, is it a tip or is it a trick? A lot of tips are tricks. So I'm going to say both. Okay, so a tip is always a trick? Or is a trick always a trick? No, a tip is not always a trick.

A trick, and I'm using that word not as like, gotcha. Okay. I think is usually a tip. So I'm going to give you both here a tip and a trick, which is first round rookie wide receivers are always great, always great in dynasty when it comes to value. It doesn't matter what he does this year. His value will go up next year. If he sucks, it's going to be fine.

Like, first round, rookie wide receivers retain their value. So there's really no harm in drafting him. If you don't believe in him after this year, you can still move him for good value because it's just kind of universally true for first round rookie wide receivers in Dynasty. All right, we're going to get out of here on this question off of YouTube from Dacta Jones. Is that an indie thing? I don't know. Keep trade cut. Jalen Waddle, DJ Moore, Mike Williams.

Let's put your DJ Moore love to the test, Jason. Big Mike Williams playing with Big Herb. I love, I love me some Mike Williams. I'm going to take this question, though, to be not best ball, but you're a redraft league. Yes. And if that's the case, I want DJ Moore over Mike Williams. I think Mike Williams, variants will be.

higher. I know DJ Moores has, he has also been a high variance guy, big games, a disappearing X, but I think that it will be more consistent. So I will trade Mike Williams and I will cut Jalen Waddle. Are you the opposite? I am keeping Mike Williams trading DJ Moore and cutting Jalen Waddle. Well, there you go. Unfortunately. That is going to do it for today's Saturday show. Remember the Ultimate Draft Kit is available and getting updated very often, Ultimate draft kit.com.

We hope you enjoyed this fine episode. We hope that grass was mowed to perfection. Stay safe, everybody. We will see you next week. The band will be back together. Goodbye. Thank you for listening to another episode of the Fantasy Footballers podcast. Join our fantasy football community on join thefoot.com. And follow us on Twitter at the FF ballers.

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