Fantasy Football Podcast 2015 - 15 Gems for the 2015 Fantasy Season, News & Notes, Mailbag

Is he still going at the back of the second, third round? Yeah, about that. If Jimmy Graham doesn't catch 12 touchdowns, he's going to be extremely disappointing for that value. He is my three in a PPR and two in a standard right now. I still have him very high as well. Well, because his comparables. But if you draft him expecting 89, 1112 or something, you're not going to get it. Yeah. Yeah, an interesting fact, you know who caught the most touchdowns for the Seahawks last year?

I do. Marshawn Lynch. Oh. Yep. That's ridiculous. That is a low-powered offense. Yeah. Well, something's got to give. And more than likely, they'll meet in the middle. So maybe Russell Wilson comes up a notch. So with mine coming in at number three, it's Miller time. It's Lamar.

Miller time. I have chosen to go with guys who aren't getting... Andy's making a sour face right now. A bitter beer face. I said this in the car the other day before you get into it. That maybe I'm just completely unfairly down on Lamar Miller. That is a wonderful, wonderful thing to say. You said you are. I think that that is true. I think that's exactly where you are. And I think that's where so many fantasy people are.

They're just unnecessarily down on Lamar Miller. And I love that. Those are the guys that you want to target going into a draft because he's falling into the back of the third round sometimes. He finished last year as the number nine running back. That is a...

Running back one, clearly. Really? He was number nine? Yeah, he finished as the number nine running back. He was the scoring system. He was the Clinton parties. He was the consistent every week guy. Every week. He didn't win people weeks with like big, big games. Yeah, if he was your running back one, you know, but as a running back two, he is.

Perfect. And so here's a deal. Last year, he was one of the most efficient backs. Week in and week out. He had everything that you want. He caught balls. He scored touchdowns. He had the third highest yards per carry in the entire league. He is a talented running back. This year, you look at the changes made and all the offensive weapons brought into the dolphins, the wide receivers that are going to pull coverage away even more.

And now the coach comes out, Philbin comes out and is saying that he's got no problem getting Lamar Miller more and more involved. He was saying, Lamar Miller carried the ball 14 times a game last year on average. And Philbin was coming out and saying, you know, if he's getting the ball 24 times a game and could stay healthy, I'm happy with that. So split the difference. I mean, don't even split the difference. Go to 17 carries a game. If he stays as efficient, which there's no reason that he wouldn't.

I think Lamar Miller is an extremely good value in that back of the third round. You're getting a high-end RB who is the starter on a good offense. So I really like Lamar Miller and I didn't probably two months ago. I was exactly where you are, Andy. And so, and I think a lot of people don't. And that's why I'm saying target them. That's good information. And you spelled his name correctly. Yes, yes. Number two, this is mine. This is mine and it is seventh heaven.

Number seven, I've got a lot of heat. I've got a lot of heat for having Colin Kaepernick as high as they do on my rankings. He is number five in standard leagues for me. And so let me drop a little bit of knowledge on you as to why I think Cap can finish that high. In four NFL seasons, Colin Kaepernick's passing yards have increased every season. In four NFL seasons, Colin Kaepernick's rushing yards have increased every season. Last season, believe it or not, Colin Kaepernick was plagued by wide receiver drops to the tune of the fourth most in the league at that position.

And Kaepernick is a downfield thrower. He had the third highest percentage of yards in the air prior to the completion last year, and you're bringing in a downfield catcher. Tori Smith. His name's Tori Smith. He also bring Reggie Bush back into the fold. He's in a new look offense that will dissolve or not dissolve Vernon Davis from the offense, who was a downfield threat for Kaepernick. Kaepernick's going to get the opportunity to run the ball.

They want to run it with him. And so three new passing targets, new look offense, a trend, much like Ryan Tannahill that continues to ascend year after year. And so I think he can improve in his passing yards and his touchdown totals. And I think that puts him, I mean, moderate improvement on his numbers with the way he runs the ball. It puts him five six, top five six. Not to mention, but in this off season, compared to previous off seasons. And he's got so many cool shoes. He's got, I think he's up to 13 abs.

Yeah. His Instagram game is pretty high. A baker's dozen? But he worked hard. I like that. Not the guys you would normally get from baking. He's been working on his baker's dozen. He worked hard this offseason. And I think a couple years ago, he bought into his own hype when he was touted as the next Joe Montana. When he went to the Super Bowl as a rookie? Was that it? Was that it? So I think that he's worked harder this off season than he has in previous ones.

usually makes a difference. And I hate guys with tattoos, but I'm all over. Hey, I'm just, hey, I'm just kidding out there, by the way. And coming in to finish everything off, number one, we call this Run to the Hills. As we know, or maybe you're new to the show and you don't know, I love Jeremy Hill. I am extremely high on him this year. I think he's going to be a touchdown just dominator.

And I think he's going to get a ton of carries. I think he's going to be on the field a lot where the big concern with Jeremy Hill is Geo Bernard. People think Joe Bernard is going to take snaps away, even though he's a third down guy. I have just an interesting stat of why I think Jeremy Hill will be on the field getting carries. Now, the Bengals record with Jeremy Hill getting double-digit carries, so we're talking about 10 games. Eight and two.

when he got 10 plus carries. That's a good record. As we know, Jeremy Hill was worked in slowly. And at the beginning of the season, he was still getting double-digit carries occasionally. Joe Bernard goes out, games where Jeremy Hill has 20 plus carries. There's five of them. They were four and one. Clearly. Exactly half of eight and two. But to me, the offense knows what they need to be to win.

What was impressive to me is Hill got worked in slowly last year. Dalton had one of the worst passerating years of, I mean, I think in the NFL since the 60s as a starter or something like that. Right. And AJ Green was banged up. And I looked them up today. They were, I think, the eighth most efficient offense. Like the number eight offense. Jeremy. He couldn't be stopped. And no who's back too, Marvin Jones. That offense is going to, I think what you're saying about Hill is.

They're going to be in the red zone all day long. I saw a stat about the yards per carry on rookie running backs. And the only guys who have been as high as Jeremy Hill, it was Adrian Peterson. Was it Portis? Yeah. I think it was Adrian Peterson and Clinton Portis. And the second year, what did they do? I'm pretty sure they were pretty good. Yeah. Pretty good. So we all like Jeremy Hill. He is my number six. You know what else we like, Andy? He's number six. We love audience surveys.

I was going to say we love our audience. Yeah, we do love our audience. The reality is, is we have an audience survey we'd like to ask you guys to fill out. It's completely anonymous. It increases the chance of us finding some happy advertisers, which means happy listeners, which means we get to keep the lights on and keep doing what we're doing. So please go to podsurvey.com slash footballers. That's podsurvey.com slash footballers. Take the survey. Like I said, it's anonymous. It takes less than five minutes. And guess what?

you can really help us out. Yeah, it's, it's easy and quick. All you have to do basically is remember the URL. That's it, which is, it's a podcast survey, so it's podsurvey.com slash footballers. Yeah. Genius. I know. Mailbag. All right, let's answer some listener questions in the time we have left on today's show. If you have a question for us, it is so easy to send it. You go to the website, the fantasyfootballers.com.

Look in the upper right hand corner. There is a submitted question button. You click it. You do a little typey, typey. You click the button. Send it. Hey, we get it. And then we'll answer it. It's pretty simple. We answer questions here on the show. We answer them via email, on Twitter, on YouTube. So send them in. We really do love the Foot Clan. We love our listeners. We try to answer as many as we can.

Um, if you haven't gotten a response, it's not because we deleted your email. It's because we are working through them and trying to get questions back to you. We know it's draft season. We know how important that is. So, uh, and we care about your team. So let's answer some questions now. Let's do some voicemails in a minute. Hey, yo, with Tony, me, balls and lay the, um, bell suspension has officially gotten reduced. I'm sitting pretty at number two. Uh,

I was wondering how your guy's mindset changes on him now, you know? I know you guys are like Lacey, you're like AP, but I mean, Lavian's a base, you know? So, uh, let me know what you guys think. It's Tony meatballs and he's out. He is out. Oh, double up. Double out. By the way, we've had so many Tony Meatball impersonators lately that I had to go back and verify phone number.

What did we have? I wanted to make sure that we had like Johnny Hot Dog. Johnny Hot Dog. Johnny Hot Dog didn't. He failed. Tony Meatball's back. Brandon Biscuits. We haven't put Tony Meatball on in a while, so I had to do that. Yeah. We talked about this a little bit earlier. But here's what I think. I want Levy on Bell, and I want to pair him with Trey Mason. Oh, yeah. That's what I'm looking for. I want that pair. It's like my handcuffed. Well, you can get Trey Mason wherever. Exactly. So if you draft Levy on Bell, just get Trey Mason wherever. Yep. And then you got somebody to play. And I'm still.

Peterson and PPR, Lacey and Standard, and you then flip-fop those for my number two game. I got it. I got it. Thanks, Tony, for the call. Hi, Fantasy Footballers. This is a Newtime listener at Zach Garner. I have a question for you about my keepers. I'm in a PPR league. So should I keep Levion Bell with the second pick or Antonio Brown with the third pick? Now, I know the easy answer would just say, yeah, go with Levion Bell.

But knowing the dummies that are in my league, I think with my ninth pick, I can get someone like Ariam Foster, and then my second, the 16th pick in the second round, I could get someone like Jeremy Hill, and then I would have Antonio Brown with my third pick. I think that's a pretty good first three picks. So let me know what I should do. I appreciate it. Thanks. Was it PPR I missed if that was said.

I don't remember what he said. I don't remember, but let's assume it is because he's talking about Antonio Brown. I think the biggest point here is what he made. You know, it'd be really natural to say Lev Bell's the guy to pick here. But you have to have the ability to play against your league mates. Yes. And so if you know that you can line up Antonio Brown, Arian Foster, and Jeremy Hill.

I don't have any problem whatsoever in keeping Antonio Brown. You have to know your league. We say that all the time, but this is a perfect... I loved this call because it illustrates to listeners to use their head and think about the reality of their league, not just rankings, not just this guy over that guy, because it says...

Play to your league mates, know your league, get to know how they draft who they have or who they need, what their tendencies are because it'll help you get a better option. So I've got no problem taking Brown. And without going into it too much, I mean, I think that's what this show is about. The show is about equipping you with information so you can make a good decision based on the other things that are going on in your league with the team you want. I mean, I had somebody see me a question the other day saying it basically was a toss-up, but the option was to take the hometown guy.

in Andrew Luck. I'm like, take luck. Take luck in that situation. Enjoy the fantasy football season. I mean, we are not the guys. I mean, we have our rankings on the site and go use them in your draft. We think you'll do well with them. But we're not just putting out stat content and saying, print this on your printer and take it in and draft. We're trying to give you the way we think about drafting, the way we think about leagues and drafts. And we're not going to be right on every single player. But if we give you the fundamentals...

And the foundation for how we draft, you can succeed. Yeah, I think a good way to, is the old, the old story of give a man a fish, feed him for a day, teach a man to fish, do you, he feed him. You don't feed fooled again. As I can't get it out. Sounded like George W. Over here. Yes. Yes. Teaching to fish. You can't fool a fishman. You know what I was. Yeah. That was a botched job. Yeah. I loved it. But we don't try and make the picks for you. We're trying to.