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Main show · October 7, 2021

Starts of the Week + Week 5 Breakdown, Trapper Keepers - Fantasy Football Podcast for 10/7

RSSOct 7, 2021 · transcript indexed
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Starts of the Week + Week 5 Breakdown, Trapper Keepers - Fantasy Football Podcast for 10/7

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Inside the episode

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53:53 ↗

31st against wide receivers, 22nd against opposing fantasy quarterbacks. So are you optimistic here? Are they getting off the Schneide, Jason? Are you calling for a Jacksonville win with Trevor Lawrence this week? I am not calling for a Jacksonville win. I think that they still have Urban Meyer currently, so they will lose this game. But I agree with your take on this being a game that could easily hit the over because, I mean, you saw the Jets.

54:21 ↗

The Jets offense has been as putrid and bad as any offense I can remember. And now all of a sudden we have more optimism towards them because of what they were able to do against the Titans. Zach Wilson has been putrid. And then he got the Titans. The Titans secondary doesn't exist. They were 30th against wide receiver all of last year. They're 31st this year. It's more of the same. So yes, throw the ball against Tennessee. But the Tennessee, Derek Henry's are very, very good. They will run it down the throat of the Jacksville Jaguars and claim the W.

54:51 ↗

Well, Leviska-Shernalton Marvin Jones, a little bit of clarity in that wide receiver room, so both players are startable. James Robinson's very startable. The opportunities are there for Robinson, and he will be fed and hopefully get some targets this week. I don't disagree. If I have James Robinson on my team, I'm very hopeful and looking forward to this start. But as an NFL analyst,

55:18 ↗

I'm interested to see what do they do? What does Urban Meyer do if Carlos Hyde is healthy and ready to play again? Because he was a late scratch last week because of health. I think it was a shoulder, if I remember correctly. I'm encouraged by the game he was in, by the Arizona game, where James Robinson came out and gave you the running back three performance with Carlos side. Yeah, but I'm saying that the...

55:44 ↗

Carlos Hyde will probably walk right back into 40% of the snaps. Maybe, I think maybe, I don't think he could, but I don't think he will. Because I think the last time we saw Carlos Hyde, he. Maybe 20, 25%. Yeah, I would, I mean, you're right. Okay, so 34, 40% a little bit high, but 34, 35% won't surprise me. And that's a big hit to James Robinson. Yeah, I mean, it certainly will, we'll Nerf some of the.

56:13 ↗

total opportunities, but he is still the guy. I mean, even when Hyde was there after week one, when it wasn't just to blow out, he was clearly the guy. The question I have in this game is A.J. Brown, if he's healthy, how confident are you in starting him in a great matchup against the Jaguars? If he's out there, there's no Julio, right? I mean, there's no way he's playing this week. So are you playing him?

56:39 ↗

over someone like Antonio Brown, Marquis Brown. If he's alone and Julio's not on the other side of the field and they determine he's healthy enough to get back out there. Yes, and I'm playing him. Those are tough decisions. Antonio Brown wants tough with all the targets and the matchup. But it's, I mean, you should. You probably should play AJ Brown in that situation. Play action passes work a lot better with Julio and AJ out there.

57:07 ↗

I didn't mention it. Dan Arnold is a dart throw at tight end. He may see quite a bit of, quite a few targets. Otherwise, you know, Henry's in there. Tannahill, I think you could stream him. If A.J. Brown's back out there, you feel a lot better about that. Yeah, I would only stream him if A.J. Brown is out there. That's fair. That's fair. And the nice thing, though, is that the Tennessee Titans defense likes to give up points. And that puts them in a position where they, it's nice of them. Yeah.

57:37 ↗

Yeah, let's get into the starts. Starts of the week. I'm watching on YouTube here, the video intro to Starts of the Week, and I look maniacal. I look insane in that. Like, I'm way too excited about my starts of the week. Oh, then you should kick it off. How about James Robinson against Tennessee? Okay. Like I said, seeing the Titans jerseys on the other side of the ball, it's a delightful thing. He's been a top 10.

58:08 ↗

running back two consecutive weeks. He's had 20 plus opportunities for two straight weeks. I don't care about the snap count. I care about the opportunities. 20 plus. Give them to me. Oh, he's also really good. He's a good runner. Yes, he is. And so I think it's a solid day for J. Robb in this matchup against Tennessee running back start of the week. I'm going with...

58:29 ↗

Damien Williams as my running back start of the week. This is not a situation where just running back goes down and you have to throw the backup in. I brought up Alex Collins as a flex. But in this one, Damien Williams is going to be great. David Montgomery was ready to smash this match up in Las Vegas against the Raiders. First things first, Damien Williams had been practicing in full all week. So there were worries about the thigh bruise when waivers were going through. Is he going to be held? He's.

58:56 ↗

Fully the guy, so there's no fear there. He came in last week after Monty went down, and he was eight for 55 and a touchdown with two receptions, and they need that. Thank you. I missed that. Matt DeSorbo, great writer for us. He does an article every week called The Math Behind the Matchups, and he highlighted that the Bears' offensive line and the run game is top five.

59:17 ↗

and going to the left and to the right. And the Raiders defense are bottom five in rushing to the left and to the center. So I don't think that the Raiders will make Damien Williams an ineffective runner. This is a guy that if you remember, he's got long.

59:35 ↗

speed. You know, he's got runs of 69 run. He had a 91-yard run before. Yeah, very nice. And he's an effective back in the receiving game. So Damien Williams, to me, is certainly someone that's going to be started this week. And mine's short and simple. It's Leonard Fournett against the Miami Dolphins. This is who we're picking on now. They've already given a three 100-yard rushers. And if you recall, both the Buffalo Bill is running back smashed. Leonard Fournett is the guy Ronald Dick.

60:02 ↗

There's really no Ronald Jones fears at this point of him really eating into the Fournet workload. If Giovanni Bernard is out, even more fantasy points will be coming to Fournet. But even if Bernard is in, I'm still playing Fournet with full confidence. Yeah, I agree completely with this. I went to make him my start of the week, which means Foot Clan be aware Ronald Jones' top five week. As soon as you have clarity on a Bruce Ariens backfield, and it's so sure, because this one does seem for sure.

60:32 ↗

That's when old Brucey, he gets you. A little scallywag. I get you go. All right. My quarterback start of the week, you know, sometimes it can be a scary thing to go out on an island when these games are isolated and make a player your start of the week with everyone watching. But I'm not scared. Matthew Stafford against Seattle coming off the loss facing the vulnerable Seattle defense. The over-under is delightful 54 and a half.

61:01 ↗

and they're favored. And look, he had a number three overall week two weeks ago against the Tampa Bay defense. I think tonight's going to be a golden performance for Matthew Stafford.

61:12 ↗

And we'll be going with Kirk Cousins. He had a putrid week this last week, unfortunately, against what is a very good-looking Browns defense. But Cousins was playing very well. The quarterback 13, the quarterback six, the quarterback six against Cincinnati, Arizona, and Seattle. Dalvin Cook is limited.

61:31 ↗

He's playing at home against the Lions this week with an implied point total of 29 points. So I would fire him up and not overreact to last week's bad performance. And here we go again. Oh, no. We're doing it. No. Daniel Jones from the New York Giants. Uh, he, he, he, yes. Yes, I, I totally understand that. But, but.

61:56 ↗

The process says this is a good play. The Dallas Cowboys have given up a top 12 quarterback in three of their four games. Daniel Jones was an absolute monster last week. He threw for over 400 yards against the New Orleans Saints. Can I add something to your battle? Please. The gap between Jalen Hertz and Daniel Jones rushing yards is not that big. Yeah, Daniel Jones, that's what I'm saying. He is running a lot four for 27 this past week. Like that's,

62:25 ↗

That's enough. Hopefully a little bit more, but that is a nice little padding of the stats here. It's a good over-under against the Dallas Cowboys. It is the highest of the week. It is a divisional matchup, so sometimes things go walking. They're not. The Kansas City one is, Kansas City and the Rams are currently higher, at least from what I'm looking at. Okay. But it's third. It's up there. But third of the week. So I want in on it. And Daniel Jones has been, you know, he's been.

62:54 ↗

Hot and cold. He's been hot and cold, but when he is hot, he's weak winning hot. And I think he can do it again against Dallas. Plus, you get to say you won with Daniel Jones. Yeah. Can I ask you a question, Andy, about Daniel Jones? Yes. So he's been hot and cold, had some good games, had some putrid games. Where is he on the season? Quarterback what? Oh, this is a guy. You want me a guess? Yes. 11? Six. He's the quarterback six so far. He's been good for fantasy. So yes, we don't like the name.

63:23 ↗

But we like the stats. I find myself kind of rooting for the Giants now. I can see that. Yeah. Yeah. I'm on board. Yeah. So are we moving on? Next position. Yes. All right. Wide receiver, I'm going to go with Deontay Johnson. Yes. If you can wipe the swamp mud away from your eyes having to watch this Pittsburgh offense. That's a lot. Deontay is deominating. That tickled me. Double digit. Thank you. I knew that it wasn't.

63:53 ↗

The best choice, but it was the choice I was going to make. Double-digit targets every game, nine receptions in the last two. He scored twice this year. Denver is good, but they can be beat. And Big Ben, well, he can't throw the ball very far. Deonté is a safety valve. He's a touchdown threat. He's a go-to. He's in everything. Deonté is going to finish in the top 10 this year at the wide receiver position.

64:15 ↗

And you should accept that. If Big Ben finishes the season and Deontay finishes the season, I don't see how he doesn't. My start of the week at wide receiver is Marvin Jones. He just had a super dud week. Three for 24 against the Bengals. You want to sit him. I need this butt tap. Don't sit him. The first three weeks of the season, he had nine targets, 11 targets, eight targets. Now they lost DJ Chark. I expect he'll be right around the double digit targets this week. And oh.

64:44 ↗

Remember us talking about the Tennessee Titans defense? They are as good as it gets when it comes to the matchup at wide receiver. 32 out of 32. They're not good. They give up the second most points to wide receiver in week one. The most in week two and the second most again this last week. Their secondaries trash.

65:02 ↗

but their offense is good enough to put points on the board. So if there's a spot for Trevor Lawrence, be good. It's this week, and I think Marvin Jones is the main man. And I'm going right off the waiver wire, right into your flex position. It's Jameson Crowder from the New York Jets. Wait, he's active? Yeah.

65:18 ↗

I believe he will be active again, fingers crossed. Are you serious? This is incredible news. The matchup against the Falcons, they are, the Falcons are seventh in allowing fantasy points to the wide receiver position, and Crowder walked right into a 26% target share, and he only played on 62% of the snaps. He will be a focal point of this offense. I think he will be that target hog that you were hoping that Corey Davis was from the preseason moving in, but the NFL is a lot harder.

65:48 ↗

in the regular season than it is in the preseason. So Zach Wilson has been looking for his slot wide receiver more and more. I'm going with Kyle Pitts as my tight-in start of the week in London against the Jets. With Kyle Pitts, you need to trust the more predictable metrics at the tight-in position. He's on pace for 110 targets and over 800 receiving yards. He has not found the end zone. We don't know what's going on with Calvin Ridley.

66:15 ↗

We know Russell Gage is likely to miss this week again. And the Jets, look, they're not going to get shut down on their offensive side of the ball by Atlanta's defense. I think you could have a high-scoring affair over in the, what is it, Tottenham Stadium? Tottenham, Tottenham. So I think you need to trust. Look, there are five tight-ins at the tippy top. That's what, Kittal, Kelsey, Waller, Hawkinson, and Andrews. Those five guys are pretty secured there with beating out Kyle Pitts.

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