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Main show · December 28, 2023

Starts of the Week + Week 17 Breakdown, Title Time! - Fantasy Football Podcast for 12/28

RSSDec 28, 2023 · details onlyYOUTUBEDec 28, 2023 · transcript indexed
Original source

Starts of the Week + Week 17 Breakdown, Title Time! | Fantasy Football 2023 - Ep. 1532

Watch on YouTube ↗

Transcript links use the exact YouTube video’s clock. Machine transcripts can contain errors.

Episode notes & curated moments 5 records
moment

Title time is a pit-of-despair decision ritual

The episode frames championship week as title time, then uses Amari Cooper’s heel and short-week uncertainty to push managers into the bottom of the well, weak in the knees, and pit-of-despair language.

moment

Russell Wilson’s contractual/physical benching mystery

The hosts discuss Wilson’s benching through contract guarantees and physical play, with Atlanta players imagined praying for a new quarterback situation.

moment

Saturday night title-time special

The Lions-Cowboys Saturday night matchup is treated as a championship-week special with a 53-point total and Dallas home-field expectations.

moment

Tony Pollard’s five-point floor

Pollard’s projected floor of around five fantasy points is contrasted with a bizarre Clyde Edwards-Olaire comparison.

summary

Episode notes

The title-time episode is built around championship-week dread. Amari Cooper’s heel and a short week send the hosts into the bottom of the well, with “weak in the knees” and pit-of-despair language. Russell Wilson’s benching becomes a contractual/physical guarantee story, while Lions-Cowboys and Week 17 decisions are treated as high-stakes final exams.

Inside the episode

75 passages
56:05 ↗

They have the highest team and played point total of the week with 31 points. He's been great all year, had a bad game against a really good Baltimore team. Now he plays a really bad Washington team. 31st and expected points per pass attempt. 32nd and schedule adjusted fantasy points allowed to quarterbacks. The most passing touchdowns allowed, I think you're going to want every single 49er you can. Brock Purdy, I'm not afraid of last week. And I'm going to stick with Derek Carr. Last two weeks, three passing touchdowns each game. Send in the car. 7.9 yards per attempt. You know, Rashid Shaheed last week certainly helped out. And the matchup is absolutely there. So if you are struggling, and I will give a shout out to Nick Mullins, who may or may not be the starting quarterback for the Vikings. If you missed, if you were off of Twitter yesterday, you missed some spectacular Jair Alexander drama.

57:02 ↗

That's just ridiculous, but the outcome is he will be suspended this week. So Mullins is also in play as a streamer. Should he be the starter? But there's the chance that he gets bench. So I'm going with Derek Carr, must win game for the Saints. He's produced the last two weeks. My running back start of the week is Chuba Hubbard against the Jacksonville Jaguars. He's been a top 24 running back five consecutive weeks, 22 opportunities per game for Chuba Hubbard. He is entering the budget star category at this point in time. The volume has been insane. Jacksonville's run defense has been bad recently, 29th over the last six weeks and schedule adjusted for running backs. And they give up a ton of receiving work to opposing running backs, including six receptions to Singletary and Mixin and Rashad White last week. Jerome Ford even had five receptions. Chuba's involvement is too significant to ignore. He's my start of the week. And he's looked good. Yes.

58:01 ↗

He's actually impressed me with some of his runs, which he has not done most of his career. I'm going to go with DeAndre Swift. Against Arizona. Love it. Should be an absolute. Full stop. Yeah. Against Arizona. Next. But last week, 20 carries is second most opportunities of the season. The Eagles have their highest team-implied point total of the year. And when you full stop at Arizona, it's because they rank 32nd in rushing yards allowed. They're on pace to face the fourth most rushing attempts over the last decade. Because people just want to do it. I want to run against them. They're like, hey, dude, you see how easy that was? Hey, call that play again. Just hand the ball off. We're up by two scores. And DeAndre Swift. Calaisal Herbert last week, just went crazy. I'm going to call it DeAndre Swift touchdown guarantee. All right. Same game as yours. Now, he won't go down at the one. No, I think that the Cardinals won't be able to unlock that power of his. Okay.

58:59 ↗

James Connor against Philadelphia. He is on a heater. He is on fire, running back 5-11-5. That's a player I have. You're talking good things about. The opportunities have been there. We're talking 33% of the rushing attempts and targets in that span. That is elite workhorse usage. So I think he'll see the volume. Plus the matchup, Eagles, you know, over the last few weeks since week 12, 24th and schedule adjusted points, James Cook, Pollard, Ken Walker, Sequin. All like running backs are producing right now. And Arizona's offense has to run through James Connor. And it has been running through James Connor. All right. I'm going to, I'm going to go out on a limb here with my wide receiver start of the week because it has not been consistent. Oh, dude. I like it. Brandon Cooks against the Detroit Lions in that Saturday night, 53 point over under game, the highest of the week. Cooks.

59:53 ↗

He's been a little bit quiet lately because the offense, Dak, you know, the six games run that, you know, the six game run they were on, it slowed up a little bit. No one can be that hot forever. No, but I need them that hot this weekend. Detroit, the secondary, so vulnerable. You don't run on them. Pollard can't run anyways. 28th and yards per attempt. 29th and schedule adjusted fantasy points allowed to wide receivers. Brandon Cooks. If you had Cooper tonight and you had Brandon Cooks on your bench, you. Yeah, I'd play. I'd have to say I'm going to play Brandon Cook. Yeah. Okay. My wide receiver started the week. That's on tape, what I just said. That is. Yeah. Christian O'Lave. Chris O'Lave last week, he gutted it out on Thursday night football, playing through an ankle injury. So you're going to have him limited this week. I'm sure at practice. I'm not going to worry about that. He gets extra time from that game because it was a Thursday night game to rest. He was the wide receiver 12 last week.

60:49 ↗

This is a must-win game against Tampa Bay. We just covered it about how you can throw on Tampa Bay. They're 29th and schedule adjusted fantasy points allowed to wide receivers. And just look at the big games that they've given up to good wide receivers. Brandon Ayuk just had 156 yards against the Pity City, 107 yards. Drake London's monster, 172-yard game. It was against Tampa Bay. Don Tavian Wicks had 97 yards. Calvin Ridley last week, six for 90 and two. So Chris Oliva. Let's win some people some championships. Chris, do it. And a fringe wide receiver starter at this point who I would put in. Sorry, Andy. It's DeAndre Hopkins. You want some narrative street. It's the real revenge game for DeAndre Hopkins. As a couple weeks ago, he played. It did not work out for the Houston. I'm sorry, did not work out for Hopkins against the Houston Texans in that game.

61:47 ↗

Because you would see two for 21, nine targets. That's the important thing. That was a really strange game for the Tennessee Titans. That was, I think, the worst game of Derek Henry's career. Everything went wrong for them. And then they, you know, had a more of a bounce back the next week. I'm not doing, are you doing that with Tannahill? I think I'm still willing to play him as a wide receiver three, even if it is Ryan Tannehill. With Levis, the target share has been fantastic. But over the last six weeks, including that game against the Texans or against the Titans where they were shut down. Texans 31st in schedule adjusted fantasy points to the wide receiver. Houston has flipped where last year it was all run funnel and that's why we were so excited at the beginning of the year looking at Derek Henry's playoff schedule. But that's upside down now. It's quarterbacks and wide receivers who are getting it done. And Hopkins, I think he's still in play as a flex or a wide receiver three.

62:46 ↗

Would you play Amari Cooper or DeAndre Hopkins? That one, I'd probably still go Cooper. Travis Kelsey's my start of the week at tight end. Who would have ever imagined that that could be a sentence allowed in this segment? But you just read it, Jason. Ninth in points per game over the last six weeks. Travis freaking Kelsey gets to play Cincinnati. I mean, that is what it is. Cincinnati has been one of the burst. The burst. It's been one of the worst defense against tight ends on the year. Travis Kelsey, Patrick Mahomes. I think they get right. I think you end up not regretting the fact that they're on your roster. Of course, if you're in the title game, you overcame them at this point. But I think Travis Kelsey this week gets it done. All right. Yeah, the reason I think the chiefs unlock their offense is because Kelsey slowed down a bit and he hasn't been able to dominate other teams.

63:46 ↗

a good matchup like this comes along, I think he will. So good start of the week. Sorry you have to play him. Mike has to play him too. Oh. Yeah. All right. You got him and you're against them. So my start of the week this week, Team McB, baby, Tray McBride. I'm not playing him as a tight end. I mean, he'll be in my tight end slot, but he's the wide receiver one for the Arizona Cardinals. We talk about, oh, can you play Hollywood? Will it be active? Will you be able to play the dork or? You know, Elijah Moore, you can throw on the Eagles. Well, they're going to with Trey McBride. I know last week he just dutted six for 31, obviously in a PPR league. Six is pretty good for a tight end to get. I expect a lot more this season. He is this team's wide receiver one. He leads the team in targets per route run at 27 percent and yards per route run at 2.14 and expected fantasy points per route run. And the Eagles are...

64:41 ↗

Super bad against wide receivers. They're bad against tight ends, 25th. They're 32nd against wide receivers. This is their main passing option. You have to throw against Philly, 39 passing attempts a game. Just like the Cardinals are on pace for a top five rushing attempts against them. The Eagles are on pace for a top five passing attempts against them. So Eagles are going to run, Cardinals are going to throw, play Trey McBride. And this is for our people out there who... Lost T.J. Hawkinson, maybe Colquette doesn't go for you, and you're really scraping at the waiver wire. Joanne Johnson, the matchup is there since week eight, Tampa Bay, dead last, and schedule adjusted points to the tight end position. Kincaid, Schultz, Kittle, Kyle Pitts, Tucker Kraft, guys that have gotten it done against Tampa Bay, all with touchdowns. And then last week, Evan Engram didn't score, but...

65:36 ↗

10 for 95. And Joanne Johnson, at least the last two weeks, rounding back into the form of the player that we had hoped we were going to see for the entire season. And the targets per route run have been at 20%. That's great. Tighten 9 and tight in 4. And this is chasing a touchdown. I think Gerald Everett is also a solid play should everybody be out for the Chargers. But the touchdown upside, I'm going to go to Joanne Johnson. This is... His success last year, it was touchdowns. And of the guys on the way for wire with matchup, with quarterback, and everything combined, I think Juan Johnson is your best desperation play. All right, those are our starts for championship week. Thanks again to our sponsor, Purina ProPlan Sport. ProPlan Sport provides fine-tuned nutrition for strength and stamina that enables dogs and owners to take on life's adventures together. Pro-plan sport, high-performance fuel for active dogs. It all starts.

66:34 ↗

Here. Jason Moore's Ironclad, locked and loaded, 100% guaranteed boom boom kicker of the week. Last week on the boom boom kicker. I'm Merry Christmas to the Notties with a lump of poop. At years end, I need a long nap to take a full boom boom victory lap and retire from these kicking suckers. So I waddled into their kicking HQ and clogged all their toilets with doodoo. Sayonara to the Ravens Justin Tucker. I'm done. That's it. That's the retirement. That's it. That's what I thought. No more stupid boobo. All right. The boom boom boom. It's gone. The boom boom turned into the poo poo. Yeah. There's a lot of doo-doo. We'll find you a segment you don't want to do. Yeah, that's true. Be careful. Careful what you wish for. Oh, no.

67:44 ↗

So you're not even boom booming for week 18? Or is that the like, what do they call it, the epilogue? You're doing epilogue, boom boom? TBD, stay tuned. I just, I'm in our, I'm in our show doc right now and got to the segment where boom boom kickers. I'm trying to get to the bottom of the showdown. I have to scroll through so many weeks and pictures of this boom boom story. Is Kyle on the microphone here? I'm here. Kyle, how do you feel about this retirement? And to retire with Justin Tucker. That's the way to do it. I want to retire with Jason. We're out. We're done. Yeah, yeah, let's go. You guys are finished? All right. Tomorrow, more matchups, the fantasy faceoff. I managed to lose for a third straight week trying to, you know, it was great when Mike had lost three in a row. They always like, ah, you suck. And then, well, I've been humbled. I've been humbled. So, Mike, you got out of it by just going full de-gap. That's right. So we'll see. Hey, we'll see what happens. Yolo.

68:45 ↗

It's the only way to go. The season's almost over, isn't it? Thank you for supporting the show. We appreciate all your reviews over on Apple Podcasts, on Spotify, wherever you're listening. That's an easy way for you guys to support us, and we do read those. We appreciate it. Good luck as you heading to Thursday night. I'm talking also to myself. I hope I make the right decision. I hope you do as well. And that's what this show is all about. We want to equip you with as much information as possible. Every league is different. Every roster is different. Every scoring system is different. But we want to equip you with the most information you can have to make the best decision you can make to give yourself the highest odds in this game called fantasy football. That is it for today's show. We'll catch you tomorrow. You can watch us. If you want, YouTube.com slash the fantasy footballers. Goodbye, everybody.

69:39 ↗

Goodbye. Thank you for listening to another episode of the Fantasy Footballers podcast. Join our fantasy football community on join thefoot.com and follow us on Twitter at the FF ballers.