FAN FREQUENCY / ALWAYS ONZERO AFFILIATION. MAXIMUM OBSESSION.
← Back to the archive
Main show · November 14, 2019

Starts of the Week + Week 11 Breakdown, Heartfelt Apologies

RSSNov 14, 2019 · transcript indexed
Original source

Starts of the Week + Week 11 Breakdown, Heartfelt Apologies

Play original audio ↗

RSS timestamps belong to our exact archived audio capture. The publisher’s current playback may have different ads and timing. Machine transcripts can contain errors.

Inside the episode

158 passages
57:36 ↗

You're not picking him up in that situation, are you? You're not competing for it. Right. I probably wouldn't at that point. All right. Let's do some starts. Starts of the week. All right, Mike, why don't you kick it off? At the quarterback position, Josh Allen, he gets to play the Miami Dolphins. He has the pleasure of playing the Miami Dolphins. You mean the winning streak, Miami Dolphins? The...

58:08 ↗

That's true. The longest winning street currently in the AFC East. He's got the rushing floor, and this is a plus matchups for two of his wide receivers. And last year in two games versus Miami and rushing, or Josh Allen's rushing, nine for 135, nine for 95 and two. He's just, he's been taking over. There was a little narrative-esque, but there was the report this week of, of the, of,

58:37 ↗

Josh Allen talking with his coach and essentially being really given that green light of saying, okay, Josh Allen, go win the game. You're making the decisions, man. You make it happen. All right. So you're going Josh Allen. Jason? I am doing it with James Winston. It's always scary. It's always a rough sled to put him in your lineup. You can end up with a terrible game. And when you look at the Saints,

59:06 ↗

They are dead middle, as we say. As you say, as I say against quarterback. They are 16th. And if you look deeper, you go, well, they had, they really suck the first three weeks of the season. But they've been solid. They have not been bad against quarterback lately. So why would we play Jamis against the team that's been pretty solid against quarterback? Why would you play James? Why would we? And the reason is because Marshawn Latimore.

59:33 ↗

who shut down pretty much everyone he's played against as a shadow corner, including Mike Evans, has a hamstring issue that is almost certainly going to make him miss this week. And if Marshawn Lattimore is out, I think James has a great game because you know that these saints are wanting to make amends for last week and just torch the earth against Tampa Bay. James will have to throw. And if he's got Mike Evans,

60:02 ↗

on one of their other two sucky cornerbacks, and Chris Godwin ate against them last time around. I think, I think, you know, James is a great play. All right, I'm going to go with... Send in the car. Send in the car. Yes. Derrick Carr against the Cincinnati Bengals, and regardless of whether the Oakland Raiders are able to turn this into a blowout, they will need Derek Carr to get them there. Cincinnati has given up.

60:29 ↗

top 10 fantasy performances to the quarterback in four of their last five games. The Raiders are at home. They are rolling. He's been playing well. Believe it or not, he's been a top 12 guy, two of the last three weeks. Here's what's fantastic. The Oakland Raiders have allowed 12 sacks on the year. That's the second best rate. So, I mean, the league average is about 24.

60:55 ↗

Has Cincinnati sacked anybody this year? Cincinnati has the lowest total sacks in the league at... At zero. Ten. At ten. And so it's... Those were trips. Those are the quarterback fall. You know, the offensive linemen stepped on the quarterback. He fell down. We got one. Like this, this is a great matchup for Derek Carr to just get it done. And that includes, I didn't make him my start.

61:24 ↗

But ladies and gentlemen, we've been very sad with the walrus. Oh, man. Wait. Are you? Yes. You're right. You want it? Yes. You willing? Yes. That was intense. There's, again, this past weekend, we learned that he was open on every play. Every time Mike watched games. I've reviewed the film. Even great plays that result in a 50-yard touchdown. Touchdown is like, but.

61:54 ↗

Darren was open. Yeah. But when they do those plays, I'm just, I'm, like, I am. He's writing a letter. No, no, I'm running the next gen stats like in real time in my head. Oh, yeah, computer. You have proof. And look, look, the probability of those plays, sure, they worked. But the probability of Darren Waller catching it is 95%. All right. All right. Let's go running backs. Mike. Oh, Nelly. Please be true.

62:21 ↗

I am kind of taking a shot here. I believe Matt Bredo will be out. I'm with Andy. He's projected to miss one to two weeks, even with his like half Wolverine powers. We joke about it. He's going to miss the game. Yes. Well, he hasn't been ruled out, but I strongly believe Matt Breda misses the game. Rahim Mostert.

62:44 ↗

He might just be sitting there on your waiver wire right now. They get the rematch against Arizona, but this time San Francisco is at home. Coleman banged up. It was all Mostert in that overtime. He's got the three-down skill set. He can catch the ball. Arizona is giving up the eighth most points against fantasy running backs. Mostert always delivers when he has given the opportunity. And I think he's got a huge opportunity here. I agree with you.

63:11 ↗

I think he showed up with a bit of a limited designation. Ah, come on, man. You do need to keep your eyes peeled, but I think it's a very, like, fab dollars weren't spent on Rahim Moster. Right. But he may be just as valuable as my start of the week, Brian Hill. Brian Hill was the most added player this past week. The $50 man. Yes, for good reason.

63:38 ↗

Carolina has given up the most running back fantasy points over the last month. Last week, like I said, even with Freeman active for a portion of that game, getting 30 plus percent of snaps, he had a very productive volume type of game. No Hooper, no Sunu. He can get some passing game work. So for me, he's a very confident RB2 play this week against Carolina. You just are going to have to use Brian Hill.

64:01 ↗

And for me, my start of the week is Joe Mixin, a guy who had a great game last week, 30 for 114 going to play. He's so happy to be in this segment. Well, he's, I mean, fantasy owners still don't know what to do with him because if you've had Mixin, you've felt all of the starts that sucked. And so you don't know if you can buy into this. But with the transition at quarterback, they said Joe Mixing, they were down.

64:27 ↗

two scores and two and a half scores. And they're like, we're just giving it to mixing over and over and over. That was their best chance to win. Coach, shouldn't we try to win? Just give it to mixing. Pardon me. 48 to 10 was the score. And they kicked a field goal to get to 48 to 13. I just want that to hit you.

64:50 ↗

That's called lose by less, but barely less. Do you know how embarrassing it is to lose when you only have 10 points? In the coaching meetings? Oh, my goodness. They saved face. Yes. I mean, they went in and we're like, we got 13. Oh, gosh. Guys, that's almost two full touchdowns. I just can't believe that. Maybe we missed an extra point. You don't know. Maybe you didn't watch the game. But the reality is. History won't remember. Joe Mixon is the centerpiece of this putrid offense.

65:20 ↗

But against the Raiders, they're not a tough matchup. I think that Mixing can have a really solid game. And if you've got him on your roster, I think you should be starting him this week. All right. And by the way, if you're curious about the breeder report, I believe it came from Ian Rappaport. There's a second opinion he's going to pursue on his ankle. And so Rappaport is the one that reported he will miss a week or two. What if that one comes back three to four? What if it comes back? You're fine.

65:46 ↗

Right. Now, I'm not... Jason's not willing... I am not convinced... Until he doesn't see him on the field. That he is out because there's been so many times where he appears like he's going to miss practices, miss the game, and then he's back. It's not as often as has been reported, though. It feels... I does feel that way. All right, Mike, what do you got at wide receiver? I talked about him earlier, but it's Terry McLaurin. Yes, this is scary.

66:15 ↗

as they would say, but the matchup is so great. Look, they've been torched here. And we talked about the Jets, you know, they're giving up points. Here's the last three quarterbacks that they have faced. Gardner Minchew, Ryan Fitzpatrick, and Daniel Jones. These three guys lit up the New York Jets. So that can at least wash away some of your Dwayne Haskins fear. Not all of it.

66:43 ↗

It will be impossible to remove all that fear until you see Haskins actually do it. But the Jets fourth against fantasy wide receivers. It's at home. I believe in Terry McLaurin's talent. I believe that Haskins has a good enough game that you're happy you started Terry. All right. I'm going to go DJ Moore. He's on fire right now. He's been top 20 receiver in four or five weeks. Here's his targets. Jason alluded to it earlier. 10, 9, 10, 11. Beautiful.

67:12 ↗

It's wonderful. And like I said, Vegas is not buying this Atlanta defense as rejuvenated. It's got a 49.5 point over under in this game. Atlanta's given up the eighth most points to fantasy-wide receivers. And you know what? He's done those top 20 performances, all of them with no touchdowns, none. So he's been putting up big weeks, and he's due to get into the end zone. And that would turn a good week into a great week. So I think that's what you're going to get a great week from DJ Moore.

67:41 ↗

For me, I am going to Hollywood. I'm going to Baltimore because I'm going with Markey's Hollywood Brown Baltimore rookie sensation. This is just so much fun to make him my start of the week because he's a guy I loved in college when I was scouting Baker. I was like, who is that guy? And he's a huge play. I mean, you want to talk about. Baker says, where is that guy? Can I have him back?

68:09 ↗

He is really electric. This is a guy where you can end up with the wide receiver one on a week because he can go off for a couple of big bomb touchdowns. And in this matchup that I talked about earlier where I want pieces in it, I expect them to hit the over. I think this is going to be a high-scoring game against the Texans who four of the last five weeks have given up.

68:34 ↗

seventh or better on weekly fantasy points given up to wide receivers. So it's a plus matchup with an electric player. I don't want to end up with a 28.32 point fantasy player on my bench. And, you know, I think that's his upside in this matchup. All right, tight in, Mike. I'm going with Eric Ebrun. And this is the squeaky wheel has squeaked his way.

69:04 ↗

into my head. This is not the matchup I am chasing, which is normally what we look for for the tight end start of the week. But he had a closed door meeting with his coach, and that turned into 12 targets. He flipped the tables. It's usually Jack Doyle as the guy who's getting more snaps, more targets, and it turned into Eric Ebron. We're not expecting T.I. Hilton back this week. Paris Campbell is still out. Jacksonville has good D.Bs.

69:32 ↗

And with Jacoby Brissette back, I expect targets to be funneled once again to Eric Ebron. So I think he's in that range where he's above a streamer now and he's a low end start every week. All right. Look, when I'm staring at the bottom of the barrel at tight end, I've decided I'm going to chase the touchdown trends. And that means Kyle Rudolph. At the beginning of the week, it's the holiday season. He's the red zone reindeer. Do, do, do.

70:01 ↗

Wait. No feeling. What are you singing? Oh, it's the holiday season. I said. You literally said it's the holiday season. It sounded like you were singing the Grinch for a second. I was like, what? Well, he could end up in the Grinch category. No doubt about it. Rudolph is touchdown dependent entirely. But when I started looking at, yes, Iifer could have a nice game, right? The weapons, they don't have a lot in the passing game. And last week he scored with Brian Finley. But I'm going to.

70:28 ↗

Put it on the arm of Kirk Cousins over Ryan Finley this week from my start of the week. He's got four touchdowns in the last five weeks. You're going to get five targets. You've got a competent quarterback in Kirk Cousins. And he's been a top 12 tight end, three of four weeks. So you're not going to get yards, but Denver's actually giving up five plus catches to the tight end position in each the last four weeks. So you could do a lot worse than Kyle Rudolph, which is not something you could say early in the year.

70:57 ↗

Right. For my tight-in start of the week, I'm going with Jared Cook. I want a guy that's got an opportunity for last week, 10 targets from Drew Breeze, 6 for 74. They need a big rebound. The Tampa Bay defense is as close to the Arizona Cardinals as far as giving up big points to the tight-in position. So I think it's just one of those things where you've got a high-scoring team.

Next passages →