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Main show · December 13, 2018

Starts of the Week + Wk 15 Matchups, Gut Feelings

RSSDec 13, 2018 · transcript indexed
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Starts of the Week + Wk 15 Matchups, Gut Feelings

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146 passages
41:06 ↗

fewest fantasy points given up over that time frame two quarterbacks better against wide receivers are tied in but still against the running game they've actually gotten worse they're the 30th best so they're not good and you've got a team that wants to run all day on them I feel like maybe you could start both of these guys Gus Edwards and Kenneth Dixon don't mind you taking a shot on them both I don't I just am not excited about the fact it's split that's all and if Lamar Jackson can't get things going

41:35 ↗

And the running game can't get things going. It could be a struggle for them. Is James Winston a full-on sit? Yeah, he is. He could 100% have a great game. Is there anybody you play? You could see Ryan Fitzpatrick in this game. Yeah, who do you play for Tampa? You're going to have to put Mike Evans in there because he is the number one target. He's a big body downfield. I mean, you'd have to have a great wide receiver core to bench Mike Evans. And I also think you put Cameron Bray in there.

42:04 ↗

Because on the season, the Ravens, if you want to beat them, you beat them with tight end. James goes to tight end. I think Cameron Bray is worthy of being a start of the week. What about Adam Humphreys if they're playing catch-up? If I'm wrong, if this is not an almost upset, if they have the, if they perform according to Vegas and have the highest, one of the highest implied point totals of 28 points, which is where they're at right now, I'm sorry, that's where Baltimore is at. That means that Tampa has to come back in this game.

42:31 ↗

Is the underneath target, the emergency target of Adam Humphreys? Is he going to give you a PPR value? Yeah, I mean, that's what you're seeing from them giving up points against the tight end. They let that small middle of the field stuff. So you might have Adam Humphreys there with six, seven receptions. If you're in a full PPR league, that could be okay. Pronounce that with an Humphreys for me? Umphreys. Thank you. Adam Humphreys. Any other questions from this game that you want to bring up? Sit Peyton Barber. Yeah, sit Peyton Barber.

42:58 ↗

and laugh at Ronald Jones next next game I just saw he got picked up and dropped in one of our leagues just like a kind of just like a cursory I was wondering who you are let's get you in the logs yeah I was wondering if that was an NFL transaction like oh they accidentally dropped them and they're like oh shoot we should pick that guy back up we're embarrassed about our draft pick we'll see what happens next year because he will they'll probably change head coaches mm-hmm

43:25 ↗

And he will not have been from... Ronald Jones is short for the NFL. And I don't mean that height wise. He's short for the NFL? I mean, his career is not going to last long time. So you were taking the not long for the NFL. Correct. And you just made that short. That is perfect Jason Morris. Execution. That's very special. It's kind of like baby Josh is short for the fantasy footballers studio. That's true. His final day tomorrow. Oh, he's going to be a toddler. Oh.

43:52 ↗

I'm going to go out in the world. Waddling around. Still pooping in a diaper. I just thought. There's no doubt about that. We watched Home Alone with the kids yesterday. Yeah, the one with the spider. Yeah, the one with the first one with the spider in it. And I see a little Molokulikoken running around reminding me a baby Josh. That's cute. Baby Josh. That's what he can be someday. In genius one of these days. In genius little kid. I wouldn't be a McCollie Culkin and then grow up to be. I wouldn't be adult McCulley Colkin. Not as good. No. You know, it's crazy. I was looking at a.

44:21 ↗

I don't know why. I was looking at pictures of adult moly Colkin earlier this week. Sounds really weird, man. And I don't know what he looks like because half the pictures are like, yeah, that's a, that's a good looking, you know, 30 some odd year old. I don't know how old he is. And then some are like, oh, he does meth. Right. Like he loves his home alone for the meth story. I think both are true. Yeah, I mean, it might be. I think that part of his past.

44:49 ↗

Oh, really? I think he's moved on. If it is, I feel... Oh, did you not know that? No, I didn't know that. Yeah, I'm pretty certain he has a... I feel worse for me. This is a tough show. Yeah, he should have had Purell. Oh, baby. Jay Gris thought it was funny, though. Yeah. Me and Jay, we've got the same sense of humor. Five and eight lions against the four and nine bills. Bills are two and a half point home favorites. 39 point over under. The Josh Allen story continues.

45:18 ↗

That's it for Buffalo. I don't want to start anyone else. No, not if, you know, Chris Ivory, if he was perfectly healthy in the Sean McCoy set, I would go, maybe. I would start Chris Ivory. You would? I would. I mean, if, if, uh, Shady's out, Chris Ivory always has good games. It's still a cold weather game. Have they even practiced this week?

45:43 ↗

Brooks, has Chris Ivory gotten onto the practice field? Yeah, Ivory actually practiced in full yesterday. McCoy didn't practice at all. Okay. That makes a huge difference. Chris Ivory should be picked up as kind of one of those stashes if you need a flex type option. Because if Shady's out, this is a, it's still a cold weather game. It's not to the point, you know, usually under 30 degrees. That's where you get the boost for running backs. But it's under 40 degrees. Some light rain.

46:12 ↗

So it's going to be feeling even colder. And you have no passing game on either side of the ball. I mean, Kenny Goliday, I still somewhat trust him because he is a great athlete who's just taller. He can out-leap people and Matthew Stafford can get it done. But everyone else has gone away.

46:31 ↗

Bruce Ellington's banged up. Billy Tate is gone. Marvin Jones is gone. The offensive line is banged up. The bills are number one against fantasy wide receivers over the last six weeks. Number one, they're at home. Tredavius White. We saw what happened to Kenny G against Patrick Peterson. You're writing something down on a piece of paper, and I guarantee you what I know. I know what it is. What is it? The same thing I'm writing down, which is you wrote it down arrow next to Kenny G.

46:56 ↗

My paper says Kenny G. Down Arrow. That is correct. Yeah. Number one against quarterback as well. Well, yeah. I mean, I... And they're favored. And the Lions offense is atrocious. Yeah. Stafford is already... I mean, he's so low in my rankings right now. And I might adjust this. I probably will because right now he's under like Nick Mullins and Cody Kessler. He is untouchable. You can't even think about starting Matt Stafford unless it's just one of those...

47:23 ↗

Crazy, fluky, lucky games, but the process says no. Kenny Goliday right now. Now, if you're in a league that gives bonuses for being extra, extra smooth. Oh, well, then you've got to start. Good old Kenny. Geez. So. Yeah, that didn't sound as good with the saxophone and the siren was. No, that's your smooth alert. He's not going to be smooth up in Buffalo. No, he's my wide receiver 29 right now. If we had sits of the week, and he won't be soon. As I say, if we had sits of the week, he would be.

47:58 ↗

He'd be my sit of the week. Now, what's going on with Kerry on Johnson? I believe he still is not practicing at all. Do you expect him to be back? I mean, no. No. He's not going to play. You should do the question, but then also answer them all. Okay. Would you start Theoretic in a standard league? No. But would you, Andy, start him if, let's say it's full PPR, you just want a safe option? I'd think about it. Okay. This is good.

48:29 ↗

Where I get to ask the question and answer. I thought you were going to keep going. I thought this was a bit. It was a bit that I felt like deserved a crickets drop. Okay. All right. I didn't get one. No, I'm not touching anybody to answer a Reddit question. No, thanks. Zach Zinner? He's on a roster. No, I'm not playing. Look, Eric Blunt? No. Luke Wilson? I will not play him. I like that one a lot. The eight and five Cowboys take on the seven and six.

49:00 ↗

Colts. That's what's going to happen. In Indianapolis, 47 point over under, the Colts are three-point favorites. Does that surprise you? Does it surprise me that the Colts are favorites? No. I mean, you're at home with Andrew Luck. The Colts have been, I mean, the Cowboys are on fire. But so are the Colts. You take out that one Jacksonville game, and they are, they're a team on a mission. Both of these teams are.

49:28 ↗

Headed towards the playoffs. This is a huge game, so you're going to favor the home team with the better quarterback. To the point where we're going to talk about Andrew Luck later because the Cowboys defense has been so good lately. Top 10 on the season against quarterbacks, running backs, wide receivers, their defense has just been clicking. That's helped everyone there ever since Amari Cooper is in town. The offense is going.

49:58 ↗

but I am not worried in the slightest about Indianapolis's offense outside of maybe Marlon Mack. So Marlon Mack, where does he slot in? If somebody's making a running back decision, Marlon Mack or James White? Ooh, Marlon Mack or James White? I think I would go James White in that situation in Pittsburgh. What about Damien Williams tonight? Oh, Damien Williams. Okay. And what about Jordan Howard or Marlon Mac? Oh, gross.

50:26 ↗

That one's super gross. Grody. Grody. I think I would go Jordan Howard. How do you feel about Mack in general projecting him forward? What that says is I don't like Marlon Mack. Because I don't like Jordan Howard. Well, that's what I was going to get at there is that Marlon Mack for all of his maybe talentability, the things that you've liked about him in the past, at this point, are you kind of resigned to the fact that he is not a monster? No, he's a monster.

50:56 ↗

He's going to have a great game next week, championship week against New York Giants. This is really a thing where I think Dallas's linebacking core that they don't even have enough room for their great players to be on the field because they are just, it's their personnel that's stopping the run. And I think they are better than Marlon Mack. But New York Giants in Championship Week at home in Indianapolis, Week 16, Marlon Mack could very well go from being.

51:24 ↗

Kind of a pump the brakes this week to my start of the week next week. Dak Prescott, 455 and 3 last week, Cooper giving him the bump each and every week. Mike has them up at 11 this week, completing 72% of his passes since the Cooper trade. You can see a confidence difference in Dak Prescott. The kind of thing you saw when he had Des Bryant, even though they didn't have a perfect connection all the time, it was confident. Absolutely. Since, you know, his rookie year he came in and he was so consistent. I mean,

51:55 ↗

From week six, and you don't realize that it was this long ago because he didn't have Amari Cooper here. Here's Dak Prescott's fantasy finishes on a weekly basis. Two, he was the number two quarterback, number eight quarterback. Then they're by week. 18, so that was a bad week. Then he was number seven, another bad week, number three, and number two last week. So, I mean, he's been really solid for fantasy, giving you...

52:22 ↗

A lot, you know, more than half the time, he has been a quarterback one at the end of the week. This is a matchup that I, like I said, I think Andrew Luck is going to score at home against this great Dallas Cowboys defense. So Dak's going to have to keep up. And I think he will. You're playing, Zeke. I have him up at RB2. You know, some of the metrics this week suggested to move Zeke down. I'm not going to do it. He's too darn good. Too important to this offense. But he.

52:51 ↗

Oh, the voice of public opinion is back. But he's on the road and it'll turn into a passing game. Yeah, he's Zeke. And he also caught 12 passes last week. That's the thing I wanted to bring up. Are you kidding me? When did Ezekiel Elliott become a guy that's getting 12 passes? Did he get a new quarterback? No. A new coach? No, no. He's always had the ability. They just didn't target him. And now...

53:15 ↗

See, Dak's completing 72% of his passes now. He's like, oh, I found a way to pad my stats. And there's a lot more room underneath than there was when Cooper was gone. So I think that Zeke... He's Barclay. He's Barkley. Zeke and Barclay are very similar. If you have not realized that Ezekiel Elliott has turned into a pass catching back, not like, oh, he can. No, he's a pass catching back. Since they're biweek, I mean, four receptions, six, seven,

53:45 ↗

five, six, 12. That's insane. I mean, that's... That's the kind of... The dump-off passes. They're productive. Zeke can do it. He's great. I admit two. Hilton, seven straight receptions or seven receptions or more in the four straight games, basically since Mike said he was going to turn it on. He did. Eric Ebron, 12 touchdowns this year. He has tied the Colts franchise record, and he could break it in this game. Do you like Eric Ebron? I guess you have to. You love Eric Ebron.

54:14 ↗

He's been a savior at the tight end position this season. All right. Let's get to the starts. Starts of the week. Now, Mike was supposed to pass along some audio, and he failed. So shame on you, Mike. I've never, like, I don't want to overstate this, but I've never been more disappointed in anybody in my life. I agree completely, Jay. So Mike failed, but he did give us his starts of the week. Okay.

54:47 ↗

And then the logic behind them. So I will bring them into the folder. Let's start at the running back position. I'll start with Mike's start of the week. And he has Justin Jackson. I like it. Well, he actually has the Chargers starting running back. That's his start of the week, but it'll be Justin Jackson. More than likely, it will be Justin Jackson. And I agree. I mean, I am of the mindset that I'm playing Justin Jackson and I'm playing Damien Williams if I've got them tonight, assuming the starters are out.

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