Starts of the Week + Wk 15 Matchups, Gut Feelings

He returned to limited practice on Wednesday. He should play. He's got that thigh injury from last week. Sutton or Hamilton, if you have to take a flyer on a Keenham target. If I have to take a flyer, I'm still sticking with Sutton. And the reason why I'm sticking with Sutton is because of Tim Patrick. Because Deshaun Hamilton is the other option. We're talking about, okay, is it Sutton? Is it Deshaun? Well, look, Deshaun had a good game, but Tim Patrick had seven for 85.

last week to Deshaun Hamilton's 7 for 47, Deshaun just got the touchdown. So with the volume kind of mixing in there, I want the deep target. I want the guy against the Browns that can go deep and have a big game. I still believe that's Cortland Sutton. We've seen it a few times this season. He was obviously drafted to have that. I mean, two weeks ago, four for 85 and a touchdown. I would take my shot on...

on Sutton. Now, let me ask you this, though, do we get blinded as fantasy owners sometimes? Cortland Sutton has been, he's a high pedigree draft pick. He flashed when Emmanuel Sanders and Demarius Thomas were there. So we've been hyping him up, and I mean, we've been wrong. Yes. He has not performed. He has been a disappointment to the hype. But last week, Tim Patrick had seven catches for 85 yards. Like you said, why do we not talk about Tim Patrick as a reaction to his performance? He was the leading target last.

last week. He obviously has some sort of rapport with Case Keenum. Why is his name not being brought up amongst the kind of the hype train of Sutton and Hamilton? Yeah, so. He was the best. Yes, he was the best wide receiver of the three. And, I mean, and yet you, what your hesitation seems to reveal exactly. Well, he's played, I mean, if you look at his four previous games where he is Tim Patrick.

The four games where he has been in there and been targeted and caught a pass, each one he's had one reception. So one for 26, one for 24, one for 17. I realize a change with Amanda Sanders being out. First time without Sanders, he's seven for 85. I just, I have a, I couldn't in the semifinals just jump to that trust level of saying, well, then Tim Patrick is the guy. Now, if you're in a full PPR and you are the...

odds on favorite, right? You're a dominant guy. Then the Deshawn Tim Patrick feels a little safer than the Cortland Sutton upside. But this is a Saturday game. I don't really want any of these three guys. We're talking about these guys like, but like, I mean, my highest, my highest ranked Denver wide receiver here is Sutton at, you know, he's outside the wide receiver too. Okay. Well, we don't need to talk about them anymore. Let's move on. The three and ten Cardinals.

Taking on the four and nine Falcons. Falcons, eight and a half point home favorites, a 44 point over under. Wow. The Falcons are only favored eight and a half points? Does that surprise you or does that seem appropriate? That seems right. We'll call these bad birds. These are bad birds. The Cardinals have one fewer win than the Falcons. So eight and a half, I can see that. The Cardinals defense is infinitely better than its offense.

It's not the Cardinals, if they had an offense this year, they would have won more than three games. It's a matter of Josh Rosen going on the road and trying to get something done in Atlanta. I don't trust that whatsoever. I would play the Falcons defense with confidence. And the Falcons defense is bad. That's the thing. The thing that really hurts my feelings here is I realize that the Cardinals are going to score 10 or fewer points. You know, everybody knows that. Even on Atlanta's defense in a dome.

I mean, David Johnson was limited. He's expected to play, but monitor that if you're the David Johnson owner. There's no offensive line, there's no quarterback, and there's no wide receivers. So how they put up points, I don't know, and they haven't. I mean, they put up three points last week at home against Detroit. So that means to only be favored eight and a half points, there must not be a lot of...

expected points going for the Falcons is my worry. And I'm playing Matt Ryan, and I'm very fearful about it. David Johnson, 12 receiving yards on eight receptions last week. That is terrible. He's averaging 20 touches per game, but he hasn't given you a big game in a little while. Atlanta's been perennially terrible against past catching running backs. Are you feeling okay about David Johnson? No, certainly not. Did you know that big play, percentage of big plays?

carries to result in the big play. David Johnson is bottom five in the league of qualifying running backs. He's, I mean, you would expect a guy that's getting volume with the talent of David Johnson to just break something off. Yeah. Just have a 50-yard run every once in a while. He's done Jack Squad. Speaking of Jack Squad, Kevin Coleman, how do you feel about him? Last three weeks total yardage, 23, 11, 41. He's evaded one tackle in the last three weeks.

I have evaded one, I have evaded one fewer tackle than Tauvin Coleman in the same time period. I feel pretty good about that. Yeah, no, that has to build yourself esteem. Yeah. I feel like you should be able to play Tiven Coulman. Yeah, I mean, the Cardinals, they have not been good against the run. You're at home, heavy favorite against a bad run defense. It's yes, yes, yes.

You should be able to play. And yet in my rankings, I've got them behind, you know, 25 other people. So, man, it's tough to trust Kevin Coleman with how bad he's been. Honestly, I feel like maybe is Edo Smith a better option? I don't want to play either, but they should.

So let's talk through this because shouldn't they be a good start? It should be a great start. The Cardinals are 30th in the league giving up 28 fantasy points a game to the running back. There will be points on the ground. And they should be winning. They're eight and a half point favorites. Yeah, you know the Falcons are going to win the game. So I don't mind Edo Smith over Coleman. If you want to retire Tevin Coleman due to one evaded tackle in three weeks, you're sick of him. You don't want to lose with him in your lineup again. I don't know.

Somebody's going to run wild on the Cardinals. But if you had to start one, I assume you would start. Yeah, I would start Coleman myself. Last week, Edo Smith was 11 for 60, while Tevin Coleman won fewer carry, 10 for 45. It seems like the coaching staff would like Edo Smith to run away with this. He just hasn't done it. Yeah, I mean, if you look at the contract situation, we're coming up to the end of the year, Devont Freeman's still under contract. Tevin Coleman will be a free agent, almost certain to not be back.

Although he's really played his way out of a big money contract. So maybe they'll be able to bring him back. I don't have them very far apart. Let's put it that way. 28 and 36 this week. And I might put I know right there with him. I think so. I mean, I was even more involved in the passing game. There's literally, I think I would rather start Edo. Yeah. I might make that change in my ranking. I'm going to bump Edo Smith up. He's a sneaky, a sneaky start. Yeah. Yeah.

Julio Jones has had over 100 yards in eight of his last 10 games, but gets the Patrick Peterson treatment in this one. I'm not worried. We saw Kenny Goliday shut down last week. Worried might be too strong a word for somebody like Julio Jones, but is there a world where playoff-bound fantasy teams are disappointed in Julio this week? There's always a world where playoff-bound fantasy teams are hurt by Julio Jones. I remember a couple of years ago they had like two...

I forget if it was when Tampa Bay was bad or New Orleans was bad. I think it was New Orleans. And in the playoffs, they had two games against them. And it was like, you've got to get Julio. And one of those games was just a complete flop in a great matchup. I mean, look two weeks ago. Two for 18. That was Julio Jones's line. So yeah, he can disappoint. But he's a must start because look at last week, eight for 106 and two. And at the end of the week, I think you're going to be pretty happy with Julio. I got a bull.

touchdown Jones. I got a bold prediction for you. I think either Calvin Ridley or Mohammed Sunu, one of those two guys is going to have multiple touchdowns in this game. Multi touchdowns. Yeah, that's my bold prediction. And that's because you think Julio won't have a good game then. Well, I think they're going to offensively move the ball with other pieces. I don't think they're going to force feed Julio in a game they can easily win.

I think you're going to see a better performance from Sunu or Ridley. Now, predicting those two is very difficult. Larry Fitzgerald. I need those Matt Ryan touchdowns, Andy. I need those Matt Ryan touchdowns. Because you have Matt Ryan. Yes. And you want to win. And you want to win. And you want to win. And I want to then lose in the championship game to Brooks's juggernaut team as he keeps calling it. Last note, Austin Hooper, questionable.

to play in this game with a knee injury. I think he'll play, but, you know, do what you want with that information. The Cardinals are fifth against tight ends. It's pretty darn good. The five and eight Buccaneers take on the seven and six Ravens. Ravens are seven and a half point favorites. 46 and a half point over under. I'm looking at this game, and I'm trying to look through the lens of the last 15 years of watching football. And there's part of me that believes... What?

Andy's Almost Upset of the week. Was this a surprise to you right now in the moment? It really was. See, these almost upsets, they're really, I mean, they're gut calls. And sometimes I know them. The second I see the game lines come out, and sometimes I feel them. This is a feeling. And I felt it. So I felt it when I looked at this. Baby Josh, we need to track gut versus, you know, like the feeling versus gut. They're the same. They're the same thing. But I'm saying the win loss on your. All my feelings come from my gut.

Oh, really? Yeah. Where do yours come from? Well, mine come from my gut, but I'm an overeater, so that makes sense. You know, all my feeling comes from my tum-tum. All you're feeling better as well. Yes. Comes from your tum-tum. Tampa, Baltimore. The reason why I'm bringing this as an almost upset is because everything lines up as, okay, the Ravens are going to cruise at home. But that hasn't been how the Raven season has gone this year.

And Lamar Jackson got the nod. And Lamar Jackson has struggled with turnovers, specifically fumbles. Lamar Jackson has made some mistakes. And Tampa Bay, for all of its problems, going up against this Ravens defense, they do have firepower. And they have a quarterback that can air it out. And they can find a way to score. And my concern is not, oh, Tampa's going to go wild in Baltimore. I'm talking about if this happens, 17.

14. 2170. So it's an indictment on... It's an indictment on Baltimore being able to move the ball. So it's an indictment on Lamar Jackson. Right. Which is not to say it's an indictment on Lamar Jackson, the fantasy producer. Right. Those can be very, very different things. The Ravens can put up 17 points. Lamar Jackson can fumble three times.

and still finish as a top 12 quarterback because he rushed for 100 yards because fantasy scoring is broken for quarterbacks. I completely agree with you, Andy. Correct. Lamar Jackson per pro football focus, he's completing less than 50% of his passes to outside wide receivers. That's not good. You know, you can't start a Ravens Whiteout of any kind. You can't start John Brown. You can't start Michael Crabtree. You can't start Willie Sneed. There's not enough volume. No. If you had to start one.

I would. I would go John Brown for the deep threat against Tampa. I would start Willie Sneed, hands down. Just because the short volume. Targets have been there every week. The Ravens backfield's a mess. Gus Edwards, he's touching the ball, but he's only getting the, he's getting carries, no catches. Kenneth Dixon, big breakout game last week, eight for 59 in a touchdown, caught a pass. We call him Kenneth Dinker. Do we?

Well, that's what the notes here say, because I accidentally called him Kenneth Dinker last week. Let's just make it official that you call him this. If we had him on for an interview, I don't think he's a big fan of that. Can we get him to say that in his drop? I kind of want him to struggle so we can say that Kenneth Dinker had a stinker. I like that. But I want him to come on the show and say, this is Kenneth Dinker.

of the Baltimore Ravens and you're listening to the Fantasy Footballers podcast. He might be, I don't know, he may have a sense of humor. Yeah, here's the thing about the, you say the running back core is in shambles. Earlier in the year, it was possible. Well, no, I didn't say that. You said it was a mess. Don't pull words in my mouth. You said it was a mess. What did you tell me that I shut my stupid mouth? Well, it was a stupid face, so you had to shut your mouth. Yeah, I said it was. Regret nothing. It was, uh, yeah, it's, it's a little unpredictable. But earlier in the season, you could start.

Alex Collins and Buck Allen in certain games. Now I feel like almost like we've upgraded both of those guys. To Gus and Dixon. To Gus Edwards and Kenneth Dixon. And now we're facing the Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense that while improved, if you look, you know, they were terrible against quarterbacks over the last six weeks. They're the seventh.