FAN FREQUENCY / ALWAYS ONZERO AFFILIATION. MAXIMUM OBSESSION.
← Back to the archive
Main show · November 14, 2018

Pump the Brakes, No-Bell Prize Winners, Counting Crows

RSSNov 14, 2018 · transcript indexed
Original source

Pump the Brakes, No-Bell Prize Winners, Counting Crows

Play original audio ↗

RSS timestamps belong to our exact archived audio capture. The publisher’s current playback may have different ads and timing. Machine transcripts can contain errors.

Inside the episode

120 passages
41:13 ↗

We've been doing some work to try to improve the speed at which we can get the rankings out early in the week. Is this a fair time to kind of, I mean, Jared Goff is here. Do you mind if we share the news? Good, Glenn! Yeah, our rankings. Always excited to do more. I don't know what's happening. Here's what's happening. Our rankings that usually go up today, Wednesday, which they will.

41:38 ↗

Yes, and they usually go up, what, three Eastern or so? Yeah, probably right around, yeah, noon our time. They will start going up on Tuesday. We have been able to refine a process that I think is well. They will go up often. They will be updated more frequently. And basically, whenever you want rankings, we have our rankings that are up.

42:01 ↗

to the closest date possible starting from as early as possible in the week. So if you have... Which means the start sit tool will be available earlier. If you have in the past gone on a Tuesday, you need waivers and you want to see how we think about a guy. We now are going to have the ability to get those up a little bit earlier. We've never done that before because what matters to us, we would rather have good rankings up on Wednesday than bad rankings up on Tuesday. But we have now got to the point where we will have good rankings up.

42:30 ↗

on Tuesday. Yeah. So check out the fantasy footballers. You're exactly right. So the starts hit tool, the rankings, they're all going to be coming out sooner. Brooks has got a little grin on his face over there. He's very excited. I know from the days when I would be out looking for rankings years and years ago, it was, you know, where can I find any information early in the week? And we want to provide that to you. So very excited about that. Expect that to begin next week. So, yeah.

42:55 ↗

Let's grab one more question that I want to get into the Thursday night preview. This is a good one to me. Twitter question from Thomas, Outlook on Sony Michelle rest of season. I mean, there was a time when we looked at Sony Michelle, his situation in New England, Nick Chubb, fellow running back, Georgia running back, his situation in Cleveland, and everything was leaning the Sonny Michelle way. So I'd love to know what you think rest of the season between those two and what the rest of the season outlook is for Sonny Michelle.

43:24 ↗

Between those two, I would go Chubb at this point based on health and health alone. If I knew that Sony Michelle was going to be out, if both guys, Nick Chubb and Sony Michelle were going to be completely healthy, I would still lean the Sony route. But the fact is, Sony got, you know, right before the draft, it came out his, you know, whatever it was, degenerative knee condition or something like that.

43:48 ↗

And then it came up in camp and he missed, you know, the beginning of the season. And now he's dealing with another knee issue. So he should be back. But there are concerns there. I would lean Chub over Sony Michelle. And then you also have the concerns of Rex Burkett. That's what I was going to bring up. Rex Burkhead is eligible to come back week 13. I know people can him and haunt at Rex Burkhead. But you have to at least factor that in the possibility that Rex Burkhead comes back and is immediately.

44:16 ↗

inserted back into getting actual snaps for this team, perhaps some goal line work. It was really around week four when Burkhead was out of the way and Sony was back that Sony took over. It was like, oh, I'm a 25 carry guy, you know, game guy before that. It was 10 and 14 when Rexey was there. Obviously, he had a really bad game. 2.8 at carry in the game against Tennessee, only 11 carries. I do lean Chub, obviously, from total workload, game breaking ability.

44:43 ↗

He's the better pick right now, and the team is playing better on offense overall. So let's go ahead and get into Thursday. Thursday night breakdown. Pretty important game here. The 4-4-1 Packers take on the 4-5 Seahawks. The Seahawks are at home. This is going to be a primetime game up in Seattle. They are two-and-a-half-point favorites. There's a 49 point under, and a lot of question marks in this game. And it's really important for both teams. I feel like...

45:17 ↗

A loss in this game is going to put the Packers pretty, they're going to have to run the table. Yes. If they lose this game and they're dealing with Chicago and Minnesota in that division, and then, you know, the Seahawks, they dropped the 4 and 6th if they lose this game at home, and it would be an uphill battle to grab a wild card. So what are the big storylines for you guys? I mean, these are teams that have opposite play-calling philosophies. Green Bay is 30th in the league in percentage of rush plays. Seattle is first.

45:47 ↗

And then obviously the inverse. I mean, Green Bay throws the ball third most in the league. Seattle's dead last. I mean, Seattle is a running team under Brian Schopenheimer. So, you know, I know you talked about game script might flip a little bit, but they are at home. They're going to control the clock. I'm not certain that this turns into a shootout. I might take the under in this one. Yeah, I don't blame you, especially with the emergence of Aaron Jones and Aaron Rogers wanting Aaron Jones to get more involved. That might...

46:15 ↗

turn the table to where it's, you know, it's not the pass every single down and run every now and then. If they, they being the Green Bay Packers, get the ball to Aaron Jones more. You could see the underhit in this game. Except Aaron Jones rips off like eight a carry, my man. That's fair. He has. It's just as good as passing. He's been, he's been great. I mean, he really has. Aaron Jones is a guy I want to start. Rashad Penny, or not Rashad Penny, Chris Carson.

46:44 ↗

the other running back across the field, I'm afraid to start him. I'll say this, he'll be higher in my rankings. He will be because probability says, but he is risky to me. With the injuries he's dealt with over the last couple weeks and what Rashad Penny showed, I'm not excited to play Chris Carson or anyone. I'm not excited to play Penny or Mike Davis. I just don't know what to do with the Seattle running backs. And if I can pivot, I would do that.

47:14 ↗

Mike, do you share that sentiment? I mean, Chris Carson is the one player that, you know, I'm comfortable with in that backfield. Yeah, I'm comfortable. It might be a bit too strong, but I would not avoid. Yeah. Running back two for me. Yeah, and that's fair. The Green Bay Packers on the season are 16th against running backs, but the past six weeks, they are actually 26. So the matchup has become a bit juicier for fantasy running backs. I would.

47:44 ↗

be okay playing Chris Carson, the Mike Davis and backup crew of him and Rashad Penny. I'm not going to play them. They're just going to be on my bench for now. Do you have, what are some other big storylines in this game? How confident are you? Now, Randall Cobb has been declared out for this game. You already don't have Geronimo Allison. Jeremy Graham seems to be banged up. Only one catch last week. Jimmy Graham. What did I say? You said Jeremy Graham. You were thinking of, that's what I, we've got recordings of it.

48:13 ↗

Brooks, what's the verdict, Judge? I didn't catch it. I caught it. Yeah, Brooks didn't even listen anymore. So, to me, is MVS a good start? Is he a flex play in this game? Yes. It wasn't a great performance this past week, but he still had seven targets, six receptions for 44 yards. It just, it didn't work out for a huge fantasy day for him, but the opportunity is there.

48:42 ↗

The Seattle Seahawks the past six weeks are 25th against the wide receiver fantasy position. So yes, I'm going to play him. It's still weird for me not to think about Richard Sherman lining up as a cornerback on that team. When I think about the matchups, I still picture him there. Yep. So you're starting Adams, you're starting Jones. You're starting Rogers. You're starting MBS. Yeah. And Jimmy Graham, you know, if he's active, you've got to start.

49:07 ↗

Is that where you're at? Yeah, he's been super disappointing. The knee injury has kept him out of practices. Being a short week, I'm not a fan of Jimmy Graham this week. Is Jimmy Graham back next year? Is he back next year? Oh, yeah. For the Packers? He had such a big contract. They gave him a really. Well, I know they gave him a big contract, but I don't know how top heavy that was with the risk.

49:28 ↗

I'm going to pull it off real quick because that's very interesting. Well, then Jason talk about the other side. Doug Baldwin, he says he's through the knee injuries. He says he's been that way for a while. He actually played more snaps than Tyler Lockett last week. I don't know if that's a good thing to know because he played 99% of snaps still ended up with 39 yards receiving. And that's how it's been all year. There have been many games. You might think if you go look at the box scores, you might think Doug Baldwin is now finally back to playing a lot of snaps. There's been a...

49:57 ↗

quite a few games where his snap percentage has been great, and he wasn't that involved. His targets are not the valuable type of targets that Tyler Lockett are, or even that David Morris have been. To me, Doug Baldwin, I mean, this is a matchup that says you can play him, but I would prefer the upside of a long bummed touchdown with Tyler Lockett over Doug Baldwin at this point. Would you rather play Marquez Veldez Scanling, Doug Baldwin, or Tyler Lockett?

50:23 ↗

I would rank those Marquez, Valda, Scantling, Tyler, Lockett, Doug Baldwin. Yeah, this stat is funny because T.J. Hernandez said over the last six weeks, no players averaging more fantasy points per pass attempt than Wilson. But the problem is he doesn't throw the ball enough for those to accumulate to that degree. And I think everybody wants to have this narrative, the narrative, the second half Russell Wilson, second half Doug Baldwin. If you throw the ball, the 30-second most in the national football league, it doesn't matter.

50:54 ↗

Yeah, it doesn't help your wide receivers. I'm away from that narrative. I'm away from that entirely. I don't think Russell Wilson is going to have a second. Now, look, any play, he can throw an 80-yard touchdown to lock it, or Baldwin could have two touchdowns in a game where he has 40 yards receiving, but I don't have confidence in that. So that's the problem. It's, it.

51:16 ↗

Did you look at Jimmy Graham, by the way? Yeah, Jimmy Graham would be a $12 million cap hit next year would be a $7 million dead cap. He'll be around for another year. He'll be around. I find it interesting. What I was looking for is where Russell Wilson ranks. I think he's fourth in passing touchdowns right now. You believe in Eric Ebron and his efficiency of not being on the field very much, not getting a ton of targets, but scoring a bunch. Yes.

51:45 ↗

But don't believe in Doug Baldwin's efficiency. Because he hasn't done that. Well, and I get that. What efficiency has Doug Baldwin done? I get that. I'm sorry. I apologize. Russell Wilson. There you go. Russell Wilson. The wrong name came out. Well, no. The difference is 100% based on options at the position. So I get your argument. Like, I'm not saying you could never start Russell Wilson. But you do run a risk when efficiency is what you're dependent on. You run the same risk with Eric Ebron.

52:14 ↗

But you're playing at a position which you play the best odds at a touchdown you can. So Eric Ebron represents a completely different universe. Okay. Yeah, no, Russell Wilson is a fine play. I mean, he really is. Don't interpret the fact that we don't know which wide receiver or which tight end to target. Russell is going to do enough at home against the Packers. If you look at the last six weeks, there's been one game where Russell has not had three.

52:40 ↗

passing touchdowns. So he's actually been fine, and we even saw last week when he needed to against the Rams, he rushed the ball. He had 92 yards on the ground, 41 the week before that. Russell Wilson is an absolutely fine play here at home against the Packers, but that doesn't translate necessarily to Doug Baldwin. Yeah, I think that's fair. Anything else from this game you guys want to touch on? Come on, Ed.

53:11 ↗

The Packers are number one against that I am. I'm going to tell you right now. The amount of reviews related to Red Dead or Red Dead Dixon on our iTunes right now, our Apple podcasts are comedic. Thank you, Fookland. Yes, yeah. Although we did. Somebody thought it would be really funny to drop a one star for Red Dead Dixon ads. Yeah, we shared that. That's why they're all coming in. No, no, no. For Red Dead Dixon? Oh.

53:41 ↗

Yeah, that's not the, that wasn't the one we shared. Oh. That's a totally different one. You're not even listening to the show either. Nobody listens to this show during the show. I'll listen to the Megalodon. Yeah. Thanks for tuning in. Check out drop.com slash ballers for placing DFS. And we'll catch you tomorrow for matchups. See you later. Goodbye. You for listening to another episode of the fantasy footballers podcast. Join our fantasy football community on join thefoot.com.

54:11 ↗

and follow us on Twitter at the FFBallers. The perpetual pen tapper, the arbitrary fridge reorganizer, the holiday party planner that starts in May. Principal knows your star employees have their work quirks. Principal also knows how much these employees mean to your business. You need them. They need benefits. Work with principals so they can help you help your team with a retirement and benefits plan that's right for them.

54:41 ↗

Principal Life Insurance Company, Des Moines, Iowa. We've been the trusted experts since 1960 because nobody knows tires better than we do. And with over 90 tire brands, we have an abundance of options in stock for your vehicle. Buy and drive today at discounttire.com. Let's get you taken care of.