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Main show · December 1, 2017

Fantasy Football 2017 - Week 13 Matchups, In-or-Out, Hairy Friday

RSSDec 1, 2017 · transcript indexed
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Fantasy Football 2017 - Week 13 Matchups, In-or-Out, Hairy Friday

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Inside the episode

134 passages
12:52 ↗

I'm not excited about anything in this game, and both teams have huge losing streaks that they're inevitably going to, one of them is going to survive. One of them will break it, and I believe it will be the Broncos because they finally have gone back to their best quarterback, Trevor Simeon. Who is dealing with a flu bug? Yeah, of course. The flu bug is called the Denver Broncos. I think this is also a get-right game for the Denver Broncos defense, or I should say I hope. I don't actually. They've been okay.

13:20 ↗

They've had two bad, bad games where they were blown out this year. The rest of the games, I think they've held opponents under 30 points. So they're not a terrible defense. And look, the dolphins are a terrible offense. This is why 38.5 point over under is in play. Yeah, I agree. I think that the Broncos defense is a good enough play. One of the things that we have to kind of update ourselves on when we talk about the Broncos defense.

13:43 ↗

due to some injuries and also some just, you know, coming back to what we saw last year. In the beginning of the year, the Denver Broncos defense when it came to rushing on them was so good. They were one of, if not the best, over the first few weeks of the season. And since that point, like in the last six weeks, they are the 31st.

14:04 ↗

As far as giving up points to the running back position in fantasy football, they have been atrociously bad. And so now on the season, they're middle of the pack. This leads me to believe that Kenyon Drake could be a pretty good start. Damien Williams is out. There's no one else that's going to be competing for any kind of voluminous touches over there. Volumous. If the cornerbacks and the pass rush stay as good as...

14:30 ↗

as they've been for Denver, then they're going to have to use Kenyon Drake. He's just a volume play who might be able to break something off long. Yeah, if he's featured, he already has the upside of the big play, like you said. So Kenyon Drake, I'm comfortable starting him. Landry, if he's active, you always start him.

14:47 ↗

Otherwise, right now, Kenny Stills is outperforming Devante Parker. Stills actually has 322 receiving yards since week nine of the season, tied for eighth most in the league. You get Cutler back who I like more with Devante Parker. I think you should avoid both if you can. Yeah, definitely agree. I would lean Parker if I had to choose one because of the quarterback. Stills has been better because of Matt Moore and because of Parker's.

15:07 ↗

stretch where he was out when Jay Cutler was in. But it's not the greatest matchup for wide receivers. Do you expect Trevor Simeon and Demarius Thomas to get some things done in this game? Emmanuel Sanders doesn't quite look healthy. I'm less confident in him. But Thomas, a bounceback game? Can we see it in this one? Yeah, I think we can. Miami, for all of their faults, they're best against the wide receiver. But Demarius Thomas... Compared to other positions? Yes, compared to other positions. Demarius Thomas...

15:35 ↗

should have a good game. And I'm excited to see what Devante Booker does. This appears to me to be a team wanting to see what they have for the future. I mean, they obviously put Paxson Lynch in last week and said, we're not playing for right now. I mean, when you make that move, you're talking future. And C.J. Anderson, I don't necessarily expect him to be back with the team next year because of his contract situation. So that says, Devante Booker.

16:00 ↗

The dolphins, you know, they're bad on the season. They're bad in the last six weeks against the run. I think the two running backs that have kind of come out of nowhere this year, Devante Booker and Kenyon Drake are my two favorite plays in this game. All right. Let's move on to the Chiefs and Jets. The Chiefs are in a tailspin. The Jets, they're four and seven, basically out of playoff contention. 44.5 point over under. The Jets are at home. Head coach.

16:27 ↗

came out and said, look, Josh McCown is going to be my quarterback rest of the season. They're not looking to get petty or anybody else in there right now. You have Matt Forte battling injury. You've got a mixed up backfield with Elijah McGuire and Bilal Pal in New York. If you had to play somebody in that backfield, are you going with Forte despite the knee soreness? Yeah, I am going with Forte. I mean, I'm almost always in a three-way time share going to go with the guy. I expect to be the starter, the first option. And that appears to be Forte right now. Robbie Anderson.

16:56 ↗

been absolutely great, and the Kansas City Chiefs have been absolutely not great against the wide receiver position. They give up 29.6 fantasy points per game. They've been 24th in the league over the last six weeks, 31st on the year. They're one of the best teams to pass against. Yeah, and what their problem is is the amount of big plays they give up. They give up. Number one in the league in terms of plays, rushes over 11 yards.

17:21 ↗

Passes over 15 yards. Explosive plays is how you find that. The explosive plays. Passes over 15 yards. They're number one as in worst. So they're number 32 in the league. The Vikings give up the least. The Chiefs give up the most. And then you have Robbie Anderson, who's average 17.4 yards per reception this season. That's the fourth best in the league. This is a perfect prime matchup for him. Yeah, he's contractually obligated to have only explosive plays. That's the rule. So Robbie Anderson, excited about him, Josh McCown. I really like him as the top.

17:51 ↗

12 top 10 play this week with upside. I also think that Jermaine Curse is, if you're in one of those pinches where you're going, man, I really don't like my wide receivers. Jermaine Curse, he's on your waivers right now. And if you start him, I would be shocked if you get a gooser or, you know, one of those two for 12 games. I think he's going to be serviceable. And if you're, if you're strong elsewhere, I think Curse is a sneaky snort.

18:16 ↗

A lot of fantasy questions about the other side of the ball with Kansas City. Look, Alex Smith, he's returned to his vanilla ways. He's averaging just 9.2 yards per completion since week 9. That is the second worst in the league, and that is the old generic Alex Smith. Underneath passes, not threatening downfield. Everybody's feeling that in Kansas City. I heard a couple weeks ago. He took his, you know, he had just gotten a pair of cut off jeans shorts. Whoa. And now, you know, to.

18:44 ↗

And then he threw him away. He did. I think he's going back to just, he wants. Is he on the dockers? Yeah, he's straight khakis now. So he's looking checkdown, short passes. I still think this is the type of defense with the jets that you could see Tyree Kill, take one of those short passes and turn it into a 70-yard bomb touchdown. So for those reasons, I like Tyree Kill. He's actually my start of the week. And Alex Smith, I think his floor is okay.

19:08 ↗

Due to that, but I don't think we can bank, I mean, obviously we cannot bank on Alex Smith as a top option anymore. He's not doing what made his game work in the beginning of the year. Someone needs to actually threaten that Pat Mahomes could take over this season because I feel like that's what started the year off, whereas like, oh, Pat Mahomes, maybe he'll be the future. And so Alex Smith is like, oh, I got to throw the ball deep. This falls on everybody. This falls on Andy Reid, for not using Kareem Hunt. Kareem Hunt is not in...

19:37 ↗

you know, an automatic one anymore. I mean, he hasn't had a 100-yard game in a while. He's not getting into the end zone. And Kareem Hunt right now, you have to lower your expectations. You cannot build your team around Kareem Hunt as though he's going to carry it. I don't think he's an automatic start this week either, not just an automatic one. There are several teams that I've fielded questions for where they have enough good options where I would rather start one of those over Kareem Hunt. Kareem Hunt has had some really...

20:03 ↗

really bad games lately. And now you look at this matchup, you think of the Jets as a bad D or a bad overall team. But in the last six weeks, they are in the number two in the league at points given up to the running back position, pushing them to top 10 on the season. So.

20:20 ↗

You're not starting a guy like Latavius Murray or Adrian Peterson over Hunt, are you? I'm not starting them over, but here's- Christian McCaffrey, though, against New Orleans. Christian McCaffrey, I would. Dionne Lewis, I would. I mean, there are some guys out there that you're going to have on teams with Cream Hunt where I might go, I'm just going to wait because if Cream Hunt comes out again and gets 11 carries against a great pass rush while he's not looking good and the Kansas City defense is reeling.

20:46 ↗

I'm not saying you need to bench. This is full panicle, though, if this is a, if he has a complete dud of a game, teams are going to have to adjust to win in the playoffs. Yep. That's the plain and simple truth. Before we get on to the Titans and Texans matchup, I do want to take a second. Thank today's sponsor Casper Mattresses. Now look, Jason and I, we're heading out of town. We'll be in New York for the weekend for the draft event, and I'm going to miss my Casper. I might need to write a little note, leave it on the pillow. Tell my Casper mattress, I'll be back soon.

21:15 ↗

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21:42 ↗

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22:12 ↗

And most importantly, it cradles your natural geometry. Yes, most importantly. Hey, we also want to give a big shout out to Harry's this holiday season. Harry's, they're the razors that I and Andy have used for years now. A generation. Almost a generation. Not factually accurate, but a while. And I love the razors because, one, the actual blades and the razor head is as good as any razor I've ever seen in my life. But I actually prefer the handle.

22:41 ↗

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23:06 ↗

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23:35 ↗

Footballers, that's harries.com slash footballers. All right, let's talk Texas Titans. What are the headlines in this game? I mean, you have a matchup where I think a lot of people want to start the Titans, D based on Tom Savage and his inability to hold onto the ball. I think if Savage has another terrible game in terms of ball security, you may see a benching in line for Tom Savage. He's looked fine at times. He knows how to lock into DeAndre Hopkins. That makes him look good. Are you confident with any of the pieces on the Houston side of the ball?

24:03 ↗

Well, yeah, I'm definitely confident with DeAndre Hopkins. He has been otherworldly in very difficult matchups. It's one of these things I kind of mentioned on the DFS show. The only thing that would get in the way of Hopkins having a great game because the matchup is fantastic is the fact that nothing says he couldn't have a bad game.

24:22 ↗

I mean, it's just one of those. He just put up against the Los Angeles Rams, the Arizona Cardinals with Patrick Peterson, the Baltimore Ravens, three back-to-back-to-back games with over 110 yards or a touchdown in all of those with Savage. And now you come up against a terrible Tennessee defense. I mean, there's no projectable reason that DeAndre Hopkins wouldn't be a top five wide receiver, which is why he'll end up.

24:48 ↗

The wide receiver 200 on the week. Just from the fantasy football predictability index. Absolutely. Lamar Miller, I also think as a startable asset, his volume is secure. The backups behind him aren't, you know, encroaching on his touches. And this is a game where they're going to need those two guys to stay in it. Lamar Miller owners need to handcuff with Alfred Blue remainder of the season. You saw Miller miss some time. Yeah, last game. Mario.

25:16 ↗

been very disappointing. He's already got more interceptions this year than he's had in either of his first two years, not protecting the ball, not finding a groove. His predictability has been some of the, maybe the most difficult quarterback in the league, in my opinion. Now, you also have the split backfield of Henry and Murray. What are you looking at from the Tennessee side? Is there anything that you can bank on? Is it just Delaney Walker is the only bankable asset here in this matchup?

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