Starts of the Week + Week 15 Breakdown, Keenan Tilt Time - Fantasy Football Podcast for 12/17

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There's a ton in the online games. Get into it. Access to Grand Theft Auto Online and the Cayo Perico. Heist is free with every copy of Grand Theft Auto 5. Play now on PlayStation 4 and via backward compatibility on PlayStation 5. Rated M for M. All right. Tampa Bay, Atlanta. Are we cool to move forward, El Rubio with this matchup? Yeah, let's do it. All right. Tampa Bay. Well, you don't want to cross El Rubio. No. Oh, my gosh. He has. You ever crossed a drug lord? He has.

quite a few gunmen that are under his employ. Well, the problem is, is I know you use the SimplySafe. So I need to sneak onto your compound, but I know it's going to be an issue. Yeah, heavily armed. Good luck with that. Yeah. Tampa Bay, 8 and 5, Atlanta, 4 and 9. Buccaneers are 6.5 point favorites, 50 and a half point over under. I will say this. I am tired of trying to figure out when Tom Brady is going to have a monster game. I...

don't think I know when it will happen. Tom Brady, you know, coming out of the buy thought you'd figure it out. I thought he'd have a huge game against the Rams, get things figured out. You know, he wanted to go play golf with Bruce Ariens and get things figured it out. You thought he would have a good game against the best defense and football in the Rams? This was weeks ago. I did. I did. I thought there is the narrative of, you know, Tom Brady figures it out. And you don't know necessarily when it's going to be. And he comes out and he gives you

Fantasy Weeks where he's been the number one overall fantasy quarterback. Number two against the Chargers, number one against Carolina. Top five against Kansas City two weeks ago. That's what I'm saying. But then he drops down to 20 against Minnesota. It seems like he should be great this week. I think he will be great this week. And we're going to talk about him in a little bit. To your credit, though, I will say this. Tom Brady looked good. He had a...

He had one absolutely hysterically awful throw. It was amazing. It was unbelievable. He overthrew his running back by a good 10 yards. But outside of that, he played very well. And then he wasn't needed. I do, man, I wish that Julio was there. Because that is the one downside is that if the Atlanta Falcons can't do anything against this Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense, then yeah, I think that that top five game is, is.

you're going to be out of reach for him because he won't be necessary. But you look at the matchup and you say, okay, you don't have Ronald Jones. You don't. Do we know that definitively? No, we don't know that yet. At best, you have a broken finger Ronald Jones against a very good run defense. They've been top six all year. And you've got all your weapons finally healthy and active and together. So.

I expect big things from Brady, but I understand. I mean, we've got Brady and Josh Allen. We've been talking about who do you start there, and all three of us have gone to the Josh Allen's side because the ceiling is higher. Now, I mentioned I like Godwin in this game, taking it up to 100. He's the highest ranked of the wide receivers on this team. The matchup's great in terms of the cornerback he's going up against in the slot. But the running back, let's circle back there. Because if Ronald Jones, what you said just now about the defense in Atlanta, about your concerns about.

Are you benching Ronald Jones, even if he's active? He's someone I am absolutely willing to, but he's not a must bench. He's been solid through the course of the season. If they deem he's ready to go and he's the starter, he should have enough volume to be. You know, we're talking about playing a D'Andre Washington in a bad matchup because of volume. The volume would be there for Ronald Jones, but he is, you know, a lot of times you're in the playoffs. You've got.

three or four decent running backs, and if you're looking for pivot options, like Melvin Gordon, we were talking, he's a start a blast. I would, without a doubt, start Melvin Gordon over Ronald Jones this week. Clyde Edwards-A-Layer against the Saints. Oh, yeah, I would start Clyde Edwards-A-Layer. I feel like I don't want to make calls with Ronald Jones today. Sure. I feel like that that's the scariest thing to do is the COVID-List thing was a surprise, and then the finger.

I mean, all of my analysis here of who I would play is obviously assuming that Ronald Jones is starting. So the COVID list is irrelevant to that conversation. He still has the finger and the matchup issues. Obviously, the decision is made easier if he is not active for the game on the COVID list. I would definitely not play him. Then it brings up another difficult situation. Leonard Fournett, healthy scratch last week. Bruce Ariens did say, if Ronald Jones can't go, Leonard Fournett's going to be the starter.

for this team. Are you going to, are you, are you willing to dust Leonard Furnet off the, the, uh, the bench and then, and put him in the starting lineup? Leonard Flornet. Oh, no way. No way am I playing Leonard for net. I mean, that's not to say he can't fall into an end zone, but if you're telling me that, uh, at the end of this game, LaShaul McCoy clearly was got the, the most volume, I'd believe it. If you said that this was, this was the game that they decided to start working in the rookie, I'd be like,

Okay. I don't trust Leonard Fornett. I think I would play him, Mike. You would play Leonard Fornett? Sure. Wow. Adrian Peterson gave us two weeks with two touchdowns a week in the absence of D'Andre Swift. The Hall of Famer, who's been awesome forever. Leonard Fornett was the... He was like the number four overall pick, Jason. There's a chance Leonard Fornett's a three-down back.

There is a chance. Because he's the nickel guy. He's the past catcher. He has been. Well, I will say this. I play him over Todd Gurley. I'll say this. I would play your grandmother over Todd Gurley. That's fair. That's fair. RIP. Yeah. Because Todd Gurley could have a negative game. And that could actually work out. You could win a bet. It's possible that you could win a bet saying you'd play my grandmother over Todd Gurley.

Not even fiction. I think that the range of outcomes for Todd Gurley includes a negative finish. He's been so bad. He has been bad. But the Falcons defense against running backs, just to illustrate it, has not been bad. This last week was the first week since week six that they gave up any kind of good performance. That was Austin Eckler's umpteen targets and catches. He's a fake running back. Yeah, he was okay. But.

New Orleans the week before, great running team, great running backs. They didn't get it done. The Raiders, the week before, obviously, they predicate on the run and Josh Jacobs, New Orleans. A week before that, again, since week six. So maybe it's just because they're so easy to throw on, but I don't like the match. It feels like both teams could indeed abandon the run in this one. You can see a ton of pass attempts. Calvin Ridley will face Carlton Davis. I don't care. Doesn't matter. When he gets targeted eight plus times, he gives you a Monster Fantasy Week.

That's just what he does. Julio Jones, if he's active, you generally just play Julio Jones. If he is active, I will play Julio Jones in my, in my playoffs. If he is out, I mean, you're, if Julio's, excuse me, if Julio's out, I'm out on everybody. Yeah, well, other than Redley. Redley, and then you're out on Hurst, out on Russell Gage, out on Matt Ryan. We're always out on Todd Gurley. Kind of sounded like Mike was tearing up at the end of that. It did.

I know you're just losing your voice. I do have Calvin Ridley. I wouldn't play anybody. Although they were happy tears. Rob Grankowski, yes, absolutely. Hayden Hurst. No, never, not going to do it. The 49ers, 5 and 8. Dallas Cowboys, 4 and 9. 49ers are three-point road favorites. It's a 45 point over under. I guess I'm a little bit surprised that they are favored. So, really? You know what? Oh. I think. I think this is going to be it. Okay.

And he's almost upset of the wig. You know, this just reminds me of the Akeman and Steve Young games. Oh, yeah. Yeah, legendary. Yeah, Mullen's the Dalton. That's good. Yeah, this should be a great matchup. San Francisco, they want to run the football. We don't know if most are it will be available. It could be some Jeff Wilson, Tevin Coleman, Jerich McKinnon combination. It's Jeff Wilson time. And then Ezekiel Elliott.

Just so you are aware, since week six, he's been the RB 27. How are you evaluating him into the future? I believe that, you know, when deck comes back, everything will rise. I don't necessarily think that that means he's guaranteed to go back to being a top three locked and loaded guy. We just talked about who our top pick would be next year. I think we got through five guys, and Zieg's name wasn't in there.

But he will be a first rounder for me next year. You have a double whammy here of obviously you've lost the quarterback, which is the most important, but you've also lost a lot of the offensive line that made Zeke so special. If next year the offensive line is healthy and DAC is back, the volume and the offense dictates that he'll be a great option. But for now, this year, James Robinson is looking at Zeke going, I didn't need Dak. That's true. Yeah, I think the difference.

for Zeke looking at the future. When Dak is back, you know, presuming they figure out how to sign him because they bungled that last year, then Zeke is a good play, but you just... I think he's going to fall out of the... That's fine. The top five, six picks. If he falls out the tier of the elite, that's... I don't blame you. Because the fact that he can't get it done in this circumstance, you have to adjust your evaluation of...

how good he is. Yeah, well said. Brandon Ayyuk, I know we're going to talk about him a little bit later. He's a great play at wide receiver for the 49ers. Amari Cooper? Yep, yep. Yeah, absolutely. Amari Cooper's been fantastic with Dalton, not as good as he would have been with Dak, but he's the clear one for the team. He's in. Talked about George Kittle at the top of the show, designated for return. If he's active, you play him.

That is correct. This is the tied-in position, and George Kittle is elite. And I don't think that they're willing to take a chance with the long-term health of George Kittle. So if he's back out there, he's ready to go. There's nothing on the line in this game other than, you know, the pride of a man named George Kittle. So Dalton Schultz, nope. Yeah, I mean, floor play. 49ers are number two over the last six weeks, number one on the season. I have, I have Schultz in our league of record.

right now actively trying to figure out who else I'm going to play over him. The nice thing I believe for Schultz is it won't be a zero. You'll get three or four receptions for 30 yards. Yeah. I lost the Dalton Schultz last week. That's right. That's right. Feels real good. The Detroit Lions, five and eight, taken on the nine and four Tennessee Titans. We don't have a game line right now because we do not know if Matthew Stafford is going to play.

I'm in a pickle because I have Marvin Jones in a league. We just got an update that Mike Williams is not expected to play tonight and that the charges are very concerned that Keenan Allen will not be available. And if he is, he will be limited. That is bad. This is Fookland, the absolute worst case scenario. At this point, Mike is now rooting for Keenan Allen to be out. I have to be willing. Yeah, I am. I'm rooting.

Keenan Allen, please get healthy. Cous, what do I do with my superstar wide receiver who is, oh my gosh, I am now, I have left this room. I have left this room. Could have just lost to me. You wouldn't have to worry about this. We have seen this play out absolutely both ways. We've seen the superstar. I'm going to play my guy. They're active. They don't even get on the field.

We have seen a superstar on a short week be limited. You know, they probably won't be on the field very much. They go out. They have a fantastic game. I. So what's going to happen, though, tonight, though? If Keenan Allen is. Oh, Mike is really live tilting on the show. This sucks, man. If Keenan Allen is active and the expectation is that he will be limited, I am playing Keenan Allen. That would be my personal advice. I.