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Main show · September 17, 2020

Starts of the Week + Week 2 Breakdown, JuJu Reporting - Fantasy Football Podcast for 9/17

RSSSep 17, 2020 · transcript indexed
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Starts of the Week + Week 2 Breakdown, JuJu Reporting - Fantasy Football Podcast for 9/17

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Inside the episode

150 passages
27:30 ↗

How is this discussion about Aaron Rogers making you feel right now? Great. I never lost faith. That's probably true and did not work for you last year. I think we shouldn't be afraid to start Aaron Rogers in the right week and the right match. This is exciting stuff, man. I want Aaron Rogers to be good. We'll just see if it persists. Stafford is tough. He's a tough play right now if he doesn't have his top option. I mean...

27:59 ↗

What was it? Quentin Cephas had 10 targets, which is the first time. Is he an undrafted wide receiver got 10 targets in his first game? Something of that nature. But Stafford, look, he only went deep on 7% of attempts in week one. He was going deep 22% of the time last year. Losing Kenny Gulliday is a massive blow. Now, you could make an argument that this game he's going to have to keep up. It's a 50 point over under.

28:28 ↗

Green Bay was lightning in week one, so Stafford's going to have to throw the ball a lot. They can't get by with the running game and Adrian Peterson, that's for sure. But it's a tough start for me. You're back in on Marvin Jones, though, right? Sure, sure. Marvin was targeted frequently last week. It wasn't a great game. It's still, I think it's going to be hard for Marvin Jones to be the one. I mean, he needs Gawaday to, I'd rather have Gawaday in the lineup.

28:56 ↗

Most people were smashing Marvin Jones as a must start, and I'm kind of sitting there going well. There's a reason Clinton Seifah's got 10 targets. It's because you can't target Marvin Jones every single play. He's not a one. All right. Agree? Disagree? I agree. I do think he's, you know, going to get enough work that he should be a regular starter, but he benefits from Kenny Galladay out there. I was going to ask you guys on the Packer side, Lazard or MBS or both.

29:26 ↗

Would you be willing to flex them out? And like Alan Lizard or Mike Williams, for instance. Ooh, that's a good question. Those two players, the two Packers players, are very even to me. I would be willing to flex either. I don't think you have to flex either. But if I needed to put them in order, I would still have Alan Lazard ahead of MVS just due to the snap percentages and routes run. And it looked like Lazard was the two for the team.

29:54 ↗

That being said, the skill set of Valdez Scantling is a very fantasy relevant skill set. You're talking 50-yard bomb touchdowns are probably slightly ahead for him than Lizard King. DeAndre Swift was definitively the third down back last week. Yes. We've all but retired our... I'm thankful he's young. Second team, carry on. Second team. Are you kidding me? No.

30:27 ↗

No, you're not kidding me? No, I, yes, I am kidding you. No, I'm not serious. Okay, okay. Adrian Peterson had 17 opportunities in week one. If you had to start one, Peterson or Swift? I would start Peterson. It's a higher floor, lower ceiling situation. I do think Peterson will get quite a bit of work. And I think the Packers, this is, they've got a really good secondary right now.

30:54 ↗

I think you want to run the ball. I think Adrian Peterson gets close to 20 carries. And so he'll have a fine enough day. And as, you know, if you're around the goal line, you're probably putting AP in. I cannot believe it. It's back to Adrian Peterson. This is ridiculous. How much of this is just our own stubbornness because of, you know, he's just. It's not just us. I mean, I'm saying just how are, you're the Detroit Lions. You.

31:21 ↗

Just spent a second round pick on D'Andre Swift, and you're like, okay, Adrian Peterson, freshly cut off the street, get on our team, and be the lead back. But doesn't it validate? I mean, he had a great week. He averaged 6.6 yards for carry. Like when you say it like that, it sounds like they're making the wrong decision. But it's clearly the right decision. I guess. I think what Mike's saying is, what a world. Yeah. That it was the right decision.

31:51 ↗

that Adrian Peterson off the street is better than the second rounder that you just signed. T.J. Hawkinson. Are you playing him this week? Man, this is like a fool me once situation because of last year his big week one breakout. I'm a little bit more hesitant, but no, I mean, you do have to play him. You drafted him. If he's on your roster, you played him last week, it was good.

32:18 ↗

You hope that this is for real, and you play him this week. He's on one of my rosters. I will be playing him? But, man, will I feel dumb if he just disappears the rest of the season again? Jacksonville, taking on the Tennessee Titans this week. Titans heavy favorites, 9-point favorites, 42-point over under, they're at home. Jacksonville only has an implied point total of 16.8 points this week. That is not a lot.

32:46 ↗

Last year we saw week three Jacksonville winning over Tennessee 20 to 7. That was back in the Mario dais. And then in week 12, Tennessee smashed them 42 to 20. Gardner Minshu had the very efficient, very impressive, very unlikely touchdown percentage to continue if he only throws 20 times. But it was a very impressive week one for Gardner Minshu. That didn't translate to a big DJ chart day.

33:15 ↗

Are we optimistic? I mean, this is a very difficult matchup. I'm optimistic for the wide receivers. So, you know, DJ Chark, you're playing him as a wide receiver too. But yeah, I'm far more optimistic in him. I would take the over on Jacksonville's points, but that doesn't mean I'm playing Gardner Minch. I was just saying I would sit Gardner this week as we were me. Jason? Yeah, I agree. This isn't a great matchup for him.

33:42 ↗

You know, I think the Titans defense are pretty good. I'm not loving the Jaguars. I don't like this line. I feel like, you know, I would, this would be my almost upset, but I still think it's not great for fantasy. This doesn't project to be a bonanza. I think they're going to have success running the ball with Derek Henry, and that's going to slow things down.

34:05 ↗

for the, you know, for the offense of the Jaguars. Are you going to play James Robinson, undrafted rookie sensation who came out and, uh, look, he didn't put up a big fantasy day, but he was very surprising. He's just an undrafted rookie. The sensation part was a lie. Yeah, no, I, I would be willing to start him. He's in consideration at the flex. I, I hope that because I picked him up off of waivers, I just have a,

34:30 ↗

You hope that he's good because you picked him up. No, no, no. I hope because I picked him up off of waivers that I have a stronger starting lineup where I can wait for a better plus matchup. But, I mean, the dude was, he got all the carries. He was the guy. Benny Snell, this week or James Robinson? As of right now, I would start James Brown. I think I would go James Robinson. Antonio Gibson. I would go Gibson. So apparently I'm.

34:58 ↗

Yeah, I believe in Gibson this week. All right. Ryan Tannahill, one of the things that we saw in week one was Tennessee. They ran a lot of plays. And they gave Tana Hill the opportunity. I think that was his highest attempts in a game as a Titan. Makes sense. In week one. And at the same time, you still saw Derek Henry getting the ball a ton. So those two things can coexist. But the game script.

35:27 ↗

Probably doesn't favor Tannahill. I still think you could stream him in this match. I think you can play him week in and week out until proven otherwise. I mean, the reality is if you look back to last year, he was the quarterback three from the time he took over the job until now. And he was good just about every single week. He was good week one. I don't think you bench Tanna Hill until you have a reason to bench him. He's a start every week for me.

35:58 ↗

Any concern with AJ Brown in this one? I assume he's in your lineup. No, you're playing him. I do have a little concern. I mean, yes, you're playing him, but I'm keeping an eye on the situation with Corey Davis looking like the first read target. I don't expect that to happen. That's not how he projected the season. But if week two happens and AJ Brown is clearly second fiddle to Corey Davis, I'll start to worry. When you look at last year, I was curious about the game log for Corey Davis.

36:26 ↗

He had two weeks where he was in both weeks the number nine overall fantasy-wide receiver, five for 91 and a touchdown, six for 80 in a touchdown. They were talking about Cory Davis, and it was simply the defense was giving Ryan Tannenhill an open Corey Davis. So the assessment was Ryan Tannahill made the right throws for the team. So, I mean, you know, as expected, defenses are keying in on A.J. Brown a bit more, but so this is up to.

36:55 ↗

to Brown to figure it out. You've got to make the jump as a sophomore. This is the defense that you're going to figure it out against. So now that you're saying all that and realizing the matchup, I think AJ Brown will bounce back and have a great game. It was nice to see, I mean, for Corey Davis, truthers out there, the three of you, it was nice to see him on the field over 80% of the time, which is what he needed to get those nice performances last year. And he didn't really do that in the second half of the year.

37:21 ↗

Otherwise, Levisica Chanel in desperation play, probably not this week. That's a pretty desperate deep flex. But if Leviska comes through again, like with a decent target share and makes some splash plays, then I will be, he will move into that weekly flex. He was a first round talent that just wasn't drafted there because of injuries. I have been trying and failing to acquire Derek Henry in every league under the sun before this week.

37:50 ↗

because it's going to be unbelievable, I think, against Jacksonville this week. I'm going to say 27 carries, 163 yards, and a touchdown. Okay, yeah. You might get in the end zone more than that. And five touchdowns. Way to low ball him. You didn't let me finish. One touchdown per quarter. Yes. And they're going into overtime, so five. Five, yeah. Minnesota.

38:15 ↗

Takes on the Indianapolis Colts this week. The Colts are three-point home favorites. It's a 48.5 point over under. We have a couple of players in this game that we'll be talking about in the starts of the week. But Minnesota's defense struggled last week. They sit dead last against fantasy, opposing fantasy wide receivers after one week. They give up 68 fantasy points to opposing wide receivers in week one.

38:44 ↗

It really was amazing because you had MVS with a great game, Lazard with a great game, and then, oh, lo and behold, a dominant, unbelievable game from Devante Adams. There was no guarding anyone. The must starts in this game, Dalvin Cook, Adam Thielen, Jonathan Taylor. Do you look at Naim Hines from this point forward as a must start? He is a must flex. I don't know if we're going to put him into RB2 categories yet, but he is a must flex for me, yeah. And then...

39:14 ↗

Anybody else from this matchup you look at as a must start? Yeah, I mean, when I look at the wide receiver options for the Colts, I mean, Tewa Hilton, Paris Campbell, both of those guys will be in my lineup this week. I think that what we saw from the Vikings defense, the fact that they had half of their defense as new starters, they're trying to figure out this system. And I believe they will figure it out. It's very similar to what we saw.

39:41 ↗

with the Kansas City Chiefs. When there's a bunch of new weapons and a good coordinator, which Minnesota has, it takes time to learn that system. And so I think Minnesota's defense is going to be one to target right now, and we'll need to pivot later in the season when they start figuring this thing out. But they don't have it yet. So I'm starting T.Y. Hilton and Paris Campbell. Mike, are you starting Campbell or are you waiting and seeing? Nope, I'm ready to start him. All right, Philip Rivers. We'll talk about him more later.

40:09 ↗

Like I said, Philip Rivers has a great opportunity. I mean, he was simultaneously great and bad week one, which is kind of his thing now. But Minnesota, a plus matchup. Jack Doyle, do we have a report on whether Jack Doyle is going to be active in this game? Because I know he didn't practice on Wednesday. Yeah, that's the last I had heard. I'll see if I can find something. Okay. Jack Cantor. And then Jonathan Taylor. It's funny, Jason, but you're not fully incorrect on that.

40:40 ↗

Fully incorrect. If Moe Alley Cox is the only tight end active. Yeah. You're not going to start him. No, no, but I'm going to talk about it. But you will be excited about it. I will. And maybe in DFS try to get a super cheap touchdown play. It's rare to get to start a gigantic person. Do you know what I mean? I, yeah, I mean, to this extreme, yeah, there's one. There's Moellie Cox. It's rare to be able to start a gigantor for sure. I know. I know. He's enormous.

41:08 ↗

I'm surprised the football doesn't pop when he catches it. Yeah, in his, I mean, you will talk about baby hands versus this guy's hands. Yeah. I can't find the football when he's holding it. Yeah. You know, it's just glove. It's just, it's like me holding. A marble? A marble. Exactly right. I just put my whole, try to get him to fumble. Oh, he's just. The legend grows. The legend grows, yeah. As does the man. Yeah, he never stopped. He never stopped growing.

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