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Main show · October 3, 2019

Starts of the Week + Week 5 Breakdown, Winkies & Twinkies

RSSOct 3, 2019 · transcript indexed
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Starts of the Week + Week 5 Breakdown, Winkies & Twinkies

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13:59 ↗

It's going to affect what's going on with the running back position for Kansas City. He's actually a decent trade for a target right now. People that have them, they were disappointed in the beginning, and maybe you could go buy him cheap. All right. And then Tyree Kill returned to a limited practice. This is a great sign. I don't think he's going to play this week. I expect next week. But this is great. Outstanding news for the Chiefs. And it's also maybe a sign for fantasy owners to.

14:27 ↗

Depending on what you believe about Sammy Watkins, with or without Tyree Kill, this could be a chance to sell Watkins. More so, DeMarcus Robinson, Nicole Hardman, their value takes the monstrous hit when Tyreek returns. So you're playing with borrowed time on those two players. Emmanuel Sanders quad injury, limited at practice?

14:44 ↗

dealt with a contusion in Sunday's game says he's good. I think it's a great sign that he was limited on a Wednesday. I expected him to miss practice, so I think he's okay. Yeah, he's totally fine. I mean, I'm pretty sure the three of us watched last week him completely rupture his Achilles. Yeah, we watched the season end of injury. Yeah. And then he was back out on the next place. Did you see what he did in between plays? No. Put on the Sequin jersey. Oh. Yeah. So that's where we got it from Sanders. Yes, yes. Pat Shermer reiterated that

15:14 ↗

Sequin is possible for Sunday. Stop. It can't happen. No. You can't do that to him. Don't get your hopes up if you've got Sequan. He's not playing this week. How about you go buy Sequin? Sure. Yes. Because he's going to play sooner than later. It's not going to be no eight weeks. That's for sure. I think the timeline to buy him super cheap might be over with all the news coming out. It is. Mike Williams limited in practice. Once again, he has not been healthy this year. Sam Darnold, are we expecting him?

15:44 ↗

He hasn't been cleared for contact. Adam Gase is saying he's the one that has been playing. It's like Adam Gase is trying, you know, when you try to will something to happen? Yeah. It's like, look. It's the secret. The spleen looks fine to me. Right. Yeah. Oprah and Gase are like, just put him out there and they'll clear him. But I don't think. I don't think the timeline will allow him to. Coach. Coach my spleen. To.

16:08 ↗

Play this week. Obviously, if he gets cleared, he's full go, he's been practicing, but he's practicing on an on-contact basis. I expect that he doesn't play this week, but it's all a matter of how the testing goes for his spleen. On Fridays, we do in and out. We'll give you our official prognosis, what we think is going to, that's not the right word, our prediction. Our official prediction of what we think is going to happen, players in or out. That'll include Jarvis Landry, who's still in the concussion protocol, heading into Thursday.

16:35 ↗

Uh, that'll include Kevin Coleman, who didn't practice Monday. We have not had official reports. John Ross is on IR now. That one is official. That one's official. Dantrell Inman on IR. Chargers tried to lose one to three offensive players per week. That's kind of the, that's the plan that they're on. They're doing it. And they're pulling it off. Good for you, Chargers. For the first time in eight years, the Patriots will have a different place kicker. Steven Goskowski is in a place on injured reserve.

17:02 ↗

He had missed four extra points and a field goal. So they've signed Mike Nugent. Mike Nugent. You'll have to wait for the boom boom kicker to see if he is in fact the boom boom of the week. Is this just because you have a new player to rhyme with? Nugent rhymes with Pugent. That's true. I was racking my brain trying to figure out how are you going to work this one in. Very excited, Jason. Just hold your breath until we get there.

17:31 ↗

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20:35 ↗

Coming up. The Lions, the Dolphins, both on by. We'll start with the Bill's Titans match of the Bills at 3-1. Take on the Titans. They're 2-2. Games in Tennessee, the Titans are three-point favorites. This game has a... Yuck. 39 point over-under. That gives an implied point total of 21 points for the Titans, about 18 points for the Bills. This is why Mike and I made both sides of this game are...

21:02 ↗

streaming defenses of the week. This does not expect to be a high scoring game. No, no, I'm not excited about much here, guys. But we know we can start Derek Henry each and every week. He has been a workhorse. He has been sufficient despite low pass catching involvement. He's the running back eight on our consensus rankings for the week. This is a really good matchup for Derek Henry. It's basically deep.

21:32 ↗

Taylor made matchup for him. Really? I believe so. I disagree. Okay, so let me make my case for you. This is a game that's not going to get out of hand. The bills are not going to just go and all of a sudden put up 30 points and they're going to be down and they're going to have to go to Dionne Lewis. This is a low-scoring affair where, you know, Derek Henry's been on the field for 75% of snaps. The only worry you have with Derek Henry is that, oh, no.

21:57 ↗

They're down and they've got to go to Dionne Lewis. Well, I don't think that happens in this game. And then you look at the defense across the field. The bills are great. They're phenomenal for today's NFL. They just made it difficult for the Patriots. But that's because they stop the pass. They are excellent against quarterbacks, wide receivers, tight ends. But their one weak spot is running backs. And it's, you know, certain teams, we put in our research for these shows,

22:27 ↗

the trends of this season, and we look at last year, and so often with defenses, they're completely different. Last year is identical to this year with the bills. They were great in the passing game, but it's a running funnel defense. They're saying, go ahead. Try to beat us with the run. That's what we want you to do. We just don't want you to pass on us. That's what the Titans are going to try to do. I am 100% in your corner on this. Derek Henry had 27 carries last week. There are...

22:55 ↗

There's pretty much one guy that can do that. And it's Derek Henry in the NFL. And by way of productive elimination, volume is why the bills have given up some points in the running game. It's just redundant. You have to run the ball against them. Derek Henry can run for three-carry against Buffalo. I don't care. I think he's going to get 25 carries in this game. When he does, they win. That's the recipe. They're favored.

23:22 ↗

I'm all aboard Derek Henry. I'm not saying I'm benching Henry. I just like the bills, when you look at their fantasy points against the running back, I think it's not telling the full story. Because you can look at what, who have they faced? Levy on Bell, he was 17 for 60 on the ground. That's very, very ho-hum fantasy numbers. Levy on Bell scored through the air, six receptions, 32 yards, and a touchdown. Then they played against Sequin Barclay.

23:48 ↗

He is superhuman. He does not count. He crushed the Buffalo bills. Then who's next? Joe Mixon, 15 for 60 on the ground. He did his damage through the air. Sony Michelle, 17 for 63. Like, guys who can't catch the ball, like, I think that there is the possibility for them to be in trouble. Where all I'm saying is the bills where they are, what are they 20th against fantasy running backs, I think that's not a.

24:14 ↗

True telltale sign of who that defense actually is against grinders. I agree with you in the sense of you look at James White was really one of the running backs that did in the bills last week. But to Andy's point, you know, you brought up mixing, right? He was 15 for 60. Well, you're disappointed. But if he gets 25 carries, you're going to be fine. Volume could overcome. Because we didn't, we actually didn't make any water bets last week. And because I'm feeling frivolous today. Oh. I'm willing to bet.

24:43 ↗

If anybody wants it, I'm willing to guarantee via water bet that Derek Henry scores a touchdown in this game. Who? Anybody, do you want to take that bet? No, but I, but I mean, odds are against me on, on the course of the year, probably. Sure. I don't know. Okay. Well, then I did my best. You did try. I did try. I think short fields are a possibility. Josh Allen, whether he's coming back off the concussion. If you're like, you're super confident and be like, Derek Henry's the top five guy. 75 and a touchdown.

25:12 ↗

Okay, I'll take that. Oh, yeah. Waterbed. We needed something on the line there. Now, how helpful that debate was, I don't know, because if you have Derek Henry, I think you're starting him regardless. Sure. Here's some tough decisions that you have to make, though. In a game with this kind of over-under, on the road, quarterback conundrums in Buffalo. I mean, Matt Barclay might end up starting this game, but Josh Allen did participate in individual drills.

25:39 ↗

Regardless, do you have confidence in John Brown, Cole Beasley, Frank Gore, any of the options in Buffalo, the Tennessee defense is pretty good and they're at home. Confidence, no. Yeah, not really. I mean, there's a situation where you could, you know, if you're in a double flex league and you need to throw in Cole Beasley and a PPR, sure. I got 13 targets last week. In a full PPR, you're okay there. But there's really, you just brought up the wide receivers. I'm not confident in Frank Gore.

26:07 ↗

in this matchup on the road against a good defense. Certainly not going to play Devin Singletary if he's back. He only stands there to hurt Gore. There's really almost no bill that I want to play. Even if Josh Allen is in. I'm not in love with the wide receivers or Josh Allen in this matchup on the road. All right. Dynasty leagues, are you interested in Dawson Knox acquis acquis right now? Sure. I mean, the tight end is really tough and Dawson Knox is.

26:36 ↗

He's seeing volume. Let's see what happens though when Tyler Croft, their free agent signing, actually gets to play. But Dawson Knox is, he's showing up, man. 67 yards two weeks ago, 58 this past weekend. One of the reasons I didn't want to pick up AJ Brown in redraft leagues was because they have this matchup on the docket and you don't chase points with Marcus Marietta unless you want to be sad. So Brown, Davis, benching those guys. Like a dog chasing a car.

27:04 ↗

That's what chasing Marcus Mario to points is like. Delaney Walker, do you start him? Yeah. You might have to. I think you, I think you pretty much have to. You don't love it because by our rankings, you don't. We have them a tight in 14 consensus wise. He's been rough. Do you take a shot with somebody with more upside? I mean, you'd play him over to Austin Knox in this game. Yes. Yeah, the problem is the guys in front of him are.

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