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Main show · December 16, 2020

Week 15 Buy or Sell + Playoff Strategy, Almost Football Time - Fantasy Football Podcast for 12/16

RSSDec 16, 2020 · transcript indexed
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Week 15 Buy or Sell + Playoff Strategy, Almost Football Time - Fantasy Football Podcast for 12/16

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Inside the episode

119 passages
13:59 ↗

I will still be drafted Christian McCaffrey with the top three pick. I mean, he'll probably be my one-on-one. Derek Henry enter the mix? I don't think Derek Henry enters the mix at one. Obviously, he's great. He's a top running back out there. But if I've got the first pick and I have the option to get someone who catches the ball as much as, you know, one of those true three-down backs, I'm always going to take them over a world-class.

14:31 ↗

two down back. Yeah, makes sense. Mike Tomlin says James Connor is dealing with an injured quad. Connor has an injury and seemingly talent issue this year. I mean, watching that game last week, I think that game he was dealing with an injured quad. I'm guessing he had that all game because there was one play. You should definitely be able to know, though.

14:59 ↗

James Connor, you don't always know if he's dealing with injury with the way he looks on the field. But man, I remember one play. He gets the ball and he basically just stopped. He grabbed the ball with one hand and it was like he was looking at the offensive line. He just stayed there, stood there, until a defense came and tackled him. I was like, what were you doing? His squad heard apparently. I think the Steelers will be drafting a running back next year.

15:29 ↗

Yeah, Benny Snell's not the answer, and James Connor's not the answer. But I agree with you, Andy. He's not a start right now. He's a, uh-oh, I have to start James Connor, not a, oh, good, James Connor is active. Devante Parker, slight hamstring strain, uncertain for this week's game against the Patriots. Uncertain for your fantasy lineups is not good. So I would be playing somebody else. He could re-aggravate that. That is a...

15:58 ↗

An easy injury to do that with. It's the Patriots. It's two variables of plenty. Find another option at wide receiver. Is that a fair summation? Absolutely. All right. James Winston rumors abounding. Sean Payton says that Winston will get a chance to be the starting quarterback after Breeze retires. As a stupidest thing I've ever heard. After Breeze retires, literally James Winston is not under contract. He's not on your team.

16:25 ↗

He's a one-year deal, right? I mean, at the end of this year, he's a free agent. You don't get to be like, all right, Wednesday, here's your chance. Well, I mean, if they pay him, then I guess he's got a high chance. That's the way it seems, but it's worth noting for dynasty leagues. And Henry Ruggs was placed on the COVID list. Austin Echler is on the injury report. Now, I will say this. Austin Echler is bringing us.

16:53 ↗

direct-to-consumer injury reports lately because he's got the Twitch thing going on. He says he's 100% fine. They asked him about why he showed up on the injury report. He says, I'm not injured. So I wouldn't worry about Austin Echler. He let us know when he was coming back, and he's let us know that he's just fine. This is a rest situation. They probably said, hey, your quad looks like it could use a day. Keenan Allen is on there with a hamstring.

17:20 ↗

situation. We saw that at the end of the game. Mike Williams returned to limited practice. Nothing too scary right now for those three players. Yeah, it sounds like they are going to play. And before we get into the preview of that game, we got a new sponsor. Ladies and gentlemen, this is fantastic because we have a sponsor for Rockstar Games. I'm a rock star.

17:47 ↗

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18:17 ↗

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18:46 ↗

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19:09 ↗

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19:27 ↗

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19:52 ↗

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20:16 ↗

So pretty much... Three minutes. Yeah, three minutes. That's not a lot. Business banking made for America. That is North One. Like I said, three minutes. Sign up for an account. Let's get into the preview. Thursday night breakdown. All right, the Los Angeles Chargers at 4 and 9 taking on the Las Vegas Raiders at 7 and 6. The Raiders are 3.5 point favorites. It's a 53 point over under. I like that.

20:51 ↗

I like that. That's not bad. That's not bad. And so this is a rematch from week nine. The Raiders won 31 to 26 that week. So they would have hit the over. And the Chargers dominated time of possession in that game. They dominated total yards. But they can't manage the clock. Holy crap. We haven't talked about that. This past week was the most embarrassing. This was the most outlandish, ridiculous situation.

21:19 ↗

After as many failures as this team has had this season, you just expect they will work on it and be prepared. There's still human beings that can figure this stuff out, right? And then the next week comes, and it's worse. And you go, how did you possibly manage the clock that poorly? They were down and they drove down and got into field goal range and didn't

21:49 ↗

Didn't get to kick. No, they ran some people on the field. The field goal team was coming on. The players were running off and there was no time. And time just ran out during the transition. Because they ran the ball with no timeouts left. It's a bad combination with a coach that clearly has a problem with time management and then a rookie at quarterback. That combination because, you know.

22:14 ↗

Justin Herbert, it's hard to expect a rookie to have a mastery of these situations. What are you laughing at? It just reminded me of one of my absolute all-time favorite football moments, which was the Kirk Cousins right before the half, driving down needs to spike the ball, stop the clock, and he takes a knee. That is 100% in the Madden. I pushed the wrong button.

22:41 ↗

Oh, no, I took a knee. I just need the clock out instead of stopping it. And you take the knee, you're like, yeah, I did it. Okay. Oh, whoops. You ever done that in Madden where you do the hurry up play, but you accidentally called the knee? Oh, yeah. And so you think you're about to call it quick play and you just take the knee. I mean, that moment, I forgot about that, Jason. The Kirk Cousin's knee at the end of the half. And who was it? Was a Pierre Garsohn who stared into his soul? Oh, my gosh. I think so.

23:08 ↗

Yeah, and then what was it, Diggs on the outside that was like, what did you do? It was so good. Spectacular. All right, let's talk about this game, though. Derek Carr, Justin Herbert, look, the over-underer's nice. Herbert has been great. Derek Carr has been great. The last two weeks, 300-plus yards, three-plus touchdowns. Every time you start saying good things about Derek Carr, we know what happens. Send in the car. Yeah, the car. Send in the car. The car's got no brakes.

23:37 ↗

Goes off the cliff. I don't know if I want to do this, guys. Justin Herbert I'm comfortable with. I have a consistency. There's two sets of consistency. Herbert's been very consistent, and the Raiders' defense has been consistent in terms of, you know, a willingness to give up points. Now, they did fire their defensive coordinator this past week. They are frustrated. I don't know if you get a rebounded.

24:07 ↗

at home performance from them. They are favored. Where are you with Herbert? I'm playing Herbert with full confidence. Yeah, I am as well. Go ahead, Jay. I think that Herbert has, obviously, he's been electric the entire season. The shoe dropped a couple of weeks ago where he had a really bad game against Bill Belichick. But this is not Bill Belichick. This isn't a talented enough defense. And, yeah, unless this defensive coordinator.

24:38 ↗

change just completely changes everything. Changes all their personnel. Yeah, I mean, it's, I don't, I don't see that solving the problem. The biggest issue I would have, and the only reason I would sit Herbert in this matchup is if things come, you know, as we get closer and tomorrow and today's practice report, if Keenan Allen ends up.

25:01 ↗

actually hurt because we saw him leave the game. Now he's on the injury report. It's hard to know on those Thursday night games what the injury report really means because, you know, there's the short week and they always give rest. So they were going to give him rest no matter what. But it doesn't mean. Like Camakers? Yeah, exactly. They were going to give him rest. They said he's got a shoulder problem. But Keenan left the game. So Keenan is my only worry here with regards to Herber. If Keenan was out, I would not. But with Keenan, Mike Williams back.

25:31 ↗

Austin Echler, Herbert's got a good baseline. Austin Echler, like I said, I don't think he's hurt at all. I think he plays. He's been targeted a ton. He catches every single one of his targets. He is a must play this week. Josh Jacobs, he had the trolling situation last week. We talk a lot about this. You know, when Josh Jacobs gets more opportunities and performs when the Raiders win, I think that's.

25:57 ↗

Pretty true of a lot of running backs, but especially ones that are focused on that first and second down situation and the way that they want to manage the clock. You know, Derek Henry has had problems. Now, luckily he plays on a team that wins more than the Raiders do. And so it's more reliable. But that's the kind of category I see Jacobs in is where you, if you expect them to control the clock, if you expect them to potentially be on the right side of things, which they are favored this week, then Jacobs gives you the kind of game you expect.

26:26 ↗

Yeah, and the matchup here, like it looks like the Chargers have been better against running backs. If you just look at the success, like looking at the Streamfinder, how have running backs done against the Chargers? Well, Atlanta, Atlanta doesn't really have any running backs, New England. You get Damien Harris between the 20s, but you don't get goal in opportunities. Buffalo, same thing. The running backs just do not produce. But for most of the year, we've seen.

26:56 ↗

running backs have success against the charges. So I'm not letting the last few games skew my view of what Josh Jacobs should do. Josh Jacobs is a top 20 play. Yeah, he's been, and he's been inside the RB2 range every week other than the week he got knocked out due to injury. So I think you just play him, move forward, hope for that multi-touchdown type of opportunity. Nelson Aguilar was brought up on the waiver show yesterday. He was five for 100 and one.

27:25 ↗

He seems like a very viable play this week. Like you need to move to Nelson Aguilar if you're the Devante Parker manager. Yes, 100%. That's a perfect example of a player that a lot of people have. Last week, the Chargers gave up the number one most fantasy points to the wide receiver position. So the matchup is there. And the targets have been there. The red zone utilization. It's hard to.

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