Top 10 Quarterbacks + Sneaky Good QB Values - Fantasy Football Podcast for 8/9

and I think people might be missing that. Like last year they had to bring back Cole Beasley at a random time of the year. Gabe Davis was not consistent. Dawson Knox was on and off the field due to injury and it's not the talent Dalton Kincaid is. And so I just think that if you look at the weapons that Buffalo has, they're better. Like they are better. And then Jalen Hertz, like you said, his weapons are amazing and he's going to run the football like crazy. So you can't stop what Jalen Hertz. Does. I just don't see a world where I agree with you. Mahomes, even though he's the best, is the riskiest of the three simply because touchdown variation. Touchdown variation. He doesn't have the rushing baseline. And you are still, you know, when he has one weapon. And I know he doesn't need, he could spread the ball around. He's unbelievable. But he has one. If something happened to Kelsey. Now you go, okay.

Noah Gray, what's up? Yeah, I mean, can you really still pay off on that value? And he's the most expensive of the three. He's in the beginning of the second round. I mean, you are paying a premium like you paid seven, eight years ago at the quarterback position before people wised up. And so I've got like two shares of Patrick Mahomes when I did a Kelsey Mahomes stack, but he is very scary at as a price. Yeah, that's where I want to turn the conversation to is because I think the big three are the big three. I don't care what order you want to draft them in. The question is, are they worth the draft pick? And last year, they would have been. But last year was a real outlier of a season when it came to quarterback scoring. So the top three quarterbacks, this is in six point passing touchdown. That's what my numbers are. The big three averaged almost 29 points a game.

You go down to quarterbacks four through six. That dropped all the way to under 23 points a game. So a massive, massive gap. And then the quarterback 7 through 12, that was barely over 20 points. That's the lowest mark going back at least five years. I don't know when it was lower. So the lower tier quarterbacks were getting just so outproduced by these big three. But then you go back to 2021. The point differential between the big... the top three finishers and the middle was just two points. It was not six like it was this past year. You go back to 2020. What's the point gap between the top three and then the middle? About two points. We go back to 2019, about two and a half points. So last year was an outlier in terms of the big three quarterbacks really produced, but the guys behind them.

all massively underproduced. So I'm not sure that taking one of the big three quarterbacks is going to give you the edge that it looks like. Oh, sorry. No, no, no, I was letting you finish. What I do like is that I will get 395 or more fantasy points from Josh Allen. Because there's 395, 401, 395, like at least. They're safe. Allen is like at that echelon of. of like automatic like if i if i if i ended up with what would that be that would be like in the first round then i'm drafted in top of the second then i grab allan at the in the third round at the top of the third is that how that would uh i'm doing a bad job of josh i was at the second round right now well at the very very end though right two 10 yeah so i'm saying if he slipped in the top of the third that's where i'd be very comfortable taking him yeah i mean

Really, truly, I believe that these three guys will be great picks, great players, and won't be on the championship winning team in your league. I think the championship team in your league is the one who, in the second round, grabbed Devante Adams or Derek Henry or Josh Jacobs, and they paired them with the quarterback to hit in one of the Justins. One of the Justins or even... You know, even Lamar. I do still see Lamar. He costs a lot, but I think he has the chance to, even if they score less than the big three, if it's that two point gap that it historically is, the gap between Derek Henry and who you're in J.K. Dobbins is way bigger than that. So I, yeah. I tend to bypass the second round quarterbacks, even though they're going to be great. And we have lots of video profile breakdowns for more quarterbacks in these top 10.

And the sleepers we talked about, they're all in the ultimate draft kit. It's one of the features of the ultimate draft kit we've had from the early days is 100 plus player profile videos. We get on here. We even update them. And, um, You know, we break down players in two, three, four minute chunks. So you can go through maybe it's a roster that you've got a bunch of players that are keepers or you're in a dynasty league and you want to see what our projections are for those players. So you know whether to trade them, invest in them, believe in them. We break down over 100 players in the ultimate draft kit that goes along with all of our sleeper breakout bust value picks at every position. Our player projections, which look, today we're going through the top 10.

That's based on our projections for attempts and completions and total yards and touchdowns. That's how our rankings bear out. Like it doesn't, we don't get on and say, oh, I'd really want to look this way. So I put this guy here. It's like we stat them out one by one. We lay that out. And then as they fall, they fall. So there is a lot of nuance. We're trying to equip you to make a pick that makes sense for your team, not necessarily just. blindly follow a cheat sheet because your league scoring format is different. You know the guy that picks after you is a charger fan. And so he's going to take this player there that, you know, another league, the ADP is going to be different. And like the average draft position, we quote sleeper a lot of the times. I'm going to tell you right now, sleeper is sharper. The sleeper ADP is sharper than the Yahoo and ESPN ADP. I've looked at the disparities between them. Sleeper is faster.

And sleeper is slightly sharper. So some of the times, you know, a player like Chris Olavé is going lower on ESPN than they're going on. I need to make some ESPN drafts. On sleeper. So we're working on getting you like a more comprehensive ADP report inside the UDK where you can see the changing average draft position for every player in multiple formats. Because if you go and you draft because you're an ESPN guy. and your league's on ESPN, like that average draft position is going to look different for your league mates, and they're going to feel that average draft position pressure, and you need to be able to take advantage of that. Don't just go by the sleeper ADP if you're drafting in a Yahoo League or something. Yeah, 100%. And those projections that we make, you can customize them to your scoring. So you've got an extra thing here or an extra thing there, and you wonder how that would affect your league? You can have it exactly what your league is. Yeah, so that's ultimate draft kit.com. Tomorrow we have the preseason.

Power-up episode. It's preseason dreaming time. Okay, we're going to talk about position battles, things to watch for. It's almost football time, baby. Almost. So, join us tomorrow, and then we're doing a full PPR mock draft on Friday, bringing the heat. You guys are going down. Talk to you then. Goodbye. Thank you for listening to another episode of the Fantasy Footballers podcast. Join our fantasy football community on Jointhefoot.com. and follow us on Twitter at the FF Ballers.