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Main show · July 23, 2022

Best Draft Spots + Double Flex Advice, Fresh Money - Fantasy Football Podcast for 7/23

RSSJul 23, 2022 · transcript indexed
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Best Draft Spots + Double Flex Advice, Fresh Money - Fantasy Football Podcast for 7/23

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Inside the episode

112 passages
14:29 ↗

but was not durable. He was injured a ton last year, I think four or five different body parts. You've got a draft pick in Trey Serman and a draft pick in Davis Price. And then you have Jeff Wilson, which is more of the kind of incumbent depth piece on this roster. And you've got Jeff. You've also got Jamichael Hastie. So you have five running backs. And generally speaking, the 49ers, I mean, five straight years of a different number one. So you are.

14:57 ↗

you're taking a risk with Elijah Mitchell in as much as it hasn't really been one guy for a long time. Yeah, I think that the risk is baked into his ADP, though, to the point of I'm willing to accept that risk for, I still think Elijah Mitchell will be valuable and be the predominant guy. It'll be a committee, absolutely. But I still think Mitchell's very interesting. And Kyle Eusecheck, yeah. And the hard part, the hard part is that, you know, you don't start your offseason saying Elijah Mitchell is going to get hurt.

15:27 ↗

And you don't start your offseason saying Rahim Moser is going to get hurt. It's just a difficult thing because the upside of the running back in San Francisco is so tremendous that you can't ignore them, right? This is not talking about the committee in Houston. This is talking about one of the best running games in football and always will be. And so, you know, do I think you could take a late round flyer on one of the other guys? Yeah, I would do it just to see what happens in camp. The doghouse.

15:56 ↗

You know, sometimes coaches have a doghouse that's like, no one can be in it at times. I think Shanahan has a requirement, it's an occupancy minimum. Yes, yes. You must keep five people in it. And Brandon Ayukes always got his spots, but. Rules with fear over there. Correct. So it's just difficult, but there's upside on some of these other players. Do I, is it possible? Chase Sherman emerges from the depths? No. No, it is. It is possible. I don't think it is.

16:26 ↗

Jason, you, I think it is possible. Third round traffic by this regime. I mean, that's not what I project. If I'm taking a shot, I'm going to take Tyrion Davis Price because them drafting him shows that maybe they do not believe, you know, in what they drafted last year in Trey Sermin. So I'm certainly not projecting that. But Andy's right. It could absolute, like, there's no one more, there's nothing more Shanahan.

16:55 ↗

Then coming out week one and Trey Sermon is just the starter. Like he don't care. He's going to do whatever he won't. Yeah. Yeah, I agree. It's going to be interesting. And camp will tell us a lot because two of them will get hurt. That's all that will tell us is what the injury goes to, unfortunately. There was also a running back by a community report from Josh Shrock of NBC Sports talking about Khalil Herbert and David Montgomery. We discussed this recently just about, you know.

17:23 ↗

David Montgomery in general, how it's an unsexy pick and drafts because, you know, he's been around the block. It's his final year there, but he has been pretty reliable. But Herbert showed stuff last year as well. Yeah, it's a new coaching regime there. So you can't just apply how they used players last year into this year. We really use regime a lot.

17:46 ↗

in fantasy. What would you? Well, it's a coaching staff. I mean, there's other words, but we really go the regime route, which is, I just think it's interesting. And I don't mean we, I mean, like everybody in fantasy. That's like that's the vernacular of sports. Like, why do we like regime? It's a fancy sounding word. Yeah, it's like they're rulers. But that's like a dictatorship sound, you know? Well, I mean, we got Shanahan being a mean guy. That's fair. Ruling with fear. And guess what, Josh Rosen has been signed.

18:14 ↗

by another team. The Browns grabbed him probably in preparation for Watson's suspension and, um, yeah, I mean, Watson's going to get suspended and they need camp quarterbacks, which nobody plays camp quarterback role better than Josh Rosen. I'm proud of him. Like, I can't believe he's, he, keep on going, Josh. Like, keep trying. Keep trying. I'm, you know, yes, there's no quit in him. He's still.

18:41 ↗

Trying. Giving it the old college try. Or is he just just playing the system right now? Like if you're Josh Rosen, do you want to go get a regular, go get like a day-to-day job or like go work in an office or just keep being a backup making not awful money? Does he make a good impression? I thought that was part of the problem. Yeah.

19:07 ↗

I don't know. If you look at, did you see this this morning? If you look at his Twitter profile? Yes. He has a, his Twitter picture is from being drafted by the Cardinals. His Twitter background is a press conference when he was with the Dolphins. And his actual Twitter bio says quarterback of the Atlanta Falcons. And now he is with the Cleveland Browns. He doesn't care about Twitter. No, no. He's just, he's living life. He's got a right in that way. I'm going to say he's word.

19:34 ↗

We're the morons living our lives on Twitter. You guys ready for some mailbag? Let's go. Mailbag. You were getting some praise on the YouTube comments, Mike, because just the restraint you've been able to show this offseason, not saying it's football time on any intro, which I mean, I imagine. But it's not football time. I know. But I imagine it's when you get to say it, it's really fun. I mean, I will.

20:07 ↗

take that credit, but it's really just a product of it not being football time. Right, right. If you have a question for the show for the mailbag, you can go to the website, the fantasy footballers.com, click the submit a question button. You can also dial the voicemail hotline 302464 TFFB. We will kick it off with a voicemail. Jason, you're nodding with an answer. Yeah, well, it's a great question because I think it's one you need to ask about.

20:44 ↗

You know, when you go into your draft, which should you lean? And it really is a product of your league settings. If I'm in a full PPR, I lean much more towards wide receivers in the double flex. Because what happens is if you look at the analytics of, you know, running back finishes versus wide receiver finishes and you go from standard to half point to PPR, it's kind of as expected. We're in a half point PPR league. The flex position is.

21:12 ↗

going to be pretty 50-50, in which case I tend to prefer to have the running back depth on my roster. So if I feel like there's an even running back and an even wide receiver, I do tiebreak with running back just for injury depth. But if it's a full PPR, I'm going to leave that draft with more wide receivers than running backs. Instagram question from Harrison Mike 84. Thoughts on Hunter Renfro.

21:37 ↗

And why you never draft him is the wide receiver 11, 128 targets for 103, 1038 and 9 last year, a 21% target share. I have no active attempt going on not to draft Hunter Renfro. But I think we just see the situation as being so different than it was last year for the Raiders where you have somebody in Devante Adams that demands more target share than any wide receiver in football.

22:08 ↗

You have a very talented target in Darren Waller. And Waller, when Hunter Renfro went on his run at the end of the year, Darren Waller was hurt from week 13 on through the end of the season. He played in week 18, but he missed five games, or basically six if he count the one he was hurt in. So it's almost similar to what happened with Amon Ross St. Brown for the Detroit Lions, where he went on to run and we're talking about, you know, okay,

22:39 ↗

Was it almond raw is just so good that this is the normal for him for the lions? Or like, do you believe it was a product of everybody else for the lions being hurt? Because the Raiders really had nobody, like other than Hunter Renfro at the end. I'd say Jones was pulling in like five receptions a week. I expect Hunter Renfro to get 90 to 100 targets. I don't think that's going to change. But what made him.

23:09 ↗

that impressive wide receiver 11 was nine touchdowns because even in that stretch you had games 49 40 this is yardage totals 49 46 30 32 40 like he is not going to be a huge yardage player he will be a third down target and heck maybe he'll be a red zone target still but so good at it but um yeah kind of reminds you almost of the julian edelman mind meld with brady where

23:37 ↗

maybe not prototypical red zone, but still a target. I just don't think Renfro is going to repeat anything close to what he did last year. Yeah, that's the problem is. And there's a seal. Like there's a, I don't think the upside's there. Yep. It's playing for fantasy football for so long, seeing these guys with the breakout and then their situation changes drastically and they just get buried. Yeah, it's very simple. He's going from.

24:05 ↗

oftentimes last year, the number one target in the offense to the number three target in the offense. And he's not, he's great in the red zone, but he's not built for that. So when you bring on the best red zone wide receiver in all of football, it's going to take touchdowns away. Yeah, a little reminiscent of James and Crowder having a couple of decent years in Washington, but not, it's not like you were building your offense around him. You just had to go to him a lot.

24:33 ↗

A follow up there from Instagram, Jason. Do you lean the Hunter Renfro or Adam Thielen route? I personally, oh man. Thielen by a lot for me. Yeah, and I get it. And I completely understand Thielen the new offense. I love the Vikings. But I just don't want to be holding the bag. And I would take Hunter Renfro over Thielen. I'm just happy. Look, I'm rooting for Thielen, but I'm not drafting them this year because I don't want to.

25:03 ↗

be the one grabbing him when he is done. And I fear that it's either this year or next year, just historically speaking. And I'm looking elsewhere. You're a little afraid of the elderly. I am agist when it comes to fantasy football, yes. Rinkly, start getting spots. I noticed. I mean, the conversation earlier, you're not talking about Derek Henry.

25:26 ↗

at your 3-4, which I think is, you know, it's just kind of insulting to that community of ages. I get it. Guilty as charged. Let's hit another voicemail. What's up, ballers? This is Joe C. from your neighboring desert in New Mexico. I had a question. I know you guys talked about a way to join the competitive leagues and, you know, be a part of the community. And I wanted to ask, I guess, if you guys kind of summarize a little bit more as far as the options I have to, you know, get together with someone.

25:56 ↗

and play some good old fantasy football. Shout out to the deucers. This is troubling. That's how you get your voicemail through. Now I see how the voicemail got picked. Well, I'll start here and then I'll hand it off to you guys to talk more. But fundamentally, fantasy football is as fun as the people you play with. I mean, those leagues that you're in where you have two or three people that aren't active, that aren't doing anything, that can really...

26:20 ↗

damage the experience for everybody in the league. And so one of the things we've wanted to facilitate from the beginning is an ability for this community of incredible listeners, players that enjoy playing to come together and build out some leagues that have people that are all dedicated and enjoy that. And we've watched that happen over the years with Foot Clan supporters. And there's a couple ways that you can connect with them. At Jointhefoot.com, you get access to

26:49 ↗

the community on the forums. So footclanleagues.com is a is a forum where you can find people. And then more recently we've added the Discord server, which you can join. And there are Foot Clan specific places you can find leagues as well. Yeah. And, you know, we've talked about giving shoutouts recently about some of the leagues that have come together there. And really when you, you know, it's like, oh.

27:14 ↗

Andy, you just had a post about joining the foot and the whole Patreon environment. And some of the comments on that were talking about their experiences coming along and being a part of this and seeing the progression and joining others in that. And that my favorite comment was from someone who's been a long, long time listener about how the first year or two was, you know, it was like we were their secret sauce. And it was like, oh, you got to.

27:42 ↗

keep it away from the other leaguemates and it worked for a while. But then as other leaguemates get involved or you share the show, it's more fun. And all of a sudden now it's like a inside jokes and the community and all that. So when you join a league from Footlandleagues.com, you are, you're getting a like-minded group of fun people. All right, quick break and back with some more questions.

28:13 ↗

What's up, Foot Clan? You are confident and disciplined and focused on details, just like everyone here at the fancy footballers, right? Those are words you used to describe us. In other words, you were made to drive the 2026. Sierra 1500 Denali, a full-size pickup combining capability with elevated design and advanced technology. You can seek out the exceptional width the Denali. Their standard 5.3-liter V8 engine and 10-speed automatic transmission.

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