The TRUTH About Fantasy WRs: Part 1 + Hitman & Hit Rates - Fantasy Football Podcast for 2/1

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Fastest is based on analysis by Ucla of speed test intelligence data of national speed score results for the second half of 2025. The best mobile network in the U.S. is based on analysis by Ucla of speed test intelligence data, second half of 2025. Number two, Debo Samuel from the San Francisco 49ers, 44% of his games were great, 88% of his games were good, a bust rate of only 6%.

finished with 121 targets 77 for 14.05 and 6. Holy crap. But that is also supplemented by 365 yards on the ground and eight rushing touchdowns. That's because you can't tackle Debo Samuel. Debo Samuel was so good that he missed a game in week 13 and outscored.

Michael Thomas's unbelievable, you know, season a couple years ago, which was the standard for best fantasy seasons, which, by the way, that's why Cooper Cup beat Debo. So, yeah, I mean, going forward, I don't think Debo's great because, okay, Trey Lance is going to come. That's, we're already at a question mark.

But I don't think it really is a question mark because Shanahan has shown that he builds game plans around Debo Samuel, whether it's getting him the ball on the ground, manufacturing plays to him, screenplays, and we've seen Lance in limited action be willing to take deep shots down the field. So Debo Samuel, I think the only thing that stops Debo Samuel's injury, which he has a...

large and lengthy history of, but he got through this whole season. I'm completely in on Debo. And I'm so sorry that I was ever out because he is, he's really a weird guy to watch. You don't understand why people can't. Like when Derek Henry runs, you know, people have a hard time tackling Derek Henry. I get it. Yeah. He's like this train that's just plowing down. Debo always looks like, oh yeah, this guy's not. No, that guy's got him. Wait, what?

Why can't, like, literally he takes a dive into Crisco and comes out and he's just unstoppable. Thank you. He did beat up a little bit on bottom 16 defenses, was much better against them. I think that the, aside from the Trey Lance question, the rushing touchdowns are a big question because San Francisco, I believe.

will do something at the running back position because it won't just be Elijah Mitchell and Debo. I don't think that's very thin, right? That's like, that's a situation of putting your team over leveraging what Debo Samuel has to do for your team. And, I mean, Trey Sermon, perhaps he, Trey Sermon could just be a full bust.

Not exactly sure. Maybe he just needed a year of learning, a year of experience to get acclimated. Maybe they bring back Rahim Moster. There's a lot of things that the 49ers could do that could hurt Debo Samuel from trying to repeat a season like this, but he's very solid. At number three, Devante Adams. Now, a little bit, you know.

The first half not as consistent as you normally hope from Devante Adams. He was number 10 inconsistency over the first half. Finishes the year 123 for 1,500 yards and 11 touchdowns. 38% of his games were great. 63% were good. The question for him, like, what happens? Because he is a free agent, but I can't imagine that the Packers let him go.

without, they're not just going to take the supplementary third round pick for Devante Adams to be good. No, they're going to franchise him and hope that they can figure something out. Is Aaron Rogers a Green Bay Packer? Let's start there. Where are you at? What's your temperature at for Rogers returning to Green Bay? I think it is a 33% chance he returns to Green Bay. I don't think everything is hunky-dory and happy over there.

The way that they structured the contract and got him back on the field this last year was under the premise that they will trade him this off season. Their cap situation says that they kind of need to. He's at the age where if you're not going to extend him a long-term deal, which they didn't this last year, then you need to get something for him, and they'll get a lot for him. Andrew Brandt, former Green Bay Packers, general manager.

He seems confident that Aaron Rogers will be gone. So I lean that direction for sure. I think he will move on. And he has said, like, or at least it's reported that he said he wants to bring Devante Adams with him. And. And. Yes. And. And MVS. What is that all about? Yeah.

You can't complain. You cannot complain that you're not getting the weapons you need and then be like, but wherever I go, I want the exact same weapons. Like, you can't have it both ways, Aaron. That was, that was surprising. Um, so with Devante Adams, if he has Aaron Rogers and they're all Packers next year, then if you want to take Devante Adams number one, I'm happy. I would take cup. I would take Devonte Adams too. I would take him ahead of Debo.

ahead of Tyreek, ahead of everyone else we're about to talk about. But under the idea that he leaves and Devante Adams is franchised, then I would say Devante Adams is still in a good situation where he is the dude. He's not going to get Aaron Roger's numbers. He's not going to get double-digit touchdowns. But I still think he'll be a top 15 wide receiver. Okay, so we'll use that to transition to this next guy.

And start with, not start with, but the question of Devante Adams with no Rogers or Justin Jefferson with no Kirk Cousins. Justin Jefferson number four finishes the year 108, 1,600 receiving yards, 10 receiving touchdowns. Only 18% of his games were great, but 71% were good. He was very consistent. You know, just a.

A couple games here or there where he let your team down, led the NFL with over 2,000 air yards, most third down targets and receptions. He was, yet again, the go-to guy for Kirk Cousins. In fact, he has the most receiving yards ever for a wide receiver in their first two years. It will be fun to see if Jamar Chase can give Jefferson a run for the money on that or not. But where are you at with Justin Jefferson moving into the future?

Obviously, if Kirk Cousins is there, he deserves to be in the conversation of that, that, you know, top three pick. He's been as great as anyone in the history of the NFL coming into the league. He's always open. I mean, he's one of those guys. He is. Yeah, it's ridiculous. You double cover him. And then all of a sudden you're like, wait, did you guys, you guys didn't guard Justin Jefferson. And you go watch the beginning of the play. It's like, oh, no, you were totally watching Justin Jefferson. He just made you look that way.

and then smoke bombed and was somewhere else. So I like him. If both of these guys, Adams and Jefferson lose their quarterback, I am taking Justice Jefferson for sure over Devante Adams, simply because Devante Adams has obviously been a touchdown machine over the last couple of years. I think that will come down a lot. And then the age, Devante Adams, I'm not saying he's going to fall off at all, but he will turn 30 next year.

So if he's without Aaron Rogers working with a new quarterback versus Justin Jefferson, who is still possibly ascending as a talent, I would tiebreak that way. But assuming that the quarterback situations don't change for these teams, Justin Jefferson is, would you rather have Justin Jefferson next year or Tyreek Hill? With Kirk Cousins back, I'm taking Jefferson.

We'll talk about Tyree Kill in a little bit, but it was so bizarre. The back half of the year was so bizarre. It was a lot like the back half of the playoff game. Yes, it was, where teams just, defenses are starting. You can't stop Patrick Mahomes, but teams are starting to get to the point where they can make an adjustment here or there that works out at least for a little bit. At number five.

Rookie Sensation, Jamar Chase. His consistency rank was only number 13 because after coming out to start the year, just full nuclear, it slowed down over the second half. It was propped up here and there by some big games, including the number one overall finish in championship week and week 17. But.

So consistency rank of 13 finishes as the wide receiver 5, and we will combo that with T. Higgins here because it's an interesting discussion to talk about both of them. Higgins finished as the wide receiver 22 and consistency rank of 22. Both had their games in the sun. It was not very often that they overlapped. Right. The second half of the year was like T. Higgins time.