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Main show · March 22, 2016

Fantasy Football Podcast 2016 - Fantasy Election Special, News, Mailbag

RSSMar 22, 2016 · transcript indexed
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Fantasy Football Podcast 2016 - Fantasy Election Special, News, Mailbag

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Inside the episode

143 passages
26:50 ↗

In three of those final four games, he had four catches for 30 yards, and he still finished with over 1,000 yards. In the middle of there, he did have a beast game against Green Bay, six catches, 120 yards, two touchdowns. Now, here's the deal. Who's getting him the ball? Derek Carr, in 26 less attempts last year. He upped his completions. He upped... Send the car. Thank you for getting there for me.

27:17 ↗

So 26 less attempts had over 700 more yards plus 11 touchdowns. According to football outsiders, they had the fourth best passing offensive line. I love Amari Cooper to finish an entire year and break out and be elite. I'll tell you what. Let me just follow up Amari, if you don't mind. Sure. That way you get the last word in this one.

27:43 ↗

I'm going to follow up Amari because I was approaching that campaign to join it when I saw Mike had already been hired. So I really don't mind a vote for Amari Cooper. I think it's a well-placed vote. However, I am running the campaign for one, Zachary Ertz. Zach Ertz came on strong last year, and he is a viable vice president candidate this year. Look, it doesn't take...

28:11 ↗

a long road for a tight-in to go from just okay to an elite option. We saw Jordan Reed last year make the jump in the second half of the season. I don't think there's anybody doubting that Reed was in the elite category for your fantasy team. If you look at Zacherts from week 11 on, his pace was 100 plus receptions.

28:31 ↗

1,200 plus yards and five touchdowns. Now, touchdowns have been the problem for Ertz, but it seems like one of those things that is a little bit of an anomaly. He's in a West Coast offense now. But look at this. Here's the number I love about it. In that time period, he averaged nine targets a game. I mean, just give me an athletic tight end that averages nine targets a game who's been paid. I like Zach Ertz. I think he's a great candidate. Yeah, I do like that they just showed him the money.

28:58 ↗

Then that's the new coaching staff coming in saying that we are committed to you.

29:03 ↗

Mr. Ertz. Now, Jason, it's up to you and don't drop the ball. All right. Well, here's the truth. Speaking of dropping the ball. Here's what's going to happen for the vice presidential nomination. I respect Amari Cooper. I like Cooper's camp and Cooper's team. The problem that I have with your candidate is that they're on a team that wants to improve the running game and be a little bit less pass happy that they were forced into last year. Whereas the candidate that I've got.

29:32 ↗

for vice president to take a step forward to the number one. To be the real MVP, an elite player for the first time, you might think, wait, isn't he already elite? Because that's how it feels he's that good. But let me ask you a question before I get to this, Mike. Who was your breakout candidate at the quarterback position? That would be James Winston. Oh, famous James Winston. There are so many reasons to love him. And the number one reason is with the support of Mike.

30:02 ↗

is Mike Evans. You voted for him already. Mike Evans is next year's fantasy MVP. You know where you can draft him several, several spots behind Amari Cooper, despite the fact that Amari Cooper had a worse season than Mike Evans. I don't blame him there. He was a rookie. But you know who else was a rookie, James Winston, the quarterback for Mike Evans? Now you have a year of rapport between James and James Winston.

30:31 ↗

The offensive coordinator last year who was responsible for that is now the head coach and wants to get him involved. The third year for wide receivers is famously a leap year for their production. So you have Mike Evans here who you can get at a good spot who's going to have a year of rapport with his up and improving quarterback in a more offensive team. Mike Evans is going to be the vice president.

30:57 ↗

this year with your vote at the FF. All right, so I should have summarized the candidates on the previous one. The presidential candidates were Todd Gurley, Eddie Lacey, and Mark Ingram, the vice presidential candidates were Zach Ertz, Mike Evans, and Amari Cooper. So you'll want to cast your vote. We're going to move on now to the Department of Justice. We need... We need...

31:18 ↗

Justice, my friend. We need an attorney general in place here. Someone to bring justice for their name. This is the bounce back player of the year. Somebody who is going to come and reclaim what was once there. I'm going to kick this one off. Please do. With my candidate. And it took a lot of time for me to really see the issues that were important and where my candidate stood on them. And I was confident.

31:45 ↗

In Andrew luck to be that player, that bounce back candidate. We know the story, the story of the lacerated kidney. You've all heard it. It almost unseated him from his great throne. However, he also struggled with completion percentage and interceptions. I'm not hiding from those facts. It's more about what a candidate does with a tumultuous time. And we've actually seen many Hall of Fame level quarterbacks.

32:16 ↗

have years where they saw a little bit of a dip and bounced back very easily. We saw Drew Breeze had a year where his completion percentage dropped 8% and it went back to the mean. We saw a year where Joe Montana.

32:28 ↗

had a year where he went 11% down in the middle of his career and returned to the mean. I don't expect Andrew Luck to be any different than that career trajectory. He's too darn good. He had 60 plus percentage completion years, the two years prior. And last year he struggled not just with the kidney, but with the shoulder and the arm, and they're ready to show him the money. Andrew Luck is just too good. He's going to bounce back. He's going to bring justice to his name. He's my candidate for Attorney General.

32:56 ↗

Yeah, well, Andrew Luck, he was drafted with the number one spot in the NFL draft for a reason, and he is a great potential bounce-back candidate. The problem that I have there, I see he's taking a very, is that he was having a very poor season beforehand, and there isn't the longevity of record of his voting history, if you will, on the field. And so I'm going to go with a guy who has been a,

33:26 ↗

Tried and True Star, one of the best running backs of our generation, who was besmirched with an ACL injury. Now, he's on the IR party. Is that the? Yes, he's on the IR party. And last time that he won the ticket from an IR party, he came back as a number one running back. Jamal Charles will be back. His yards per carry.

33:51 ↗

are absolutely incredible. They are like no running back in the modern era right now, even including Adrian Peterson. Nobody is more efficient with the ball than Jamal Charles, who at his worst, his worst yards per carry in his career, his illustrious career, was five. That's like the magic number that you try to get if you're a great running back. Last year, I think we had, what, two?

34:19 ↗

Two or three players get to five yards of carry. That's his worst season ever, and he's even done that coming off an ACL injury. So you want to talk about a bounce back that you can be sure of, that you could put your stock in. It's Jamal Charles. Cast your vote today. I don't have a problem with nominee over here, Mr. Jamal Charles. A slight problem, I guess. That's two ACL tears. So that's why I'm going to put my faith and my trust.

34:49 ↗

In Carlos Hyde, you've heard me talk about this name before Carlos. Maybe he's not a typical bounceback candidate as he has not produced at an elite high level yet. Excellent point. However, Carlos Hyde, let me start this with a question for you guys. Is it easier or harder to run a football in the NFL when there are four?

35:19 ↗

dbs on the field so three linebackers or two linebackers which would be easier no comment this is a trap question uh i'll answer it for you two linebackers would be much easier to run on uh also known as a nickel defense here's the deal with carlos hyde last year he faced the base defense

35:41 ↗

On 83% of his carries, he still managed to 4.2 yards per carry. According to player profiler, they calculate something they call the juke rate. They take evaded tackles, so just straight up talent at the running back. Evaded tackles divided by touches, 33%. So on 33% of the time when Carlos Hyde is touching the ball, he is causing a missed tackle. Let me ask you a question about...

36:09 ↗

other running backs last year. Not so much the question. I'll just give you some facts. These are the running backs that face the highest percentage of nickel and dime defenses on carries. Top four. Darren Sprouls, Ryan Matthews, Danny Woodhead, DeMarco Murray. Do you see a trend with any of those running backs? Because three of them were on the same offense that is run by Chip Kelly, who is now the head coach.

36:36 ↗

of the San Francisco 49ers where Carlos Hyde resides and runs the ball. Not only that, you think, well, maybe they don't run the ball that much. Chip Kelly's offenses, in the three years he was in Philadelphia, averaged the seventh most attempts in the league. They have volume, they have sustainability. They only faced a base defense on 18% of runs. The opportunity is there for Hyde to run against the nickel. In two years,

37:05 ↗

Carlos Hyde has averaged the magic number that you just spoke of, 5.1 yards per carry against the nickel defense. So I put forth my candidate, Carlos Hyde, who you can get in the fourth round. Yeah, and maybe he'll bounce back to R.B. What's his highest? It's like he wasn't even born in this country, Mike. All right. We need a birth certificate. The candidates, Andrew Luck, Jamal Charles, Carlos Hyde for the Department of Justice, the Attorney General.

37:34 ↗

The bounce back player of the year. Go cast your vote. All right. We're moving on. We're moving on to the Department of the Treasury. We need a Treasury secretary. We need the best ADP value in 2016. Who wants to get this one started? Oh, I'll get this started with your future Department of Treasury winner, which is... He doesn't even know the office.

37:58 ↗

It's the Treasury Secretary. The Treasury Secretary. I wrote it in your notes. Look, I don't need to know that it's the Treasury Secretary to know who is the best value at ADP. And I got a need. And it's a need for Sneed. Listen, this isn't going to be a landslide. The polls are already showing that Willie Sneed is the clear victor. And here's why. Because he gets no respect. He is being drafted in the 11th round. The 11th round.

38:26 ↗

in standard and the back of the 10th, so pretty much the 11th in PPR. He won't be. No, he absolutely will be. I took a look at the guys going ahead of them. They have much more pub, like Brashard Perriman. Oh, he was touted coming in last year. Stefan Diggs, he had a great run, and Travis Benjamin switched teams.

38:46 ↗

Don't draft any of those guys over Willie Sneed. Here's what Willie Sneed did in his rookie year coming in as an unheralded guy. He put up 69 catches for 984 yards and three touchdowns. So he missed a game last year. If you take those 15 and just make it 16, he would have had 1,049 yards. So he missed that 1,000 yard mark in his rookie unheralded season by what, 16 yards?

39:12 ↗

in 15 games. And just to give a frame of reference for how good that is, in the history of the post-merger NFL, there have only been 16 rookies ever to eclipse 1,000 yards, and almost every single one of those guys in their career looking back are legendary players. If not Hall of Fame, certainly team inductees into their ring of honor or whatever. That's what Willie Sneed did. He has Drew Brees as his quarterback coming into year two.

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