Week 10 Matchups + Squeeze a Sneeze - Fantasy Football Podcast for 11/13

Hopefully they can figure things out. Hopefully that is not what is happening. It's clearly that's what Lamar thinks is happening. The Baltimore Ravens running backs, this is pretty easy for me. If Mark Ingram is out, Dobbins and Gus Edwards are in. Gus Edwards is touchdown dependent. I get it. J.K. Dobbins will see more volume. Gus Edwards has scored in three straight games if there is a goal line opportunity.

It's probably going to go to Gus Edwards. And if Mark Ingraham is in, then they're all out for me. I'm not taking a chance on any of them. Over on the other side, though, the Patriots are running backs. This is interesting. Damien Harris is getting in limited practices. He did go down.

If you are watching the game against New York Jets, he went down in a heap. This is so easy for me. They're all out. Damien Harris. You don't want that Rex. Goathead action, sexy, Rexy? This is the time. If Sony and Damien Harris are both inactive for the game, they are ruled out, then in a pitch you can put Rex Berkhead in. Running back seven on the week.

We talked about how bad it was for running back. Yeah, but running back seven, Jay. Yes. I don't think that the New York Giants defense is quite as good as the Baltimore Ravens defense, who on the course of the season, their top five against the running back position. I'm OUT because I don't think Damien Harris will be inactive. So I'm out on the whole.

the whole Patriots running back. All right. Jacoby Myers, 22 targets in the last three weeks. He has emerged as the number one guy for the Patriots. This is what he has been seeing target-wise. Three weeks ago when he finally got back into the starting lineup against San Francisco, 24% of the targets. And then against Buffalo and the New York Jets, a 40% target share. Now that's a target share from Cam Newton.

Who has not thrown a touchdown since week three, but is Jacoby Myers in play for you as a flex? Only if Nikiel Harry is out. Okay. And he is questionable right now. Right. So we don't know for sure yet, but in week seven.

That was where, you know, six targets for Jacobi Myers. Nikiel Harry was there, and they kind of split those. The last two weeks is when Nikil Harry's been out. And so, yeah, 10 targets, 14 targets. You can flex that in. But this is, again, a good defense. And if Nikilharry's out there and they're splitting those targets, then I'm pretty much, I'm willing to play Cam because he runs the ball and not another player unless you've got the inactives at running back and wide receiver that say there's one player left.

Mark Andrews is in. You have to start him. It has felt really bad, but you're starting him at the tight end position. But Marquis Brown, 12th in target share, third in air yard share, number one in Jason Moore's heart. Are you playing him against this Patriots defense? If you are looking at your bench going, yep, I'm getting Hollywood Brown in there. Are you forcing him in? No, no, I'm not. I mean, it...

Do you want Josh Reynolds? Josh Reynolds is in play. I mean, seven targets each of the last two weeks against the Seattle Seahawks and a high over-under game where you project for a ton of passing yards to happen, or do you want whatever market share that Hollywood Brown gets of the 170 passing yards?

That question stinks. It sucks, man. I mean, this is my guy. I believed in Hollywood Brown. I take full responsibility for those who have had a hard time walking away. And I stand firmly behind my take that he's awesome. I think Hollywood Brown is a great wide receiver. I really, really do. I watch the film. I don't see anything to make me think he wouldn't thrive if he had passing volume.

And until that comes, it's going to be touchdown or bust. Hollywood Brown or Stay in the Flames with Curtis Samuel. Hollywood Brown or Marvin Jones, who should be alone as the number one against Washington. He could be alone to the degree that T.J. Hawkinson and Kenny Gulliday are both out. I would probably go Marvin Jones there. I mean, this is a bad matchup. New England, you know, New England is not what they once were.

But who's Stefan Gilmore going to be guarding? Yeah. Good question. I'm not really wanting to play Hollywood Brown this week, which means it'll be his big blowup week. Monday night, Minnesota, the Minnesota Vikings are three and five, taking on the Chicago Bears at five and four. We have an NFC North divisional battle here. The Vikings.

What is going on here? I was shocked when I saw that line. The Vikings are favored by a field goal and a 43 point over under. On the road. To be fair to Minnesota, they have been playing much better, much better the last few weeks. They're projected to basically sweep the division these three weeks in a row. I mean, they beat Green Bay. They beat Detroit after their by week. They have looked like a good team. And of course, that is because.

They have turned into the Minnesota Davao Cucks. Now, we have a date with Destiny, Jason. Matt Nagy. The magician is 4-0 versus the Vikings. Kirk Cousins. Kurt Cousins is 0 and 9 on Monday night football. The most consecutive losses by a starting quarterback to begin a career.

Oh, my gosh, that's stat. Poor Kurt Cousins, who, by the way, if you've not seen the video that has gone viral of Kurt Cousins in his high school musicals, it's a delight. It will bring a smile to your face. So let's do this. You might have to watch behind your fingers, though. We will, we're going to break it down for fantasy, but Jay, who wins the game? Chicago. I picked them outright forgetting the fact that they're being given points.

Okay. Kurt Cousins. He's been averaging 26 pass attempts per game. Would you rather play Kurt Cousins or Nick Foles? Oh, that's interesting. Because you don't want to play either of them. You don't want to play either if I took my- In a single quarterback league. If I took my shot on one, I would take it on Nick Foles. I could see big plays happening and touchdowns going against the Vikings defense. Look, the Bears' defense has been...

fully legit. You know, we talk about the Rams are not getting enough credit. The Bears have been, they have received the credit. We know what they are. Every single game that it goes out with the Bears, it's a low-scoring, defensive game because, and they've been tested. They've played against some good offenses, and those offenses have struggled. What I'm really interested to see is can the Bears shut down Dalvin Cook at all enough to win the game? That's what they're going to have to do. That is a great question, but you are playing Dalvin Cook. Meanwhile, David Montgomery,

The plotter, the king of the volume, the king of my opportunity is still in the concussion protocol. So this is a problem for the Chicago running game. Ryan Knoll might be the next man up. Cordero Patterson will probably see some more touches. It's probably a situation to avoid. Adam Thielen, the last two weeks, has been the wide receiver 65 and the wide receiver 72. And, I mean...

It's really, that's Dalva Cook's fault. That is not out of Thielen's fault. Yeah, Thielen hasn't looked any different than he has his entire career. It's just when you can run for 200 yards easily with very little hesitation. That being said in this game, this is a very difficult matchup for wide receivers. They're going to try to run the ball. I don't think this is an, you know, an Adam Thielen game either. Would you be willing to pivot, though, from someone whose ceiling is as high as Adam Thelan? No.

I would not be pivoting. No, I'm not pivoting away from Adam Thielen or Justin Jefferson. Those types of players with the variance. It might smack you in the face, but I'm still going to play them. Alan Robinson, I'm going to play him. The matchup is pretty good. Darnell Mooney is the big question. We saw 11 targets, I believe it was. Let me vet that. But last week, we saw a lot of opportunity for Darnell Mooney. It did not come through. Yes, it was 11 targets, which was a 21% target share for Mooney.

Minnesota allowing the fourth most 20 plus yard plays, Jay, you like Mapletron because the Bengals are giving up big plays. Do you like Mooney here, the rookie, the super fast rookie? You like him with an opportunity for a big touchdown? I certainly think he will have an opportunity for a big touchdown. He'll have a deep pass thrown his way. What's the odds that it's a catchable target? I'm going to say...

15%. So I don't put him in the same category as Babletron getting the ball thrown to him by Big Ben. But he's certainly someone where you could take your shot on him. And it's a fun. I mean, look, if you're if you're scrapping off the waiver wire and scratching and clawing for some points, it's fun to have that big play ability on a Monday night football game where after Sunday, you're not out. Yeah. You still have hope. It is fun. Jimmy Grandpa, the side end six on the year.

Yeah, he's in play. The matchup dictates it. Meanwhile, the Bears defense, where they actually give up points, is two fantasy tight ends. Bigger of Smith coming off, you know, we've seen him score a few touchdowns the last couple weeks. Are you willing to play him? I'm not willing to play him. I mean, it was four targets, two receptions, two touchdowns. I mean, in DFS, I think you could take a cheap shot if he's still, you know, a cheap option.

I just, because it's Kyle Rudolph and Irv Smith splitting, it's very difficult to know. I mean, I think one of those two has a good game, but you couldn't predict who it's going to be. Yeah, you've seen him. He hasn't separated from Kyle Rudolph, 50% of the tight end targets the last two weeks. Yeah, they're splitting, almost identical targets. Yeah, so it would be, it's a shot you can take, but it's a bit of a Hail Mary.

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Jason, your favorite prop of the week? Nope. I will not give you my favorite prop of the week. Oh, okay. I will give you my favorite prop of the year. Of the year? Yes, this is, I mean, I am so confident in this pick that, uh, okay, grief me on Twitter. If I am wrong, I will gladly accept it. But Baker Mayfield right now has 274 and a half.

Passing yards is his expectation is his more or less. He will not throw for more than 275. He will throw for less than 275. On the season, Baker Mayfield is averaging 189 passing yards per game. Almost 100 passing yards per game less. The reason he's being given, you know, such a high expectation is because, well, it's the Houston Texans. But we're heading into week 10.

He's literally only thrown for 275 yards one time on the entire season. Now you lose Odo Beckham, and you might say, well, maybe he's better that way. But the big play that will be necessary to take you up over 275 yards, it's not coming from a broken rib Jarvis. He's going to be dinkin and dungin and PPR in, but I don't think there's any way. Plus, you add in the weather. This is, you know, this projects to be the worst weather game of the week right there off of the Great Lake.

You're going to end up with some high wins. They're going to want to run the ball. No way Baker throws for 275. I'm taking less. Announcing Jared Garf, King Goffrey, his more or less on Monkey Knife fight is 289 and a half yards. He is taking on the Seattle Seahawks. I already gave you the stat. The last few games, Jared Gough, is averaging well over 300 passing yards a game.

Seattle continues to give up 300 passing yards a game. This was my prop last week. And in fact, the average yards passing yards that Seattle is allowing went up last week. They are averaging. They're giving up 362 yards a game. Jared Goff can throw 300. He's already done it three times this year. I love it. That's unbelievable that a team.