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Main show · November 18, 2016

Fantasy Football Podcast 2016 - Week 11 Matchups, In-or-Out, #FootClan Friday

RSSNov 18, 2016 · transcript indexed
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Fantasy Football Podcast 2016 - Week 11 Matchups, In-or-Out, #FootClan Friday

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27:44 ↗

has not rushed for 20 or more yards on any of his 167 carries, which is 29th in the league. That is, well, I mean, that's dead last. Yeah, you have zero. Binnie Cunningham, mind you, has done it twice on like 18 carries this year. That's. Jay Ajai on the other side of this matchup has rushed for 20 or more yards on eight of his carries, which is 6%. That's number one in the league. So these guys...

28:07 ↗

are completely the opposite when it comes to the big play potential. Even if you break it down to 10-yard runs, Gurley's near the bottom of the league. It's like 6% of his runs. 20% of Jaya Jai's runs are more than 10 yards right now. That's what he looks like, man. He's getting a lot of chunk yardage. Now, whether he can do it in this game, they are going to be out, Albert, their tackle for this game. And we have seen so far this year when they have injuries to their offensive line in Miami, things go.

28:37 ↗

poorly, quickly. They have to shift guys around. They move Larry Tunsell. And what I've seen is when they have an injury striking their offensive line, their offensive line has been unbelievably bad in past protection. They're still pretty good at run blocking. I would start Jay Ajai. I mean, well, I was going to say, what is the fantasy implication of that information? Because Ajai, if you're starting him now, you're not sitting him. You can't sit a guy who has been averaging over 100 yards, you know, a game.

29:06 ↗

and a touchdown a game pretty much for a month. You can't sit him. You can't sit him because of a bad matchup. You can't sit him because of a bad offensive line. But I am saying this. When you start him over Gurley in this game? Yes. I would start him over Gurley. And what I am saying is that if he has a down game, some of those factors might be to blame when we come in next week. And if they get Albert back, I would bump Jay Ajai back up. For some reason, the fantasy community really, really likes.

29:36 ↗

The bandwagon of Devante Parker. I don't get it. So I guess you're not part of that. I am not part of it. He had an okay game last week. You would start Landry over Parker. I would start Landry over Parker. I would start Kenny Stills over Parker. You would? Kenny Stills has shown it all year. He's gotten behind the defense all year. Now, let me be clear. I don't want to start Kenny Stills and I don't want to start.

30:04 ↗

Devante Parker. I personally would start, you know, Landry and Jay Ajai. This is, again, the third game we're talking about here where it's just... It's not an exciting game. It's not an exciting game. You're going to start Todd Gurley. You're going to start Jay Ajai. Here's a game I'm actually excited about. Yeah, let's talk about a good one, please. Come on. New England and San Francisco. Now, I'm not excited about it being competitive. I'm excited about this game being a high-scoring affair in which...

30:33 ↗

It really evens out production on both sides of the ball. You're rolling Brady out, regardless of the gronk situation. You know, he has Martellus Bennett. He has Edelman and he has James White out of the backfield. Chris Hogan and maybe Dionne Lewis. The weapons are. Brady will be fine. So there's no question here. You're excited about Brady. You're excited about Blunt because the 49ers are the worst run defense I've seen in years. They're just 32nd in the league. Edelman has not been Edelman this year. No, but without grunk.

31:02 ↗

But he should be very effective this week. So he's out there. You're rolling him out. And then Martellus Bennett, if you had the ability to grab him or you were holding him, he's a great start this week. Yeah, I mean, pretty much this is one of those games where you're going to start all your Patriots. You know, Chris Hogan could have a great game. I probably would sit him just because he's not as involved since Brady's been back. But he could break one off for sure against this D. You're definitely starting Legerra Blum. Basically start your Patriots. The question.

31:30 ↗

is what do you do with James White? When will we see Dionne Lewis? You stay away. You stay away from both? Yeah, I mean, if you're desperate, you can start James White, but I'm starting a CJ Pro Cise over James White in a heartbeat. I mean, James White has not been very involved. I'd start G.O. Bernard over him. I'd start Hyde, which is on the other side of this matchup over James White. I'd start Jeremy Hill. I'd start Darren Sproles. I mean, the list is going to go on. As a Dionne Lewis owner, this is the game, man.

32:00 ↗

This is the game where if they wanted to get him involved, and I'm not saying you can start him, but I'm saying the Patriots sure can. The Patriots, there's no reason to say, if you're Bill Belichick, Billy, if you're listening, put Dionne Lewis out there and have him come home in style with a great matchup against San Francisco, let him look like the glorious butter he was last year.

32:24 ↗

He was just great. And then we can have confidence in Dionne Lewis have a new fantasy asset out there. Bill Belichick has talked about this and said, you know, when a player is coming back from missing a significant time with injury, there's a buildup process. And so the question is, how long does that take? I think it's going to take a while. I'm my confidence. Obviously, you're not playing Dionne Lewis. Now, on the other side, Colin Kaepernick, I've had people right in and they're like, well, do you start calling Kaepernick or Joe Flacco? And I say, look,

32:54 ↗

Joe Flacco had his week in the sun. He played against Cleveland. I'm not touching Joe Flacco. I'm releasing Joe Flacco. He's got Dallas this week. No, thank you. Colin Kaepernick, on the other hand, is somebody that I absolutely love. I love him in the fantasy playoffs with week 14 and 15 against the Jets in Atlanta. I like him this week. In garbage time, they're 14-point underdogs, and they're going to lose by 14 points or more. So to me, Kaepernick's going to have time to accumulate late-game yardage. He doesn't need to do a ton. One touchdown from Kaepernick.

33:24 ↗

when mixed with his legs, you're fine. You're absolutely fine. He's been a fantasy. He has not hurt your team if you started any of his four weeks. He's helped your team three of those four weeks, most likely. I'm very confident in him against New England at home. Three of his four weeks, he has rushed for over 50 yards on the ground. He's got one rushing touchdown to go with the fact that he has yet to have a game without throwing a touchdown. I think he's...

33:51 ↗

somewhat safe. I mean, I don't see him as a top 10 guy this week, but I do think he is a startable player in that 12 to 15 range. And if you're in a two-quarterback league, he is the perfect type of guy where you are able to get him and you've probably got him with other players. And he is going to have a good enough fantasy game to start him. Okay. Let's go ahead and talk about the Eagles traveling up to Seattle to take on the Seahawks.

34:19 ↗

Seahawks are favored by six and a half. It's a 45 point over under. The Seahawks defense right now, it causes me to do what I most of the time have to do with the Seahawks defense, which is be very cautious about everybody I play against them. And so I don't know if I like anybody in this game, genuinely, anybody on the Philadelphia Eagles. I have no confidence in deciding between Matthews and Sproles. I don't like Jordan Matthews. I don't like Zach Ertz. He's hurt.

34:48 ↗

I'm not touching Carson Wins. I think I've just blacklist the Philadelphia Eagles this week. Yeah, you might be in a position where you have to start someone like a Ryan Matthews or Darren Sproles. If I had to choose between them, I would just... If I had to choose, it's an easy choice for me, and it's Ryan Matthews. Because if Darren Sproles comes out and he is the guy, which could absolutely happen.

35:08 ↗

Ryan Matthews still has a chance at a goal line touchdown. You might be the guy. I don't know if you're starting for Philly. There's no, I have no, Doug Peterson. I don't think I can take those hits, man. He has pictures of John Fox in his bedroom. He is aspiring to be as. If you had to start when it would be Ryan Matthews, in my opinion, because he's been the goal line guy. However, bad matchup, you have no trust level. There, there's no way he's verified, right? None.

35:33 ↗

Yeah. Matthews? No, Doug Peterson. Oh, Doug Peterson? He is completely untrustworthy. No, it might be John Fox for all I know. Yeah. There's no way to find out. I'm sure he's unverified. But yeah, I'm not touching him. I really am not. Yeah, I mean, I don't know how you can start Jordan Matthews against the Seahawks. And just to make it more confusing, I would start Sproles over Matthews. So because guess what? One of us is finally going to be right.

36:00 ↗

We're not going to be listening. And this is why we're blacklisting the Eagles this week is because let's say Darren Sprouls is the guy. I think he has a bad fantasy game. Let's say Ryan Matthews is the guy. I think he has a bad fantasy game. My narrative is, you know, they're tough up front. They're going to stop between the tackles and Sprouls can get outside the tackle box. And my narrative is touchdowns. There you go. So that's why we're not touching. How about on the other side of the ball? Because the Philadelphia Eagles have also been a good defense.

36:30 ↗

How much you've had the Seattle Seahawks offense warming up, right? The last few weeks, Russell Wilson, every week has looked a little bit more like himself. He's actually had two really good back-to-back fantasy performances. Does he keep it alive? Is it Doug Baldwin? You know, is it Jimmy Graham? I lean towards Baldwin. I would start Baldwin. Totally fine playing Baldwin this week. Totally fine playing Jimmy Graham this week. What about Lockett?

36:59 ↗

Is he a sneaky snart? No. He's not? No. No. I want to know why you even brought him up. The only reason I bring him up is just I've seen some matchup numbers on specific corners. And it looks like it's a plus matchup for Lockett. But I agree. He's had two games this year with more than three catches. Yeah. And the entire season. So no, I'm not touching him. He could surprise. Maybe he's some, you know, fan dual cheap buy. But for me.

37:28 ↗

I'm not touching Lockett. The debate here is everybody wants to know C.J. Procise or Thomas Rawls, who do you have more confidence in? You know, for me, obviously, C.J. Procise looked very good last week. He had 153 total yards in the win over the Patriots. They've pretty much come out and said, C.J. Procise is the starter. You already know that between him and Rawls, he's absolutely the pass catching guy. So let me give some perspective for fantasy owners thinking about who to start ProCise over.

37:55 ↗

For us, right now, we have ProCise right around the 18-19 range. So that means he is a tick above Carlos Hyde in half-point leagues. Jeremy Hill. He was ahead of Ingram, who last night got concussed. He's ahead of Sproles, Rashad Jennings. We have him actually one spot ahead of Doug Martin. So that's about where ProCyce is. Yeah, and I would not start Thomas Rawls yet. Again, I think you could.

38:25 ↗

but I would really prefer not to start him. You want to wait and see how involved he's going to be. And I expect two weeks from now, week 12, he'll be named the starter. And then you can roll out Rawls. All right, Sunday night football, the Green Bay Packers take on the Washington Redskins. This is a game that I am, I would take the over. I would take the over. 50 and a half point over under, and I'd take the over in a heartbeat. The Washington's been getting it done. The Packers defense has been.

38:54 ↗

atrocious. You gave it 47 last week to Tennessee. This is another game where Rogers is going to have to be slinging it around. Cousins has the capability to do that. And so the beneficiaries here for me, it's going to be three pass catchers on Washington. Crowder, Vernon Davis, and Jordan Reed. Those are the way I, and that's not the order necessarily. I'm just saying those are the three guys that I think are actually startable in this matchup. Crowder, Vernon Davis, and Jordan Reed.

39:24 ↗

And some people say, you know, Pierre Garsohn, but... Yep, I was going to throw him in the mix as well. You can. You can throw him in the mix. He's been involved enough. We need something French in the mix. Yeah, he's been involved enough over the last few weeks. I think he could be good. But Jameson Crowder, to me, is one of those guys that is he has now approached the must start. And he is a tough guy on a lot of teams to start because...

39:49 ↗

You know, he has what Michael Crabtree had coming into the beginning of this year and even coming into last year, where he seems like he doesn't have the crazy downfield talent or the, you know, the, the, the measurables that say you've got to start this guy, he's a wide receiver, one. But he is so, he's such a part of the offense.

40:13 ↗

where you watch third downs and they're going to Crowder. You get in the red zone. He's got to Manquam Bolden. And they're going to Crowder. And then you see him break a few tackles that are difficult to break. You know, make some nice moves. I think Crowder, I want to give people the confidence to just start him. Put him in your lineup because... Are you starting him over Richard Matthews, who's been on fire right now? Yes. I mean, those two guys are both... And you're starting him over Landry? I am starting him over Landry this week, yes.

40:40 ↗

Because Green Bay's passing defense has been atrocious. There should be points flowing in this game. Crowder has as good a chance to score touchdown as any wide receiver in the league this week. So Crowder or Devante Adams in the same game? That one is very interesting. I would probably go Devante Adams over Crowder. Devante Adams over the last four weeks has been one of the best wide receivers in the league. You've got Josh Norman.

41:06 ↗

right, for the Washington Redskins in this game that I assume is going to be focusing more on Jordy Nelson. That's what's been happening in some of these matchups where Jordy Nelson gets the number one guy and Devante Adams is free to run wild while Randall Cobb is not at full health and full strength. All three of those things right now look to be true for Sunday's game. So I expect big things from Devonte Adams this week. I would happily start both of those guys. So how would you rate

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