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Main show · September 10, 2021

Week 1 Matchups + Zeke Tilt, Tony Tony! - Fantasy Football Podcast for 9/10

RSSSep 10, 2021 · transcript indexed
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Week 1 Matchups + Zeke Tilt, Tony Tony! - Fantasy Football Podcast for 9/10

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Inside the episode

158 passages
27:20 ↗

It was $34 out of a $100 budget. Now, I had bid. Now, I had bid 20. I think I put like five. He went for 34 in our league of record for what it's worth. That might help you if. But I also have Tyson. So who, wow. Yeah. So. That's aggressive. Yeah. I would imagine you would have been maybe more aggressive to kind of.

27:44 ↗

Guarantee you have the backfield there? Of course, you could get stuck with both every week. That's what I, the situation I wanted to avoid. I didn't want to clear my fab and then have no problems or have big problems. All right. The other side of this game, you have Zach Wilson, you're not playing him. Are you starting any of the Jets running backs in this one? No, no, this is a keep your eyes on it situation. And I think that one of these running backs could be.

28:12 ↗

success in Fantasy Week 1, but you don't know who it's going to be. You don't know if it's going to be Tevin Coleman or Ty Johnson or whether the rookie gets more involved than he was in preseason. This is just a wait and see there. I think the only player that I'm for sure starting is Corey Davis. What about him against somebody like Robbie Anderson? Would you rather play Cory Davis this week or Robbie Anderson? I think I would rather play Robbie Anderson.

28:33 ↗

Okay. Davis is a good start. He's the kind of one that you can look at. And both Croft and Arnold are dart throws in DFS. Tyler Croft is definitely a dart throw. I mean, Arnold, I mean, the last year of the Jets were dead last, the worst team against opposing tight ends. And Arnold's been targeted a lot in the preseason. So we will move on to the Jacksonville Jaguars. The Jackwaws. And before we do that, I want to thank today's sponsor, Manscaped. Fellas, you know that we've been talking about Manscaped.

29:02 ↗

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29:26 ↗

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29:55 ↗

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30:19 ↗

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30:49 ↗

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31:18 ↗

footballers for a free one-month trial with access to Headspace's full library of meditations for every situation. This is the best deal offered right now. Head to headheadheadheadhead. Headspace.com slash footballers today. All right. Jacksonville, Houston. We do, we are contractually obligated to discuss this barn burner of a matchup. And I'm actually intrigued. I'm actually intrigued. I'm excited to see what happens in this one. I,

31:46 ↗

I'm a little surprised, too, with the, like, we know the defenses last year struggled tremendously. Draft Kings has the over under at 45 and a half points. Jacksonville minus three, so they're favored on the road here. I would take them in the points, but we're probably going to get a divisional. I think what Draft Kings, the sports book is seeing is what we actually see in this division all the time, which is you expect Barnburner, you get.

32:15 ↗

defensive battle. You get a close game. You get a 45 and a half point over under, despite the fact these were two of the worst defenses last year. Well, I think it's because these were two of the worst offenses last year. And the only improvement is a rookie who could very well improve the Jaguars. But the Houston Texans, I think they would have a not easy time scoring on college teams. Like if it was Bama, I don't think they would.

32:45 ↗

they would torch them. I mean, I don't, the Texans offense is one where it's hard to find anything nice. You'll probably be surprised. This is, this is setting up to surprise us like happens every year. Tyrod, Ingram, Lindsay, DJ, I'm not touching the running back room. Brandon Cooks. I am watching it, though. Yeah, I'm watching. You're not playing any of these players.

33:15 ↗

over the offseason and went from, surely it will be David Johnson who was last year's starter. He was solid. He's an incredible pass catching running back to him being demoted. And they brought in a whole bunch of running backs. And then it was, oh, well, surely it will be Philip Lindsay because Mark Ingram is elderly and he looked kind of washed last year for the Baltimore Ravens. And then preseason says Mark Ingram is the starter for this team. So Andy's right. Don't play any of these players if you can avoid it any cost.

33:45 ↗

one of them might provide some sort of really gross, disgusting running back value. I think you can start Trevor Lawrence this way. I agree. Yeah. I also, like James Robinson, my new start my new start of the week, he's in there. Houston allowed the most rushing yards in the NFL in 2020. And I think you can start Marvin Jones. I think you can start Lavisca Chanel and take your chances with both of them in the flex position. Chark is the one I have more hesitation about, but he is healthy. He's going to be back out there.

34:13 ↗

And there's no reason why he couldn't have a game as well. DJ Chark is what makes me nervous to play. About the other two? Yeah, because Marvin Jones was the go-to for Lawrence over the course of preseason. But that's because DJ Chark was not playing. Is that the truth that Lawrence has that mind-meld already going with Marvin Jones? Or was that DJ Chark the number one wasn't there? It's probably a little bit of.

34:40 ↗

both in the sense that obviously you can't throw to Chark when he's not there. But Marvin Jones is the better wide receiver. Marvin Jones is better than J.J. Chark. And they've been practicing and playing in preseason. So I still expect Marvin Jones to be the one. But you're right that he will be impacted a little bit by Chark. I think more so than Loviska Chanel, who is the gadget guy, the line of scrimmage guy, the screen game manufacturer touches. His touches should still be there. And on the Houston side, just.

35:10 ↗

Keep your eyes on the targets not named Brandon Cooks in this offense. Is it Jordan Akins? Nico Collins. They're interesting. I thought we were just saying. No, no. I'm emphasizing that Aiken's is one of those waiver tight ends that I'm going to be watching. The Cleveland Browns take on the Kansas City Chiefs in Kansas City, the Draft King Sportsbook line here. Oh, baby. Chiefs minus five over under the highest of the week, I think, at 54 and a half. Let's go.

35:37 ↗

That puts it a, what, a 30 to 25 game here. That's healthy. Every, here's a crazy stat about how Kansas City ended the year last year. Every single game from week nine through 16 was a one-score game for Kansas City. Seven consecutive. They went seven and no. That's not normal. Yeah, isn't that wild? That's what happens when you have the greatest quarterback in the league. I mean, it's like last night in the game, we were talking on Slack.

36:06 ↗

Even when the Cowboys were just everything was prime for them to win. I'm like, I just don't Brady, Brady will get those one score games. Like you have to finish the game. Yes, but I mean, you can't say everyone because they showed the stat last night. I think it was like eight of 18 he's done it. So it was just under 50%. So that's what I'm saying. Of seven and no in a one score game, that's, that's regression alert if that's how their defense keeps playing.

36:33 ↗

You disagree. Who do you have? Well, I still believe that at the end of the game with Patrick Mahomes, if you don't finish the game with the ball, if you give him time, you lose. You lose it. Same thing with Russell Wilson in one score games. It's a historical thing for him over multiple years. So either way, it's going to be a fun one. Baker has three total road wins in his career versus teams above 500.

37:02 ↗

Oh, gross. So that is something to keep in mind. Even if you like the matchup and you think the Chief's defense is vulnerable in week one with all the weapons that the Browns have, keep that in mind and you're thinking about streaming Baker Mayfield this week. I'm not comfortable with it. He's an eyeball test thing this year. Agreed.

37:23 ↗

I'm also not comfortable, and I think this is the biggest question in this game, is what do you do with O'Dell Beckham Jr.? I know I've not been a big O'Dell Beckham Jr. believer, but there's also the fact that I'm not 100% sure that he's just fully healthy.

37:37 ↗

It's possible he is ready to go and that his limited nature is just part of resting a veteran who doesn't need to do this coming off of the ACL. But it's also possible that he's just not 100% yet. And he was drafted and he's got the name recognition where a lot of people are going to be playing him. And I think that there are probably other options. You know, I'd rather play Cory Davis, for instance, or Juju. Yeah, but what about when you go a tier down?

38:05 ↗

A tier down? Well, it's okay. Like Marvin Jones. Would you play Marvin Jones over O'Dell Beckham? I think this is one of the nuances of fantasy. So I have to, like I had Mike Evans last night. Okay. My opponent had Tom Brady. So you need to swing for the fences. So I'm swinging for the fences with Beckham. Because I don't want to play somebody that's just going to be potentially a middle of the road.

38:31 ↗

I'm going to play somebody in a mattob where they're going to need to score a lot and hope that somehow some way you catch a couple of touchdown passes and Beckham breaks a long play. So it is contextual. That's what these decisions are. And it's just one player, but he is a superstar. And as of an hour ago, Tyron Matthew was still in the COVID protocol. Good to know. He may be out this weekend. Yeah, they were chiefs were number two.

38:57 ↗

in the NFL against fantasy wide receivers last year. So it was not a great matchup for them. They only gave up 25 combined points across all the wide receivers per game that they played. So Clyde Chub, you're playing them. You're drafted them to play them. Mike loves Kareem Hunt this week to start of the week, probably because they are not favored and they're going to need some help against that pass rush. Exactly why. And then Tyree killed, yeah, you're going to play him. What about Travis Kelsey? Kelsey, I'm thinking about it. I think so. I think so.

39:26 ↗

It just depends on what your options are. Please play him. McCall Hardman, he's a desperation play in this game. Yeah. Him and Robinson will both be other secondary options for Patrick Mahomes when he can't pass it to his primaries. Yeah, I mean, obviously last year, we got the Sammy Watkins week one game that surprised everybody. So that could happen, but I feel like...

39:55 ↗

There are so many flyers I would rather take a shot on. I would rather put Henry Ruggs in my lineup than Amico Hardman. Now, Jarvis Landry is not a name that I think was uttered more than two times during the off season on this podcast. Is that because you say it three times he shows up? I wish I'd party with Jarvis. Heck yeah, man. Bless him. Bless him, yeah. It was not a good fantasy football season for him.

40:24 ↗

last year. However, in that stretch of games where Baker Mayfield was solid at the end of the season, where it looked like the Stefansky offense was clicking in for the passing game for him. Now I know Odo Beckham was long gone with the ACL injury, but you had three out of four weeks where he was a top 15 option. Are we overlooking?

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