The Fantasy MVP Episode! - Fantasy Football Podcast for 9/4

to go compete with Jameson Williams for those targets. That's why you get more variability there. I think Alec Pierce is going to wake people up to the type of player he is in a fantasy environment. We looked at every 1,000-yard receiver and where they went the next year in drafts historically. Over the last five years, the only 1,000-yard receiver drafted later than Pierce, we saw a 34-year-old Adam Thielen and a 32-year-old...

The Andre Hopkins. Oh, Adam. I've been gone for so long. And then we saw a 33-year-old Stefan Diggs. Thank you for remembering me. And it traded Wondell Robinson because one day I had a thousand last year and he's not going high this year. Otherwise, Pierce is literally, statistically, the cheapest thousand-yard receiver. And he's not 33, 32, 34 years old. He's going into the prime of his career. And so I don't think, I mean, this is the wide receiver 23 being drafted in the ninth round right now.

Who is practicing and going to play in week one? Does he have a fast start? I don't know. Is Daniel Jones an MVP? He was for the first seven weeks last year, and then he was injured. So there are questions, but there's margin for all error for this pick to still be a home run for your fantasy team. I think Alec Pierce belongs in the Jameson Williams category area of drafts, but he's being drafted in the eighth or ninth round. And let me give you a little spoiler alert.

That's where he'll go this weekend. Guaranteed. He's not going anywhere else. No. I've been wanting, you know, the injury slowed up my ability to really get behind him because we just didn't know how available he'd be. To me, this is just crazy. Last year with Michael Pittman, he was a B inconsistency. So this whole talk of like, he only does one thing. No, he wasn't doing one thing. He exceeded 10 and a half fantasy points, 53% of the time. That beat Devante Smith. That beat Jefferson. That beat Jaylon Waddle last year.

There's a reason they paid him $114 million. And if the Colts didn't do it, he was getting it somewhere else. He was going to be the best free agent on the market. So to me, this was a commitment to him. And I look at that depth chart and I say, well, who else is catching the ball in high value, important plays? I mean, he's proven he can score touchdowns. Last year, he's based 1,200 yards and nine touchdowns with Michael Pittman. I don't know. I'm all in.

I think the cost is wonderful. The ankle injury that's kept them off. I mean, this is buying the injury dip, which I don't usually like. But statistically, when we talk about that, we're talking about the higher drafted players that drop a round or two. When you're this low and you're in the eighth or ninth round, I'm looking at ADP and some of the guys who's going around. Cortland Sutton? No, thank you. Like what is the upside case? Right. Because when you're drafting this late, that's the only thing you need to worry about. If it doesn't work out for.

for Cortland Sutton or Alec Pierce or anyone in that range, it doesn't matter. It didn't cost you that much. You're just drafting like, what if it does work out? And obviously, the best case scenario for Alec Pierce would be that he, you know, really does become the possession guy, the number one for a good offense. And that's in his range of outcomes. So, you know, I was not having a lot of love for Alec Pierce most of the offseason. I assumed he would be back healthier earlier.

be higher in ADP. You're right, Andy, this weekend he's going to stay right where he's at behind tons of other players. This episode isn't going to move him quick enough. And yeah, he's definitely worth taking a shot there. Looking at mine and Andy's fantasy MVP, I think what we did was we took my guys that we just were like, uh, yeah.

There's just a little bit too much going on for me to go full my guy with this player, but I love them because we think they are difference makers. I'm going with the running back from Jacksonville, Bayshall Tooting going as the running back 26. And I've been the, I've been the bull case for Bayshall Tootin on the show. And yet even if you guys, you aren't where I am, we're still above market.

with where we are with Bayshalt-Tudan. I'm seeing a running back 26 ADP on Sleeper. Our consensus has them as the running back 21. I love Liam Cohen. I love the Jaguars offense. I took them in there our top 12 offenses draft. I think they're going to be extremely high-powered. I will start it with the, I am accepting the risk. When you draft Tutin, it's an ambiguous backfield for a reason. You don't 100% know.

how things are going to shake out. What I do know is that we have, you know, essentially two strong years of Liam Cohen data when he was the O.C. for Tampa Bay, where Bucky Irving had over 200 carries and 52 targets. And I can say, you know, what else happened on that team? Rashad White had 144 carries and 57 targets. Now, the Jags are not, it's a different offense than the bucks. The

just dripping with wide receiver depth. But my point is, there's a lot to go around in a Liam Cohen offense. While Bucky, we looked at him, he was the clear leader. Rashad White was still getting plenty of opportunity. And I'm bringing that up of the Bayshall-Tooten versus Krodd. Who is going to be the guy? I don't know 100%, but I'm putting my bet on Tutin, the guy who was there last. You're betting on the talent of the player. Absolutely. And the guy who was there last year. And I bring that up because like,

Bucky Irving, you know, two years ago, that's workhorse numbers. Travis A. Chan Jr. was a true workhorse for Jacksonville last year. So if Tootin can get that, he's going to be incredible. Like the early down roll, I think that's easy. That's for Tootin. It comes down to the goal line and the past catching opportunities, which we have LeQuint Allen reportedly going to work in on some third downs, but he has been banged up. In Bayshaw Tootin's profile and Virginia Tech,

12% of Virginia Tech's receptions, and the threshold we want from our RB1s from college to pro is 11%. We saw that from Tutin. His athletic measuring is truly off the charts. And if he gets goal line, which you're like, that makes sense to think, okay, well, it's going to be crawled. Bachel Tutin was awesome at it. Last year, 25% of Tutton's carries were short yardage.

where you needed three or fewer yards for a first down or you're trying to get a touchdown. That led to destroying his yards per carry down at 3.7. But I've brought this up before. He was fifth among all running backs in rush success rate, meaning whatever the yards that they need on that down, he was coming through. He was getting them. Even if it's not over four a carry, he's getting exactly what the team needs.

Last year, seven, five zone carries turned into five zone touchdowns, five of them. Like he was extremely good at it. Him and Crod were both good at it, weren't they? Yes. Where H.N. Jr. last year was, he was not good at the goal line. Tuton was high-powered offense. It's ambiguous. I really don't mind people taking shots at Crodd. I took him in the mock draft yesterday of just sometimes you got a hedge.

But I really, really do think that it's going to end up being Bayshalt-Tooten as the main guy and the speed that I mentioned. Like this is a player who can, you can rip off 60-yard touchdowns when you are Bayshall-Tooten fast. So I love him. I love Jacksonville. I love this offense. And I want to take some gambles on ending up with their starting running back. So what are we doing for the rest of the show, guys? Are we wrapping things up? All right.

That is going to do it. That was a very open discussion about the progress of the show. Well, I looked, we had another segment. I was hoping Jason, because I sound like this, I was hoping Jason was going to jump in for a second and talk about basal tube. As was I. But then he just left you. Well, look, my bold prediction is that the Jaguar picks are going to. That's true. It's just going to be too. Well, you didn't want to poop on it. Yeah, I don't. Look, I get the upside case, everything you laid out. Right. It's there. If he hits, he could be in that league winner.

type of category. A lot of mouths to feed in Jacksonville. So hopefully Leon Cohen can consolidate and make it just Parker, Washington, and Tutin. Do that for us. So that's going to do it for today's episode. Hey, if you're in the comments, go ahead, leave your fantasy MVP. Try and claim some glory for yourself. No show on Monday. It is Labor Day. But then next week, ladies and gentlemen, it's go time. We will see you then. Goodbye. The Megalabole.

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