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Main show · November 9, 2018

Week 10 Matchups, In-or-Out, Capes & Shadows

RSSNov 9, 2018 · transcript indexed
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Week 10 Matchups, In-or-Out, Capes & Shadows

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Inside the episode

137 passages
27:32 ↗

They need at least a Gruden to break even here. 49 and a half point over under. Look, the Chargers and Raiders, this is going to be a rough one on Oakland. The Chargers are a good, good team. They need this win. What else are, what do you expect in this game? You're starting Rivers, you're starting Gordon, you're starting Allen. Can you flex Echler? He had an underwhelming performance last week.

28:02 ↗

Mike Williams, Tyrell Williams? Yeah, I think you can. I mean, Tyrol is just like starting Deshaun Jackson to me. Like they're the exact same tier of fantasy player for me. Really? Yeah. Okay. I mean, I see that they have a same style. Like Sean Jackson, Jackson has hit more this season, but we're also, don't let the first four games of.

28:30 ↗

insane massive success for Deshaun Jackson alter who he actually is. In the past four weeks, he's 32 yards this past week, 25, three weeks ago. I mean, the hit or miss nature of Deshaun Jackson is still there. He's not a surefire candidate, even with the Fitzmagic throwing him in the ball. Okay. Mike just sent me a picture of a Barbara cape. Yeah. What's it called? It's called a cape. Yeah. However.

28:59 ↗

From the picture, I am now convinced that everybody at Hogwarts is getting their haircut. But they just have to turn it around. That's the thing is it goes in the front, doesn't it? Well, it covers your... That's what makes it a bib. Look, it covers your whole body, but you realize that Batman can take his cape and cover his whole body. He's always ready for a little snip. Does a magician wear a cape? Yes. Because, I mean, those cover the whole body, too. Yes. All right. Consensus. It's a cape. Darkwing duck. I mean... Yeah, cape. Let's get dangerous.

29:29 ↗

Let's get dangerous and talk about the Raiders. All right. Is Jalen Richard the preferred running back play based on game flow? Seventh most running back target, 6.1 a game. Ten point dog says that Jalen Richard is the play at the running back position for the Raiders. His numbers, when he's actually catching receptions, it's crazy because like about 90 plus percent of his receptions are when they are trailing. Not that they're ever, I guess.

29:58 ↗

Yeah. Winning games. 90% of their snaps as a team are also. If he catches the ball and three minutes have come off of the game clock, they're probably trailing. It's not been pretty. No. Who else can you start? So I think Jalen Richard Schardt is a fine play. Who else can you start? Cook. Okay. I'll still start Jared Cook. But like, Jordy Nelson, Martinez, Brandon Lafell. No, no, no, no. Someone could catch the ball. Yes. Would you be willing to gamble on any of them? No.

30:29 ↗

Agreed. Love Michael Key. Moving on. The seven and two Patriots take on the four and four Titans. Titans are six and a half point home underdogs in this one, 46.5 point over under. And the question on everybody's mind beyond whether Rob Gruncowski is going to play to me is whether Josh Gordon is going to continue ascending as a fantasy asset. Mike, you made him your start of the week this week. I love it. Yep. I love Josh Gordon this week. A Malcolm Butler's disintegration effort?

30:59 ↗

Yes. I don't expect Butler will shadow him. But yeah, no, Bill Belichick's going to try and Thanos this matchup and say, yeah, there was a reason we didn't let you play in the Super Bowl. And there's a reason that we cut you. And so it won't shock me to see Josh Gordon. They're turning the lights on on that shadow. And it's going to go, poof, what shadow? Yes. There's nothing here, but Josh Gordon. Josh Gordon's a very confused. Yeah, but I try to see a shadow in the light. It's impossible.

31:28 ↗

It's actually harder to see a shadow in the dark. Everything is shadow in the dark. You need a light source to make a shadow. Correct. If you shine a light on a shadow. Quick question of the day, do you know what a shadow is? I believe so. It's actually the absence of light. That's the point. We have derailed here. I don't know what's happening. Back to the conversation. I don't just love Josh Gordon. I like just.

31:57 ↗

the Patriots as a whole in this one, especially the past catchers. The Titans defense, they're a little mysterious because in terms of fantasy points allowed to the quarterback, running back in the tight end, they're top six in all of those except wide receivers. They are 25th best.

32:19 ↗

found a way, and really genuinely, they have found a way to make games. It's a funnel defense. To make games really ugly. I mean, Tennessee all season long has found a way to just, you know, there's always, there's never been these great awesome offensive back and forth performances. And I think their defense does get it done. Like you said, the wide receivers, they've given it up there. And so that's why I think Josh Gordon's a great play. I'm not.

32:47 ↗

As sold on the running backs, James White now Sony Michelle is going to be back? How much is Sony Michelle, if he's back? How much is he used? Cordarol will probably get a few reps there too. Right, but he's not startable. He's only there to hurt the value of White and Sony. So are you concerned about James White? Because he is smash for me. Yeah, I mean, no, he's not smashed for me. But I'm not going to not start him. James White is a different type of running back that.

33:16 ↗

He's just force-fed so many passes. I don't worry about him. I don't really worry about him either. I'm not downgrading him. I do think it'll be an interesting game because, you know, Brady's been on fire. Did anybody realize that this is a rematch from the AFC divisional game last year? That's insane. Oh, no, I did not remember that. Patriots are going to win this game. It's just a matter of how they go about doing it.

33:46 ↗

I can see, look, if Sonny Michelle's out there, you're going to reduce total opportunity for James White. You'd play Sunday Michelle? I'll play both. In first game back. Yes. Okay. Rex Burkett. Do you remember him? Of course I remember Rex Burkhead. He returned to practice on Thursday. Oh, sexy, Rex. He is going to return. He's not eligible to play until week 13, but I asked Mike this in the studio yesterday. Is Rex Burkhead prepared to?

34:12 ↗

Look, he already ruined the beginning of your season, Mike. He did. Is he there to ruin the end for James White and Sony Michelle? More. Because Patriots, they don't care about your fantasy team. Right. They care about winning. More Sony Michelle concerns than James White at this point. Yeah, I mean, would you, if Sony Michelle comes back has a great game and your trade deadline is coming up next week, would you be willing to pivot?

34:41 ↗

from Sony in worries that this might be a three-headed committee when the playoffs come, and all of a sudden, you know, we had the playoff matchup this week. Not me. I do not think that Rex Burkhead returning. Look, I think what Belichick wants to do is he wants to run Sony. He wants to run Sony early, often. He wants somebody that he's going to consistently be able to have, get chunk yard. It's a difference of talent.

35:06 ↗

I don't think Rex Burkhead coming back in week 13 is going to be able to chunk yardage the way that Sony Michelle is, and that's all that matters to me. Oh, say the only thing that matters to me for Rex Burkhead and Sony Michelle is dedication at the goal line. Because Sony doesn't, he's not catching passes right now in this offense. He can do it, but they're only using James White in that role. So if Sony Michelle ends up splitting goal line work, then you're going to get games of where maybe he has 20 carries and 90 yards.

35:36 ↗

But if he doesn't score, then you're like, oh, crap. And I'm not concerned about Rex taking that work from him. Okay. I'm not. Does your bullishness on any of the wide receivers change of Rob Gunkowski is active? No. No. Okay. Now, the Titan side of the ball. Yeah, that's where I was going to. The Titan side, Marcus Mariotta was my stream of the week. He's the consensus QB20. So not a lot is expected from him. But last week, it was pretty good from Marcus Marietta, and he ran the ball 10 times.

36:05 ↗

Game Script says they're going to have to figure out a way to get back in this game through the air. That could be a lot of screen passes to Dionne Lewis. Deon Lewis, 138.5 total yards in the last two games. Jason, you like Dionne Lewis a lot.

36:18 ↗

I do like Dionne Lewis a lot. Now, this isn't the perfect matchup for him, although it is a revenge game. Revenge for what? Giving him a new career? Trading, taking him away from Cleveland and giving him a life. A revenge game for making him go from the Patriots to the Titans, Andy. If I were him, I would thank the Patriots for what they did for me by taking a knee on every handoff. So.

36:43 ↗

Dionne Lewis, the reason I... That's his fifth consecutive knee. What's happening? He keeps tipping his cap to Bill Belichick for taking him out of Cleveland. The reason that I like Dionne Lewis is not in the matchup or this week specifically. It's because coming out of the by week, the Titans said we're through with the Derek Henry experiment. You can be in on the goal line situation or the fourth and one. Otherwise... Even then. I don't know why.

37:08 ↗

I don't know why you're putting him in there. Seriously. Well, and they didn't always. Dion got some goal line work, but Dionne Lewis has just been the last two weeks, and especially after their by week this past week, he is the guy. And there's not many of those, you know, full three-down backs in the league. And all of a sudden, Dionne Lewis looks like he might be one. So that's why I am pretty high on Dionne Lewis.

37:32 ↗

going forward. Can you flex Corey Davis, fourth highest target share in the league that is equated to almost nothing in fantasy points? And if you can't flex him now, can you release him? Uh, you can, he's my wide receiver 28. So I guess that is flex. That's a flex. Uh, he will be shadowed by Gilmore and for a DB for New England. And Gilmore has been incredible. And I.

37:59 ↗

don't want to flex Cory Davis, but I don't want to drop him. You guys realize they moved Gilmore over to MVS last week? Yeah, during the game. They shifted him over to Marquez Valdez after the two big catches. So yeah, they used him to shut somebody down. Yes. The dolphins at 5 and 4 take on the 3-4-1 Packers. The Packers are 9.5 point home favorites at Lambo, 47.5 point over under. The Dolphins have a winning record.

38:28 ↗

That is... Who is... Who's worse? The Dolphins are the Redskins? Great question. The Dolphins. That's where I lean as well. Okay. Well, they're going to get beat this week. The Packers at home, I think they take care of the Dolphins. So where do you find fantasy value on that Dolphins roster? It has been a struggle all year long to be able to say any name with any confidence. Kenyon Drake, Frank Gore, Kenny Stills, DeMonte Parker, different names every week.

38:56 ↗

I think I'm binching just about every one of them. Kenyon Drake has, the reason he's been disappointing is not him. It's been the coach. It's been the usage. I mean, because when he's, his efficiency is fantastic. But, you know, last week you got three carries. That's not going to get it done. But if you look at his involvement in the passing game, I mean, going back the last, you know, half of the season, seven receptions four, four to four, two, four. He is the guy to be.

39:25 ↗

Getting involved in the passing game, if they're down to the Packers, I think Kenyon Drake, you can start them this week. Yeah, Drake, to me, is the type of player that if you've held on this long, you haven't moved him, you didn't drop him at the beginning of the season. You just got to play him every single week because you can't project when Kenyon Drake's actually going to have his bigger games. You've got to take the good and the bad. So, Graham Barfield, I retweeted this yesterday.

39:56 ↗

switching to the Packer side, the more interesting side, the side I care about in this matchup, he tweeted out this about Aaron Jones. Among running backs with at least 125 carries over the last two years, Aaron Jones is first in yards per carry, first in yards gained after a defender closes, first in rushing gains of 10 plus yards, first in success rate, second and first down rate. All that is very neat and special, but you can't translate tweets into fantasy points yet. I'm working on it.

40:26 ↗

But Aaron Jones needs the ball for that to translate. It was the highest carries of the season. I agree. And I've said it all year. It's coming. Is it coming this week? Yeah. Oh, the ghost is in your throat. It is coming this week. It's the shame of Aaron Jones denial.

40:49 ↗

Yeah. Enphysemic man hiding in a corner that just looked up and said, yes, it's coming. Yeah. I'm afraid to play Aaron Jones this week because he's a guy that has not always done it, but I'm playing him. Because, I mean, he's eight in my rankings. He's an RB1. There's no situation. There's no situation based on this game script, what he's been doing, his utilization, where.

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