Good Vibes/Bad Vibes + Preseason Takeaways, Conk Conk! - Fantasy Football Podcast for 8/30

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I will throw out another name for the dynasty. Ooh, Dynasty Waiverwire? Yeah, I mean, Tyson Williams. Yes. We don't know if it's Justice Hill or Tyson Williams. So the beat reporter is making it sound like it'll be Tyson Williams. Okay. So that's a backup for Gus Edwards in Baltimore, just in case, right? Yes, absolutely. Now, Mike, who was your bad vibes that stood out?

I wanted, for me, it's the lions. And I don't think that's breaking news to people. They started bad and they kept right on going. Yeah, like they really never turned it around in the offseason. And then you have, I mean, one of your big acquisitions was Breschard Perriman. You're like, uh, whoops, enjoy your money, Prashad. We'd rather have you not on this team. And D'Andre Swift is, what do you do?

with this player. High draft capital pick just a year ago. It broke out in the second half of the season. Great player, but in such a bad situation, and now he is going into the season with a groin injury. And the quote from head coach Dan Campbell was, was Swift concerns me a little bit just with getting his win back and being able to take a load. How much can he? Where is he at? We don't know if DeAndo Swift is going to play week one. We don't. If he does, can you?

really play him with confidence, and this is a player that you're drafting in the top half of your draft. And you have him talking about using Jamal Williams and Swift as an Alvin Camara and Mark Ingram combination. It's really hard to get a beat on what fantasy value is DeAndre Swift really going to bring to the table. And it's...

Bad vibes right now. Week one, I would rather, if they're both active, I would rather start Jamal Williams over D'Andre Swift because when you- And it's against San Francisco. Yeah, it's not the best matchup. No. Hawkinson, while I've been talking him up, I absolutely think he's going to break out. I made a trade for him last night in the draft. He's dealing with his own, you know, shoulder injury. The reports there have been better that he's going to be ready week one, no problem. But the vibes are.

Oh, man. They are not good in Detroit. Ambiguity on a team that doesn't necessarily have upside is not exciting for fantasy. Right. I mean, competing to pick which Lions running back you can have for the last 20 years has been painful. So it doesn't matter who's there. There's still the, okay, now you have deaf. Even if you knew, you would still have some questions, right, about what this offense is going to look like.

And, you know, even their rookie. Yeah, Sewell. Everyone was banging the drum. The Bengals should have drafted Sewell. They've ruined their offensive line by going Jamar Chase. And Sewell, to his credit, he's playing out a position right now over at right tackle. Ewell. But, yeah, Eul, it's not been a smooth transition to the NFL. Outmatched right now. Yeah. So let's make it positive now. Yeah. Let's look at some good vibes.

What's going on right now that makes you excited as we head into the 2021 season, Mr. Moore? It was the flip side of a bad vibe. Look, if you're not running the ball at all in Buffalo, you're throwing it. So the passing attack for the bills is outstanding. You know, there is at least analytically reason to question last year's Buffalo Bills.

The fact that Josh Allen went up like 20% on his, you know, completion of percentage. Was this an outlier? The fact that they couldn't get the running game going, was that something they wanted to fix and get back to a more balanced offense? And the vibes from the preseason to me say complete 100% confidence in the passing game for the bills in Josh Allen, in Diggs, in...

There are other options as well. And Gabriel Davis, he was an off-season hype machine where then they brought in Emmanuel Sanders, and it really seemed like, well, Gabe Davis is going to take a back seat, but he's been very good. And Emmanuel Sanders has been dealing with a foot injury. So when I look at this whole passing attack, I want pieces. I'm fine with it. I think Cole Beasley is an exceptional value in drafts right now.

He's fallen so far. Now, in our draft, Jason, last night, our round two, which is there's a three-keeper league, so it's not round two, more like a round five. You traded away Josh Allen, correct? Correct. You had him as one of your keepers heading into the draft. You traded him essentially straight up for T.J. Hawkinson. Do you regret that trade at all?

I don't regret it. I was able to get Jalen Hertz later. The one thing that made me super sad. My plan was to get Dak and stack him with Amari Cooper. He went one pick before me later. But then way later in the draft, I got Hertz. I was capital starved, and I didn't want that much capital in a quarterback position when I can find someone late and add a different position. So has your good vibes change? We have our listener league draft. You know, it's just a full redraft situation. Has the good vibes?

on the bills elevated Josh Allen to a place where you're like, that ADP doesn't look so. Yes. Yes. I think that. It's a little juicier. Yeah, I think where Josh Allen is going is appropriate in most leagues right now. I think that it's interesting specifically with Diggs and Hopkins this year, whether they can sustain the volume and target share that they had last year. Obviously, talent-wise they can.

Both teams have some interesting pieces around them now. Arizona drafted Rondale Moore. They have A.J. Green in the offense. And you have, obviously, Chase Simmons is going to get more work than he had last year. And then with the bills, I mean, you brought it up. Gabriel Davis going into year two. Emmanuel Sanders was a part of the offense in their first quarter the other day. And so it's good for Kyler and it's good for Josh Allen, but I'm curious about those two.

because they had so many targets last year. So my good vibes, it's all around the 49ers rushing attack with Rahim Mostert and Trey Sermon, both of who I think will be extremely valuable this season. I mean, we saw a little bit of a taste test on the rotational quarterback situation, something we didn't bring up in the news because I knew it was coming up here where...

Jimmy Garapolo was out there, and then you brought in, you know, you brought in Trey Lance with the starters, and then you ran, I mean, they ran this play where it was a read option, and the defense bit on Trey Lance, and then Rahim Moster with his league winning speed took the outside for 12 yards, and it was like, I think he ran for 7.5 a clip on seven carries yesterday. They rushed for 242 yards and four touchdowns in the preseason game, which, again, it's just preseason, but.

You know what isn't? The last two years where they were second and fourth in running back fantasy points. This is a team where independent of the Trey Lance variable, the 49ers deliver fantasy points automatically with Kyle Shanahan. And Moster looks electric again. Sermon has looked great. And Trey Lance is going to unlock more opportunities for them. Whether he's rotated in and there's 10 plays where the running backs have an advantage.

or he becomes the starter because he's just too hard to keep off the field, you're going to have some real opportunities for both players. I will not be shocked if Trey Sermon is a flex-worthy player from week two on, and Mosterd, if he stays healthy, is going to blow people's minds. He went so late. I traded up for him yesterday. I know people know that I'm a sympathizer or a lover of Moster, but I don't see how this team, if those guys are out there and Trey Lanz is out there,

destroy compared to their average draft position. I think they're being drafted back of the sixth, back of the seventh. Could you imagine trying to be a defensive coordinator against this offense? You don't know what the quarterback is. On every play, you have to game plan against the read options. Like I just, I mean, Jimmy Garoppolo ended up with a rushing touchdown, which was hysterical to me in the sense. It's just like you can't.

Guard, it's like this crazy horizontal. Yeah, you have two other running backs. Debo and Iyuk. I feel like you need all your guys on the line of scrimmage, but then you definitely don't want to do that either. And then Kittles running the middle of the field. Right. I mean, you guys, we were fantasy players. So remember when Robert Griffin the third showed up in the league and annihilated people with the read option? Yep. Who was his offensive coordinator? Kyle Shannon. And who was his running back? Alfred Morris, who had like,

Who was awesome. A thousand million yards that year. Yeah, that was the number. He was the waiver guy. He was the hot waiver pickup of that year. Didn't he have like 1,600 rushing yards or something? I don't think it was that high, but it was, I mean, he was a league winning waiver pickup. Oh, no, you were correct. 1600 rushing yards. That's the number that jumped out of. It was 1,600. Yeah, I'm telling you, like, I know injury is something fair to be concerned about with all 49ers, but don't miss out.

injury is a risk, but in the seventh round, it's a risk you can take. Yeah. So I am, I was encouraged. The back injury talk of Rahim Mosterd seemed, I don't know if you got a back injury, you probably don't play in preseason game three and you probably don't run for seven and a half a clip. And speaking of seventh round running backs, that's where my good vibes are on. They're on Damien Harris running back for the New England Patriots. They traded away Sony Michelle, who was.

going to eat into Damien Harris's market share for sure. And what did we see of the preseason? But he took every snap on first and second down with the starters. I'm not proclaiming Damian Harris is a three-down running back. James White is the third down running back for the Patriots. But that's fine for a running back you're taking in the seventh round. ADPY is off a sleeper right now in half-point PPR. Damien Harris is running back 31. That's behind Ronald Jones.

who is also a two-down running back, but he has far more competition with Leonard Fournette. Melvin Gordon, Giovante Williams, like, who is, who, does Melvin Gordon carry value the entire season? No, does Giovante? No, it's going to take some time. James, even James Robinson, who became, uh, he, he stole the spotlight back after the unfortunate injury to Travis ETN, but look at the snap count with Carlos Hyde and James Robinson. They're,

They were both on the field a ton with Trevor Lawrence, and they're an actual bad team where the New England Patriots, they could be a 500. Will it shock people if the Patriots are over 500 this year? No. So I'd rather have a running back on a winning team. And Damien Harris, this isn't just.