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Main show · November 24, 2021

MEGALODON Episode - Week 12 Matchups, Starts, Turkey Day Awards & More! - Fantasy Football Podcast for 11/24

RSSNov 24, 2021 · transcript indexed
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MEGALODON Episode - Week 12 Matchups, Starts, Turkey Day Awards & More! - Fantasy Football Podcast for 11/24

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Inside the episode

293 passages
69:57 ↗

the potential low scoring game. Is it mixing Jamar Chase's end of list? It is for me. I was going to say the Joe Burrow, I don't really want to play him in this matchup with, you know.

70:12 ↗

Minka back and T.J. Watt coming back. He's throwing interceptions in five straight games. And I get, he had the, you know, the strong game. I did not throw in last game, but before that. The strong game against Pittsburgh in week three because he threw a touchdown on 16.7% of his attempts. Those numbers were not sustainable. That is called an impossible number to replicate. And there's just, there's other streaming options that I would rather play.

70:42 ↗

Big Ben put up his first top 10 performance as a quarterback since last year. Okay. Number nine. And, you know, you saw Chase Claypool come back earlier than people expected. He was very useful in fantasy, nine targets. And Deonti Johnson is amazing. So facing this defense that ranks six against wide receivers, are you confident playing Claypool this week?

71:09 ↗

Or would you try to find another option? I'm not confident playing Claypool. He had a very good game last week, but obviously we've seen several poor games, and the wide receivers have not been getting it done in general against Cincinnati. So I am, you know, he is someone that you can start, but if there's other good options, I would. Emmanuel Sanders. I would rather go Emmanuel Sanders. Cortland Sutton. Claypool. Claypool. Cadarius Tony. Tony. Claypool. Claypool.

71:39 ↗

All right, Pat Fryer Muth, we talked about it before. Getting Luth. The Mewth is Luth. We'll make that T-shirt so you can proudly dance around screaming that. But would you play Friar Muth or Dawson Knox after the return from injury went six for 80? I'd go Dawson. It's a solid match up here. The Bengals on the season, look pretty good against the tight end, but over the last six weeks.

72:08 ↗

30th, allowing nearly 14 points per game. And Dawson Knox was back to fully integrated into the offense. Najee Harris has accounted for 32% of Pittsburgh scrimmage yards, according to Field Yates. The second most in the NFL, you always play him. But is that it? I mean, do we have any other thought? Would you stream Big Ben in this matchup? No, no, I'm not streaming Big Ben. I'm not playing Joe Burrow. The only other question to me is T. Higgins, who.

72:38 ↗

obviously had a terrible game, but I still think, you know, he's a fine enough option in the realm of, you know, if you're looking at Claypool and you're looking at Hunter Redfro and Higgins, I think I would put him at the back of that list, but he's in that category to me. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers at 7 and 3 take on the surging Indianapolis Colts, who are 6 and 5.

73:04 ↗

The games in Indianapolis, the Buccaneers are three and a half point road favorites. The Titans are at eight wins? They are at eight and three, I believe. Okay. Colts could easily win this division. A couple weeks ago, it was impossible that anyone was going to catch the Titans. The overrunner is 51.5. We were talking in the office this past week with, you know, the MVP frontrunner before last week was Josh Allen. I think it's Brady right now. But, you know, Kyler's missed three games. He used to be a frontrunner.

73:34 ↗

DAC has had some off games. It's fair, in my opinion. It won't go this way. It'll go to a quarterback, I'm sure. But Jonathan Taylor deserves consideration, and he deserves votes. And right now, there aren't even enough superlatives to describe his impact on this offense and the way it changes. I mean, they're surging because he's dominating week in a week out on the level of a Derek Henry being the identity of the Titans. So.

73:59 ↗

The Colts got off to a poor start to the season, 0 and 3. Did you know that since that time, they've only lost twice, and both of those losses were overtime losses to the Tennessee Titans and the Ravens? So six and two and two overtime losses to the Titans and Ravens. Yeah. They're two overtime losses away from being eight in a row. When you say surgeon, you're not lying. And you know. You're talking surgeon general. You know what I'm saying?

74:28 ↗

No, no. I switched up the surgeon to a surgeon. Because you're into doctors right now. That's right. With the Schultz and stuff. We didn't react because it was so interesting. Yeah. No, I hear you. This matchup should be fun. The over under is 51.5 points. So Tampa Bay has played in three games on the road with 50 plus totals this year. They did not cover in any of them. Tom Brady leads all.

74:59 ↗

NFL passers and passing touchdowns and yards per game. Okay. Indianapolis on the year allowing the highest pass success rate in the NFL, they have improved. If you look at quarterback performances against them over the last six weeks, their middle of the pack, they were almost dead last over the course of the year. To make a move that big, that means they've been better than, you know, a lot of teams recently. And against some good competition, they shut down Josh Allen when you can control the game.

75:27 ↗

With Jonathan Taylor, your defense gets a boost just from rest throughout the game if your offense can stay on the field. So this one is a really, really exciting game, two explosive offenses that could really disappoint because when you're going up against Tom Brady, you really need to control the clock, and they can with Jonathan Taylor. Any Carson Wentz, not really.

75:56 ↗

wanting to play him. I think I would play him over Burrow. Sure. But I'm not like, I'm not super flexing. But we're not playing either of them unless it's a super flex. Yeah. Tampa Bay's defense, 10th against quarterbacks, 10th against running backs, first against wide receivers over the last six weeks. So they have definitely stepped it up, found a way to scheme, overcome injury in the secondary. They have, but I'm looking at their schedule because it was, you know, at the beginning of the season, it will.

76:25 ↗

After the first three weeks, it looked like you were going to be able to throw on them, no problem. You'll have to keep up. You cannot run on Tampa Bay. So the way you keep up is through the air. But here are there, you know, starting most recent going backwards. Giants. You're not really scared of the Giants throwing on you. Washington. Eh, but you're not really scared. The Saints. Chicago, Philadelphia, Miami, Patriots. Like, those are.

76:52 ↗

They're not impressive. That is a lineup of teams that your defense would want to play against in terms of the passing offense. No one is really inspiring massive confidence there. So the numbers could be a little bit inflated for the Buccaneers defense against. I think all that is to say that Michael Pittman, don't be afraid of him. Don't worry about the recent stretch. Michael Pittman should be started. I think he's a – Really? Oh, yeah. I think he'll have a fine game.

77:21 ↗

Last week, two, four, 23, the week before, five for 71. So take that for what you will. I think you probably have to keep playing him. T.Y. Hilton, don't think about it. And on the other side of the ball, Tom Brady, he's a great start. Leonard Fournette. You have to adjust your expectations. For Brady or for Fournet? For four net. Because of the way the defense has been playing. Yeah, I mean, he catches enough passes that he should be okay. I think I saw a stat recently. Could be trouble with.

77:52 ↗

Like, Fournet is, I think, top five in running back targets. Oh, yeah, he definitely. It's outrageous. He has, he has 54 targets through 11, through 10 games. Yeah, he's been. One short. And he did that, he did that for Jacksonville two years ago. Yeah. Where he surprised everybody and caught a billion passes. Ronald Jones is just a stash at this point in case Fournette goes out. Correct. Evans and Godwin are in your lineup. Antonio Brown was not spotted at practice. I watched the press.

78:20 ↗

release from Bruce Ariens this week talking about the injuries to this team and he said he's making progress you know but it's it was tepid at best did not indicate he would be back this week and if it's any indication on Gruncowski and stuff like I think they're just going to wait for him to get right yeah and then bring him back and they're playing for a Super Bowl exactly so for fantasy players you do have three more weeks before fantasy playoffs so there is the chance that Brown gets back far from a guarantee

78:48 ↗

but he could help you in the fancy playoffs. I'm curious, Andy. This game, it's Indianapolis, Buccaneers 3 and a half. Which way would you go on that line? Yeah, I did go through my picks this morning, and I took Indian app. No, I took Tampa. I took Tampa. So it's going to be, it should be a fun game. It should be a good game. And we'll see if the Colts can take care of it at home. Do you like the indie side? I think I do like the indie side. Ooh, spicy. Gronk, start of the week, just talked about that.

79:19 ↗

Moving on, the Panthers at 5 and 6, take on the Miami Dolphins who are 4 and 7. The Draft King Sportsbook line here, Panthers minus 2, the overrunners 41 and a half. This is my... Andy's almost upset of the week. It's kind of cheating. I mean, the game line is pretty close to begin with, but I like some of what I'm seeing from Miami in recent weeks. I like what I'm seeing from Tua.

79:53 ↗

I like the fact that the defense has stepped up against the run. And I think at home, I think their defense can do enough to slow Cam Newton down. I mean, Cam lost last week against Washington. So this wasn't like he arrived and he delivered for fantasy. He did not arrive and deliver a victory. It has no impact how Miami's number one against the run in the last six weeks. It doesn't matter with Christian McCaffrey because he's a wide receiver as well. And in the four games since he's returned, he's.

80:22 ↗

went out and been the RB 1, 3, 5, and 5. That being said, I think they're going to slow down the passing game. I think they're going to control the clock, and I think 2 is playing well enough to get it done.

80:34 ↗

I completely agree that Tua is playing well enough to get it done. I wanted to take him as a streamer or a starter, but the matchup, the Panthers defense has been for real. Now, the last six weeks, they have not been as good as they started the season. So this is, like, I'm hopeful for a lot of fantasy relevant pieces in this game. This is obviously the ping pong back to Benching Miles Gaskin. He continues to, I mean, it's absurd the consistency of his. The legend grows. Can I highlight it?

81:02 ↗

Please. So since week four, and I'm going to read you the fantasy finishes for Miles Gaskin, 77, 4. 49, 10. All right. 39. Gross. 15. Okay. 42. Yuck. Nine. All right. Top 10. So Miles Gaskin is. Are you doomed? He's the number nine. Last year in the breakout year for Miles Gaskin, he finished.

81:31 ↗

the 27th best running back in football. Now, you might say, oh, he only played, you know, he came on late to get there. Well, that was, you know, that's true. But this year he's sitting at 19 through 11 weeks. So would you play him or Ty Johnson with Michael Carter missing? Ty Johnson. Really? Yeah, I would not. I'd play Miles Gaskin. Melvin Gordon. Melvin Gordon. Yeah, I'd play Gordon. Damien Harris, I'd play Damien Harris.

81:58 ↗

But last six weeks, Panthers giving up 21 fantasy points to running backs. I'm not going to lean into the red light greenlight situation despite its comedy. I'd still play Gascon. Sure. I think that's fine. But there are a lot of pieces. Jalen Waddle's in. Since week six, he's the wide receiver eight. He's been hyper-targeted. He's hyper-talented. They did say that Devonsi Parker's not ready to come back. Yeah. So keep rolling him. Keep rolling Mike Gisciki.

82:28 ↗

Obviously, we know a goose is in his range of outcome, but he can also get 15 targets in a week and be fine. DJ Moore, Mike, you're start of the week. So there's the last six weeks. I mean, just on the season, the Dolphins 31st against fantasy wide receivers and last six weeks 29th. So matchup is there for him. Just two 20-yard receptions for Robbie Anderson on the entire year, something he used to specialize in. Crazy.

82:58 ↗

I'm not going to put him out there. No. Tennessee, eight and three against the New England Patriots at seven and four. We've already kind of discussed at length this week, the Tennessee offense and what they're facing. This is going to be the Ryan Tannenhill plus Deontiformin plus Nick Westbrook Aquini. If AJ Brown is active, is he back in your lineup against the Patriots? Like bikini? Yeah.

83:28 ↗

That's how you remember it? No, that's what he, that's what he said. Nick Westbrook, Keeney. That's why I was laughing. It's funny. Apologies. There's a lot of names that we sift through. What was the question? AJ Brown. Yeah, I'm playing AJ Brown if he's active. Yeah, I agree that I. 42, 71, 39, the last three weeks. Yeah, I get it. It's not been in. No. You know.

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