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Main show · November 24, 2021

MEGALODON Episode - Week 12 Matchups, Starts, Turkey Day Awards & More! - Fantasy Football Podcast for 11/24

RSSNov 24, 2021 · transcript indexed
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MEGALODON Episode - Week 12 Matchups, Starts, Turkey Day Awards & More! - Fantasy Football Podcast for 11/24

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Inside the episode

293 passages
56:07 ↗

Well, kind of. Tell that's Kirk Cousins last week who put up 303. Their two main pass rushers are gone. Probably will not play this week. So I think without that pass rush pressure getting to Stafford, I think he has a bounce back game. I'm willing to start him. And in his career, he's played a lot of games in Lambo. He has averaged 302 passing yards and 2.1 passing touchdowns per game in that stadium. Interesting. And speaking of fear. Oh, no, Mike.

56:38 ↗

I am calling for the start of the week. Oh, no, I didn't. No. The matchup says it is there. Russell Wilson, who has been just devastating your rosters, killing you on a weekly basis. It's the get right spot. Unlimited. He's taking on the Washington football team, the absolute best matchup for fantasy quarterbacks. You saw it. Cam Newton, essentially off of the street.

57:07 ↗

Comes out, has a great day through the air, a great day on the ground. Chase Young is not there. And look, it's the weapons, D.K. Metcalf and Tyler Lockett will be able to manhandle the Washington Secondary. And even if Russ is not on, I think that these guys can get open enough that a not completely on Russell Wilson will still hit them. And I think he bounces back into the top 10 this week.

57:34 ↗

I get it. I get it. I mean, he should have an awesome game. I've watched him lately. And that's been the thing holding you back. That's been the thing hold me back is Mr. Limited. All right. My start of the week at the running back position, I'm going to go with a Thanksgiving feast for David Montgomery. Taking on Detroit, opposing teams know what to do against Detroit. And when you have Andy Dalton as your quarterback, you know what to do against Detroit, which is to run the ball at the highest rate in the league against them.

58:01 ↗

They've allowed the second most rushing yards, third most fantasy points to running backs. He went for 23, 106, and 2 on the ground for a running back five finish in week five against them. It's going to be, I mean, you'll have first, seconds, and thirds for David Montgomery. His usage is insane since coming back. The first game back against Pittsburgh, 76% of the running back attempts up to 93% this past week against Baltimore and all of the running back targets.

58:29 ↗

Yeah. He is a full workhorse. And now Detroit. Yes. I love that. I'm going to go with Antonio Gibson as my start of the week. Mike's champion, I think is going to have a great game. If you were watching the game last week, he fumbled inside, like around the 10-yard line, they're driving, and he got de bench. I mean, he was completely put out of the game, and it looked like he was not. It looked like he was.

58:58 ↗

He was done. And for fantasy, what were you going to have to do this week and decide are they going to continue the bench? Oh, he ended up with 20 carries, 19 carries. I mean, he did everything in the second half. They forgave him and moved on. Now, he can't fumble anymore because he's got five fumbles in like the last six or seven games here. But.

59:17 ↗

The matchup against Seattle is great. Seattle's defense ranks 31st versus running backs for fantasy points given up. Seattle's seeing the highest percentage of zone blocking scheme rush plays in the NFL, and Washington has the highest rush success rate on zone scheme plays in the NFL. So I expect 15 plus touches. It's a good bet for him to get into the end zone. And on top of that, I mean, Antonio Gibson on Thanksgiving.

59:45 ↗

We're one for one so far of him having a monster performance. No mathematician. That is 100% of the time. My start of the week at the running back position, we did a buyer's sale at the beginning. It's Devonta Freeman. He's taking on the Cleveland Browns who have given up three straight weeks of top six production to the running back position. I think he's locked in. He's somehow averaging 5.1 yards per touch. He is the guy that they go to.

60:14 ↗

If it's not Lamar running it in, it's Devante Freeman. And I think that the team has seen enough of the running back roulette of the old fellers that they brought in that they're going to move forward with Freeman as the 1A. Of course, Latavius Murray will get on the field because there's always a timeshare in Baltimore. But Freeman is the primary running back. And until I see otherwise, I'm starting him with full confidence. All right. I looked sideways at you with your quarterback start of the week, Mike. But my wide receiver?

60:43 ↗

He's tied into him. Unlimited. D.K. Metcalf taking on that Washington defense we just talked about. You just discussed the rest start of the week, all the reasons why. And D.K., before these past two dud weeks, has been one of the best wide receivers in all the fantasy football. Week in and week out. Still leads the league since his rookie year and in-zone targets. So you know he gets action around the goal line. This is the week. He reminds fantasy players that you can count on him.

61:12 ↗

and gets players like me less afraid of moving into the playoffs with D.K. Mankath. And so I'm feeling pretty good. Yeah, I'm going to take the guy down the field to the side of the field of your running back start of the week. I'm taking your teammate, Darnell Mooney, at wide receiver. I think that Darnell Mooney, his speed, and look, what he's done going from his rookie year in 2020, where...

61:40 ↗

Only 19% of his targets were in that 11 to 19, mid-range, 10 total receptions. And now this year, 35% of targets tied with Stefan Diggs and Deonté Johnson for the 10th most targets in that range. The secondary of Detroit cannot keep up with Mooney's 4-38 speed. They've allowed the fourth highest expected points per pass attempt. Now, I think both are going to have a good game.

62:04 ↗

But it's not going to take a huge volume for Mooney to have a good fantasy game. If he ends up with three receptions for 99 yards and a touchdown, I could see that happening. I just don't think they're going to be able to stop him. If they're without Alan Robinson, I think he's a solid wide receiver too this week. Going with DJ Moore. Let's bring it back, Miami, allowing the second most points per game to the wide receiver position, allowing the most passing yards in the league. And teams are throwing the ball.

62:34 ↗

40 plus times versus the Miami Dolphins. Offenses know how to attack them. And DJ Morris still has a 28% target share. He's the fifth most targets in the league. And I think with Cam Newton giving a resurgence to the offense, I think DJ Moore is back in play. All right. I'm going to go with.

62:54 ↗

Rob Grunkowski at the tight-in position against Indianapolis, came back on Monday night. He looked so good. He was healthy. 59% of snaps, targeted eight times, had his yardage, highest yardage game of the year, tied in 10 on the week without a touchdown. He has set up to Gronk smash this week against Indianapolis, who are allowing the highest pass success rate in the NFL and a gronk target inside the 20. Oh, so valuable. He'll have plenty of those in this game. I think the Colts are going to be able to keep up a little bit against Tampa, so I think this could be a...

63:23 ↗

fun fantasy matchup and the Colts are 31st against fantasy tight-in. So why not? Oh, my gosh. These top 10 performances they've given up recently, Dawson Knox, Dan Arnold, Ryan Griffin, Jeff Swain. So I think Grom can compete there. Yeah, I would say the Hall of Fame. I don't know, but Jeff Swain. It's got pretty good.

63:43 ↗

At tight end, I am going with the doctor, Dr. Schultz, Dr. Dalton Schultz from the Dallas Cowboys. The doctor is always available. 99% of snaps. Board certified. Board certified. Las Vegas has given up the second most fantasy points to tight ends over the last six weeks. And the Raiders also run zone coverage at the third highest rate in the NFL. Here's a little brain buster for you.

64:09 ↗

Which Dallas pass catcher leads the team in receptions versus zone coverage? Is the doctor? Look, I'm not a doctor. I can prescribe you one this week. Okay. All right. You can prescribe a doctor. I can prescribe a doctor. I never thought about that. You don't need a license to prescribe a doctor. Usually it's more of like a referral. Right. But this is a prescription. But this is a prescription. Neat. All right. My tight end start of the week, to be fully transparent.

64:36 ↗

It's horrible. No, no, no, no. It was going to be Evan Engram against the Philadelphia Eagles, but I have utilized my allotment of Evan Engram starts of the week. One per decade. Yes. So I couldn't go back to that. But my actual start is no offense. The Chargers giving up the fourth most points to the tight end position. He is running a ton of routes. He looks like he is back to being integrated into the offense. The third most red zone targets among.

65:06 ↗

all tight ends despite missing a game and already having his buy week. He just, he gets down the field. He can hit a big play and the matchup is there against the Chargers. All right. That is it for the starts of the week. But of course, we would be remiss if we didn't continue our narrative, our story, our epic. I mean, at this point, it is an epic. It is. And Amazon is talking to Jason about picking this up. Yeah, but I'll never. I mean, it's going to cost you a billion dollars. Okay. Let's get to the boom, boom kicker.

65:40 ↗

Jason Moores, ironclad, locked and loaded, 100% guaranteed boom, boom kicker of the wig. From doggy paddling, soon I was saddling a beast going full bananas. The Megalodon I rode. I used him as my commode, just like Brandon McManus. Okay.

66:15 ↗

The Mountie Hat went on. It was incredible. We got to rewind. Wow. We got to rewind that tape. Can you hit me with that last line? That was a commode. Hit me one more time. The Megalodon I rode. Yes. I used him as my commode. Oh, no. Just like Brandon McManus. Okay. That is what I heard the first time. So you. You defecate. You are pooping all over the Megalodon? And P, my friend. I'm just going. Is it number three?

66:44 ↗

All right on top of this. So we have taken this to a different... This is a dark place. You'll try to keep your bells in while you ride a Megalodon, Mike. It's scary. I'm just thinking like if Amazon does pick it up at some point is a dark chapter rated MA or something. Yeah, we're definitely going to have to work through the ratings. Oh, my gosh. Cover your blowhole. Wait, a Megalodon has a blowhole now. No, they have gills. Oh, my. Cover your gills.

67:14 ↗

That's probably worse. Shield your eyes. That was something special. If you, if you're not watching, you pooped on the Megalodon. That's not the direction I thought this story was going. Happy Thanksgiving. You were dropped in the sea, right? You were dropped on the middle of the... We jumped the ship. We jumped ship and then we... Now you're riding the Megalodon. That's right. That was spectacular. Not for long.

67:37 ↗

All right, let's... He's not going to be happy. Let's get it. Well, it washes away. Let's get into the rest of the week 12 matchups. Fantasy forecast. All right, back into the matchups. The Steelers at 5, 4 and 1. Take on the 6 and 4 Cincinnati Bengals. I almost want to say the schizophrenic Cincinnati Bengals because they've had some up.

68:02 ↗

and down performances. They're hard to figure out. The Drafking Sportsbook line here, Bengals minus four and a half. The over under is 44.5. That's not a lot of points. Really? The Bengals, four and a half? That shocked me. When you said that, knowing that they're getting a lot of their defensive pieces back, I'm very surprised. It's funny because when we had this first matchup in the beginning of the year, I believe there was surprise around the line then, too.

68:30 ↗

Cincinnati won that game 24 to 10 the last time they played. Only 14 completions for Burrow, but had three touchdowns. They play so slow. Cincinnati is 30th in neutral pace. So when games are close, they are boring. Yeah. I mean, that's, no, that's a fair summation, and it's bad for fantasy. What do we do? Let's start with the home team here. The Bengals favored by four and a half. Joe Mixon, he is a fiery inferno right now. Yes, he is. He's being outshined by Jonathan Taylor, but.

69:00 ↗

Mixon has seven straight games with a touchdown. He's so much better than anyone is giving him credit for. The running back four on the season. I do this for a living, and I feel like I have not noticed how good he's been. He's just dominating right now for fantasy, so you stay in the flames. Last year, I think Jacobs and Mixon were both my guys for me, and they have gone in kind of different career.

69:28 ↗

directions, I feel like this year. Mixing has delivered on that promise, and Jacobs has been not as good. Jamar Chase, he's on pace for 1,470 yards and 18 touchdowns. He is in your lineup. That would be like an all-time line for not a rookie. Right. His rookie season is just, it doesn't make sense. So for Cincinnati, though, with the defensive pieces returning for Pittsburgh,

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