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Main show · December 10, 2015

Fantasy Football Podcast 2015 - Week 14 Fantasy Forecast, Starts of the Week, News

RSSDec 10, 2015 · transcript indexed
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Fantasy Football Podcast 2015 - Week 14 Fantasy Forecast, Starts of the Week, News

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Inside the episode

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53:25 ↗

of CJ Anderson or Ronnie Hillman as the lonely starter. I think you start him with extreme joy against an Oakland Raiders defense that is giving it up to the running back position. My gut tells me CJ will sit and Hillman will be active and yes, Joanne Thompson will get work. But last week it was like five or six carries. And Ronnie Hillman, I think if he's healthy...

53:48 ↗

can give you a really surprising, nice fantasy game. Jason just mentioned DeMarcus Wearsback. The defense is outstanding. This game, if you had to predict the script, it's a couple scores, 17 to 3, game over, run the ball, 24 to 3, something like that. Let's say, let's check your confidence in this matchup. Sure. Hillman's out, Anderson's out. You've got Joanne Thompson. Yeah, the lonely Bronco starts.

54:17 ↗

I love it. Yep. The lonely brago, that's great. I'm going with a guy who is our consensus number three running back. And normally you're like, well, of course you start him. But there are a lot of people who are really scared to start this guy. He was my start of the week. Not me. He was my start of the week last week. And he's my start of the week this week. It's David Johnson. Oh, yeah. David Johnson.

54:45 ↗

People are, we talked about it already, so I don't need to regurgitate, but the Vikings are not the Vikings defense right now. And people see, okay, he's had one good week, and he's going up against a bad matchup. But no, he's not. No, he is not. And he got the ball 24 times. He's going to get it again this week. Start him over anyone. If David Johnson's on your team, he is starting. David Johnson, Adrian Peterson. David Johnson. Okay. Yeah.

55:14 ↗

David Johnson or... I agree. I'm just doing a heat check. Yeah. Diagello Williams. David Johnson. Who do we have... Todd Gurley. Who do... David Johnson. David Johnson. David Johnson or... David Johnson. David Johnson. What? Wow. Here's what I love. I love that David Johnson's such a storyline at the end of this year. It is a delight. It worked... Because he was such a storyline in the beginning. It's just... I'm sorry, Andre Ellington. I'm sorry, Chris Johnson. But this is...

55:42 ↗

Very nice. And he offers so much upside. He's just a game-breaking type of player. All right. My running back start of the week, I've mentioned his name quite a few times. Actually, you've not mentioned his name enough. You've mentioned his nickname quite a few times. Sean Drone, the Big Salad, Cleveland, four of 12 games for Cleveland, only four of 12 games. They have not given up over 100 yards on the ground. And Drone has 18 catches in the last three weeks.

56:10 ↗

We said Cleveland is one of the absolute worst rushing defenses in the league and a guy who's on the field 90 to 100% of the time. So Sean Drone is my man, and I love it. I love it. All right, give me your wide receiver even though I... Andy disagrees with my wide receiver. No, I don't disagree with the start. Well, so my start of the week, I'm going with Larry Fitzgerald. And the reason why I put him as my start of the week is because if you go over to Fantasypros.com,

56:40 ↗

He's number 14. He's number 14. They got lots of guys starting. That was me taking a risk. And finding a nice sound effect that said, duh. But that one was terrifying. And I'm scared. And I peed myself. Duh. But here's the deal for Larry Fitzgerald. Like I said, uh,

57:11 ↗

53 targets over the last three weeks. That's the top of the NFL. The Vikings are depleted of defensive playmakers. Right now, of my wide receivers, I have Larry Fitzgerald ranked number four. And that's why it went with my start of the week because he is a wide receiver two on fantasy. The only argument, that's what I was going to say. The argument that you are making.

57:33 ↗

to keep him as you start of the week as opposed to the obvious is just the fact that there are other resources out there telling people that he's a two that you should start other guys over. Yes. And therefore I will allow it. Thank you. Even though I play that sound like. Let me go with a far better start. This is my favorite guy right now to talk about. He's my favorite guy. He's my favorite guy. Let me ask you guys a question. I know you know the answer. So let me ask the foot clan a question.

57:59 ↗

Since the week 9 buys, since week 10, 11, 12, 13, the last four games, who is the number one wide receiver in the entire NFL? Is it? Jerry Rice. Is it Jerry Rice? We're talking fantasy-wise? Fantasy receiver. Is it DeAndre Hopkins? No. Is it Antonio Brown? No. Is it Brandon Marshall or Alan Robinson? No way. Well, those guys are all great. But the number one guy is Doug.

58:26 ↗

Baldwin. The number one guy is available in 33% of ESPN leagues on waivers. And the number one guy is playing the Baltimore Ravens this week. Now look, I don't expect Doug Baldwin to keep up a pace of this and finish the year as the number one wide receiver. But I'm playing Doug Baldwin this week over most guys. Stay in the flames. He is beyond on fire. Over his last four games, he is averaging

58:56 ↗

six receptions, 108 yards, and one and a half touchdowns a week. That's pretty good. And that was coming off a buy week. Pretty good. There was a change in the offense that came out after week nine where you saw the aerial attack start. And then you have Jimmy Graham go down. There are factors that say this can be a number one target. Well, you can trace it. And we said this yesterday. You can trace that back to Russell Wilson standing in the pocket and throwing the football. Yeah. I mean five touchdowns for Russell Wilson last week. Jason, you're telling me that Doug Baldwin.

59:26 ↗

He's your number one guy. Yes. Jason is very, he wrote so many of his notes in capital letters around Doug Baldwin that you know he was confident in this. And Foot Clan, if you got that reference, you got to tag that one. Yeah. Oh, I got, of course. No, you can't, we're not spoiling it, but that one was. Yeah, sometimes. That's a lower level reference that people will get. Yeah. All right. And my wide receiver start of the week, if you want to get nuts, is Devante Parker.

59:54 ↗

Devante Parker is getting nuts for sure. Against the Giants on Monday night football, the Giants are just horrible against the past. Listen, in 83% of the games this year, they've given up 250 plus to the quarterback position, and Devante Parker's on the other end of that equation. Now, yes, Ryan Tannehill threw for eight yards last week. But Devante Parker had a huge touchdown catch. He's getting involved in the offense. The target numbers are starting to get there. Richard Matthews is still out.

60:22 ↗

And I just, I really like Devante Parker, not enough to where I'm benching Chris Ivory in my league of record and playing Devante Parker over him. But he made me think about it because I just love the upside of a big giant wide receiver who is known. I mean, I think his yardage at the catch this year is something like 17 and a half yards at the catch. He's just a big player receiver. Your prototypical first round superstar potential wide receiver. And why not giving the ball right now?

60:52 ↗

Yeah, I mean, he's a high risk, higher reward guy. He's going to do well. You know what stinks is I have to play Julio, and Julio is like, his ceiling seems so small right now. Because of the beaches of Normandy? Yeah, because of the beaches of Normandy. Ooh, I like that. I stole that. Here's what I hope from, just to give context. Who did you steal from? It was actually from a radio caller that I have no idea what their name was. Oh, all right. Well, here's what you're out there. Julio, the reason I hope for Julio this week is that the,

61:22 ↗

that he gets like two red zone targets that end up in touchdowns and gives you a big week. Yeah. But getting back to Parker, I do like the play of Parker. I think that if you're going to play him, you're dancing with the devil. You are. Yeah. Outside of that. I mean, the dolphins aren't going to be winning this game. It's a good. Probably not. Unlike last week was 1513 against Baltimore. They didn't need to do much. Here's a quick reminder.

61:50 ↗

for strategy-wise. Let's say you're newer to a keeper league. Devante Parker, because you only keep a couple guys, Parker is very available. He's only owned in 40% of ESPN leagues. He is a guy that you need to just throw on your bench right now, no matter what. Moving forward, because you don't know how the year is going to end. These guys pop up at the end of every year, so I think this is just a good public service announcement for maybe a little bit of a newer player. This is a strategy you need to look at now.

62:19 ↗

Totally agree. Totally agree. Put them on your bench. I'm going to give you my tight end start of the week. We'll get your guys. Mine's Julius Thomas. I went with him. He had 11, 22, and 8 fantasy points the last three games. And the thing in common, he scored in every single one of them. He's being involved in the red zone. He's becoming more a part of the offense. And we saw what Bortles could do last week. He's playing against Indianapolis this week who's a bottom half defense against the tight end. And so I like Julius Thomas is a really bona fide, strong, solid, solid tight-in start.

62:49 ↗

For me, the tight-in start is Austin Sfarion Jenkins. He was targeted. He wasn't on the field that much last game. They were working him back from his... 21 of 71 snaps. Yeah, exactly. And he still had a decent fantasy day. And the matchup here is what I really love about it. The New Orleans Saints are just giving it up to the tight-in. In fact, the New Orleans Saints who are the worst defense pretty much in the league...

63:16 ↗

You know, over the last three weeks to the wide receiver, they have given up very few yards. It's all going to the tight end. So it's just a good matchup. Good matchup. Good upside. And he's available. He represents upside to me. He could have a big game out of nowhere. And I'm going a little bit sneakier with my tight end start. I don't mind that. I thought about him. Kobe Fleener against Jacksonville. Here is Jacksonville's. That is a desperation tight end. But here's numbers that Jacksonville is allowed to the tight end. Week 10, 11 catches. The next week 12 catches.

63:45 ↗

Then only five to San Diego, but two touchdowns. And then the following week to Tennessee, 10 catches. So, I mean, double-digit catches to the tight end three of the last four weeks, including six touchdowns to the tight-end position. And you got, we assume it's hassleback. It could be Charlie, Whitehurst. Either way, I look for Kobe Fleener to get some sneaky targets in. I don't mind that.

64:10 ↗

Deeper leagues. He's a really good start. I don't know how many guys I'm starting him over, but I like the matchup, and I thought about him a little bit myself, so I really like that. All right, guys, that is it for today's show. We went a little bit longer. We'll be back with the rest of the fantasy forecast tomorrow. We'll get you some DFS knowledge, and we'll get you ready for week 14. And the playoffs, we're thankful that you joined us today. Make sure you check out PokerStars. Thank you for supporting the show, and we will be back tomorrow. Yeah. Hopefully none of us have a tear. Strong finish. Thank you.

64:40 ↗

listening to another edition of the fantasy footballers podcast. Don't forget to visit us on the web at www.thefantyfootballers.com and follow us on Twitter at the FFFBallers. In season for fantasy football is a marathon for us. We are recording in the morning. We're getting school ready in the morning. We're then checking our rankings, doing everything. And then all of a sudden it's only noon?

65:09 ↗

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65:33 ↗

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