Fantasy Football Podcast 2015 - Week 14 Fantasy Forecast, Starts of the Week, News

uh defense but there is a very low floor and tyrod taylor it's called five touchdowns in in two of five weeks or four weeks tyrod taylor is just not turning the ball over uh so you just you and for sacks i mean taylor's an elusive guy i just don't think this is a matchup even what they did against new england at home with philadelphia i just i'm not i'm not doing it now the other side of the ball i was just about to ask you jason yeah

What do you do? And we've got a lot of questions this week. What do you do if push comes to shove? I have talked to people who have all three backs on their team, Matthews, Murray, Sproles. Who do you start this week? I know my answer. I want to hear from you. If you have to start one of those three guys, then if it was me and I had to make the decision I would put in DeMarco Murray. I think DeMarco Murray went...

You know, squeaky wheel as well. He went beyond squeaky wheel. He went all the way to the top. Well, now there's differing reports on it that maybe he just sat next to him on the airplane. This is a bunch of. Well, regardless, you know, I think he is still involved. You just, it's a risk. I like Ryan Matthews this week. I don't have a problem, you know, having Ryan Matthews as a flex player, even in the playoffs. But you have.

a higher likelihood that the majority of carries is going to go to DeMarco Murray. That's what I think, and so that's who I would play. Who was your guy, Andy? Dude is DeMarco Murray. Because there's no way to know the level of carries. The other guys are going to get. At least Murray represents upside if he is listened to. You know, he's supposed to be a part of this offense. There's been a problem getting him the ball at times during the year. I think what made it look bad this time is because they won the game.

They won the game so he looks more like more of a complainer. Nobody's saying that about AP every time he doesn't get the ball. I'm going to take the risk, right? Like, I don't want to start any of them. But if I have to, I mean, I'm seeing a lot of people say, okay, is it Woodhead or is it DeMarco Murray? Is it, you know, some lower end, is it, you know, Spencer Ware or DeMarco Murray? Right. Yeah, I mean, I would take, I don't know. And in that case, I would go to Marco Murray. But there's a lot of guys.

that I would take over DeMarco Murray this week. According to our rankings, we have many, we've got Givorius Allen, who's going up against Seattle, that we would start ahead of DeMarco Murray. We have Latavius Murray ahead of DeMarco Murray. Wow. Yeah. And we've got a lot. Yeah. Yeah, and a bad match-up. So, I mean, you know, if you have other options that you've picked up, you know, Sean Drone.

Oh, the big salad. You know, if you've got Sean Drone and Javoris Allen, because you've been listening to the show and you've, you know, been finding waiver wire gold, those guys I would play over to Marco Mer. We were talking about. Breaking news. Dorel Rivas is practicing. I saw it. On Thursday. I saw it. He's in the red jersey. He's in the no contact jersey. So at least he's on the field. Fantastic news for the Jets. Sorry. We were talking about the situation. Do I have the courage to play?

the big salad over Adrian Peterson, I don't know. Over DeMarco Murray? Absolutely. If I'm looking at that situation, drone is in for me. I'm not even thinking about it. All right, and we said we like Watkins a lot. Ertz started last week. Is he a Ertz or Clay in this matchup? Ooh. I would take Ertz over Clay. Clay has...

just so disappeared in so many games. He had a big game last game. He disappeared last week, too, in the coverage because the defense did not see him. He had an invisibility cloak for the first 20 yards of his run, and then he took it off and said, pass me the ball.

That's a huge advantage in football. Real good idea to keep that invisibility cloak with you on the field. I believe that Zach Ertz will get more targets, more catches. The real question here is who gets in the red zone. I would say it's about the same odds of either guy getting in for the score. But I would rather play Ertz over Suck, especially because the Eagles...

While the Eagles have given up a lot through the air, we've said this in the last couple weeks. They haven't given up much to the tight-in position. So I'm not on Charles Clay this week. All right, we're moving on to the next matchup. And if there was ever a nine-point underdog that I thought would lose by double that. It would be the Baltimore Ravens right now. Poor Baltimore. Seattle heads into Baltimore. Seattle is white-hot right now. And the Ravens are not.

They lost a game that it seemed like neither team won last week to Miami. Matt Schaubbs banged up. Over under on pick sixes. It's one and a half. Are you taking the over or the under? I'll take the under. You're going to take the single one. But I will say this. I might go over. This is the type of ridiculous game that will humble you as an NFL watcher somehow.

Seattle's going to win it, but it won't be as big of a blot or something. Just not to the point of me clicking that little almost upset button. But, you know, sometimes there's these games. All right, I'm lying. Yeah, there's going to be a woman. No, this one, I'm putting the house on Seattle. I have Russell Wilson extremely high. I don't have the rankings up at this second. I think I have them in my top three this week. I don't have a problem with it. This is a beatable defense. He is not.

you know, heating up. He is in fuego. Mike, you have Wilson at four. I have him at three. Jason knows him at three. In fuego? Yes. Oh, yeah, absolutely. So let's, let's move through the obvious. Thomas Rawls starting. Buck Allen is, he's a two, but he's starting for all of us, I assume, right? Is there any situation where you would sit Buck Allen? Honestly, you're... I would sit Buck Allen because...

signing Buck Allen meant that he was in addition to my roster. And so there are a lot of... Not if you were a Justin Fawcett owner. No, you're right. I am in the playoffs. I have a 17. That sounds like a play. Because I think he's just going to catch enough passes. I mean, they're going to do... Who else can they give the ball to? Yeah. That's the point. You can't throw it. Well, but there's a lot of playoff team. I mean, this is playoff. So you've got good rosters. You know, you could have a Frank Gore, Darren McFadden, Marr, T.J. Yeldon. Those guys, I would play over. Eddie Lacey or Jvoris Allen.

Buck Allen, just... I think I go Eddie Lacey on that. Yeah, I might go Eddie Lacey. That's a very tough decision. Jeremy Hill or DeVorese Allen? Javoris Allen. I don't like Jeremy Hill. It depends on the scoring format. I'll say that for sure. Based on the scoring format, you have them back to back. You have Hill one ahead. Well, there you go. You got them real close. That settles that. All right, listen to this.

After starting the season as a bonus matchup, the Ravens have allowed the second fewest passing yards to opposing quarterbacks over the last three weeks. Does it matter in any way, shape, or form to Russell Wilson and Doug Baldwin, I think we've said no. No, and we'll talk more about Doug Baldwin later. We're going to save that? Might or, well, we can talk about it now if you want. Well, no, we'll save it. We'll save it. We'll get to it in the start to the week section. Tyler Lockett, what do you guys think about him on this week? Because I kind of like him. Tyler Lockett, I do like, because I said this before the show.

I really like Doug Baldwin. We're going to talk about him. But there's always a return to the mean in terms of averaging 45 touchdowns a year where he's out over the last two games, whatever it is. So Lockett's somebody who, if you were watching third downs last week, it was like, okay, it's third and nine, and then the next play. It was Lockett for nine yards for a first down. It was, you know, he was a go-to guy. Wilson loves him. He has the big playability.

Lockett could put up one of the Baldwin performances for all we know. So I don't mind rolling the dice with him, but he's down the list for me. Yeah, absolutely. He's somebody I'm starting over Pierre Garcin, not somebody I'm starting over Deshawn Jackson. Okay, what about Lockett versus Aiken? I would rather have... I'd rather have Aiken. I'd rather have Lockett. Wow. How much would you rather have Locket? Oh.

Waterbed. Whoa. Hold your horses there. Too late. I will be honest. I didn't mean to push the button. My finger was over the button, but it seems like Destiny may have us aligned here. Not that much. Not enough to put water. Unificial water bed? Yeah, unofficial pride bit. Oh, you bunch of weenies. All right. Now, speaking to the Buck Allen side of things, we think his production is going to come through the air. Well, a guy who got 12 catches last week.

I'm not expecting 12. I'm secretly hoping for 12 or more. But five, five to six seems like a lock. Twelve puts them at about 200 a year pace. So I'm going to keep, I'm going to temper that. But yeah, they're not giving it up on the ground. Five or six. Five or six is fine. And that will be pretty good for you. Yes. I'd start them over Woodhead for sure. All right, 49ers. Another start of the week in this game. 49ers at the Browns.

Blaine Gabber coming off the hot win at Chicago. This is a team that has impressed me in terms of fighting through a lot of tumult, right? And you're speaking, just to be clear, of the 49ers side of this game. I am speaking of the 49ers side. Not the Cleveland side. No.

Now, that's a different kind of fighting going on in Cleveland. But the 49ers, their defense, has kept games competitive for them, even though it's not been a good defense in terms of total yards given up. They found ways to keep games competitive. They beat Chicago in Chicago. They kept it close in Arizona. Blaine Gabbard had, I think, 6,000 yards on the ground last week. At least half on that one run. So he's not somebody I'm starting, Blaine Gabbard, but he's impressed me a little bit. In a two-quarterback league, I think he's...

You know, because the matchup is so good. Yeah. Yep. Yeah. And then our, you want to talk about the running backs? Oh, my goodness. We're finally to the time. The big salad. Sean Dron. Eat your veggies, everybody. You got to get that foundation of greens and carrots in your diet. And Sean Dron is the man to do that for your fantasy football team. The guy is just, he's on the field almost 100% of the time.

That's what you want out of volume. You talk about, oh, I got this timeshare back. He's on the field 60% of the time. Could I interest you in 90 plus? Yeah, in a matchup against the second worst running defense in the league? A guy who catches five passes a week? And he has the added bonus of when you beat your opponent, they look at you and they go, I lost to Sean Drone. Oh, yeah. That's a...

That's a lettuce slap in the face. That's exactly what it is. I challenge you to a duel. So he's had 13 carries. He got a touchdown last week. Another five catches through the air. And this is a game that we think the San Francisco defense can kind of keep it low scoring and let drone run. Absolutely. And an interesting thing for the 49ers defense, they're getting gashed on the ground.

I don't know if people realize this. 165 yards, almost two touchdowns the last three weeks. Do you have it within your soul, within your foundation to go to the crow? No. I have him as my 33rd ranked. That's high. I know, it is high. I was looking at this when I was standing these guys out, and I had that question, speak in my heart. I was like, man.

If they gave Crowell the ball in this game and dedicated to running with their power back, Crowell would have a great game. And I thought, you know, he's going to get some decent runs here. And I started him out. And then I went, how high am I on him? And I looked at him 33rd, which means if you're in a playoff team, you probably have guys ahead of him. He did have 11 carries last week. He's got, he has double digit carries in all but three weeks. So.

I'm not excited. I'm not excited either, but in a pinch. It could happen. Well, the Browns are dead last in the league in rushing yards per game average. I think it's around 70 a game for them. So it could happen. But it could happen. But I can't see. Now I'd start Duke Johnson over Crow. Yeah, yeah. So we talked about Brian Hartline earlier in the waiver show, who's just been averaging a ton of targets. It has eight catches in two straight weeks, but now you got Johnny Mansell in there. I...

You know, you just don't know where he leans. Is this going to be, we've been worried about Barnage in the past with Manzo. We've been worried about just the production at the position in terms of total yards. This game, you know, the over-under, despite the fact these teams are dead last in the league and defense pretty much on both sides of the ball, the over-under is only 40 points. So we're counting on, Vegas is counting on inefficiency on the offense more than it is a shootout between bad defenses and offenses. So what about temperate? What about Benji?