Fantasy Football Podcast 2015 - Week 11 Matchups, The Daily Dose, & TNF Review

wide receiver out there. And he's really consistent. He is not a guy that's going to boom and go off for 28. He just doesn't have that kind of target, that kind of talent. But he is a guy that's going to catch five, six balls for 60, 70 yards. And more often than not, he's getting in the end zone and getting a touchdown. I like both. I want to move on, but I need to ask you this first. Chris Ivory, you know, the numbers say the Texans are the 25th best run defense. But the Texans in the last two weeks have only given up six points in each game and they're at home.

What's your confidence level with ivory? He bounced back. He gave you a little bit of something last game. Five yards of carry. Mangold was back. You're starting ivory, but what do you have him rated as? Ivory to me, I'm a little bit more worried about him. I have him as a high, high level RB2. Just outside the top 12. Just outside the top 12 for me. Because I do agree. Houston Texans Rundee has been far improved from what we saw earlier in the year. We can't.

look at them like a bad defense anymore. All right, let's move on to the Colts. They go to Atlanta to face the Falcons. The Falcons have been struggling. There's a little bit of a sense that they may be a mirage based on the fact that their first few wins were all fourth quartered comebacks and they haven't been able to perform on offense lately. They are favored by six in this game against the Colts with Matt Hasselbeck. And I'm going to tell you right now, this is my Andy's almost upset of the week.

Good old Matt Hasselbeck. If there's one thing the Colts do with Hasselbeck is they can play a conservative, disciplined offensive football, they're not going to limit Frank Gore anymore, and the weapons are still there. And I just don't have a lot of confidence in the Falcons at a minimum to cover this spread of six points. So if the Colts can do what they do, be efficient, Hasselbeck looked fine, I think they can win this game against the Falcons. And they have, they're in a division fight.

Believe it or not, at 4 and 5. Yeah. Against Houston and now Jacksonville. They are. I actually like that pick. I think that the Atlanta Falcons are a heavy mirage. So their offense has been struggling too, I think, Atlanta. So do you think that this game is one that becomes high scoring? Because a couple weeks ago, we would have said, oh, Atlanta and the Colts, this is going to be a high scoring affair. No, I think this is actually going to be a lower scoring game.

Yeah, Vegas has it at 47.5, which is on the slightly higher end. I would bet the under on that personally. What about Frank Gore? I think Frank Gore is solid, but we'll see a little bit more attention this week. They know they're going to have to, you know, when I say they, I mean, Atlanta is going to have to focus on Gore and put the ball into Hasselbeck's hands and make him make plays on the outside. And so Gore, I think, has an okay game. He has a Jonathan Stewart type of game. He's going to get the quantity.

Maybe not the efficiency you want, but I'm fine with Gore. Gore's a starter this week. I don't remember where I have him in my rankings. I have him at 12. You have him at 13. So we both think the same thing. Low, low RB1, high RB2. He's going up against the Falcons who, when it comes to their run, I don't know what to make of them. Earlier in the year, they were atrocious. They don't give up that many yards. They had a stretch of four games where they let eight running back touchdowns in four games.

on the ground. They were just porous, but now they've got three in a row without any touchdown scored on the ground. So you've got Frank Gore coming in. He's going to get the ball a lot, which is why I really like him as a play. You're not going to get a goose egg from Frank Gore unless he gets injured. So I like playing him, and I think he gets in. I think he gets a touchdown. Now, I do start Matt Ryan this week, and I'm starting him in a couple leagues as a streamer.

I picked him up off waiver wire. The Colts defense is 22nd against the run, 28th against the pass. We're taking the under, but I think Ryan can be efficient enough. This offense, what I'm really curious to see is if Hankerson returns, I know Hankerson's not, you know, he's not an amazing player, but he does help the offense because Roddy White has not been dependable or useful, really, is the word. And Julio...

need somebody to help him out on the offensive side of the ball. So having Hankerson get open, we like Tammy a little bit as a streamer this week. I think Matt Ryan can get it dumb. I'm talking 250 and 2. I would say 250 and 2 is exactly what he's going to have. And that's probably, that's okay if you're a streamer. If you're looking to stream guys, you want over 200 and you want two touchdowns. So I'm fine with that. But I don't expect him to be able to have one of those big games. I don't.

I don't see the possibility of a 303 for him. Before we talk Buccaneers and Eagles, let me ask you one more question about this game. How much does the Hasselback effect, or how much does Hasselbeck being in there affect Hilton? I like calling it the Hasselback effect. That sounds nice. You know, Hilton actually got plenty of targets when Hasselbeck was in, and Hilton was a little bit limp.

or lame, as you want to correct me in saying, when he was playing with Hasselbeck before. So I actually don't think it's going to have that big an effect on Ty Hilton. I have confidence in Hilton. Okay. Okay, let me see where we have Hilton out of curiosity this week in our rankings on the fantasy footballers.com. We have Hilton as a wide receiver too. Yeah. So, all right, let's talk about the Buccaneers at the Eagles.

This one was, believe it or not, really close to being my almost subset of the pit of the week. The Buccaneers at the Eagles? Yeah. Is that because of Sanchez? That is because the Eagles, their offense is not going to be special. Ryan Matthews is out. Mark Sanchez is in. And, you know, the reason it's not that pick is because they're going to win this game. And they're going to win it with their defense because they're going to stop James Winston and that offense. Now, that being said, Mike Evans, 53 targets over the last three weeks. He must start.

An absolute must start. You want to know what he's going to do? I wish Doriel Greenbeckham got 53 targets. You know, in your defense, Green Beckham looked good going up for passes, making room, catching hard passes. So, you know, oh, you know what we didn't talk about real quick going back to that game last night? Alan Robinson is good. I mean, we've been saying that for a long time, but he made some catches that were like, how did he hold onto the ball? And I almost had a like, you know.

He has what I thought he is, speech for Hearns, but I'm going to give him a break because guys have bad games every once in a while. Yeah. So getting back to the Eagles and Buccaneers, you know, I think that the Eagles are going to be able to get it done at home as far as offensively, fantasy-wise. I would expect with Ryan Matthews out, Marco Murray is going to just eat volume-wise. He, to me, is an extremely safe play with Matthews out. Murray should get...

Reds on opportunities and plenty of yards. Sproles gets a slight bump up. If you're in a full point PPR and you are desperate, maybe play him. But for the most part, I see some people overreacting on Sproles. I do think it helps him, but he's been so low. He's been irrelevant. Yeah, he's a sleeper guy. No one, no team in the NFL has more.

Running back receptions, like percentage of their receptions go to the running back than the Eagles do. 34% of their receptions go to running backs. And so that naturally benefits Sproles because Sproles is going to spell Murray. And so if Sanchez is dumping the ball off, I think both of those guys in PPR leagues, how point PBR leagues, are okay plays. So I look at this game and I think that most every player out there, the Foot Clan listeners,

They know what to do with Mike Evans, you start him. They know what to do with the Marco Murray. You start them. Their question is going to come on two different guys, one of which is a little bit easier. But the real question is Jordan Matthews. What do they do with Jordan Matthews? Do you start Jordan Matthews? You can flex Jordan Matthews, and if you have the luxury, you can hold him and just see what this is with Sanchez. He is not worth starting, actually.

And, you know, now that I think about it, I just don't want to. I don't really want to. Yeah. Well, he did, he was a favorite target of Sanchez when Sanchez was in last year. So that's fine. I think he, I think you're right in the beginning, I think is he's a flex play. But if you've got the luxury to sit him, that would be nice to see what you have. I mean, we can't forget the Buccaneers are a top, you know, the top half defense.

They're number 10 against the pass, number 12 against the run. They're not pushovers. I do think this game is more defensive than offensive, but the Eagles are going to score a couple times at home. I expect them to have two or maybe three touchdowns. So Doug Martin, that's the other question. Yeah, you start Doug Martin. Okay. You start Doug Martin, but you're not excited about Doug Martin. You know, the one thing that's interesting about the Buccaneers is they have the highest percentage of their touchdowns in the league go to...

that go to running backs, okay? They have 30% of their passing touchdowns go to running backs, which is the highest in the league. So Martin, Sims, we'll see if one of them can get one of those. Chiefs go to San Diego to take on the Chargers. Chargers are underdogs in this matchup at home. Yeah, well, I don't blame them. Yeah, I was going to say the Chiefs have been playing some lights out defense, so I don't blame them either. The question is going to be, can the Chiefs get enough offense?

to catch up to, you know, Philip Rivers leading the league in yards. What do you do from a running game here? Do you have any confidence at all in being able to start Melvin Gordon? None. Zero. Zero in this game. I could not agree more with you. I wouldn't even flex him in this game. No. He's a guy that hasn't been getting in the end zone, and he's just relied on getting yards between 20 from the 20 to the 20.

and the Kansas City Chiefs don't look like a defense right now that's going to be giving those up. Completely agree. Woodhead probably has a higher floor just because he'll be involved in those dump-off pass games. The pass rush for Kansas City has been incredible. Yeah. And so who benefits from that? The dump-offs to Woodhead. So I think Woodhead is perfectly fine to start this week. I have confidence in him. Who is the backup quarterback for San Diego? Should we throw him out there? No, I don't think so. But, yeah, I understand. The other's going to be getting sacked.

I certainly understand the point there because, my goodness, I think six sacks last week for the chiefs. We both have, you have Woodhead just inside your RB1 range. I'm a little bit lower, but I think he's very startable. Rivers is a trap play to me here. A lot of people, they've been riding Rivers and they have been succeeding with Rivers. I mean, he's been fantastic from a fantasy perspective this year. And the great thing about him is even when he's playing bad or he's in a game that he's losing, there's garbage time.

There's garbage time points, and he is, you know, the champion of garbage time this year. But this is a matchup where I don't think it's going to be, I don't think the Kansas City Chiefs are going to be up 40 to 15 where Philip Rivers is going to have garbage time where he's going down trying to score three scores in two minutes. Yeah. In which case, it scares me from a fantasy perspective. Rivers is a guy where if you've got the luxury to start someone else, I have him.

surprisingly low-ranked. And the other reason I think it's a trap is because when people just look at the stats of like if they're playing an ESPN or Yahoo and they look, Kansas City looks like a beatable defense total on the year because they started so atrociously. But that's not who they are anymore. Now, we looked this up yesterday and we compared the Rams defense, which a lot of people think upper echelon and the Chiefs defense over the last five weeks. And the Chief's defense has...

by almost 25% outscored them in, you know, in terms of defensive fantasy points. So the Chief's defense is on fire. I still think Rivers will have an okay fantasy day simply because they can't run the ball into the end zone. They have the highest percentage of their touchdowns that come via the pass. 91% of all of their touchdowns on the year come via the pass. And so Rivers benefits from that. But the other side of the ball is what I want to talk about. Char West is as high as he could be this week.

The rushing defense for the Chargers is the worst in the league against the fantasy points. Yeah, Charzard. In terms of fantasy points given up. Charzard could finish the week as the number one running back. Nobody would be surprised. His floor is very high. His ceiling is extremely high. He's your start of the week, right?

Char West was your start of the week. Yes, he was. He was. So, yeah, you definitely, definitely start Charzard with confidence. What do you do with Jeremy Macklin? A lot of people. Yeah, I think you can start him in this game. He's struggled. He's struggled. They haven't need, like I said, last game they were dominating Denver. They had four interceptions, short fields, didn't need to throw the ball. I actually think Alex Smith is a sneaky play in this game.

in terms of a streaming option if you had to play somebody. And I think Macklin's fine. I think Kelsey's fine. But I don't like Gates. He's my sit of the week. I don't like the other side of the ball. The Chief's defense is too good. So we got to move on. We've got to go to the next matchup here. The Packers are taking on the Vikings a huge division game. Oh, man. Huge. Five-star game. Yeah. And so I'm of the impression, and I don't want to disparage the Viking fans out there. You earned your record, right? You did what you needed to do.