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Main show · November 20, 2015

Fantasy Football Podcast 2015 - Week 11 Matchups, The Daily Dose, & TNF Review

RSSNov 20, 2015 · transcript indexed
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Fantasy Football Podcast 2015 - Week 11 Matchups, The Daily Dose, & TNF Review

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Inside the episode

162 passages
13:18 ↗

Oh, man. He is not... This is not... Not practicing at all. This is the story. When you're a Lynch owner, you have to wait it out. You've got to play him if he is active. I actually have him ranked very highly. Expect him in. Expect him to have a monster game, but you have to own Rawls. Darren McFadden, we think he'll be in. Yeah, he's not injured. Ryan Matthews.

13:37 ↗

Out. He has ruled out. Concussion problems. No good in the brain. Is there any chance Darren Sproles has a better game because of this? There is an absolute chance Darren Spurals has a better game. He will have a better game. But I don't think a better game is necessarily a good game. So I don't start him in almost most all formats. Carlos Hyde? Out. Not practicing. Not going to play. Alshan, do you think he plays. I do think I don't want to play him. Emmanuel Sanders?

14:04 ↗

He's training the right direction, was a limited participant after not practicing. He appears in and is a questionable play at best. John Brown and Michael Floyd out of Arizona. Brown is at least back to limited practice. Michael Floyd has been out. I would say Michael Floyd doesn't play. I would say John Brown suits it up and is about what he's been in the last two weeks, which is worthless. So I would avoid both of these guys. Vincent Jackson out again.

14:31 ↗

Yep, he's like his brother, Austin Sfarion Jenkins. They are limited participants in practice. This is a buccaneer brother, you mean? Yes, and we'll never, ever, ever play again. That's what it's, ASJ has been practicing limited for weeks. Still not cleared. Not cleared. I don't get it. And then Malcolm Floyd is out. Eddie Royal. Eddie Royal has not practiced, probably out. And Antonio Gates. Antonio Gates is going to play, but he is seriously banged up. We all love.

15:00 ↗

the MCL as a part of his game, but he has other injuries. So, um, and not a good matchup. So I believe Gates was your sit of the week. Yeah. Yeah. So before we get into the rest of the fantasy forecast, our daily, uh, dose segment and some other things we've got going on the show today. I want to take a moment to thank the sponsor today's show, sports manias. The sports manias app is the fastest growing sports news app on the market. And let me tell you some of the things I love about this app. We've talked about it before in the show. Our users,

15:29 ↗

They've reached out and they've said how much they enjoy this app. It's a top eight sports app by USA Today Sports, and it's got rave reviews. But here's one of the things I love about it. You can set up customized feeds for each of your fantasy teams.

15:43 ↗

and for your favorite teams. So when you are just, you know, every day when you pick up your phone and you check your one or two, three favorite apps, you can just bounce between those feeds. It's super easy to set those up and they curate all the content in there and it lets you check every single day on your teams for updates and articles and videos and scores. And rumors. They've got a rumors tab that I love personally. Yeah. And that helps you find, you know, undervalued type of guys. It helps you make quick changes when guys go down. And the nice thing about these guys at sports manias is they're always

16:13 ↗

updating the app changing all the time yeah they're adding yeah they're improving the app they're helping you know the notifications get better that type of thing so we really love the app check it out on the google play store on the app store it's the free sports manias app so go check that out let us know how you like it yeah our users have right and they love it and if you haven't got it become one grab it grab it all right let's get into oh we we'd also like to thank our other sponsor of today's show the tops huddle app

16:44 ↗

We have so many people that talk about the nostalgia of opening cards, opening packs. I used to go literally every single weekend. I'd go to neighborhood car sales. Like people do it in their garage and they'd sell trading cards. And we'd go and we'd buy packs every single week. That is so great. Well, now you can bring those memories with your family on your phone. It is an app that you can download from Tops. It's the huddle app. You get to open and collect.

17:12 ↗

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17:44 ↗

Fantasy Forecast. All right, we got a lot of ground. Got a lot of ground to cover, Jason. You got it in you? Many yards. You're wearing the baby blues of the team we're going to talk about first. The Detroit Lions. The Detroit Lions are America's team. They are? I didn't realize that. They kind of are on Thanksgiving. Right. I mean, they're one of those games that are always there. All right, the Raiders go to Detroit to take on the Lions. The Raiders are favored by a point in this game.

18:14 ↗

I really like Matt Stafford in this game. He's my start of the week. He's Mike's start of the week as well because Mike cheated and used mine. And I like Derek Carr too. I think this game, Vegas has it at 48.5 points. I think it's going to be up there. I think there's going to be a lot of scoring. Jason just talked about Crabtree. So.

18:36 ↗

Here's something interesting about the Lions, and we know this from watching Joach Bell or Amir Abdullah or Zach Sinner or whoever is running into the pile for the Lions. They run the highest percentage of pass plays in the NFL. And that hasn't translated to great production, but in this game, I think it really will. Well, not only that, but you have a tool in Eric Ebron in the passing game that is going up against a defense that has not.

19:02 ↗

at all this year figured out how to guard the tight end. They've only had two decent games against the tight end, and both of those were actually because of the tight end, not because of their defense. Their defense, if you watched the game, gave up play after play to them. It just didn't get capitalized. But the lions use, they use Eric Ebron. He had eight targets last game. If he gets eight targets against Oakland, he's going to get a touchdown, he's going to have 60 yards and a good baseline for you. So he is Mike's.

19:29 ↗

Start of the week. I love Ebron this week. I mean, we always say play the guy against Oakland and Ebron is a talented first-round NFL draft pick. So I like him a lot. What about the Lions running game? Is there anything? Can they get anything going here with, you know? Probably not. Probably not. It's a trap question. Yeah, I mean, I wouldn't start any of them with any semblance of joy or happiness. If I was in a 16-team league, I'd start Joyke Bell.

19:56 ↗

Yeah, that's what it would be. And on the other side of the ball, Latavius Murray, you and I both have them as our number 10 running back this week and RB1, very confident that Murray will get you a kind of a high floor amount of points. And so this game, you know, both defenses struggle quite a bit. Run defenses both have been pretty bad. Both past defenses have been pretty bad. But the Raiders are 31st against the past, which is why we like Stafford quite a bit. You're starting car. Yeah, starting car. You're sending them in?

20:25 ↗

Since we're sitting in the car, he's been very reliable lately. He's been able to do it against good defenses, bad defenses. So I think he is a relatively safe play. I don't expect him to have one of his monster games. There's guys I like ahead of him, but should have a good game in what could be a high scoring affair here. Yeah, yeah, I agree with you. And you have Golden Tate ranked very high compared to how he's performed this season.

20:51 ↗

I don't mind that at all. I mentioned earlier in the week that I liked him, but it's reflected more in your rankings. You have them as the number 19 this week. There you go. A low-end wide receiver, too. His target numbers this year have really been very, very good. So what's happening with him? Why is he not performing? Because he hasn't had those boom games, and he hasn't had the yards after the catch that got him.

21:09 ↗

you know, where he was last year. He was very reliable last year. The yards after the catch are a big deal, which we actually saw this last game. We saw him bust off really late, a longer run. He's been getting a lot of really, really short targets. So his yards per catch this year have just been really tiny. I mean, he's been basically about under 10, whereas you would normally assume a guy like Golden Tate would be getting in the 12 range of his yards per catch. And that's because of the yards after catch. He plays better.

21:39 ↗

at home. So I expect being home against Oakland, he can break off a couple runs. You know, he's going to have five catches. If he breaks something off, he's definitely going to be in the wider receiver two range. All right. The New York Jets travel to Houston to take on the Texans. In this game, what are you expecting to see from the quarterbacks? Because we know that T.J.8 is starting this game. And so I think that makes the Jets obviously a very viable defensive player. Absolutely. I don't see.

22:07 ↗

anything that the Houston Texans can do offensively to win this game. I realize they are tied for the division lead. Congratulations, all you Texans fans. And I think they have a legitimate chance of getting into the playoffs this year. But I don't give them a legitimate chance to win this game. And there's only a two and a half point favorite to the Jets. But I just don't see T.J. Yates getting the job done. Alfred Blue, Chris Polk, and your.

22:34 ↗

number one running back on the week. Oh, come on. You love Grimes. No, I don't love Grimes. You're getting grimy. No, I'm not. No, I don't love Grimes at all. If you're listening, please. That was a joke. Do not play Grimes. Yeah, don't start Grimes over AP or whatever happens when I mention a player. Yeah, I think you just point out that you think Grimes is the better of the three backs. I just think Grimes has been more efficient. The stats tell me he's been the better of the three backs. And if Alfred Blue can't, this is the number one rushing D.

23:02 ↗

Okay. The Jets are the number one against the run, and nobody can run in Houston anyway. So stay away from any running backs. I, unlike what you said on the radio yesterday when you went on the game, I have no problem with Hopkins in this game whatsoever. He will be heavily targeted. He makes catches in traffic. He makes ridiculous catches. He gets ridiculous separation. I have no problem.

23:23 ↗

Starting Hopkins whatsoever. They'll be down in this game and they'll be slinging it around. He's the only past catcher I want to start on Houston, but no problem with Hopkins. Well, now, let's be clear. I don't have a problem starting Hopkins. You said yesterday that you would consider, we have a huge disparity in our rankings with Hopkins. You have them as a two. Exactly. And you said that you would sit him. No, no, no. If somebody had a really deep roster and other guys. Because right now, right now, you would play Mike Evans. I would play Eric Decker right now.

23:53 ↗

Right now, yeah, I would play Mike Evans and Eric Decker over DeAndre Hopkins. And that is insane. But here's why it's not insane. Clinically. Here's why it's not insane. It's not insane because I'm not saying to play Andre Johnson or someone that's not good. We're talking about Mike Evans and Eric Decker have been fantastic. Do you want Eric Decker, DeAndre Hopkins water bet? No, I've got him as my 15th wide receiver. And you have Decker at six.

24:18 ↗

I will give you this. You give me that Hopkins finishes above Mike Evans and Eric Decker. Then I'll take that water bet. The bet is I know he'll finish ahead of Decker. But not Mike Evans? Because you were saying I was clinically crazy to start Mike Evans over DeAndre Hopkins. Well, those you have close in the rankings. I'm not going to put it past Evans to have a boom game with Hopkins facing a good defense. Yeah. So here's the point. Foot Clan, you're listening. Here's the reality of DeAndre Hopkins.

24:48 ↗

Yeah, he's amazing. He's the best. He is amazing. He is going to get a ton of targets, but they're going to be coming from T.J. Yates, which isn't necessarily that much worse than Hoyer anyways. How is it worse? He was way better with Yates last week. He did nothing before Yates came in. Yates fired it to him all the game long. I'm conceding that. He's my number three this week, Foot Clan. Wait a minute. Yonder Hopkins is number three for me. Against Dorel Rivas, you think he's going to be the third best wide receiver. Okay, here, here's a bet for you. Top 10.

25:18 ↗

You have them at 15. I will take that. Absolutely. Waterbeds. I'm glad we found some common ground on the bet, and none in real life. Yeah, and I just want to be clear, because I don't want people sitting DeAndre Hopkins in their league thinking that's what I'm preaching here, because I am not. You would have to have, I mean, put it this way, if you'd have to have three top 12 wide receivers to sit DeAndre Hopkins, who I've got at 15. That's fine. I got you. And if you do, if you got that, then do. All right.

25:48 ↗

Other side of the ball, Marshall and Decker. The big story with Marshall and Decker this year that people need to know, and they've known if you own them, is they are who catches the touchdowns for the New York Jets. The Jets are the highest percentage of their touchdowns, their passing touchdowns, go to wide receivers. They don't have a tight-in that gets involved. They don't really have running backs that get involved. 88% of their passing touchdowns go to wide receivers. And so Marshall and Decker...

26:12 ↗

They've been putting up those numbers. Decker scores. Marshall scores in almost every game. I don't know if there's been a game this year that one of them haven't scored. Yeah, I don't think there has been. Decker has only two games the whole year that he hasn't found the end zone. And one of those games, he didn't play. So that's fair that he didn't get in. So he's got seven touchdowns on the year. He's just a great red zone option. He's one of these guys that week in, week out is a great performer. He's right now the 19th

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