FAN FREQUENCY / ALWAYS ONZERO AFFILIATION. MAXIMUM OBSESSION.
← Back to the archive
Main show · October 22, 2020

Starts of the Week + Week 7 Breakdown, Cereal Killer - Fantasy Football Podcast for 10/22

RSSOct 22, 2020 · transcript indexed
Original source

Starts of the Week + Week 7 Breakdown, Cereal Killer - Fantasy Football Podcast for 10/22

Play original audio ↗

RSS timestamps belong to our exact archived audio capture. The publisher’s current playback may have different ads and timing. Machine transcripts can contain errors.

Inside the episode

150 passages
40:54 ↗

fully participating in practice the rest of the week. Carolina Panthers at 3 and 3 take on the New Orleans Saints at 3 and 2. Saints are 7.5 point favorites. It's a 51 point over under. All five Saints games this year have hit the over for what it's worth. And I would take the over in this one too with the 51 points. What we've seen from Carolina's offense, you know, this is one of those games where I want.

41:22 ↗

I want to believe that the Saints defense can put it together after the buy being how, you know, just what they were last year. We haven't quite seen that in terms of at least in fantasy football. They're 29th in terms of giving up almost 24 points per game to the quarterback position, 32nd against tight ends, middle of the pack against running backs and wide receivers. So on paper, you could look at Carolina on the road here and say, well,

41:48 ↗

Maybe it won't be so bad for Mike Davis, Robbie Anderson, DJ Moore. Is that how you look at it? Do you think that they're going to be okay in this game or is this going to be a tough one for Teddy B on the road? No, I look at it that I'm very interested in everyone from the Carolina Panthers. Everyone that you should play or I should say, every new one that you can play from Carolina, I'm playing them. But that does not extend to Curtis Samuel whether or not he is in. And Ian Thomas, man.

42:14 ↗

They're tied in. That was fun. He has been the biggest disappointment. When we were in the pre-season, the draft season, and looking at the Jonu Smiths and Ian Thomas is and trying to project, you know, I'm happy that I went with Jono and was not on Ian, but I wondered if I was wrong there. And he has had such opportunity. And he's...

42:37 ↗

played great matchups and just stunk. So you cannot start Ian Thomas, even though starting a tight-in against the Saints usually is fantastic. Yeah, as far as Teddy Bridgewater, I wouldn't have the guts or the heart to play him on the road here. He has not been good for fantasy this season outside of the Arizona game, really. So I think you can do better than Bridgewater. But.

43:03 ↗

Robbie Anderson has to be in your lineup every week. Mike Davis has to be in your lineup. DJ Moore should be in your lineup. I think, yeah, I would play him. The Saints secondary is still beat up and he's getting enough targets and has enough talent. He should be in your lineup. Yeah, I mean, he's at least a flex. If Curtis Emil comes back, maybe the targets will go down a little bit, but you guys are right. I'm also fine playing Teddy Bridgewater. I am personally playing Teddy Bridgewater in one of our important leagues. Over who?

43:32 ↗

Um, I, gosh, who did I lose? Uh, is this guy, uh, cool story, bro. Cool story. Great audio. Oh, Lamar. Oh, gosh. Jackson? Jack, that was him. That's the guy. I don't have them. Because of the byway. Yeah. So there's a big setup. Yeah. Um, here's one of the reasons why Bridgewater, yeah, that was on yourself. You just cricketed yourself. Sometimes you've got to be.

44:00 ↗

accountable to yourself. I didn't even realize you were doing a joke. I wonder if it was that bad. I was right there with you guys. I was here for that. Last week against Atlanta, this is the Atlanta we just told the story about the great Matthew Stafford breakout. Bridgewater has been, was 12 last week against Atlanta and they had a history of top six performances. Sure, but 302 is a pretty good line.

44:29 ↗

For a quarterback. I'll water bet somebody that he is outside the top 12 this week. I wouldn't take him as a top 12. I'm with Jason. I'm fine playing Teddy Bridgewater, but I would rather play the other streaming options that we have laid out. Yeah, you've got to buy week, so I guess you don't have a lot of options. Alvin Camara, 21 opportunities per game this year. You should probably play him. Michael Thomas, the truth is, is if he returns, you're probably playing Michael Thomas. I would play him, yeah.

44:57 ↗

There is no quarterback in football that just throws where he should throw more than Drew Brees, if that makes sense. Like you look at the situation and you always want to find an opportunity for Drew Brees. You want to say, oh, it's a Treyquan Smith week, or he won't throw to Camara on this play again. He can't throw to him again. He just, that's his game. It's close to the line of scrimmage. It's Michael Thomas, Alvin Camara. I would expect Thomas to probably outperform expectations if he's active.

45:24 ↗

Yeah, and one name just to throw out here because the matchup is so good for Alvin Camara. Yes. And Mike, you're talking about Deerness Johnson and, you know, people are having to play really deep bad running backs. I think, you know, Latavis Murray, someone in this matchup could end up just like he did two weeks ago with two touchdowns and being used as a goal line guy. And you could do worse. The last couple weeks, he has seen 40% of the running back.

45:54 ↗

attempts. Now, like, you would, you would wish that was a higher number for a player you're going to plug into a fantasy lineup, but against the Carolina Panthers, that, that should be enough to at least give you something. And for clarity, this is not late game carries. This is first drive, first carry of game type of stuff for Latavius Murray. Yeah, he's a vault. Buffalo Bills, four and two on a bit of a losing streak. How do you fix it? Take on the New York Jets. Take them on in New York and then.

46:23 ↗

Have Vegas declare you 13 point favorites. Which, I mean, that's probably too small. That's fair. This game would always be in New York. Yeah. That's a strong point. Well, but no, it's not, though. Isn't it New Jersey? Oh. How funny. That's a fair point. It would only be in New York if the bills were home. Oh, good point, Mike. Well done. 45 point over under.

46:51 ↗

With the bills at 13 point favorites gives the Jets a very generous implied point total of 16 points. Super generous. How do they get 16 points? Genuine question. How does it happen? Michael P. Ryan, baby. Oh, gosh. Please. No. I'm not asking you. I'm asking the fantasy football gods. Show me your mercy. When Michael P. Ryan prays to them, they don't even hear his prayers that he hasn't earned.

47:18 ↗

An audience. Over the last two games, the Jets have averaged five points. They've scored five. They scored 10 points and zero points, but I like being able to say it as they've averaged five points. No, that's great. And Mike, that should be one of the bullet points against you putting Le Michael Pirine into your lineup. Look, there's, Bresad Parringman is somewhat interesting because of the targets he got last week and the fact that he's going to get more downfield work.

47:49 ↗

So I added him to the bench of some leagues to see what transpires. What happens with Perryman? They don't want to throw the ball to James and Crowder this much. I promise you they do not. They have to. Last week it didn't work out as well because they tried to do it a bunch, but it was Joe Flacco behind center. Look, this is a disaster. What is the rule on this show? We're not supposed to talk about the Jets. Yeah, we've already given way too much time. And Mike keeps breaking it with this.

48:16 ↗

Weird P-Rine rhetoric. I don't have a choice. Well, all that being said, you actually did bring up something valuable for fantasy, which is on the Jets, which is Breschad Perriman. All jokes aside, this is a team that has to throw the ball. They're going to be throwing the ball all game, every game, because they're going to be down. And, you know, Perriman is involved. He can get it done if he's getting enough targets, just like James and Crowder's been valuable this year, and he's on the Jets.

48:42 ↗

I don't want a piece of the running game. I want a piece of the passing game. And it's going to be dink and dunk a lot. And it's going to be gross and ugly. But volume, they're still an NFL team that has to play 60 minutes. So I think those two wide receivers are, you know, gross. But you can put them in your flex. They can get you 10 points. Yeah, Perryman in the offseason signing. The difference between right now and Hyperdrive has to be Bursad Parryman. Still warming up the Hyperdrive. Oh, yeah. It's a really long warm up.

49:11 ↗

Yeah. Several weeks. Yeah. Adam Gaze is still the coach? Unfortunately. Okay. Number two. Let's talk about the more exciting situation here. Josh Ellen himself. Josh Allen is. It's time to get it going again. A couple bad weeks for Josh Allen. Yeah.

49:30 ↗

Yeah, I'm not worried about those bad weeks at all in the slightest. I just made a trade for Kyler Murray, and I was bringing it up in the studio. If I could trade Kyler Murray for Josh Allen, even though Kyler Murray is currently the quarterback won, I would do it. The big performances from Josh Allen are capable. Last week, it was a rainy game with the Chiefs that, you know, the passing game didn't work. He had a deep bomb to Diggs that the ball slipped out of his hands in the end zone.

49:59 ↗

Josh Allen to me is still awesome. And if you can buy low on him and get a trade, I would be trading for Josh Allen right now. What do you do at running back? I mean, the matchup's so juicy, but, you know, Zach Moss looked awful last week. Yes, he did. But he could get all the mop-up duty in a game where they're heavily favored. And Devin Singletary didn't look good either. He'll be the first running back out on the field. I feel like he's a flex and Moss is a desperation play. I agree. That's exactly right. I would rather play Latavius Murray.

50:28 ↗

I don't know if I would probably play Devon Singletary ahead of Latavius Murray because of volume, and he's more talented. I would play Latavius Murray ahead of Zach Moss, Le Michael Pry Ryan, Frank Gore, even in a revenge game. I just don't want the running options in this game. All right, John Brown, I don't think you should play him. No, it's too sketchy. Too risky business. And I guess that makes Cole Beasley a dart throw. But Diggs is in your lineup, obviously.

50:57 ↗

The Cowboys at 2 and 4 take on the Washington football team at 1 in 5. Washington. Washington's a one-point favorite. Really? Oh, man. Really? I didn't know that. That's awesome. Wow. No, no, they're not. No way. No, that had to been, that seems wrong to me. I see one and a half. I see Dallas is one and a half. I am vetting. I see Dallas minus one and a half. So I think that's wrong. 47.5 point over under.

51:28 ↗

That would shock me if Washington was favored. I'll bet you that Dallas started the week. Underdogs? No, favored and that it's changed. I will guess that Dallas is still favored. That being said, what a week for the NFC East. We got the Eagles and the Giants. We get Dallas in Washington. And here's the headline there. The NFC East has two victories, most likely, this week. So.

51:57 ↗

It gets better. I love that it can even be most likely. The Washington football team is now favored by a point in this game. So that is the up-to-date line. Yes. So it changed. That is correct. Why? Because of Andy Dalton and the Arizona Cardinals and what people saw in that Dallas game that they believe that the Dallas Cowboys are imploding. As well as, there's been a lot of reports of unnamed sources, very anonymous.

52:27 ↗

player uh yeah coming out and saying that that the coaching has been terrible that they're ill prepared that people are not putting in full effort i mean the vibes you know that's we we try to focus on analytics and we're doing all of the research behind the scenes we don't want to be a narrative street but there is reality to good vibes and bad vibes absolutely and you have to pay attention to this the the vibes are bad in dallas right now

52:55 ↗

as the division leader. Yeah. And, you know, that's the momentum factor. You know, you can see what you saw in the field. Andy Dalton, I know the matchup looks like it's a good one. I don't want to play Andy Dalton. No. Like I'm pretty out on Teddy Bridgewater this week. I would much rather play Teddy Bridgewater with what we've seen him, you know, the weapons he has. There's just a trust factor here. And the trust is zero. Like with the ultimate draft kit, we have risk ratings.

53:25 ↗

The risk rating for Andy Dalton is 9.9 out of 10 on the week because he could go out and give you two points at the quarterback position due to turnovers, missing guys, sacks, you know, the defensive line in Washington could put some pressure on him that turns him into probably the Andy Dalton that he is now. So are you pivoting away from the Dallas Cowboys pass catching options?

53:52 ↗

Not Amari Cooper because the volume, I mean, he's a top five targeted guy. He might be number one in football right now in total targets. He's up there. And he's the wide receiver seven on the year. So, no, I'm not moving away from Amari Cooper. I watched that game against Arizona. And every first read was Amari Cooper. I kept looking to see, will Lamb get this ball? Will Gallup get the ball? He's looking for Cooper first. So I think by process of volume, he's fine. But outside of that, yeah, I'm not really excited. So you'll move away from C.D. Lamb?

54:21 ↗

It didn't. Lame ended up with 70 yards. He ended up with seven receptions in that game. But, no, I'm not super excited about it. Wide receiver three on the week. Okay. You know, that's fine. Yeah, Michael Gallup is out. He is not in play. In a funny thing of statistical anomaly, Washington remains very strong against fantasy wide receivers because the tight end just destroys them.

Next passages →