Week 11 Matchups + In-or-Out, Magic Eye Jealousy

Yeah, that's why I kind of, I'm looking Eifford's way, and if I'm digging through the trash bag, pulling out a ring. Eifford should have an opportunity for some targets in this game. They're 30th against the, you know, tight ends in fantasy. There's a possibility that Eifert does what he did last week, gets into the end zone, is a safety valve for Ryan Finley in this game. Yeah, it's the, it's a tough decision here for the Raiders DST to play them.

Or not, because they're not a great defense. I mean, you look across the board. Yeah, but last week they were very good. Yes. And they're still at home. I think the riding high. I think this is a, I would absolutely play. I mean, there's defenses I would play over them, but I would play the Raiders defense here. The nice thing about that decision is that even if the Raiders give up some points, Ryan Finley's probably going to give them back. Sure. So that's the nice thing about when you, you know, whether there's Driscoll, Finley, Hoyer.

You've always got the pick six possibility. Speaking of Driscoll, the breaking news from Sleeper was Matt Patricia does not expect Stafford to play. Yeah, yeah, that's really unfortunate. I think he has Washington next week, and he was a highly targeted guy for the Patrick Mahomes buy in week 12. People might have to pivot because, you know, Stafford was on a roll, but dealing with the back injury. Sunday night football, the Bears, the Rams. The Rams are six and a half point favorites.

Bears are four and five. Rams are six and a half point favorites. But it's a very low overrunner. It's a 40 point overrunner because you got the Bears defense. And then you got the Bears offense. And the implied point total is only 16.7 points for the Bears. And Mitch Trubisky's like, yeah, let's get there. I've seen this game before. You've seen it. We saw it last year. Yeah, Jared, Jared Goff had a real game against the Bears. He did. It was real bad.

Now, that game was in Chicago. Thank you. This is at home. Trubisky v. Gough. I cannot wait for this in prime time. In prime time. This is terrible. I mean. Can they not flex games out this week, the NFL? I thought they did. Because this can't be the mad. No, they flexed next week. Yeah. The Packers have been flexed next week. But this, they're like, yeah, this is the one we're going to stick with.

They're going to be playing episodes of another show in the corner, like their own built-in. To keep people watching. Like to keep them engaged. How do you not have Lamar versus Watson? So the Rams, who I think we can agree that the primary struggle has been caused by the offensive line. They went from having a great offensive line to a bad offensive line. According to Pro Football Focus, they have...

by a mile the widest gap difference in rating between their offensive line one year to the next. That was prior to losing two more offensive linemen. They now have the traded-for backup Browns offensive line bust who's a center coming in and playing guard this week. I mean, it is a hodgepodge on the offensive line.

with Khalil Mack there. I guess that's why I was surprised to see the Rams favored by almost a touchdown. But this is a, I mean. Well, they're home. And it's a ghastly fantasy proposition for a lot of players in this league. Adjusted perspective for Todd Gurley. He's basically a touchdown dependent type of player. Yeah. And a huge disappointment for fantasy owners hoping he would get the ball more, be a part of a very fluid offense that hasn't manifested.

My problem with Goff is he's been thrown into the fire. This reminds me of the year that the Raiders offensive line deteriorated from a top three to something that all of a sudden Carr had to try to execute outside the pocket, improvise. Goff hasn't shown he's capable of that. If you call a slip screen to the right side, Goff doesn't care what the defensive line is doing. You better believe he's throwing it. He's going to throw the ball. And that should be discouraging for.

Those of you there are got a good soldier should follow orders. Yeah, and mind you, hopefully the Bears and Rams were both watching Mason Rudolph last night, and then they feel great about their quarterback situation. That's all I'm saying. David Montgomery, you talked about the issue. Terry Cohen, is there an opportunity there for, you got some work last week, scored? Are you looking at him? He scored, but his actual usage was four receptions.

three carries. The week before it was two receptions, two carries, three receptions, four carries. He scored. Yeah, but he's hurt. Yeah, I was going to say, but at the same time, the last three weeks for Montgomery were 27, 14 and 17 carries. If Montgomery is hurt or limited and they need to get him a little bit more involved, I would be surprised if he doesn't end up with, you know, eight or nine carries to go along with the targets. He might, but I honestly think if Montgomery is...

like can't go in this game or he goes down in the middle of it. I think you'll see Ryan Knoll take work. I don't think they'll thrust it all upon Tariq Cohen. Maybe. Or Patero Patterson. Or even Cordero-Patterson. I just, I don't see the work for Cohen going up to a point where you're super excited to play. So you play ballage over Cohen? Yes. Okay. I'm personally pretty worried about Alan Robinson, getting the Jenlin Ramsey coverage. Your upside is capped. And you know the downside. The downside is Mitch Trubisky.

hurling a few errant targets his way, and then like two weeks ago, you're in trouble. So I'm concerned. It doesn't mean I wouldn't play him at all. It just means don't expect him to win you the week. Make plans with the rest of your roster to get upside elsewhere. He's the only brown. He's the only bear that I think has a realistic...

shot of starting on my fantasy rosters this week. I'm pivoting from Montgomery where I can. I would never touch Mitchell Trebisky. There are no other options. The real question marks here are on the other side of the ball, specifically the biggest name as far as what do you do is Robert Woods. Robert Woods has been disappointing on the season, had a great game last week.

Well, seven for 95. I know, but you've redefined great game for Robert Woods right there based on last year to this year. I mean, that sucks to not get Robert Woods high-in production this year at all. Sure. I think seven for 95 is a very, I mean, if you did that every week, you'd. He's still yet to score touchdown on the year. That's the difference. That was like a bad game for him last year. That's all I'm saying. Yeah, sir, I'm playing Robert Woods.

Yeah, I am too. And Josh Reynolds is playing on 100% of snaps. Is he somebody that you'd look at this week? Gerald Everett, Josh Reynolds? I would prefer not to play Reynolds this particular week with this matchup. I don't think golf is going to have a good game. So like even Cooper Cup, you're playing him. But it wouldn't shock me to see another low disappointing game from Cup. Yeah, I mean, I'm starting Cup. I'm personally starting Woods.

And I think you start Todd Gurley. Those three are in your lineup and you just hold your breath. You know, you hope that golf can do enough. It's ironic because I would not start golf here at all. I like Everett. Yeah, he's definitely in play. Chicago's allowed the third most fantasy points to the tight end over the last month. And when I watched the game last week, seemed like the most comfortable target for golf last week was Everett. Everett is.

Honestly, he's now in that realm of just he's in every week tight end. He's not an upper tier one. But you're not digging through the trash form. Right. Yeah. Yeah. If you look, four, since week four and they had their buy-in there. So you're talking about six, four of six matchups. He's been a top ten tight end. Gerald, compare that to Waller. Waller in the last six matchups has been a top ten tight-end.

Once, a top 12 tight-in once. Gerald Everett is questionable with the wrist, but Sean McVeigh expects him to play. Would you play Robert Woods or Christian Kurt? Woods. Okay. Fair enough. I was going to ask a Sammy Watkins question, but.

I had the... We're about to get to it. I heard the end. Had the answer. Chiefs six and four. Chargers four and six. Chiefs lost last week and that stunner in this game, they're four and a half point favorites. It's a 52.5 over under, Jason. Oh, Philip Rivers. Here we go. Implied point total of 24. You can't complain about that. Oh, I can't. I mean, there... Not till Monday. But you want to know what else I couldn't complain about his matchup last week and Philip Rivers should have been great and he looked like he was...

washed. He looked like he was D-U-N. And so I do worry about whether or not he's going to get it together. That was, you know, the first week with the new offensive coordinator. Or second week. Second. Yeah. Yeah, the game is in Los Angeles. Mahomes had a great return to the lineup last week. He's got his weapons available to him. We call Nicole Hardman a lot of things. You can call him the Wild Card. The one touch man.

The wild card. If you get him the ball, anything can happen. All it takes is one touch. But this is an interesting game to me. Damien Williams starts the decisions on him. He's one of the guys that people want to know, Brian Hill or Damian Williams. Damian Williams. Yeah, I think Damian Williams is a great start. He was almost my start of the week this week. He's our running back 13. The chargers are very porous against the run.

and Damien Williams appears to have the job. What about the other side? Melvin Gordon, Austin Echler, in this matchup. Are you starting both players? Yeah, Melvin Gordon, you can play with full confidence finally, which is nice if you were holding on to Melvin Gordon the entire season. Echler, it's a little bit riskier. The snap percentage is much lower with the new OC, 35 and 45%. He's still getting enough work. I mean, saved his week last week with that touchdown.

But with the over-under, with the ability of the Chiefs to kind of get up by multiple scores against the Chargers, Echler is in play for me for half and full-point DPR. Yeah, you're talking about a game that Vegas expects to be very high-scoring for obvious reasons, and the Chiefs are dead last in fantasy points given up to the running-back position. So I think you could start both of these guys. I agree that you don't have the same confidence in Echler, but this is a game script where if they...

actually utilize his screen game, they might need to, and he could end up having a very good game. So I'm fine starting Echler. All right. Say it at the same time. Rest of season, Austin Echler is an RB2. 2. Okay, RB2. You're in agreement. Keenan Allen, he's the wide receiver 30 over the last month. Is this the week we get the breakout? At home last year against Kansas City, it was 8 for 108 and 1.

Is Keenan Allen going to finally deliver? I believe the answer is yes. I'm in that camp. I am as well. He is receiving a consistent target share. He simply hasn't scored and a little bit inefficient compared to his previous years with Philip. And, you know, look, if you look at the stretch of games, he had that just terrible run.

where he was very disappointing. Denver, whose defense has been great. Pittsburgh, whose defense has been great. Tennessee, whose defense is pretty good. Chicago, whose defense is great. Green Bay, their secondary has shut a lot of people down. Right. I mean, last week against Oakland, he was the wide receiver 20. He wasn't the breakout game you wanted, but this is a matchup where, yeah, he's going to be just fine. It's going to be a good fantasy option. Mike Williams in this game or Sammy Watkins. My answer is Mike Williams. Mike Williams. I would agree. Sammy Watkins.

continues to dominate targets and do nothing with them. 49, 44, 57, 139, 51, 30, 40. That's his fantasy finishes since week one. That is a player that should never touch your lineup. Yeah. But he's still like a wide receiver two on the season because that week one. Oh, that victory lap was fast. He's finally dripped himself down to wide receiver 32 on the season. Oh. So the truth is beginning to emerge.

All right. And then Travis Kelsey, Hunter Henry, those are smash plays this week. Yep. And Hunter Henry's been very consistent since returning. Wait. Sammy Watkins or McCall Hardman? One of what, that's insane. Because you have to go Sammy. He's on the field. He's getting targets. But if you look at the last. No, I'm going McCall Hardman. I mean, just look at the fantasy finishes of the last two months. Since week one. Since week one. He said, McCle Hardman's been in the top 24, four times. He's been in the top 30.

Two other times. Exactly. He's been, it's so weird because I have such a hard time recommending people to start a guy who's barely playing. But if you do every single week, you have been winning the majority of those, of that game. It's crazy. It is a bit of a antithetical circumstance for fantasy owners. It goes against the grain of what we know and love about targets and volume and snap percentage. But there's not, there's like two people in the NFL that are as fast.