Week 15 Buy or Sell + Semi-Finals Mailbag, Lizard Rules

It's not a joke. We all have Sonos systems. I love my Sonos system throughout my house. Go to sonos.com to learn more and complete your holiday shopping. All right. Let's talk Thursday. Thursday night breakdown. I'm not going to get into it, Jason. But like while you were talking some sort of let's kick the tires on AB, Philadelphia, while you were doing that, Antonio Brown was, uh,

He's handling Twitter. Was working on his Twitter some more. Amazing. Yeah. My favorite part of this whole thing is how you said, I'm not going to talk about it, just talked about it. Not the details. I wasn't going to get into the details about the tweets and things like that. Uh-oh. So he's out? I'm just, I was just saying, like, maybe you don't.

look his direction. Yeah. The Jets at 5 and 8 at the Ravens 11 and 2. Ravens are Mondo favorites, as I said. 14.5 point favorites. 30 point implied point total. The Jets at 14.5. Vegas looking at the game and saying we don't care about your quad because we got you at 30 points. You know, do you have confidence or the gut to trot out? Do you have it? Jets offensive options.

For fantasy football purpose. No, I don't. I benched Robbie Anderson in the Dynasty League where he was a big part of my win last week. No, I'm not. There's no option here. I mean, Lev Bell would be, I assume he's going to be back and he's probably a must start running back two option. I don't think the upside is there, but he gets enough work to be. Levy on Bell or.

You were able to pick up DeAndre Washington off the waiver wire. Yeah, I was going to mention they added Rod Smith to their team. It's looking like Josh Jacobs is likely to miss again. So Washington would start again. I would go with my start of the week. Spoiler. This is the second start of the week we've talked about DeAndre Washington. So that sounds like Leveon Bell is not a must play. Well, no, he's not a must play. Right now he's my running back 22. So like I said, a running back two that you're probably going to play.

You know, you're going to play him over Sony Michelle and options like that. All right. Lev Bell on the road in Baltimore. Probably a very, I mean, he's already been a low-ceiling player. So you're looking at, like, hoping for eight to ten points from him. Levian Bell or Karim Hunt against Arizona? I'll take my shot on Kareem Hunt. I would go Lev-Bel. Levy on Bell. Oh, you over Kareem? Yeah. All right. Levy on Bell.

Give me mustard. I wasn't going to go there. I was going to go with the prodigal son, David Montgomery against Green Bay. I would go Lev Bell. Yeah, I would play Levin. I mean, I realize this is not a good matchup. And I, you know, that's that's 100% true. But if you look at Lev Bell's season going all the way back to week five, he's had two bad games. And every other game has not been great. Like I'm not saying like, oh, he's top five. But he's been inside the top 24 running back every single week other than those two. He's.

he's been there's just volume you know it's like joe mixon it's the exact same thing as early season joe mixon you're just choosing opportunity right yes that's that's all it is i know he's going to touch the ball 15 you know times and that's just something rare in fantasy when you're talking about those just rough to start i agree all pals hurt tie montgomery's hurt i agree with the volume but you know you're starting a player who's not going to score a touchdown correct

I wanted to retort. In your fantasy playoffs, knowing your running back has pretty much no chance of scoring a touchdown. That sucks. Yeah, he's not going to touch him. Yeah. That's for sure. If there's a prop bet on that, bet the zero. I mean, I really want to say, well, no, he could, but how? Exactly. The touchdown's not happening. You're hoping. Is that 10 to 1 odds that he scores the touchdown? 15 to 1?

10 to 1 sounds right. I mean, it's one of those things where you're hoping for 100 combined yards. Which he could get. Absolutely. You get, you know, 60. Oh, he's going to do some math. rushing yards and 40. Oh, my gosh, you did it. You did it. But, you know, with several receptions. Surprises didn't go 50, 50. And then you're fine. I do something about him saying he could get 100 yards. Now, the way he could do that, it could be like 54.

And then like 46. And then the 63, you know, it's like, all right. Really, any combination. Mark Ingram, you're going to play him in this matchup at home. I don't have any confidence to play Hollywood Brown at all. Hollywood Brown's floor is zero. That's what you got 107th and 105th at the position the last two weeks. You always have a shot with him, but you haven't seen a real big play from him in a while.

The Los Angeles Rams game was like 30-something yards receiving. He just happened to get in the end zone. The Jets are, the place where they're beatable is the fantasy-wide receiver 22nd, allowing 31 points per game to fantasy-wide receivers. But it could just as easily be, I mean, the last several weeks, you look at the box score and you see Hayden Hurst and Boyle and Andrews, and I just don't have the confidence. It's not a volume play.

Would you agree with that? Yes. You're hoping for a big play. I agree that he is risky. But he's risky, but the match. Ravens wide receivers have a 43% market share. That's the, that's the, when you love the tight end. When you look at the box score and like last week, the Big Hayden Hearst play, Nick Boyle caught a touchdown. Mark Andrews is returning to practice today or yesterday.

He returned to practice. And then we've been wondering how healthy is he for this game? How much is he needed? Are you just playing him if he's active? Because we've been here before with Mark Andrews. Oh, my goodness. Yeah. I mean, if Mark Andrews is active, I can't imagine that you just have a better option sitting out there. You know, if Jack Doyle type options, I mean, you're going to play, you're going to play Mark Andrews. And, you know. So sketchy. But would you play like in one of my leagues I picked up Ian Thomas? No, that's a, that's a good one.

Ian Thomas. The Thursday night matchup is the problem. I still think Andrews has the much higher ceiling. You know, you talk touchdowns, right? Mark Andrews has a much higher probability of getting a touchdown than Ian Thomas does. But I do think Ian Thomas's floor is safer right now when you take away the injury and the matchup for Ian Thomas is good. But would you, Mike, would you consider doing like a pick up Nick Boyle in weight on the activity? Boyle had 90% of snaps last week.

Mark Andrews had 9%. Yeah. What was the target split? Do you have it in front of Hearst and Boyle? Hearst has been really, really bad. Okay. If you look over the last eight weeks, Boyle has more productive games than Hearst does. And a higher floor, obviously Hurst had the one giant. They both are not fantasy options you want to look at.

You don't think so. I'm not going to look at Boyle or Hearst here. The Jets are surprisingly good at tight-in, and it's not just because of who they've played. Or playing defense against the tight-in? Yes. Playing defense against the tight-in, they match up very well. They shut down, like, their own tight-ins. Yes. That's how good they are. Yeah. They're like, Herndon, you're out of here. Yeah. Brian Griffin, don't practice.

So, yeah, I'm not, you know, I'm willing to play Mark Andrews. It is dicey. That's where I was going to say with your matchup, I think it depends on your opponent. You know, if you're projected to win and the rest of your roster is better than the rest of his roster, I might roll Ian Thomas there just to avoid getting a possible goose or, you know, the injury involved there. If you're playing against a really tough.

you know, competition and you need, you need all your team to have the best touchdown upside, then I think that's Mark Andrews. I was just looking at this. This is unbelievable. The first five weeks of the season, the Ravens were bottom 10 against, they were like middle of the pack against quarterback, bottom 10 against running back, bottom 10, they were good, they were a plus matchup. And right now they are on the season. That's so funny. I totally forgot about it. On the season, they are.

excellent across the board now. And that includes, so that means after week five, they've just been shut down central. Yeah, heading into this game, the Jets are 32nd in yards per play, 31st and rushing yards, 30 second in pressure rate allowed, it's going to be bad. Yes, not good. If you believe, I want to say this, and I don't know if it has any value, so why say it, right? Why not? At this point, I want to hear it. But if you believe,

that Vegas is right about this game, I would not be surprised if Gus Edwards has a very nice performance over the second half of the game. Yeah, cleans up. Jets are beaten up mentally. Physically, the game's over, and Gus has a way of finding production at the end of these matchups. That makes sense. All right, let's go ahead and get into the mailbag. What do you say, Mike? You in? You in? Uh, yep. Mailbag. Mailbag.

All right. If you have a question, head to the website, the fantasy footballers.com. That was baby macho man. Oh. I get it. Oh, yeah. Is he as cute as baby Yoda? Cuter. Impossible. Impossible. You ever seen a baby with those giant snowboater goggles and a huge beard?

A baby? A baby with a beard. He's also really bald. The beard got me. The glasses were cute. Yeah, the cute was going and then the beard. That's season two of Mandalorian. The baby macho man is. Baby Yoda versus baby macho man. They're just going to lean in to the cute factor, which is winning. All right. The website, the fancy footballers.com, you can go there. There's a start sit tool. It will help you with your matchup decisions. If we don't touch on something this week, Thursday, Friday, we have all of the matchup breakdowns.

And so stay tuned for that. You can dial our voicemail hotline 302464 TFFB. We're going to jump into one of those questions now. What's up, Ballers? This is a little Kentucky. Just wondering if I roll out Lamar Jackson and tomorrow's Thursday night game or if I continue streaming Ryan Tannahill. Thanks, guys. Love the show. Oh, Lamar Tanahill. Yeah, it's Lamar. It's Lamar Jackson. It's Lamar. But what about, no, it's Lamar.

I just want to be cute. I get it because Tanna Hills seems like an excellent option this week, but it's Lamar. His, he's just so good. And even though Tana Hill was a good match of a couple weeks ago when he let you down a little bit and didn't give you the rushing yardage. And he's great, but he's Ryan Tanyhill. This is Lamar Jackson. I totally understand. Lamar Jackson has the quad injury and you worry, okay, comes out, he aggravates it. They're up. They want to rest him. That is within the realm.

of possibility. But it's not that it's without, you know, within the realm of possibility for Tannahill is an equally bad game just on, you know, he plays his whole game and doesn't throw touchdown. So both of them have a low floor, but only Lamar has the ceiling that he has right now in fantasy football. Yeah, Tana Hill was 22nd two weeks ago against Indianapolis in a game that we thought maybe he'd do better. Lamar has never finished 22nd the entire year and is, uh, he's just,

Automatic. And this team, in my opinion, they're too smart. They're too well run. They don't play a guy in this situation that you need to win a Super Bowl unless he can play. And he says he's fine. And he's built of a different material than most people. It really stinks for half of everybody in the playoffs right now. Those of you playing against Lamar Jackson. You should be afraid. We are playing against Adam Rank and he has Lamar Jackson. And I was really hoping that they gave him just a heel-up week.

Just to get better, Lamar. Yeah, yeah. Probably not going to happen. All right, let's hit another question. What's up, Ballers? This is Brian in Kansas City. Hey, I am weak at wide receiver. I had Robert Woods and Marvin Jones. Jones got placed on IR. Sammy Watkins is on the waiver wire, staring me in the face. The lizard king himself. Do I dare pick him up and play him? Thanks for your help. Are you a masochist?

Nope. It takes all of my willpower to restrain the amount of things I want to say against Sammy Watkins when his name comes up. Go pick up. Let's see. Who could possibly be on the waiver war? Anthony Miller could be on there. I'd play him. Chris Conley could be on the waiver. I'd play Robbie Anderson against Baltimore over Sammy Watkins. What about? Obviously, we've got Zach Pascal if he's still out there. What about Marcus Johnson? I'd play Marcus Johnson.

Three times before I put San Joaquins once. I think I would as well. About Cole Beasley. Mike, would you mind reading the wide receiver depth chart for every team in the National Football League? All right. All right. I got a good one for you, Andy. I would play, yes. Al Borland just sent me a message. He says he's got a good one. That's the one. Would you play Justin Watson? Yes. Superstar over Sammy Watkins. I will not put Sammy Watkins into my roster.