Fairly certain Kenyon Drake's stat line is not going to impress. I mean, how many carries would you expect right now as the team stands? For Kenyon Drake? For Kenyon Drake? Like 100 and I was literally going to say about 105. Yeah, I see in the 120s. And that's just not going to get it done for fantasy. Yeah, and he may not even hit that. He may be just utilized in more gadgetry third down, passing situations, draw plays, you know, real fun.
Free Agency Winners & Losers, Big-Time Trades, Dynasty Download - Fantasy Football Podcast for 3/30
Free Agency Winners & Losers, Big-Time Trades, Dynasty Download - Fantasy Football Podcast for 3/30
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Inside the episode
126 passagesAnd also their offensive line got decimated in free agency. Yes, it did. By themselves. Like, they chose to do this. Yeah. Mike, your biggest loser of the free agency period. I'm going with the, the incumbents of the New York wide receiver core. Yes, Golden Tate is out, but he was only about 14% of the target share. Sterling Shepard.
Meanwhile, last year, he was 23. He had a 23% target share when he was playing. Slayton, a 19% target share. You now have Kenny Galdi coming in. What's his target share going to be? 23% at the lowest? 25. You got paid to be that guy. So, yeah, he's coming in. He is going to see targets.
In that, then you have Sequin Barclay, who was back, which back in 20,000, or 20,000. 20,000, 2019. Can you keep that conversation going? That's when you go, when you switch from 2019 to 2019 in the middle, that's what happened. You get 20,019, which is still a ways off. Yeah, that's, but he saw, he had a 15% target share in 2019. So, like,
Shepard, maybe Shepard stays in the low 20s, but something has to give here. Like Jarius Slayton, it's similar to people's love for Gabe Davis. If you want to know what can go wrong with Daniel Jones, look at a 23% target share and a 19% target share for his top two targets in both of those players were irrelevant nine times out of 10. Sure. That's the scary part about betting on Daniel Jones for Kennedy Galli. Like Jason pointed out, you had an injured.
Daniel Jones and you had some other players involved. Yeah, I mean, he has to make the leap without question. He has to go from a 3,000 yard passer to a 4,000 yard passer, and Sequin's going to help. I mean, if you want to make excuses for Daniel Jones, they're there. I mean, the new offensive coordinator last year got hurt and then lost Sequin. That is not a recipe for success. Stop fumbling and throw the ball to Kenny Goliday and let him fumble if he wants to. Just don't do it yourself. Not my fault.
Other losers, maybe Lamar Jackson. I mean, all the big wide receivers said, no thanks, as you said. He's ever Sammy. Yeah, I wouldn't call him a fantasy loser. He's still going to be sorry. He doesn't need to throw the ball. Right. Yeah, it's not his thing. And then is Jonathan Taylor a winner, loser neutral with Marlon Mack and then losing their left tackle? It sucks to lose your left tackle, but Marlon Mack coming back with an Achilles injury.
I'm going to bet against him. I've got a huge loser that I would like to now be. Brian Ketran. Maybe on level with, well, obviously. It's Devante Parker. Devante Parker is a huge free agency loser. Yes. One part losing Ryan Fitzpatrick from the offense and one part Will Fuller's arrival. Sure. And then the eventual one of these million draft picks going to another wide receiver. I mean, there's a chance that it's a Jamar Chase. It's a.
Devante Smith and then Will Fuller. And then Devante Parker is sitting there going, you know, in his study at home with pictures of Ryan Fitzpatrick on the wall remembering the good times. He's the Wolverine meme. It's one of those things where... I think Devante Parker could be done for fantasy. If I'm a quarterback and I drop back to throw the ball and I've got a guy who can catch a contested catch in Devante Parker or a guy that's open. I'm going to throw to the one that is open and that's going to be Will Fuller.
Yeah, I think they'll add a big name too. So Chase Claypool, I would say that that is a, having Juju come back with the amount of targets that Juju gets does not help Claypool. Certainly hurts the, you know, but did he lose? I mean, he just didn't move up. He was a presumed winner. Right. Because all the expectation was that Juju was going to leave, but nothing actually changed for him. I guess I see what you're saying. We all anticipated him being in the winner column. It was a push. Yeah. Okay.
Are you guys ready for our brand new Dynasty Download segment? Oh, am I? We got new graphics for it, too. Ooh. Dynasty Download. What? Good job on that one, Mike. Hold on a minute. It's a little tamer than your usual drop. Yeah, that's different. What is this? Why have I been conspired against? Why did I work on a Sunday so that we could put that into the podcast? Look, I have your real drop. I have your, here's the truth. Now the graphic.
Did you like the graphic? The graphic of Jay Gris playing dueling banjos on a guitar for some reason. And then break dance. Well, look, I got breaking news for you. That was actually me on the guitar. Oh. We knew that this segment was coming quick. And I didn't, I'll be honest, I didn't expect you to work on a Sunday. And I knew we had it on Tuesday. I'm committed. I wasn't sure that you were going to have it in time. And I wanted to fill in the gap for you. So I grabbed my guitar. And I threw it up there. And I got it.
I got it going. Dynasty Download. It's almost as good as Mike's usual ones. That forest in the background? It really pumps you up. I thought this would be the official segment, but Mike, you did come through and I'll hit the button now. Dynasty Download. The graphics are way better on yours, Andy. What am I doing? You're having a good time.
That is boring not safe for work. All right. Dynasty download. Goodness gracious. Make sure to subscribe on YouTube. We're going to be spending some time. We thought it would be fun to surprise you, Mike. Oh, well, I've surprised by both. Okay. Yeah. We want to spend some time talking about some dynasty fantasy football topics. Some of these segments are going to be built around.
Average draft position, movers, shakers, who's going up, who's going down in dynasty, startup drafts. Some of them are going to be built around kind of, I guess, changing opinions on certain players. And so today we're going to talk about some of the second year wide receivers, three players, Henry Ruggs, the third, Michael Pittman Jr. and Leviscus, Jeanalt Jr. Last year, just to refresh your memory, their ADP, Henry Ruggs was going off the board as the wide receiver 34.
78th overall. Michael Pittman was the wide receiver 40 and Leviska Chenault, the wide receiver 50. Which makes complete sense. This year, as of right now, after their rookie campaigns, Henry Ruggs has dropped all the way from wide receiver 34 down to wide receiver 52, which is the 120th off the board overall. And then Pittman's gone up two spots from wide receiver 40 to wide receiver 38.
Chanel has gone up the most. Wide receiver 50 to wide receiver 32. So he is going off the board six picks or six wide receivers ahead of Michael Pittman. I know he is my favorite between those two. But the rookie campaigns for these three wide receivers, I think in some ways, like, Chanel's, it was solid, especially for a team that went and pursued the first pick in the draft.
Yeah, Chanel showed on the field that he is an NFL player, that he can hang. Most targets of the three, most receptions of the 358. Yeah, when I look at these three players, Ruggs is last for me. That part is easy. I still don't believe that Ruggs will.
turn into something special. He'll be, uh, utilized. And I mean, part of this is when, when he was coming in as a rookie last year, I saw him fitting the mold of, you know, a, uh, a downfield fast, uh, a Derek car special. Sure. Well, hmm.
No, I just watched Kyle the Borgogan posted every deep shot for Henry Ruggs on the season. I watched those, and Derek Carr missed him on quite a few where he was open. But I just, for fantasy purposes, for fantasy purposes, I don't think he's going to be the type of player that I enjoy on my team, where, okay, if I get a bomb touchdown, I'm happy. Otherwise, he pretty much let me down. What about this spot?
That he's going in, though, for this year in Dynasty startups. I mean, wide receiver 52 off the board, a significant 18 wide receiver drop from last year. It's probably too low. That's what I'm curious. If, Mike, you would, redemption can be had for Henry Ruggs? It can be had. I'm with Jason. Of the three, Henry Ruggs is third on the list for guys I want for my fantasy team. But wide receiver 52 feels like an overcorrection on the possible outcomes.
He was still a first round pick. You have to, his dynasty, right, where things that feel like they are a forever situation can change rapidly. When A.J. Brown was drafted to the Tennessee Titans, it was a death sentence for his fantasy value. That changed halfway through the season, and he immediately showed, oh, this is like a top five dynasty wide receiver.
Had no idea how to value him and you were scared to draft him. So things can change rapidly, even though it looks like they're locked in for years. So why does he were 52 for a player of rugs caliber and draft capital? I think it's a little bit, we're giving up too quick on rugs. Now, Pittman is funny because you say things can change quickly. Things will probably change quickly for Pittman again because.
You come into this year, last year it was very temporary. You knew Philip Rivers was not long for the NFL. Now you have Carson Wentz. There's no guarantees that he's their future. Sure. You also have T.Y. Hilton coming back on a one year deal. So the imminent kind of ceiling for Pittman might not be, you know, he was 40 for 503 and one last year. Is this a player that you think has the potential to put up 75 receptions this season? I do.
I do personally. Pitman would be my number one of these three. Pitman, Chanel, then Ruggs. He, with the, what happened with T.Y. Hilton and the contract, it's, to me, just trying to read the T. Leaves, it feels like the Colts were okay if they had to move on from T. Way Hilton. Yes, you would want him on your football team, but they played enough hardball to say, no, you can come back if you want, we'll take you, but we're.
We don't have to have you on this team. And the way that this coaching staff in Reich, there was just like a recent comment about how he feels like he got a steel in the draft, getting Michael Pittman where they got him. And he has the physical skill set, the size. Like Pittman to me can be a number one wide receiver. And if Carson Wentz has anything left, if Frank Wright can get Carson Wentz back to.
anything remotely close to good Carson Wins, that Michael Pittman is going to be a very solid wide receiver too. I go Chinolt Pitman rugs. Mike, you go Pittman-Shallt rugs. Jason? I lean Chanel first. I think from a dynasty outlook, you know, you talk about, well, if Carson Wins can get better, who would I rather?
be the quarterback of my future wide receiver. I would much rather have Trevor Lawrence. He hasn't done it yet, but I think his future is brighter than Carson Wince. And, you know, when you combine that with DJ Charks contract situation, I think the future. Marvin Jones is there right now, too. Very well be, right. I mean, you know, you got to have wide receivers. But he's older. I'm from a dynasty outlook. I think that, you know,
Coming into 2022 and on, Leviska could end up being a very, very highly sought after fantasy piece. One last question regarding these three. Would you trade any of them for an early second round rookie draft pick? No. No way. Not even rugs. No. Third pick of the second round. Maybe, maybe rugs. I feel like I... Because I like a lot of the wide receivers coming out.
they could quickly elevate over rugs. I think I would keep all three of these wide receivers. Ooh. Look at you Jason. Last pick of the first round. Last pick of the first round. Dynasty rookie draft. Sure. I would trade rugs for. Hang on to the other two with that pick. I would. Okay. All right. We do have some rookie preview shows coming in next week, which is going to help in your upcoming rookie drafts.
