But, yeah, I'll bet you're right. I mean, they have very few weapons there. But I think this could be a team when you look at the transactions they've made that could be playing the longer rebuild game, in which case maybe they decide to try to deal with the trenches and upgrade the defense. So I don't think it's a lock that they take a superstar. Yeah, I don't either. I think it's just me, but I...
Free Agency Winners & Losers, Big-Time Trades, Dynasty Download - Fantasy Football Podcast for 3/30
Free Agency Winners & Losers, Big-Time Trades, Dynasty Download - Fantasy Football Podcast for 3/30
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Inside the episode
126 passagesFor them to spend a high pick on a wide receiver right now doesn't make sense. I think they'll do it. Teams do stuff all the time that I think doesn't make sense. They want to win this year. Okay. They do. They 100% do. They should change divisions. No, man. They're in. Biting kneecaps. Mike, who do you have is your biggest winner of the offseason? Well, so I kind of think about it in a couple different ways where it,
We've talked about it. It wasn't the most active free agency period. To me, the biggest winner is Aaron Jones, who gets paid a good amount of money and his situation doesn't change. He comes back. He's going to be incredible for fantasy. Well, his situation did change because he's still the starting running back for the Green Bay Packers with Aaron Rogers. And now Jamal Williams is not there to take as much passing work away from him because A.J. Dillon.
I don't think right now. I'm not going to project that A.J. Dillon will take away as much passing work or two-minute drills as Jamal Williams did to Aaron Jones. But to talk about someone who actually moved teams, Ryan Fitzpatrick is not just the biggest fantasy winner. He's the biggest NFL winner. You had rumors of him. Maybe he's going to retire. John Clayton bringing that hot news. Yeah, thanks Clayton. But.
Do you not remember the group? Oh, yeah. I got it. I thought that one. That was great. Yeah. But now he should be the starting quarterback. He has to win the job. Wink, wink, wink from Taylor Heineke. But he's going to be the starting quarterback from a playoff team last year who has an elite defense. He's surrounded by great offensive weapons. Like Ryan Fitzpatrick could go to the playoffs this year. And if they don't, it's his fault completely.
Probably. Probably because they were already in the playoffs. Probably because they made the playoffs. Right. With a really bad quarterback play last year. So he would be my guy. I mean, you have. And that's trickle down, right? Yes. Yes. Absolutely. Terry McLaurin ceiling changes, right? I mean, you go from a player that, okay, locked and loaded wide receiver two to, hey, this guy, if things went the right way, could be a top 10 wide receiver. 100% he can. You have, so last year.
He was the wide receiver 21. He essentially had three terrible games. I'm talking about Terry McLaurin. But three terrible games and four receiving touchdowns with terrible quarterback play still ended up as the wide receiver 21, and he was still very consistent for fantasy. But now you have Ryan Fitzmagic, who he's legendary for fantasy football purposes because he feeds his number one wide receiver. Stevie Johnson, Andre Johnson, and Hopkins.
Kendall Wright. Do you guys remember that Kendall Wright had a season with 139 targets? Wow. That was not all of it was Fitzmagic, but it was mostly fueled by Ryan Fitzpatrick, Brandon Marshall. Oh, yeah. I was going to say this list is going to be long because he's had a lot of different opportunities. And I'll end it with Devante Parker. He single-handedly resurrected the bust career of first round pick Devante Parker. So getting an alpha.
True alpha wide receiver who can separate has incredible speed. Terry McLaurin is also a massive, massive winner, even with Curtis Samuel coming on board. And Adam Humphreys, pronounced with an Humphreys. Yeah, no, I think Fitzmagic is kind of a standout in the winners category. Good for you, Ryan. I'm going to echo kind of what we talked about earlier. It's the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. Yep.
For me, when you bring back every single piece of your starting roster, and especially, you know, bringing back Godwin, it wasn't flashy for fantasy football news's sake, right? He didn't get to go land in Philadelphia or some other destination that might have been more exciting for, you know, New York. But for Tom Brady, for Chris Godwin and Mike Evans, for this offense, you have the same head coach, you know what he's doing, you know what Brady can provide.
Like, I think, I think this is going to be a situation where you can just, it's like pausing time and just redeem another year of expectation. Brady's been doing that for a long time. Yeah, it just feels that way. You know, a lot of times teams, they don't know how to come back the next year after winning a Super Bowl and being the best, having the target on their back. But you're led by Tom Brady, who's like, this is just.
This is just what I do. So I think that's great. And think about what, real quick, think about what quarterbacks do with Bruce Ariens in year two. I mean, year one, non-Tom Brady, year one, even Brady to an extent. Oh, yeah, he had it like the first 25% of the season. They struggle. They struggle immensely. High interception totals. They fall. Like Carson Palmer's best season with Arizona was year two coming into that. It was just a transformation and the short off season last year, right? We have this weird off season.
Brady managed to overcome all that and become a champion again. And he could end up being the most overlooked fantasy optionate quarterback in the entire league. And you still have his decline hanging over him. But he could be overlooked for redraft league. He spent like the first four games of the season. And Bruce Ariens was just driving the bustle over him.
Yeah, that was all. I remember over and over and over where Bruce Ariens was just like, I mean, he was, he was not kind to Tom Brady. But, you know, I will say this on the other side, he does. Drive in the bustle. You let him make a bustle joke. It's a thorny bus. And you just let it go right through. No, he didn't let it go. He chuckled. It was, it was good. I'll give you, you win. You win today, Mike.
But they might lose their best wide receiver. Because as of right now, Antonio Brown not signed. I was going to ask. Do you say their best wide receiver? Oh, I mean the best wide receiver. I don't expect AB to be back. And you're calling the Tampa Bay, calling for them the winners. How are you valuing for Dynasty, Tyler Johnson, who if AB is gone, Tyler is going to come in and be the number three wide receiver.
projection wise. Scotty Miller's still there, right? Yes. So I think Scottie Miller's still there number three. You think so? Yeah. I do like Tyler Johnson a lot. I think the team likes him. I just think that sometimes you can like a player and there can be no opportunity for him. And that might be the situation he's in. It might be the same thing as liking Gabriel Davis this year, but not seeing enough consistency from them to be valuable. And in Dynasty, you're talking about a quarterback change for Tyler at some point. You know, it's like Brady's.
Well, Jason, you mean like second contract when he changes teams? Because Brady, I've given up on the, on the ever-believing Brady will. You've gone the complete, there's no end. There is no end. He'll retire at 65. The beginning of the beginning, as you might say. All right. So I like Tampa. The backfield's going to be interesting to navigate with Fournet and Ronald Jones again. Gross. But you are one of those really famous people, Jason, the,
For Nett Dynasty managers. Oh, yeah. Congratulations. How did you feel about the happy you went back? At the point that he went back, I was happy he went back. I had higher hopes, you know, that Seattle would make a run or even the Patriots or the, some team would pay him a lot of money. He kind of came back on the cheap.
which says to me it's going to be a lot of what we saw last year, which is there's going to be Ronald Jones games, there's going to be Leonard Fournett games. It's going to be frustrating. So my combination of David Johnson and Leonard Fournett, not the best off season. We've got to get to the losers, but I'm going to throw out some other names. Justin Herbert got the O-line improvement in this off season. Jared Cook added to the offense after losing Hunter Henry. Daniel Jones, you brought up. Cam Newton.
Oh, huge. It is. They added pieces. I don't think the pieces they added are good at all. But I think they are much, much better than what they had last year. So it is arrow pointing up. Carson wins, getting a starting job, going to Indianapolis, having an opportunity there. Aaron Jones, you talked about Chris Carson. Big winner. Huge winner. Yeah. I mean, if you were a dynasty manager of Chris Carson, you were shaking in your boots. Yes, you were. You get some established opportunity.
Melvin Gordon with Philip Lindsay gone. Melvin Gordon and a really, really good defense in Denver. Their offseason has been outstanding. I feel like Denver is top three. I think people think we hate on them. But that's Drew Locke specifically. I'll say, is Drew Locke still there?
Denver's offseason has been outstanding. And if their defense is as good as it seems on paper with Vic Fangio, Melvin Gordon will be running the ball 35 times a game. And the Mike Boone signing is actually really good, I think, for Melvin Gordon in the sense that they're not, that might keep them away from looking at a day two running back or adding someone significant in the draft. And then you had Chase Edmonds with Kenyon Drake being moved and no additional running backs there yet. We'll see. Corey Davis, Curtis Samuel.
Nelson Aguilar's agent. I don't know if Dave, I feel like Davis and Samuel are neutral at best. I think they're both neutral moves. I don't know if I consider them winners other than money. Look, I was laying out those numbers of Curtis Samuel could be a massive winner playing with Ryan Fitzpatrick. Yeah, and of just being, and don't hear what I'm not saying.
as Jason would say, of like, Ryan Fitzpatrick is not the greatest quarterback of all time. It's just his tendencies of overtargeting his top options. I don't know if this Ryan Fitzpatrick and this defense is going to sustain three big time options in that offense between Gibbs and Samuel and McLaren. I would highly doubt that they put him in the position to do that with how good their defense is. Could be. I mean, you had the year in Houston where.
Andre Johnson, Hopkins, and Aaron Foster. We're all doing work. That's a fair comp, but not quite the same defense. Curtis Samuel leaving is a big winner situation for Robbie Anderson and DJ Moore. Yep. All right, losers. Let me kick it off. Yeah, we all. Josh Jacobs, one of the biggest losers of the offseason. And you know the truth is, I think that situation is going to be an interesting one for fantasy players to navigate.
Where does Josh Jacobs belong in a draft? But here's he's the biggest loser because the team said with this Kenyon Drake contract that you, that we're closing the book on you being what fantasy players believe that you were going to evolve into, which is, you know, more Derek Henry, less shared backfield. Like this is the...
The next chapter for Josh Jacobs. Now, I still think he has a chance to be undervalued in drafts because I don't know what Kenyon Drake's role will look like in this offense. But he's the biggest loser for fantasy football players, for dynasty managers, and just for the hopes and dreams that Josh Jacobs represented coming into this league. So for me, that's where it starts and ends. Yeah, I mean, that combination, my biggest loser is the other side of that equation, which is Kenyon Drake.
Say what you want about, like you just said, Josh Jacobs. Two losers, one team. Josh Jacobs could end up being a value.
Kenyon Drake is the backup here. And it'll be split. They're talking about playing him at wide receiver. You know, he's not the veteran on the team in the system. He's the new guy coming in. So I think Kenyon Drake goes from a situation where last year he was pretty consistent for fantasy, just got so much work that even if he was not very effective, he was fine. And he could have gone to a team where he was the...
you know, go away starter. If he went to the Jets, he would have had a great opportunity, but he goes and signs with a team where he is now really a change of pace back and gross. Yeah, I mean, it's really going to be, we'll do all of our projections, you know, this offseason. It'll be in the UDK at Ultimate DraftKit.com, and you'll see exactly what we sat out for these guys. And I am.
