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Main show · November 27, 2019

MEGALODON Episode – Week 13 Matchups, Turkey Day Awards, Starts, & TONS More!

RSSNov 27, 2019 · transcript indexed
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MEGALODON Episode – Week 13 Matchups, Turkey Day Awards, Starts, & TONS More!

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Inside the episode

373 passages
93:39 ↗

If you look at Lev Bell the last four weeks, he's the running back 10, 10, 10, and 11. 220. That's about where he's settling in there. He's on pace for 810 rushing yards at 3.2 a carry. Yeah, this was, unfortunately, they did not get what they paid for. It's just hard to wait through it all. You're not wrong. They didn't get what they paid for.

94:06 ↗

They're saying that same refrain with Adam Gays. They're saying that same refrain with Sam Darnold, to be honest. Yes, he's had a few good games. No, this was not the sophomore season they wanted from Sam Darnold from a winning standpoint from an on-the-field performance standpoint. So lots gone wrong there. Lev Bell has just been okay. He's not winning you weeks. No, he's been steady, but I mean, just to compare how bad.

94:31 ↗

I mean, like high workload, but very, very inefficient. I mean, he was right in line with the 2016 Todd Gurley season, which if you remember, I mean, Todd Gurley wasn't technically a bust that year, but he was technically a bust. He was a, yeah. Everyone hated. Everyone thought he was a bust that year because he was drafted super high. He was the number one pick, which Levy on Bell was not the number one pick. So I guess in.

94:58 ↗

in that value ratio, yeah, he would have been the bus. But he's just been there. In my money league, I thought I was going to be able to, you know, have Levy on Bell carry my running back position. And he has not. No, and he hasn't had any of those upper echelon games even to show you something during the season. That early year, I think he had two or three games, even though he was a bust.

95:21 ↗

where he had a monster performance. This could be one of those games, though. I mean, the Bengals are very bad against running backs. And, you know, if you're going to predict your breakout games, this is probably one of those four or five matchups, you'd highlight on the schedule. But wouldn't you highlight Oakland, Washington, the Giants, or, in fact, Miami, who they have already played? I said four or five. So I'm sticking with it. How do you put the Jets wide receivers?

95:50 ↗

in order this week for fantasy purposes. James and Crowder, Robbie Anderson, Demarius, Thomas. That's how I put him. That's how I put him as well. Robbie has the highest ceiling, but even with the, it was a down week for James and Crowder and Robbie went up. We haven't seen any type of consistency from Robbie. I'd like to play him in the matchup, but if I had, like, they're both on my bench and I'm in a half point or full point PPR scoring format, and I'm playing to get in, I'm playing Crowder. I forgot DeMarius had that touchdown called back on him last week.

96:20 ↗

Yeah, I think Crowder Anderson Thomas makes sense. That's the right order. And then, you know, Ryan Griffin, he's been. He's a fine flyer. Yeah, he's been as consistent as you can get from somebody not in that up. Of his ilk. Of his. Someone of his birth. All right. Let's move on. The Titans at 6 and 5. Take on the 6 and 5 Colts. This is a really big game. Colts at home, they're 2.5 point favorites. It's a 43 point over under.

96:51 ↗

The loser's going to fall behind in the AFC South race with the Texans. A lot on the line. Divisional game. I've had a hard time working through how I think this one's going to play out. The Colts coming off a disappointing loss. The Titans coming off of a monstrous victory. Yeah. And, you know, the Colts, they're just kind of solid everywhere. Their coaching staff is tremendous. Brissette is kind of a solid quarterback. Their defense is solid.

97:21 ↗

The running game is solid. That's why it's hard to look at them and say, hey, they're not going to come out. Even when they were losing last week against Houston, and you watched Brissette and the Hilton drops and all that, they just kind of stay with the process every week. Even when they were down, it was run, run, run, run, run, pass. They just kind of do that, and they believe that their recipe is good enough to win most games. But I'm looking at this matchup in the way that the Tennessee Titans have been playing.

97:51 ↗

43 point over under. Do you like the over or under? Let's start there. Do you think this game is going to deliver for fantasy owners? I like the under. I'll take the under. I'm with you guys. I think when you have a team led by Derek Henry in a poor matchup for running backs, Indie's been very good against running backs. That's going to slow down the Tennessee side. I wanted to highlight some numbers for Derek Henry. And no, I'm not betting against Derek Henry. It seems like a fool's errand at this point. But to highlight how good the Colts have been, they've given up a...

98:20 ↗

This is total team points to the running back position. Week one, they got torched by Austin Echler, and they gave up the second most points. And then in week eight, they give up the tenth most points to fantasy running backs that week, to Denver. Other than that, it's been 16th or worse for oppositional running backs going up against this team. Like, they've been very, very stout. They are very stingy.

98:46 ↗

When it comes to giving up fantasy points to running back. So that hurts the Tennessee offense on one side. And on the flip side, you have no Marlon Mack, possibly no T.Y. Hilton and or injured T.Y. Hilton, hobbled. And so I do expect this to be a more defensive, lower scoring game, which I think, you know, if you believe that lends, you know, that that's part of why I wanted to pivot off of.

99:13 ↗

my Ryan Tanahill, A.J. Brown stack that I played last week to glory. I am benching both of those players this week in my lineup. When you look at Jonathan Williams on the other side, you know, Tennessee is traveling to Indianapolis, and Indianapolis knows how to run the football. And last week, Tennessee gave up that monster performance to Leonard Fournett, which is the number four performance on the week. They've, they've had that here and there. I mean,

99:41 ↗

pretty much McCaffrey and the Chargers running backs. Otherwise, they've been pretty stout. I think Jonathan Williams is a play, though. I think he's absolutely a start. To me, he's on basically a must play. The nice thing about the Colts is what Jonathan Williams is, like he's a talented running back. It's pretty wild that he hasn't been able to get a job in the NFL. But betting on the Colts running game is betting on the Colts offensive line, which is like a look at Dallas.

100:07 ↗

You put whoever. I don't care. You put someone. Alfred Morris. Put Alfred Morris behind the Dallas Cowboys line. And I'm playing. Alfred Morris as a running back too. So. Yep. So I'm, and it's the same thing for the Colts for me. Jonathan Williams is in. Whoever starts for this team.

100:23 ↗

is in for me, and it's Jonathan Williams. Yeah, I completely agree. It was a big worry and a question mark when it wasn't, you weren't sure if it was going to be Wilkins, Williams, is it going to be a split? You know, it came out that it was going to be a three-way split between, and then Wilkins didn't get the ball. And Jonathan Williams ran very well. This is back-to-back games over 100 yards. I expect more of the same. Maybe Wilkins touches the ball four or five times this week, but I don't think when Wilkins gets back that they're just going to say,

100:51 ↗

Okay, now it's a 50-50. They like running with a main guy, just like they've done with Marlon Matt. I don't want to... Where are you guys at with Tanna Hill in this game? I think you can play him. I think you can stream him, but the other options that we brought up guys like Darnold, Foles, I would...

101:12 ↗

I'd rather play those guys. Yeah, the nice thing about Tana Hills is rushing baseline has been there these last several games. Yeah, 35, 45 yards a game. With rushing touchdown upside. So very similar in the rushing touchdown side to Jacoby Brissette. They both are utilized around the goal line in that way. Yeah, since returning from injury, Brissette only 148 and 128 passing yards. Don't love them in this matchup. A pretty compelling argument can be made that that's where this conversation should end.

101:41 ↗

that maybe you don't really mess with the individual options on either side of the ball. If this is going to be a run-heavy approach from both teams, we all believe they may hit the under in this one, divisional matchup. But, you know, A.J. Brown, you're chasing points on low total target numbers, low consistency. T.Y. Hilton banged up. The calf, you know, yes, he destroyed the Titans last year at home, but he was healthy. We don't know if he's going to play. I don't think he will.

102:09 ↗

And I'm not really going to pivot to Zach Pascal myself. No. So it's a running back matchup. It's Derek Henry, Jonathan Williams. Yeah, and then you look at, you know, Jonas Smith, zero targets last week. How do you trust that? Jack Doyle, okay, is baby hands a safe start. Safe is not the word, but me. Jack Doyle is a fine option when you're looking at trying to guess who's going to be irrelevant. Especially if Hilton's out, I suppose. You could have some upside. Yeah, yeah.

102:34 ↗

All right, let's go ahead and talk about this one. The Redskins at 2 and 9 take on the Carolina Panthers at 5 and 6. The Panthers are my streaming defense of the week for good reason. I mean, the Redskins only have an implied point total of 15 points in this game. Panthers are 10-point favorites. It's a 40 and a half point over under, and we get Dwayne Haskins versus Kyle Allen. Panthers kind of reeling right now. Had a chance last week to win that game.

103:02 ↗

pooped it away at the end. I think that's a better way to put it than, you know, obviously the New Orleans Saints, they won that game. Yeah. But the Panthers came back and had a chance to win it. So where are you with this matchup? There's not a lot of trust on the Redskins side all the way up the up and down the board. Terry McLaurin, what's his real upside? What do you see here? He did have a season high 12 targets this last week. Does that make you sadder or happier with the end result? HAP.

103:32 ↗

not necessarily happier with the end result, but it makes me happier that if we can get Terry McLaurin in that 12 target range, then I know he's going to catch four to five passes. And Terry McLaurin, it's so sad. That's like the Dwayne Haskin summary. This is the world we live in. But if Terry McLaurin catches four to five receptions in a week, he's got the talent to make something happen where I'd, yes, I'd rather have my receivers catching eight passes a week.

104:00 ↗

But McLaurin can rip off the big one. So I'm still going to play him as like a wide receiver three. Yeah, I would be completely willing to play Terry McLaurin here. Panthers are 26 against wide receiver, giving up over 30 fantasy points per game to the position. And there really aren't other options.

104:17 ↗

you know, from the Redskins to be legitimate threats of scoring a ton of fantasy points. So I'm in on McLaurin here. I think he's a fine play. Panthers struggle immensely against running backs, but you're sitting here staring down Adrian Peterson and Darius guys. It's just a tough situation. So I will throw out for Terry McLaurin. He will more than likely be shadowed by James Bradbury from the Carolina Panthers. But Bradbury is.

104:45 ↗

he's very hot cold. I mean, he can, sometimes he can shut people down like Julio Jones. Bradbury seems to be really good at the, the bigger, stronger receivers, you know, when he plays. Except Evans went 7 for 82 on him. Have they played both games this year? Yeah. So, so the first time in the shadow coverage, and this is pro football focus, in week two, Bradbury was covering Evans 82% of time.

105:15 ↗

In that coverage, Evans went three for 61. So, I mean, yes, that's not great, three for 61, but you would take that from McLaurin as a wide receiver three. All right, what tough decisions are you facing on the Panthers side of the ball? Greg Olson, Mike's start of the week at tight end. Jason's start of the week? Oh, sorry, Jason's start of the week. Greg Oldson. That happened way back at the beginning of the...

105:40 ↗

I barely remember the show. I think one of the tempting starts speaking as someone who was looking at the whole quarterback landscape and saying, is there a streaming option out there? I'm looking at Donald. I'm looking at golf. Kyle Allen, you know, look, he has been hot and cold. Oh, no. Jason. Oh, no. I'm just saying. No way. Are you just asking whether you would consider playing Kyle Allen? Just ask me. Just. Okay. Mike, would you consider playing Kyle Allen?

106:09 ↗

Why so upset? Is it just the one week? It's not just the one week. He had a monster week, 256 yards, three touchdowns. Thank you. Yeah, I wouldn't play me there. He destroyed Arizona and then he had the resurgence against Norland's, and otherwise you would have been disappointed. You played him. Yeah, that's not in. That's fair. It's just nice to know that you've seen a big blowup type of game out of him twice. Everyone could do it. This is why at the end of the year. Driscoll did it. There will be.

106:36 ↗

40 plus quarterbacks who have put up a top 12 week because anyone can put up a top 12 week here or there. But as far as betting on it on a weekly basis, I'm not betting. So no temptation for you. No, got zero. All right. Well, there you go. Just, uh, I'll play him as like a QB2 in a super flex. You guys see this, Christian McCaffrey. If you just took his receiving fantasy points, he has the same as Odell Beckham. Makes sense. Not hard. Yeah. Yeah. If you took his rushing alone, that's Nick Chub.

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