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Main show · November 27, 2019

MEGALODON Episode – Week 13 Matchups, Turkey Day Awards, Starts, & TONS More!

RSSNov 27, 2019 · transcript indexed
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MEGALODON Episode – Week 13 Matchups, Turkey Day Awards, Starts, & TONS More!

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Inside the episode

373 passages
80:22 ↗

Can't establish that run game with him. Didn't have Lane Johnson. Kind of important. For the offensive line, very important piece. Didn't have Alshan Jeffrey. Didn't have Nelson Aguilar. Nope. D. Jacks on IR. Yeah. And then. Still. But the problem was is Wince played bad on top of it. It wasn't just. The answer is yes. It was bad decision making. It was, you know, bad reads, taking sacks, four turnovers. So it was a, it was really.

80:52 ↗

an eyesore of a game for Carson Wins in all respect. Some his fault, some not, but nevertheless. Here we are in what on paper should be a must-play matchup. Dolphins are 30th against fantasy quarterbacks. They've been decimated in the last couple of weeks after winning a couple games. Eagles are heavy favorites on the road. Weather shouldn't be a factor. It's going to be clear.

81:19 ↗

Wonderful. Which is worth also pointing out, since we're talking about the hardships that happened last week, part of the issue for that game was weather. There was some light rain, some sleet, some wind. And the hand, and a hand injury. Right. So a ton of variables, some of which seem to be being taken out. Alshan.

81:38 ↗

Al Gore expected to be back. The hand is still there. The weather is taken out. Still has his hand. Oh, no Lannister situation. Lannister would be such a bad quarterback post situation. Agreed. Agreed. So everything in the matchup says, okay, you play him. Everything in the momentum of the offense says pump the brakes. And so there you are with that decision. And in your case,

82:05 ↗

And you're playing Sam Darnold over Carson Wins, but you would have played Wins over Ryan Tannehill. So everybody's trying to evaluate where the kind of streaming lower tier non-auto smash play options are at quarterback. And that's where you landed. Is that? Yeah, that's exactly right. Right now I've got Carson Wins as my quarterback 15, which means I would like to do better than that. I want a top 12 quarterback. That being said, I believe Wins can be started this week.

82:33 ↗

You know, I've got him at 15. That's kind of the probability, the risk baked in. But he has the potential here to go out and have a monster game. I really genuinely believe that. Miami is a terrible defense. We all know that.

82:48 ↗

Players, especially quarterbacks against Miami, they've lit it up. There's no weather concerns. His offensive line and weapons are back. So I think he has a good game because if you look at his last stretch of games where he's been bad, it's been a really tough matchup of schedules. And then this last week, no weapons and bad weather. Yeah, I was going to say it's been a gauntlet in Dallas at Buffalo, Chicago, New England. That was a four-game stretch with different injuries on the team. So it has not been easy for Carson Wentz.

83:17 ↗

I think we've talked about him enough. Ryan Fitzpatrick on the other side at home, you know, he's going to be a gunslinger, you know, he'll probably turn the ball over. I love Philadelphia's defense this week. They showed me something last week against Russell Wilson, and I love him. Miles Sanders, he showed me that he can play 85% of snaps and 84% of snaps and still make me wish he had more snaps. Yeah, somehow. Miles Sanders is tough. He's probably the guy I've been asked the most questions about on Twitter.

83:47 ↗

And I think you play him. I think you can play him with a decent amount of confidence. He has been the guy, 85% of snaps, 84% of snaps. Number 19 last week. Not producing in a big way, but those tougher matchups have extended from Carson Wentz also to Miles Sanders.

84:07 ↗

I would be playing Miles as a running back to this week. Miles Sanders, it was between Miles Sanders and Todd Gurley for my start of the week. I think there are a lot of things that bodewell in his favor. Pro football focus has this as the biggest offensive versus defensive line discrepancy for running the ball. So I think that they're going to be able to create lanes for him. I think Miles Sanders is a good play this week. Do you believe that J. Jai is a sneaky DFS type of play this week at all? No. Okay.

84:36 ↗

I thought maybe it gets some work if they were out. But you like Miami to potentially upset the Eagles in this game. I like Miami to cover. Eagles favored by nine. I get it that Miami stinks and the narrative and everything. And I bet people are still putting money on Eagles to cover because Miami stinks. But in Miami with the way that the offense has been running for Philadelphia, I think they will cover. All right. Kalin Belize, you can punt him off a bridge. I don't want them on my team. I don't want them in my lineup.

85:04 ↗

Correct. He lost a ton of snaps last week. Despite being quote unquote the starter, he was not on the field, not involved in the passing game. All he had was volume. That was literally before. That was all he had. And now that's gone. So he's, if you're tracking, that means he has nothing. That would make. He was nothing to offer it. That would make Brooks the opposite of Kaylon Belanche. Oh, he has no volume. Well, now they're similar though, because Kalen now has no volume.

85:32 ↗

Oh, okay. Now, you are Kaelin Baloch. That's what we're getting in. I liked being the opposite of Kieran a lot better. Oh, but it hurts me to acknowledge how bad Belage is. He was a local guy. All right. Jordan Howard's probably going to miss this game. Alshon Jeffrey, Nelson Aguilar, are practicing. The matchup says this is a game that Jeffrey climbs back into your lineup. If he's active, he tends to demand.

86:00 ↗

Very, very high target counts from Carson wins when he's active. I'm going to ask Jason a question. Because this entire show, we've been running through players returning from injury, Adam Thieland, Devon to Freeman. And you've been, oh, I'm out. I don't want to play those guys. But somehow, Alson, Jeffrey, and Nelson Agler are much lower tier players than say Adam Thielen.

86:21 ↗

You're like, they're the solution for Carson Williams. Well, it's not that I'm playing them. It's not that I'm putting Alshan in the lineup and saying I'm banking on getting fantasy points from him. There's multiple options coming back, and I view them as a benefit. Carson Wins is the benefit. The group? Yes, the group. Carson Wins benefits from the health of all three players. I include Lane Johnson with that from what we saw last. Let me ask you this, though, because decisions are needing to be made.

86:49 ↗

Jeffrey, because he has so much practice coming back from injury, we've seen this a lot where he comes back and picks up 10 to 12 targets from Carson wins. Do you wait on Jeffrey to be active? He's practicing. Do you play him or do you play like Marvin Jones on Thanksgiving? Marvin Jones with maybe Driscoll, maybe Blach. Or do you wait on Alshon against Miami?

87:13 ↗

Ah, that stuff. I think that would completely depend on whether or not you have a good enough pivot. Because I would rather, if you know, you know for sure Alshan is playing 100%. I would rather play Alshan than Marvin Jones because of the matchup and the quarterback injury issue for Detroit. But if I don't have a good pivot in case something happens pregame and Alshan's out, then no. So look at your bench and say you've got the, I don't know, you've got.

87:42 ↗

Mike Williams, you know, okay, then maybe I'll wait for Mike Williams. He's not playing Thursday, right? Correct. So there you go. All right, Devante Parker. You play him. You play him in this game? Yes, you do. I mean, I was looking at. Eagles have gotten a little bit better against. Yes, certainly. But Devante Parker is just, he has earned his way.

88:08 ↗

into fantasy line. I was he put up a great game against Buffalo where he had no business doing that. And I was looking at Parker's contract situation. Man, the Miami Dolphins pulled a fast one here. They had a gamble and they won where next year he has an option for $5 million, a club option. So if they want Parker, they've got him for $5 million. Yeah.

88:38 ↗

Well, they... Nicely done, Miami. I don't think one soul on this earth said nicely done when that signing happened. No, no, no, we did not. Yeah. But the gamble paid off for them. I didn't mean you. I just meant everybody. I mean, everybody said, okay, this guy's shown nothing.

88:52 ↗

But he's shown some things this year. He's your Thanksgiving Day Jack in the Box pick. Yeah, here's the thing with him is he doesn't have monster games. He's not going to be a top five type of player. He hasn't been, you know, you look at this year. He's been great. He hasn't been top 10 once. And I don't think that he finishes top 10 the rest of the season. However, the lowest he's been since Vince Patrick took over is 35th, which.

89:18 ↗

35th, you're not happy with the rank, but that's still a serviceable game. So week in and week out, he's just a consistent guy that's in your flex that has been putting up points, not gooseing. He's too targeted by Fitzpatrick, who is capable. Even in bad matchups, I think you roll with him. Zachard's in your lineup, of course. And then Dallas Goddard. Mike started the week. He's going to be in your lineup. Gassiki did score last week. It's probably not somebody you're glancing at.

89:47 ↗

Eagles pretty good against the tight-in and Gisicki having played him in weeks past. You're just rolling the dice completely. Completely. All right. Let's move on the Jets at 4 and 7. Take on the winless. Cincinnati Bengals in Cincinnati. Jets are 3.5 point favorites. It's a 41.5 point over under, and it is my. Andy's almost upset of the week.

90:21 ↗

Andy Dalton is back. And that's the truth. That's the truth about it. Bengals last week, they were actually in a dog fight with Pittsburgh in that game. The Jets going on the road here, Cincinnati, putting Dalton back in. They need to try to stifle this historical effort that they're making. They don't want to go winless. And they're not going to have a lot of opportunities to not go winless. Andy Dalton.

90:52 ↗

Coming back, Tyler Boyd's start of the week. Joe Mixon's been playing very well at the running back position. I think that they can get it done. Jets are favored. So Sam Darnold on the other side. Jason, he's your start of the week. I believe this game hits the over. I mean, you're talking 41 and a half is a decently low over under with Dalton there and Sam Donald. These are two really bad defenses.

91:17 ↗

with, I believe, two capable quarterbacks. They're not world beaters. But when you have a matchup like this, I'm always intrigued. And I like, you know, it doesn't work out with 100% accuracy. But these are the type of matchups when you have decent quarterbacks against bad defenses where they can end up going back and forth. I still like the Jets in this game. But you are good at calling your almost upsets. Well, we'll see. I mean, Andy Dalton, let's not forget before he was benched arbitrarily on his own birthday.

91:47 ↗

which is still hard to believe. He was, the yardage numbers were there. I mean, he began the season with 418. He was consistently putting up 200 to 300 yards a game. He's going to sling the ball around. You like Darnold. I get it. Cincinnati's defense pretty bad. There should be opportunities on both sides of the ball for some fantasy points in this game. Do you know the New York Jets have only allowed three top 12 quarterbacks this year?

92:18 ↗

I did not know that. I did not know. Who were they? Who are they? Jacksonville, Miami, and the Giants. It's all bad teams. Great. I'm just saying. No, it's interesting. Like, when you said, like, the Jets are bad defense, I don't, they're not bad. The Jets are, they aren't great. But I would say that they are an average defense at worst. Like, they can stop the run and they're stopping quarterbacks. I mean, I.

92:45 ↗

Yeah, I mean, it's, I like the Jets to win the game. Speaking fantasy points wise, they're, they're middle of the pack against quarterback, middle of the pack against running back. Well, they're, no, 12th against fantasy running backs. 12th would be considered middle of the pack, right? You got 32 teams, so you got top 10, middle 10, bottom 10 is how I view. Okay, regardless, sure. You know, and then, and then they're 26th against wide receivers.

93:12 ↗

So, yeah, I'm not, I guess maybe I'm painting too generic of a picture to say that they're just a bad defense, but they have, they have, they're not a great defense, is my point, is this isn't a team where I don't think Dalton can get it done. Obviously, Andy's got Tyler Boyd as his start of the week, and again, 26 against wide receivers, that makes sense. I think points will be put on the board.

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